april 2011 monthly indicators
DESCRIPTION
Local Area Market StatsTRANSCRIPT
Monthly Indicators
April 2011 Quick Facts
A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE HILTON HEAD AREA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
+ 20.5%
Change inMedian Sales Price
The final month of year-over-year comparison to last year's tax incentive market is upon us. It bears repeating that April 2010 enjoyed uniquely strong activity due to the approaching credit deadline. The fact that there is some positive news in the mix suggests that recovery is under way. Let's see how this pivotal month played out locally.
- 16.9%
Change inInventory
+ 7.1%
Change inClosed Sales
23456789
101112
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 1
Closed SalesPending SalesNew ListingsMarket Overview
Days On Market Until Sale
Click on desired metric to jump to that page.
New Listings in the Hilton Head region decreased 12.8 percent to 537. Pending Sales were down 6.5 percent to 261. Inventory levels shrank 16.9 percent to 3,141 units – a positive trend that should preserve market balance.
Prices were up, which may reflect increased activity at higher price points and fewer distressed properties closing. The Median Sales Price increased 20.5 percent to $270,000. Days on Market increased 18.8 percent to 152 days. The supply-demand balance improved as Months Supply of Inventory was down 26.9 percent to 13.3 months.
Nationally, the interest rate is 5.0 percent on a 30-year fixed conventional and the unemployment rate edged up to 9.0 percent in April, even as the economy added 244,000 jobs. Job seekers showed more confidence, a potential indicator of future housing demand. Moving forward, expect a different story to unfold in our market. We'll soon be comparing current activity to a post-credit slump that occurred during the summer and fall of 2010. Months Supply of Inventory
Inventory of Homes for SaleHousing Affordability IndexPercent of List Price ReceivedAverage Sales PriceMedian Sales Price
Market Overview
Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 4-2010 4-2011 + / – YTD 2010 YTD 2011 + / –
Key market metrics for the current month and year-to-date figures.
+ 18.8% 135 146 + 8.3%
- 11.2%
279 261 - 6.5% 926 1,089 + 17.6%
2,006616 537 - 12.8% 2,260
252 270 + 7.1% 793
New Listings
Pending Sales
Closed Sales
Days on Market Until Sale
855 + 7.8%
128 152
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2
125
--
-- --
--
--18.2
111 - 11.7%
- 16.9%
- 26.9%
3,141
13.3
+ 20.5% $225,000 $223,500
- 0.6%
- 0.7%
- 0.5% 94.0% 93.4%
Months Supplyof Homes for Sale
Median Sales Price
Average Sales Price
Percent of List Price Received
$352,849 $346,612 - 1.8%
94.2% 93.8%
Housing Affordability Index
Inventory of Homes for Sale
125
3,781
130 + 4.5%
--
$352,138 $321,542 - 8.7%
$224,000 $270,000
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
4-2008 4-2009 4-2010 4-2011
New Listings
MonthPrior Year
Current Year
+ / –
May 440 481 +9.3%
June 531 515 -3.0%
July 479 498 +4.0%
August 476 517 +8.6%
September 493 491 -0.4%
October 451 400 -11.3%
November 409 335 -18.1%
December 350 301 -14.0%
January 454 420 -7.5%
February 515 487 -5.4%
March 675 562 -16.7%
April 616 537 -12.8%
A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.
518
616
537
2009 2010 2011
April2,316 2,260
2,006
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
-11.2%+18.9% -12.8% -2.4%
12-Month Avg 491 462 -5.9%
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 3
518
616
537
2009 2010 2011
April
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical New Listing Activity
2,316 2,260
2,006
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
-11.2%+18.9% -12.8% -2.4%
Pending Sales
MonthPrior Year
Current Year
+ / –
May 211 232 +10.0%
June 201 228 +13.4%
July 194 257 +32.5%
August 220 212 -3.6%
September 215 217 +0.9%
October 234 188 -19.7%
November 183 209 +14.2%
December 184 177 -3.8%
January 185 248 +34.1%
February 199 266 +33.7%
March 263 314 +19.4%
April 279 261 -6.5%
A count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month.
199
279261
2009 2010 2011
April
651
926
1,089
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
+17.6%+40.2% -6.5% +42.2%
12-Month Avg 214 234 +9.4%
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4
199
279261
2009 2010 2011
April
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Pending Sales Activity
651
926
1,089
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
+17.6%+40.2% -6.5% +42.2%
Closed Sales
MonthPrior Year
Current Year
+ / –
May 187 212 +13.4%
June 210 261 +24.3%
July 198 220 +11.1%
August 204 215 +5.4%
September 193 221 +14.5%
October 231 162 -29.9%
November 214 182 -15.0%
December 218 220 +0.9%
January 172 183 +6.4%
February 156 176 +12.8%
March 213 226 +6.1%
April 252 270 +7.1%
A count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.
148
252270
2009 2010 2011
April
487
793855
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
+7.8%+70.3% +7.1% +62.8%
12-Month Avg 204 212 +4.8%
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5
148
252270
2009 2010 2011
April
50
100
150
200
250
300
1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Closed Sales Activity
487
793855
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
+7.8%+70.3% +7.1% +62.8%
Days on Market Until Sale
MonthPrior Year
Current Year
+ / –
May 144 113 -21.2%
June 151 141 -6.5%
July 150 126 -16.5%
August 151 126 -16.9%
September 162 121 -25.3%
October 153 144 -5.6%
November 157 141 -10.2%
December 138 136 -1.5%
January 131 133 +1.3%
February 145 156 +7.9%
March 140 143 +2.1%
April 128 152 +18.8%
Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.
140128
152
2009 2010 2011
April
144135
146
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
+8.3%-8.7% +18.8% -6.0%
12-Month Avg 152 145 -4.7%
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6
140128
152
2009 2010 2011
April
95
105
115
125
135
145
155
165
1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Days on Market Until Sale
144135
146
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
+8.3%-8.7% +18.8% -6.0%
Median Sales Price
MonthPrior Year
Current Year
+ / –
May $274,500 $237,090 -13.6%
June $285,000 $240,000 -15.8%
July $255,000 $275,145 +7.9%
August $260,000 $214,000 -17.7%
September $239,000 $218,393 -8.6%
October $290,000 $240,000 -17.2%
November $262,750 $228,750 -12.9%
December $279,000 $250,000 -10.4%
January $231,000 $250,000 +8.2%
February $215,000 $188,200 -12.5%
March $265,000 $210,000 -20.8%
April $224,000 $270,000 +20.5%
Median price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.
$278,000
$224,000
$270,000
2009 2010 2011
April
$259,000
$225,000 $223,500
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
-0.7%-19.4% +20.5% -13.1%
12-Month Avg $258,500 $233,832 -9.5%
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7
$278,000
$224,000
$270,000
2009 2010 2011
April
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Median Sales Price
$259,000
$225,000 $223,500
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
-0.7%-19.4% +20.5% -13.1%
Average Sales Price
MonthPrior Year
Current Year
+ / –
May $368,133 $364,834 -0.9%
June $386,044 $330,841 -14.3%
July $361,904 $401,054 +10.8%
August $467,169 $300,997 -35.6%
September $344,085 $347,477 +1.0%
October $394,110 $321,857 -18.3%
November $361,187 $327,176 -9.4%
December $375,862 $310,895 -17.3%
January $329,121 $303,936 -7.7%
February $395,687 $291,285 -26.4%
March $338,453 $328,279 -3.0%
April $352,849 $346,612 -1.8%
Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.
$384,268$352,849 $346,612
2009 2010 2011
April
$380,124$352,138
$321,542
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
- 8.7%- 8.2% - 1.8% - 7.4%
12-Month Avg $372,752 $333,027 -10.7%
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8
$384,268$352,849 $346,612
2009 2010 2011
April
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
$500,000
$550,000
$600,000
$650,000
1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Average Sales Price
$380,124$352,138
$321,542
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
- 8.7%- 8.2% - 1.8% - 7.4%
Percent of List Price Received
MonthPrior Year
Current Year
+ / –
May 92.9% 94.9% +2.1%
June 93.5% 94.7% +1.4%
July 93.3% 93.5% +0.2%
August 93.9% 93.4% -0.5%
September 93.3% 93.4% +0.1%
October 93.7% 94.1% +0.5%
November 93.0% 92.4% -0.7%
December 93.2% 93.2% +0.0%
January 93.5% 92.8% -0.8%
February 94.3% 93.8% -0.5%
March 93.8% 93.2% -0.7%
April 94.2% 93.8% -0.5%
Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its last list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.
93.1% 94.2% 93.8%
2009 2010 2011
April
93.1% 94.0% 93.4%
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
-0.6%+1.2% -0.5% +0.9%
12-Month Avg 93.5% 93.6% +0.1%
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9
93.1% 94.2% 93.8%
2009 2010 2011
April
90%
91%
92%
93%
94%
95%
96%
1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Percent of List Price Received
93.1% 94.0% 93.4%
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
-0.6%+1.2% -0.5% +0.9%
Housing Affordability Index
MonthPrior Year
Current Year
+ / –
May 101 119 +18.0%
June 98 121 +23.8%
July 108 109 +0.9%
August 109 138 +26.5%
September 118 136 +14.7%
October 100 126 +26.1%
November 111 132 +19.2%
December 101 120 +18.9%
January 122 117 -4.1%
February 130 149 +14.6%
March 108 136 +26.1%
This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income was 120% of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.
104
125
111
April
110
125130
Year To Date
+4.5%+20.8% -11.7% +13.1%April 125 111 -11.7%
12-Month Avg 111 126 +14.4%
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 10
104
125
111
2009 2010 2011
April
60
80
100
120
140
160
1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Housing Affordability Index
110
125130
2009 2010 2011
Year To Date
+4.5%+20.8% -11.7% +13.1%
Inventory of Homes for Sale
MonthPrior Year
Current Year
+ / –
May 4,186 3,790 -9.5%
June 4,179 3,812 -8.8%
July 4,110 3,766 -8.4%
August 4,034 3,757 -6.9%
September 3,885 3,736 -3.8%
October 3,747 3,622 -3.3%
November 3,654 3,462 -5.3%
December 3,404 3,159 -7.2%
January 3,400 3,077 -9.5%
February 3,518 3,072 -12.7%
March 3,711 3,092 -16.7%
April 3,781 3,141 -16.9%
The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.
4,2903,781
3,141
2009 2010 2011
April
-16.9%-11.9%
12-Month Avg 3,801 3,457 -9.1%
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11
4,2903,781
3,141
2009 2010 2011
April
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale
-16.9%-11.9%
Months Supply of Inventory
MonthPrior Year
Current Year
+ / –
May 26.4 17.7 -32.8%
June 26.5 17.7 -33.3%
July 26.1 17.3 -33.7%
August 25.1 16.8 -32.9%
September 23.6 16.8 -28.7%
October 22.1 16.3 -26.6%
November 20.4 15.8 -22.5%
December 18.4 14.3 -22.4%
January 17.8 14.0 -21.6%
February 18.0 13.6 -24.5%
March 18.5 13.4 -27.9%
April 18.2 13.3 -26.9%
The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.
26.9
18.2
13.3
2009 2010 2011
April
-26.9%-32.3%
12-Month Avg 21.8 15.6 -28.4%
All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12
26.9
18.2
13.3
2009 2010 2011
April
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Months Supply of Inventory
-26.9%-32.3%