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    Productivity and delays assessment for concrete batch

    plant-truck mixer operations

    TAREK M. ZAYED1*, DANIEL W. HALPIN2 and ISMAIL M. BASHA3

    1Construction, Engineering and Management Department, Faculty of Engineering, Zagazig University, Zagazig,

    Egypt; presently at Department of Building, Civil & Environmental Engineering, Concordia University, 1455 De

    maisonneuve west, Montreal, Quebec H3G 1M7, Canada2Construction Division, School of Civil Engineering, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907, USA3

    Construction Engineering and Management Department, Faculty of Engineering, Zagazig University, Zagazig, Egypt

    Received 24 May 2004; accepted 23 March 2005

    Current research focuses on assessing productivity, cost, and delays for concrete batch plant (CBP) operations

    using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) methodology. Data were collected to assess cycle time, delays, cost of

    delays, cost of delivery, productivity, and price/m3 for the CBP. Two ANN models were designated to represent

    the CBP process considering many CBP variables. Input variables include delivery distance, concrete type, and

    truck mixers load. Output variables include the assessment of cycle time, cost of delays, delivery cost,

    productivity, and price/m3. The ANN outputs have been validated to show the ANNs robustness in assessing

    the CBP output variables. The average validity percent for the ANN outputs is 96.25%. A Time-Quantity (TQ)

    chart is developed to assess the time required for both truck mixers and the CBP to produce a specified quantity

    of concrete. Charts have been developed to predict cycle time/truck, delays/truck, cost of delays/truck, cost of

    delivery/m3, and price/m3.

    Keywords: Artificial Neural Network (ANN), productivity, cost analysis, cycle time, modeling, concrete batch

    plant (CBP), truck mixer

    Introduction

    Artificial Neural Network (ANN) methodology is

    applied to model the concrete batch plant (CBP)

    operation and to assess productivity, cost, and delays.

    This assessment procedure faces many problems due to

    the large number of factors that affect the CBP

    operation. Some of these factors can be summarized

    as follows: concrete type; delivery distance; transit

    mixer capacity; delays in the construction site; delays inthe CBP site; traffic conditions; and road conditions.

    Therefore, the price of a concrete unit, which is

    produced by the CBP, is affected by the above-

    mentioned factors. Common practice prices out the

    concrete based upon materials price plus overhead and

    profit without considering the transporting distance,

    delays in both construction and CBP sites, traffic

    conditions, and road conditions. A previous study has

    been done by Zayed and Halpin (2001a) to add

    distance as a dimension in the concrete unit price. To

    enhance the productivity and cost estimation per

    concrete unit, current study adds one more dimension

    to this previous study to price out the concrete unit:

    delays in plant and construction sites. There is a lack of

    research in this area; therefore, this study focuses on

    assessing the CBP productivity and cost per concrete

    unit considering the transporting distance and delays

    using ANN.

    ANN major concepts

    The ANN consists of a large number of artificial

    neurons that are arranged into a sequence of layers with

    random connections between the layers (Tsoukalas and

    Uhrig, 1997). The ANN processing elements (e.g.

    neurons) are arranged in layers so that the connections*Author for correspondence. E-mail: [email protected]

    Construction Management and Economics (October 2005) 23, 839850

    Construction Management and EconomicsISSN 0144-6193 print/ISSN 1466-433X online # 2005 Taylor & Francis

    http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals

    DOI: 10.1080/01446190500184451

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    are systematic and the network can be solved (Portas,

    1996). The ANN can be organized through different

    layers: input, middle, and output. The middle layer(s)

    is (are) called hidden layer(s). These hidden layers have

    no connections to the outside world because they are

    connected only to the input and output layers. Figure 1

    shows a typical ANN structure where weights can beassigned to each connection between two consecutive

    neurons.

    The ANN performs two major functions: learning

    and recalling (Moselhi et al., 1991; Garrett, 1992;

    Alsugair and Chang, 1994; Moselhi and Hegazi, 1994;

    Tsoukalas and Uhrig, 1997; Bode, 1998). Learning is

    the process of adapting the connection weights in an

    ANN to produce the desired outputs corresponding to

    defined inputs. In other words, the ANN tries to adapt

    the weights of network connections so that the network

    predicts the required output according to specified

    inputs. If the output is provided to the ANN to train

    itself, this type of training is calledsupervised learning. Ifthere is no output provided for training, then it is

    unsupervised learning. Recall is the process of accepting

    an input and producing an output response based on

    the ANN weight structure that is trained during the

    learning process. In this case, the input vector is

    provided to the trained ANN where the predicted

    output is calculated after executing the internal process

    of the ANN. The predicted output is compared with

    the required output to establish the prediction error.

    This error is used to adjust the ANN connection

    weights to enhance its prediction accuracy.

    ANN model building

    Fully connected, feed-forward, three-layer, and supervised-learning ANNs have been used in this study for several

    reasons (Tsoukalas and Uhrig, 1997): (1) three-layer

    ANN is enough to solve all nonlinearly separable

    problems; (2) larger number of hidden layers increases

    the processing power of the ANN but it needs more

    time and data for training process to be performed

    properly; (3) one hidden layer (i.e. three-layer ANN) is

    capable of representing any mapping; and (4) it is

    found from the training process that three-layer ANN is

    adequate to represent current problem. Current

    research uses three-layer ANN: input, hidden, and

    output layers. The input layer includes (as shown in

    Figures 2 and 3): (1) delivery distances from the plantto the site: 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13 and 15 miles (4.8, 8.0,

    11.2, 14.4, 17.6, 20.8, and 24.0 km); (2) concrete types

    (2500 psi, 4000 psi, 5.5 bags and 6.0 bags); and (3)

    concrete quantity transferred by one truck per trip: 1, 2,

    , and 10cy (0.76, 1.52, , and 7.6 m3

    ). Other

    factors that affect the CBP cycle time, productivity, and

    cost (i.e. road and traffic conditions) will be studied in

    future study(ies) due to data availability. Therefore, the

    ANN model includes 12 neurons in the input layer:

    Figure 1 Typical feed-forward fully connected artificial neural network structure

    840 Zayedet al.

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    distance (seven variables), concrete types (four vari-

    ables), and truck load.

    The output layer of the ANN designated model

    includes: (1) cycle time elements (loading, hauling,

    unloading, and return times); (2) delays (delay inside

    the plant and delay in construction site); (3) cost of

    delays; (4) price per cy (m3

    ); and (5) cost of delivery

    per cy (m3). Consequently, the number of output

    neurons is eight in the output layer. From a practical

    standpoint, eight outputs are many for the ANN to

    learn through training and to recall for prediction in

    future. Lots of information in the output layer results in

    large number of neurons in the middle layer(s) to

    transfer and translate these information. Therefore,

    several iterations have been done to select the best

    ANN representation for the CBP operation particularly

    the selection of output neurons that make the network

    best fit the data. Eight, four, two, and one neurons have

    been tried in the output layer. For example, in the case

    of one neuron in the output layer, the CBP operation

    can be represented by eight networks to cover the eight

    output variables; however, four networks represent the

    process in the case of two output neurons each. The

    outcome of this iteration process leads to the fact that

    Figure 2 Cycle time assessment using ANN1

    Figure 3 Delays, price, and cost of delivery assessment using ANN2

    Productivity and delays assessment 841

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    four neurons in the output layer is the best choice to

    represent the operation with two networks. The

    selection was made based on the learning process

    performance. In other words, the iteration of each

    ANN training has a goal to achieve, which is the least

    sum of square error. If the goal (performance50.05)

    has been met, the network learns the data and can

    represent the operation. Otherwise, the learning pro-

    cess is not efficient and the developed model might

    have problems in predicting the outputs. The degree of

    goal achievement (performance) is the comparison

    indicator that supports the best architecture to achieve

    this goal. Using four neurons best meets this goal

    because it has a performance of 0.06893, which is close

    to 0.05. Other architectures produce larger perfor-

    mance (i.e. two output neurons architecture produce

    an average performance of 14.6253; however, this is the

    second closest to the goal (0.05)). Consequently, the

    CBP operation can be represented using two ANNs

    (each one contains four output neurons). Details of thisselection process are not included here due to space

    limitation.

    Each ANNs architecture involves 12 input and four

    output neurons. The ANN1 contains loading, hauling,

    unloading, and return times in the output neurons. The

    ANN2 contains total delays, cost of delay, price per cy

    (m3), and cost of delivery/cy (m3) in the output layer

    neurons. Figures 2 and 3 show the input and output

    neurons in both networks. Both figures depict the

    architecture of the networks that represent the CBP

    operation. Each network has the same inputs with

    different outputs. The hidden layer is different in both

    networks because it relies upon the data set and the

    nature of the outputs.

    Case study

    To establish a decision-making framework, a Ready

    Mixed Concrete (RMC) batch-plant operation, located

    in the Lafayette, Indiana, was studied (Zayed and

    Halpin, 2001a). The observed facility consisted of

    storage bins for sand and gravel, a hopper tower, two

    belt conveyors, two cement silos, and a discharge unit.

    This facility serves an area of approximately 15 mi

    (24 km) in radius. The production capacity of the plant

    was rated as approximately 40cu yd/h (30.4 m3/h)

    (Zayed and Halpin, 2001a). Figure 4 shows the flow

    diagram for the CBP and the transit mixer cycles.

    Materials are withdrawn from the storage area to fill the

    batch hopper through conveyor belt 1. There is a

    scale to measure the aggregate weight in the hoppertower before discharging to the transit mixer through

    conveyor belt 2 (Zayed and Halpin, 2001a). Because

    architecture design of the CBP might affect cycle time,

    productivity, and cost, it is explained using Figure 4.

    A concrete batch plant, in Lafayette, Indiana, is

    selected to apply the designated ANN models and

    verify their robustness in assessing the delays and their

    influence on efficiency, cost, and time. Data (205 data

    points) have been collected from the CBP site during

    five months period. Several techniques have been used

    to collect data: (1) CBP daily reports; (2) interview

    with CBP management using site visits and telephone

    Figure 4 Flow diagram for the CBP and the transit (adapted from Zayed and Halpin, 2001a)

    842 Zayedet al.

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    calls; and (3) direct data collection forms that are filled

    during the CBP site visits. Data have been processed

    and analyzed statistically to implement the designated

    models. For example, the collected data for output

    variables have been normalized (scaled) to reduce the

    effect of variables interaction and correlation. Scatter

    diagrams, normality plots, and other statistical tests

    have been performed to check outliers and abnormal

    data points before training the developed ANNs.

    The breakdown of concrete price/cy ($/m3) is shown

    in Table 1. It shows material, CBP, truck mixer, and

    overhead costs. It also shows the total price/cy ($/m3)

    for different concrete types based upon 1999 prices.

    Cost of delivery/cy (m3) is calculated based upon the

    previous study done by Zayed and Halpin (2001a).

    Cost of delays/truck cycle is determined using model

    (1):

    C~ bd1zt d2 =60 1

    Current research designed a general framework to

    predict cycle time, productivity, cost, and price of the

    CBP using the ANN. Because of detailed and

    sophisticated data required for this study, the devel-

    oped framework is only applied to one concrete batch

    plant in Lafayette, Indiana. In other words, intricacy to

    collect the required data abridged the available case

    studies. Several factors contribute to the obscurity of

    generalizing current research results: plant location,

    project location, traffic and road conditions, day of the

    week, time of the day, inside or outside cities, etc.

    Therefore, current research developed a general frame-

    work that can be applied to any CBP so that

    practitioners can build on and extend to suite their

    plants. In other words, practitioners in different cities

    can develop an appropriate conversion factor for the

    results of current study framework to accommodate

    market variations. Reviewing previous work shows lack

    of research in the CBP area; therefore, current study

    enriches the area of CBP management by developing a

    robust ANN model that predicts different management

    elements for the CBP. The developed ANN model is

    essential for researchers who are engrossed in CBP

    management.

    ANN models validation

    Data were collected and divided randomlyinto two sets:

    training and validation data sets. The validation data

    set represented 20% of the collected data; however, the

    80% left was used to train the ANN models. After

    training, the ANN models have been recalled to predict

    the outputs based upon the validation data set inputs.

    The eight output values are estimated using the

    designated ANNs. The resulting outputs are compared

    to the collected output data to check the validity

    percent of the designated ANNs results. The average

    invalidity percent (AIP) value is determined using

    model (2) (adapted from Zayed and Halpin, 2001b,

    Table 1 Price breakdown per 1 cy (m3

    ) of concrete

    Concrete

    type

    Material Equipment $/cy ($/m3) Total direct cost Profit & overhead Total price

    $/cy ($/m3) Batch plant Truck mixer $/cy ($/m3) $/cy ($/m3) $/cy ($/m3)

    2000 psl $32.53 $42.80 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $44.53 $58.59 $12.97 $17.07 $57.50 $75.66

    2500 psl $34.17 $44.96 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $46.17 $60.75 $13.83 $18.19 $60.00 $78.95

    3000 psl $36.87 $48.51 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $48.87 $64.30 $13.63 $17.94 $62.50 $82.24

    3500 psl $38.80 $51.05 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $50.80 $66.84 $14.20 $18.69 $65.00 $85.53

    4000 psl $40.89 $53.81 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $52.89 $69.60 $14.61 $19.22 $67.50 $88.82

    4500 psl $43.99 $57.88 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $55.99 $73.67 $14.01 $18.44 $70.00 $92.11

    5000 psl $43.29 $56.96 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $55.29 $72.75 $18.21 $23.96 $73.50 $96.71

    4.5 bag

    (423 lb)

    $40.61 $53.44 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $52.61 $69.23 $9.74 $12.81 $62.35 $82.04

    5.0 bag(470 lb)

    $42.49 $55.91 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $54.49 $71.70 $10.36 $13.63 $64.85 $85.33

    5.5 bag

    (517 lb)

    $44.37 $58.39 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $56.37 $74.18 $10.98 $14.44 $67.35 $88.62

    6.0 bag

    (564 lb)

    $46.06 $60.60 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $58.06 $76.39 $11.79 $15.52 $69.85 $91.91

    7.0 bag

    (658 lb)

    $49.82 $65.55 $4 ($5.26) $8 ($10.5) $61.82 $81.34 $13.03 $17.15 $74.85 $98.49

    Sand cost/ton5$10.01; Stone/ton5$15.84; Truck mixer/hr5$80.00; Batch plant/hr5$100.00; Cement/ton5$88.00; Cement/bag5$4.15;Truck/hr510cy (7.6 m

    3); Plant/hr540cy (30.4 m3).

    Sources: Ogershok and Phillips (1999); RS Means (1999a,b); Ready Mixed Concrete Company (1999).

    Productivity and delays assessment 843

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    CSCE); however, model (3) represents the average

    validity percent (AVP) as follows:

    AIP~Xni~1

    1{ Ei=Ci j j

    !,n 2

    AVP~1{AIP 3

    The AIP values calculated using model (2) are:

    delays8.27%; cycle time3.53%; cost of delays

    4.56%; cost of delivery2.16%; and price/cy (m3

    )

    0.23%. Table 2 shows the determination of the average

    validity percent (AVP) for the aforementioned output

    variables (model 3). It indicates that most of ANN

    architectures are excellent in predicting the output

    variables. Based upon the analysis of cycle time, it is

    clear that the usage of total cycle time as output

    variable has a lower AIPvalue than breaking down the

    cycle time into its elements. Therefore, breaking down

    the cycle time into its elements results in high AIP

    values for loading, hauling, and unloading times. The

    averageAIP1 (based on total cycle time) is 3.75% that

    leads to AVP1 of 96.25%. This percent shows the

    robustness of the ANN designated model to predict the

    output variables. If the detailed cycle time elements are

    used, the average AIP2 (based on cycle time elements)

    is 9.00% that leads to AVP2 of 91.00%. Although the

    deviation in the cycle time elements is larger than using

    the total cycle time, the AVP2 is still acceptable (lower

    than 10% deviation). However, it is still essential to

    model the cycle time elements to track delays because

    they have significant effect on expenses. In conclusion,

    the designated ANN models are very convenient torepresent the CBP operation and to predict its delays,

    cycle time, cycle time elements, cost of delays, cost of

    delivery, and price/cy (m3

    ). Figures 5 and 6 show the

    deviation of the ANN output variable results from the

    actual outputs. Cost of delivery/cy (m3) and price/cy

    (m3) curves show very minimal deviation; however,

    delays and cost of delays show maximum deviation.

    Cycle time has a considerable deviation as shown in

    Figure 5. There is considerable noise within the cycle

    time curve validation data points that range as 713,

    2425, and 3133. This noise results from compromis-

    ing other factors that affect cycle time, such as concrete

    type, traffic, and road conditions.

    ANN results analysis

    The time required to load a truck mixer as well as the

    other cycle time elements and delays are shown in

    Figure7. The average loading time for different

    delivery distances is 6.25 minutes. In fact, loading time

    does not depend on delivery distance; however, its

    differences recorded in Figure 7 result from using

    average loading time for various concrete types and

    round off error. On the other hand, truck mixer

    unloading time, which is distance independent, is 10

    minutes on average. It depends on the on-site pouringmethod and the number of available spaces beside the

    pump. Truck mixer travel and return times are distance

    dependent (directly related to distance). In other

    words, the higher the distance, the higher the travel

    and return times will be. They depend upon traffic and

    road conditions but these factors are not covered by the

    current study. The curves of cycle time elements are

    shown in Figure 7. This figure also shows the average

    total cycle time for the various distances and its

    associated average delays per cycle. It shows that the

    average cycle time, without delays, for a 4.8 km

    distance is 26.02 minutes; however, it is 59.99 minutes

    for 24.0 km delivery distance. Delays for each truckmixer cycle represent a considerable percent out of the

    cycle time: 40.45% on average (17.07 minutes/cycle).

    The delay of a truck mixer traveling a 4.8 km distance is

    43.97% (11.44 minutes); however, it is almost 35.48%

    (21.28 minutes) for traveling 24.0 km distance. These

    delays are huge and they have a bad effect on cost per

    concrete unit. The total truck mixer cycle time

    Table 2 The ANN output validation

    Items Output variables AIP1 AVP1 AIP2 AVP2

    Delays Delays 8.27% 91.73% 8.27% 91.73%

    Cycle time Total 3.53% 96.47% NA NA

    Cycle time elements Loading NA NA 23.20% 76.80%

    Hauling NA NA 17.06% 82.94%

    Unloading NA NA 7.78% 92.22%

    Returning NA NA 8.76% 91.24%

    Cost of delays Cost of delays 4.56% 95.44% 4.56% 95.44%

    Cost of delivery/cy (m3) Cost of delivery/cy (m3) 2.16% 97.84% 2.16% 97.84%

    Price/cy (m3) Price/cy (m3) 0.23% 99.77% 0.23% 99.77%

    Average Average 3.75% 96.25% 9.00% 91.00%

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    Figure 5 The ANN validation using cycle time and delays

    Figure 6 The ANN validation using costs and prices

    Productivity and delays assessment 845

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    including delays is determined to be 60.10 minutes on

    average; however, it is 37.45 and 81.27 minutes for

    delivery distances 4.8 km and 24.0 km, as shown in

    Figure 7, respectively.

