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SEGRA 2015 Kristian Kolding 20 October 2015 Australia’s economic outlook

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Page 1: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

SEGRA 2015

Kristian Kolding

20 October 2015

Australia’s economic

outlook

Page 2: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

Genuine challenges

Changing gears

Opportunities for growth - the importance of place

Contents

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Page 3: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

The Australian economy

faces genuine challenges

Page 4: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd © 2015 - SEGRA

Softer growth outlook for China

4

Source: ABS, Deloitte Access Economics

Page 5: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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…it has been trending this way for a while

5

Source: Thomson Reuters

Page 6: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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And the stock market is affected too.

6

Page 7: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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This has forced Australia to move to the third

stage of the mining boom - exports

7

Source: ABS, Deloitte Access Economics

Page 8: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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But that’s not the only challenge facing Australia

8

Source: ABS, Deloitte Access Economics

Page 9: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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Our productivity challenge

9

Page 10: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd © 2015 - SEGRA

Our productivity challenge

10

Trend real net national disposable income per head ($)

Page 11: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

The economy

is changing gears

Page 12: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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Record low interest rates

12

Source: ABS, Deloitte Access Economics

Page 13: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd © 2015 - SEGRA

Low interest rates supporting broader growth

13

Source: ABS, Deloitte Access Economics

Page 14: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd © 2015 - SEGRA

Low interest rates supporting broader growth

14

Source: ABS, Deloitte Access Economics

Page 15: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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Surging building approvals

15

Source: ABS, Deloitte Access Economics

Page 16: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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More favourable exchange rates

16

Source: ABS, Deloitte Access Economics

Page 17: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd © 2015 - SEGRA

More favourable exchange rates

17

Source: ABS, Deloitte Access Economics

Page 18: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd © 2015 - SEGRA

More favourable exchange rates

18

Source: ABS, Deloitte Access Economics

Page 19: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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Business investment

19

Source: Deloitte CFO Survey

Page 20: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd © 2015 - SEGRA

Business investment

20

Source: Deloitte CFO Survey

Page 21: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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Opportunities

for growth

Page 22: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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Place in an Australian context

22

Australia’s five regions

Page 23: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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10 measures of prosperity

Place contributes more to

human welfare than just

material goods and services –

place is where people live

their lives.

Our ten dimensions are the

building blocks of prosperity

in place and the things

people care about.

24 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu © 2015 - BTLC5 MASTER CLIENT DECK

Page 24: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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Outer urban and regional

How prosperous are we?

Outer urban Regional cities

Page 25: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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Rural and remote

Page 26: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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Who can act?

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Individuals 1 Businesses 2 Communities 3 Governments 4

Page 27: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

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Where to start?

Reconsidering the purpose of place begins with three questions:

1. Is your place flourishing?

2. Which of the 10 dimensions of prosperity most needs to improve?

3. How can each of the 4 actors best collaborate with the

others to set the process in motion?

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Page 28: Deloitte - 2015.segra.com.au2015.segra.com.au/segra15ConfProc/Day 1/Plenary/kristian-kolding.pdf · Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering

General information only

This presentation contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or their related entities (collectively the “Deloitte Network”) is, by means of this

presentation, rendering professional advice or services. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No

entity in the Deloitte Network shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this presentation.

About Deloitte

Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity.

Please see www.deloitte.com/au/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms.

Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries,

Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering the insights they need to address their most complex business challenges. Deloitte has in the region of 200,000 professionals,

all committed to becoming the standard of excellence.

About Deloitte Australia

In Australia, the member firm is the Australian partnership of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu. As one of Australia’s leading professional services firms. Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu and its affiliates provide audit, tax,

consulting, and financial advisory services through approximately 6,000 people across the country. Focused on the creation of value and growth, and known as an employer of choice for innovative human

resources programs, we are dedicated to helping our clients and our people excel. For more information, please visit our web site at www.deloitte.com.au.

Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.

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© 2015 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd