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  • 8/8/2019 Dec 2010 Housing Monthly Indicators

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    Contents

    Monthly IndicatorsDecember 2010

    ose a esMedian Sales Price 3

    Average Sales Price 4

    New Listings 5

    Pending Sales 6

    Days on Market Until Sale 7

    Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale 8Housing Affordability Index 9

    Inventory of Homes Available 10

    Months Supply of Inventory 11

    Market Overview 12

    Explanation Page 13

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 1

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    Closed SalesA Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    A count of the sales that have closed in a given month.

    Single-Family Condo

    198

    254272

    350

    306

    341

    December2008 2009 2010

    + 37.4% + 12.5% + 37.8% - 2.6%

    Single-Family Condo

    2,738

    4,080

    2,690

    3,566

    3,051

    3,934

    Year to Date 2008 2009 2010

    - 1.8% + 13.4% - 12.6% + 10.3%

    Single-Family Condo

    198

    254272

    350

    306

    341

    December2008 2009 2010

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08 Jan-10

    Historical Closed Sales

    Single-Family

    Condo

    + 37.4% + 12.5% + 37.8% - 2.6%

    Single-Family Condo

    2,738

    4,080

    2,690

    3,566

    3,051

    3,934

    Year to Date 2008 2009 2010

    - 1.8% + 13.4% - 12.6% + 10.3%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 2

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    Median Sales PriceA Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    Tthe median sales price for all closed sales in a given month, sold properties only.

    Single-Family Condo

    $620,000

    $300,000

    $555,000

    $302,500

    $587,000

    $303,000

    December2008 2009 2010

    - 10.5% + 5.8% + 0.8% + 0.2%

    Single-Family Condo

    $620,500

    $325,000

    $575,000

    $305,000

    $592,750

    $305,000

    Year to Date2008 2009 2010

    - 7.3% + 3.1% - 6.2% - 0.0%

    Single-Family Condo

    $620,000

    $300,000

    $555,000

    $302,500

    $587,000

    $303,000

    December2008 2009 2010

    $100,000

    $175,000

    $250,000

    $325,000

    $400,000

    $475,000

    $550,000

    $625,000

    $700,000

    Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08 Jan-10

    Historical Median Sales Price

    Single-Family

    Condo

    - 10.5% + 5.8% + 0.8% + 0.2%

    Single-Family Condo

    $620,500

    $325,000

    $575,000

    $305,000

    $592,750

    $305,000

    Year to Date2008 2009 2010

    - 7.3% + 3.1% - 6.2% - 0.0%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 3

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    Average Sales PriceA Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    Tthe average sales price for all c losed sales in a given month, sold properties only.

    Single-Family Condo

    $775,636

    $343,714

    $680,362

    $355,898

    $710,649

    $378,525

    December2008 2009 2010

    - 12.3% + 4.5% + 3.5% + 6.4%

    Single-Family Condo

    $777,160

    $382,620

    $689,645

    $348,556

    $712,251

    $359,151

    Year to Date2008 2009 2010

    - 11.3% + 3.3% - 8.9% + 3.0%

    Single-Family Condo

    $775,636

    $343,714

    $680,362

    $355,898

    $710,649

    $378,525

    December2008 2009 2010

    $200,000

    $275,000

    $350,000

    $425,000

    $500,000

    $575,000

    $650,000

    $725,000

    $800,000

    $875,000

    $950,000

    Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10

    Historical Average Sales Price

    Single-Family

    Condo

    - 12.3% + 4.5% + 3.5% + 6.4%

    Single-Family Condo

    $777,160

    $382,620

    $689,645

    $348,556

    $712,251

    $359,151

    Year to Date2008 2009 2010

    - 11.3% + 3.3% - 8.9% + 3.0%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 4

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    New ListingsA Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month, regardless of what status they're currently in.

    Single-Family Condo

    324

    469

    291

    402

    270

    418

    December 2008 2009 2010

    - 10.2% - 7.2% - 14.3% + 4.0%

    Single-Family Condo

    6,315

    8,524

    4,979

    6,826

    5,291

    6,937

    Year to Date 2008 2009 2010

    - 21.2% + 6.3% - 19.9% + 1.6%

    Single-Family Condo

    324

    469

    291

    402

    270

    418

    December 2008 2009 2010

    0

    250

    500

    750

    1,000

    1,250

    1,500

    1,750

    2,000

    2,250

    Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08 Jan-10

    Historical New Listings

    Single-Family

    Condo

    - 10.2% - 7.2% - 14.3% + 4.0%

    Single-Family Condo

    6,315

    8,524

    4,979

    6,826

    5,291

    6,937

    Year to Date 2008 2009 2010

    - 21.2% + 6.3% - 19.9% + 1.6%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 5

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    Pending SalesA Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    A count of the properties that have offers accepted on them in a given month, regardless of whether or not the sale closes.

    Single-Family Condo

    151

    185195

    263

    234

    329

    December2008 2009 2010

    + 29.1% + 20.0% + 42.2% + 25.1%

    Single-Family Condo

    2,650

    3,886

    2,840

    3,772

    3,152

    4,037

    Year to Date 2008 2009 2010

    + 7.2% + 11.0% - 2.9% + 7.0%

    Single-Family Condo

    151

    185195

    263

    234

    329

    December2008 2009 2010

    0

    250

    500

    750

    1,000

    1,250

    1,500

    1,750

    Jan-97 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10

    Historical Pending Sales

    Single-Family

    Condo

    + 29.1% + 20.0% + 42.2% + 25.1%

    Single-Family Condo

    2,650

    3,886

    2,840

    3,772

    3,152

    4,037

    Year to Date 2008 2009 2010

    + 7.2% + 11.0% - 2.9% + 7.0%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 6

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    Days on Market Until SaleA Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    The median number of days between when a property is first listed and when it is pended.

    Single-Family Condo

    68

    50

    32

    3836

    42

    December2008 2009 2010

    - 53.3% + 12.7% - 24.0% + 10.5%

    Single-Family Condo

    52

    43

    49 49

    34 34

    Year to Date2008 2009 2010

    - 5.8% - 30.6% + 14.0% - 30.6%

    Single-Family Condo

    68

    50

    32

    3836

    42

    December2008 2009 2010

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08 Jan-10

    Historical Days on Market Until Sale

    Single-Family

    Condo

    - 53.3% + 12.7% - 24.0% + 10.5%

    Single-Family Condo

    52

    43

    49 49

    34 34

    Year to Date2008 2009 2010

    - 5.8% - 30.6% + 14.0% - 30.6%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 7

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    Percent of Original List Price Received at SaleA Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    The average percentage found when dividing a property's sales price by the original list price, sold properties only.

    Single-Family Condo

    90.1% 91.2%

    95.8%94.0%

    95.6% 94.4%

    December2008 2009 2010

    + 6.3% - 0.2% + 3.1% + 0.4%

    Single-Family Condo

    93.0% 94.1%93.2% 92.7%95.5% 95.0%

    Year to Date 2008 2009 2010

    + 0.2% + 2.5% - 1.5% + 2.4%

    Single-Family Condo

    90.1% 91.2%

    95.8%94.0%

    95.6% 94.4%

    December2008 2009 2010

    90.0%

    91.0%

    92.0%

    93.0%

    94.0%

    95.0%

    96.0%

    97.0%

    98.0%

    99.0%

    100.0%

    Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10

    Historical Pct. Of Original List Price Received at Sale

    Single-Family

    Condo

    + 6.3% - 0.2% + 3.1% + 0.4%

    Single-Family Condo

    93.0% 94.1%93.2% 92.7%95.5% 95.0%

    Year to Date 2008 2009 2010

    + 0.2% + 2.5% - 1.5% + 2.4%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 8

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    Housing Affordability IndexA Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    A measure of affordability, the higher the number the more affordable housing is relative to income. Detailed explanation below.

    Single-Family Condo

    56

    110

    65

    113

    67

    122

    December2008 2009 2010

    Single-Family Condo

    56

    103

    63

    113

    66

    122

    Year to Date 2008 2009 2010

    + 15.0% + 3.0% + 2.8% + 8.0% + 11.3% + 5.5% + 9.7% + 8.1%

    Single-Family Condo

    56

    110

    65

    113

    67

    122

    December2008 2009 2010

    Single-Family Condo

    56

    103

    63

    113

    66

    122

    Year to Date 2008 2009 2010

    + 15.0% + 3.0% + 2.8% + 8.0% + 11.3% + 5.5% + 9.7% + 8.1%

    25

    40

    55

    70

    85

    100

    115

    130

    145

    Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10

    Historical Housing Affordability Index

    Single-Family Condo

    The HAI formula measures affordability for the Honolulu market. An HAI of 120 means the median family income is 120% ofthe necessary income to qualify for the median priced home using a 20% down, 30-year fixed rate mortgage.

    Current Median Family Income =

    Current Interest Rate =

    $79,300

    4.78%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 9

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    Inventory of Homes AvailableA Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of the month.

    Single-Family Condo

    2,161

    2,730

    1,445

    1,946

    1,301

    1,874

    December 2008 2009 2010

    - 33.1% - 10.0% - 28.7% - 3.7%

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    2,200

    2,400

    2,600

    2,800

    3,000

    3,200

    Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10

    Historical Inventory of Homes Available

    Single-Family

    Condo

    Single-Family Condo

    2,161

    2,730

    1,445

    1,946

    1,301

    1,874

    December 2008 2009 2010

    - 33.1% - 10.0% - 28.7% - 3.7%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 10

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    Months Supply of InventoryA Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    Compares the number of active listings available to the average monthly pending sales for the last twelve months.

    Single-Family Condo

    10.7

    8.8

    6.8 6.96.0

    6.4

    December 2008 2009 2010

    - 36.8% - 11.3% - 22.2% - 6.8%

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10

    Historical Months Supply of Inventory

    Single-Family

    Condo

    Single-Family Condo

    10.7

    8.8

    6.8 6.96.0

    6.4

    December 2008 2009 2010

    - 36.8% - 11.3% - 22.2% - 6.8%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 11

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    Market Overview A Monthly Indicator from the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    Current Year Prior YearPercentChange

    Current Year Prior YearPercentChange

    Oct 2010 401 404 - 0.7% 511 545 - 6.2%

    Nov 2010 383 319 + 20.1% 470 471 - 0.2%

    Dec 2010 270 291 - 7.2% 418 402 + 4.0%

    Pending Sales Oct 2010 284 256 + 10.9% 308 362 - 14.9%Nov 2010 224 227 - 1.3% 278 309 - 10.0%

    Dec 2010 234 195 + 20.0% 329 263 + 25.1%

    Closed Sales Oct 2010 245 290 - 15.5% 315 394 - 20.1%

    Nov 2010 248 258 - 3.9% 309 402 - 23.1%

    Dec 2010 306 272 + 12.5% 341 350 - 2.6%

    Days on Market Until Sale Oct 2010 35 52 - 32.7% 32 54 - 40.7%

    Nov 2010 41 44 - 6.8% 45 31 + 45.2%

    Single-Family Condo

    New Listings

    Dec 2010 36 32 + 12.7% 42 38 + 10.5%Median Sales Price Oct 2010 $592,500 $604,500 - 2.0% $300,000 $300,000 - 0.0%

    Nov 2010 $576,694 $590,000 - 2.3% $314,500 $310,500 + 1.3%

    Dec 2010 $587,000 $555,000 + 5.8% $303,000 $302,500 + 0.2%

    Average Sales Price Oct 2010 $672,425 $734,397 - 8.4% $351,233 $344,550 + 1.9%

    Nov 2010 $701,050 $676,918 + 3.6% $377,747 $350,108 + 7.9%

    Dec 2010 $710,649 $680,362 + 4.5% $378,525 $355,898 + 6.4%

    Oct 2010 1,613 1,661 - 2.9% 2,172 2,188 - 0.7%

    Nov 2010 1,555 1,575 - 1.3% 2,116 2,112 + 0.2%

    Dec 2010 1,301 1,445 - 10.0% 1,874 1,946 - 3.7%

    Percent of Original List Price Oct 2010 94.4% 93.8% + 0.6% 94.8% 93.1% + 1.8%

    Nov 2010 96.0% 93.9% + 2.2% 95.2% 94.4% + 0.8%

    Dec 2010 95.6% 95.8% - 0.2% 94.4% 94.0% + 0.4%

    Housing Affordability Index Oct 2010 67 61 + 9.4% 124 116 + 6.9%

    Nov 2010 69 64 + 8.5% 120 115 + 4.7%

    Dec 2010 67 65 + 3.0% 122 113 + 8.0%

    Months Supply of Inventory Oct 2010 6.5 7.8 - 17.1% 6.6 7.8 - 16.1%

    Nov 2010 6.2 7.3 - 15.4% 6.5 7.3 - 10.8%Dec 2010 6.0 6.8 - 11.3% 6.4 6.9 - 6.8%

    Total Active Listings Available

    at Month End

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 12

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    Explanation of MethodologyFrom the Honolulu Board of REALTORS

    New ListingsA count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month, regardless of what statusthey're currently in.

    A count of the properties that have offers accepted on them in a given month, regardless of whether or not thesale closes.

    A count of the properties that have closed in a given month.

    The average number of days between when a property is first listed and when it is pended.Days on Market Until Sale

    The median sales price for all closed sales in a given month, sold properties only.

    Pending Sales

    Closed Sales

    Median Sales Price

    Compares the number of active listings available to the average monthly pending sales for the last twelve months.

    Total Active Listings Available At

    Month End

    The average percentage found when dividing a property's sales price by the original list price, sold propertiesonly.

    Measures affordability in the Honolulu region. An index of 120 would mean that the median family income in theregion is 120% of what's necessary to qualify for the median priced home.

    , .

    The average sales price for all closed sales in a given month, sold properties only.

    The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of the month.

    Average Sales Price

    Months Supply of Inventory

    Percent of Original List PriceReceived At Sale

    Housing Affordability Index

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. 13