    The effect of cycle time delays appears clearly inFigure8 under the cost of delays category. Figure8

    shows the cost of delays per truck cycle for different

    delivery distances. It averages $56.15/truck cycle. It

    ranges from $37.63 to $70.00/truck cycle for delivery

    distances from 4.8 km to 24.0 km, respectively. These

    cost figures are averaged for different truck loads and

    capacities. Price per cubic meter is also shown in

    Figure 8 for various travel distances. It averages $93.85/

    m3

    for various concrete types, truck loads, and travel

    distances. Average price ranges from $81.59 to

    $105.83/m3

    for distances from 4.8 km to 24.0km,

    respectively. This price covers the cost of delivery for

    various delivery distances. The cost of delivery estimateshown in Figure8 averages $15.37/m

    3for different

    travel distances. Its border limits are $5.93 and

    $26.38/m3

    for 4.8 km and 24.0km travel distances,

    respectively.

    Based upon the previous analysis for Figures 7 and 8,

    the CBP and truck mixer management have to control

    their cycle time delays because it will increase the

    concrete unit cost by at least $7.39/m3 on average. This

    cost increase might exceed the concrete profit margin

    resulting in huge losses. It is essential to study the

    factors that support this huge delay of 28 minutes per

    truck cycle, on average, to stop bleeding money.

    Production analysis

    A Time-Quantity (TQ) chart, Figure 9, has been

    developed to assess time per truck mixer for delivering

    a specified quantity of concrete; to determine the CBP

    production time for this specified quantity; and to

    select the number of trucks required for various travel

    distances. The x-axis (horizontal) represents the

    required concrete quantities that a client might request.

    There are two y-axes (vertical): (1) the left hand side y-

    axis represents the time required from one truck mixer

    to deliver the required concrete quantity; and (2) the

    right hand side y-axis represents the time required fromthe CBP to produce this required concrete quantity.

    The CBP production time curve considers the delay

    percentages of the truck mixers for various distances.

    The TQ chart can be used efficiently when, for

    example, a client requested 100 cy (76 m3) of concrete

    for a 24 km delivery distance. The CBP management

    will use the TQ in Figure 9 to calculate the delivery

    time, the CBP production time, and number of truck

    mixers that can be used. If a vertical line is constructed

    Figure 7 Average cycle time, its elements, and delays

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    from a quantity of 76m3 in the x-axis, Figure 9, it

    intersects the CBP production curve and the 24 km

    travel distance curves in two points B and A,respectively. From point A, construct a horizontal line

    that intersects the left hand side y-axis (time/truck

    mixer) in a point (10 hrs) without delays. Therefore, it

    takes 10 hours from one truck mixer to deliver this

    quantity of concrete. Construct a horizontal line from

    point B to the right hand side y-axis (plant production

    time). It takes 2.85 hours, including delays, from the

    CBP to produce this quantity of concrete. The

    optimum number of trucks to be used for this distance

    (24 km) is five truck mixers as mentioned in the

    keynote in the upper left hand side of the graph

    (Figure 9). Therefore, this optimum number of trucks

    will keep the CBP busy for 2 hours and 51 minutes(both the CBP and truck mixer) considering the

    average delays that might occur for truck mixers cycles.

    Cycle time, delays, and expenses analysis

    The developed ANN models for the CBP operation are

    recalled to predict truck mixer cycle time, delays per

    cycle, price/m3

    , and the various expenses that are very

    essential for the CBP management. Load and unload

    times depend on the truck mixers load volume, which

    affects the length of truck mixer cycle time. Because thetruck mixer load is one of the controlling factors in the

    prediction process, particularly for cycle time, different

    truck mixer loads have been used in the prediction

    process. The selected truck mixer loads are 5, 6, 7, 8, 9,

    and 10 cubic yards (3.8, 4.56, 5.32, 6.08, 6.84, and

    7.60 m3). Sets of charts have been developed, based

    upon the ANN outputs, to predict the truck mixer cycle

    time, delays per cycle, price/m3, and the various

    expenses considering the above truck mixers loads

    for different types of concrete. This paper presents a

    sample of these prediction chart sets that cover only the

    4000 psi concrete type.

    Figure 10 presents the cycle time prediction for the4000 psi concrete considering different truck mixers

    loads. If the truck mixer carries a load of 8 cy (6.08 m3)

    for a 11.2 km delivery distance, the corresponding cycle

    time is approximately 63 minutes for one truck

    including delays. The CBP management can predict

    delays considering different distances and truck mixers

    loads for the 4000 psi concrete using Figure 11. The

    delay for a load of 8 cy (6.08 m3) traveling 11.2 km is

    predicted to be approximately 17 minutes. Therefore,

    Figure 8 Price and expenses per m3

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    Figure 10 Cycle time prediction for 4000 psi concrete

    Figure 9 Time-quantity chart for the CBP and truck mixer

    Figure 11 Delays prediction for 4000 psi concrete

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    the net cycle time for that distance will be (63 minus

    17546 minutes). It is the responsibility of the CBP

    management and truck mixers operators to reduce

    these delays as much as they can so that they are able to

    increase their productivity. The cost of delay for

    11.2 km delivery distance can be predicted using

    Figure 12. It shows that the cost of delay for an 8 cy

    (6.08 m

    3

    ) truck load, 4000 psi concrete, is approxi-mately $43.00/cycle. It costs the CBP management

    approximately $7.8/m3 (4000 psi concrete) to deliver to

    an 11.2km distance, as shown in Figure13. It is

    obvious from Figure13 that the cost of delivery

    decreases when the truck mixer load increases because

    the truck mixer expenses are allocated to a small

    quantity of concrete. On the other hand, Figure 14

    shows the prediction of price/m3 for various truck

    mixers loads and delivery distances. The price/m3

    (including cost of delivery) for 4000 psi concrete that is

    delivered for 11.2 km distance is approximately $90.5,

    as shown in Figure 14. This shows the drastic increase

    in the price/m3

    to deliver a small quantity of concrete tothe various distances.

    These developed charts (tools) are designated to be

    helpful to the CBP management and operators of truck

    mixers. They facilitate their decision-making process

    particularly in pricing out the concrete unit for different

    distances and quantities. The developed tools are

    flexible enough to cover many variables that enable

    the CBP management to answer a broad range of

    questions.

    Conclusions

    Current research has discussed the role of ANN as a

    tool for decision-making and resource management. It

    adds one more dimension to the CBP management

    analysis: delays and their effect on the price/cy (m3

    ).

    Two ANN models were designated to represent the

    Figure 12 Cost of delays prediction per truck mixer cycle

    for 4000 psi concrete

    Figure 13 Cost of delivery/m3 prediction for 4000 psi

    concrete

    Figure 14 Price/m3 prediction for 4000 psi concrete

    Productivity and delays assessment 849

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    CBP process considering many input and output

    variables. Input variables include various distances,

    concrete types, and truckload. Output variables include

    the assessment of cycle time, cost of delays, delivery

    cost, productivity, and price per concrete unit. The

    average validity percent for the ANN outputs is

    96.25%, which shows the robustness of the designated

    ANN models. A set of charts has been developed to

    help the CBP management answer questions regarding

    prices and expenses for different distances. The TQ

    tool is developed to assess the time required from both

    truck mixers and the CBP to produce a specified

    quantity of concrete. Charts have been developed to

    predict cycle time/truck, delays/truck, cost of delays/

    truck, cost of delivery/m3, and price/m3.

    This research is relevant to both industry practi-

    tioners and researchers. It provides sets of charts for

    practitioners usage to schedule and price out the CBP

    operation. In addition, it provides the researchers with

    the methodology of applying the ANN approach to theCBP operation, its limitations, and future suggestions.

    Acknowledgements

    The writers wish to express their gratitude and

    appreciation to the concrete production companies,

    which generously allowed us to collect data and access

    their sites. The cooperation and assistance of plants

    managers and operators are also gratefully acknowl-

    edged and appreciated.

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    Appendix

    Notations

    C5

    cost of delays (delays at plant site and atconstruction site)

    b5batch plant cost per hour

    d15delay at the plant site in minutes

    t5truck mixer cost per hour

    d25delay at the construction site in minutes

    AIP5average invalidity percent for validation data set

    AVP5average validity percent for validation data set

    Ei5estimated output variables value by ANN for

    data point i

    Ci5collected output variables value for data point i

    n5number of data points

    i5data points

    850 Zayedet al.

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