csi marketgrader
TRANSCRIPT
TheCSIMarketGraderChinaNewEconomyIndexseekstofollowthemostfundamentallysoundcompaniesdomiciledandtradedinChinathatbelongtotheConsumerDiscretionary,ConsumerStaples,HealthCareandTechnologysectors*.
InvestmentObjective
R E S E A R C H & I N D E X E SMarketGrader
*SectorclassificationisbasedonChinaSecuritiesIndexCompany’s1stlevelsectorclassification.
China’seconomyisundergoingaprofoundtransformationinwhichitsserviceandconsumer-orientedsectorsaregraduallyreplacingfixedinvesting,heavyindustryandlowcostmanufacturingasthecountry’seconomicengines.AtMarketGraderwebelievethatcapitalmarketswillplayaninstrumentalroleinchannelingthecountry’svastsavingsintoprivateenterprise,achievingthetwingoalsofadevelopedeconomy;namelytoensurethatitscitizenspartakeinthecountry’seconomicprosperitythroughbroadshareownershipandtocreateastableanddependablesourceoffinancingforthecountry’seconomicengine.
InvestmentThesis
R E S E A R C H & I N D E X E SMarketGrader
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CSI MarketGrader China New Economy Index Methodology
R E S E A R C H & I N D E X E SMarketGrader
UnderlyingUniverseAllAshareslistedintheShanghaiandShenzhenStockExchangesclassifiedbyCSIasConsumerDiscretionary,ConsumerStaples,HealthCareorTechnologycompanies.
UnderlyingUniverse• StockmustbecoveredandratedbyMarketGrader• Stockcannotbeclassifiedas“ST”or“restricted”byCSI• Stock’slistingcannotbesuspended
Size,Liquidity&ReportingRequirements• MinimummarketcapofRMB1.38billiononselectiondate• Minimumthree-monthaveragedailytradedvalueofRMB13.8million• Minimumtrailing12-monthaggregatetradingvolumeofRMB345million• Atleastsixcompaniesineachsectorsub-indexmustbedesignatedas‘largecap’byMarketGrader*• Allcompaniesmusthavefiledquarterlyorannualfinancialstatementswiththeirlocalregulatorwithinthe12monthsprecedingtheindexrebalancedate
*MarketGraderclassifiesannuallyallChinaA-sharesthatcomprisethetop85%ofthecountry’saggregatemarketcapitalizationas‘largecap.’
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CSI MarketGrader China New Economy Index Facts
R E S E A R C H & I N D E X E SMarketGrader
IndexCode:930984IndexCalculation:ChinaSecuritiesIndexCo.ConstituentRatings&Selections:MarketGraderIndexBaseDataandBaseLevel:Dec.31,2007/1000*
ConstituentWeighting:EqualWeightingatRebalanceRebalanceDates:FirsttradingdayafterthesecondFridayofJuneandDecember
*TheCSIMarketGraderChinaNewEconomyIndexwasfirstpublishedonMarch20,2015.Allpriordataisbacktested.
MarketGradergradesapproximately2,900ASharesbasedon24fundamentalfactors,groupedinGrowth,Value,ProfitabilityandCashFlowcategories.Seeexamplebelow:
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1. GROWTH A- Market Growth LT B+
Market Growth ST A
EPS Weighted Growth A+
Growth Potential b
Earnings Impact A-
Earnings Surprise B
2. VALUE A- Capital Structure A
P/E Analysis B+
Price/Book Ratio A-
Price/Cash Flow Ratio B+
Price/Sales Ratio B-
Market Value B+
3. PROFITABILITY A Asset Utilization A+
Capital Utilization B+
Operating Margins A-
Relative Margin A+
Return on Equity A
Gross Profitability A+
4. CASH FLOW A+ Cash Flow Growth A+
EBIDTA Margin B
Debt/Cash Flow Ratio A+
Interest Coverage Ratio A+
Economic Value Added A+
Working Capital Ratio A+
HUBEIJUMPCANPHARMACEUTICALCO.,LTDClassA(600566.CN)OverallGrade:86.6
MarketGrader’s Stock Selection: Focus on Fundamentals
R E S E A R C H & I N D E X E SMarketGrader
GradesandratingsforGreeElectricAppliances(000651.CN),amemberoftheCSIMarketGraderChinaNewEconomyIndex,asofNovember9,2018.Source:MarketGraderResearch.
Fundamental Difference: Index Selection Is Driven by Overall Rating
HUBEIJUMPCANPHARMACEUTICALCO.,LTDClassA(600566.CN)
OverallGrade:86.6,Rating:BUY
ChinaShipbuildingIndustryCompanyLtd.ClassA(601989.CN)OverallGrade:18.2,Rating:SELL
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ExampleofthedifferenceinfundamentalgradesfortwoASharecompaniesaccordingtoMarketGrader
GradesandratingsforHUBEIJUMPCANPHARMACEUTICALCO.,LTDClassA(600566.CN)asofNov9,2018&ChinaShipbuildingIndustryCo.(601989.CN)asofAug.9,2018.Source:MarketGraderResearch.
A+
A
A-
B+
BB-
C
DF
F
F D C B- B B+ A- A A+A+ A A- B+ B B- C D F
D
C
B-
BB+
A-
AA+
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GROWTH = CMarket Growth Long Term (1)
Market Growth Short Term (2)
EPS Weighted Growth (3)
Growth Potential (4)
Earnings Impact (5)
Earnings Surprise (6)
VALUE = B-(1) Capital Structure
(2) PE Analysis
(3) Price To Book Ratio
(4) Price To Cash Flow Ratio
(5) Price To Sales Ratio
(6) Market Value
Asset Utilization (1)
Capital Utilization (2)
Operating Margins (3)
Relative Margin (4)
Return On Equity (5)
Gross Profitability (6)
(1) Cash Flow Growth
(2) EBITDA Margin
(3) Debt To Cash Flow Ratio
(4) Interest Coverage Ratio
(5) Economic Value Added
(6) Working Capital Ratio
CASH FLOW = CPROFITABILITY = D
B-CD
C
A+
A
A-
B+
BB-
C
DF
F
F D C B- B B+ A- A A+A+ A A- B+ B B- C D F
D
C
B-
BB+
A-
AA+
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GROWTH = A- Market Growth Long Term(1)Market Growth Short Term(2)
EPS Weighted Growth(3)Growth Potential(4)Earnings Impact(5)
Operating Income Growth(6)
VALUE = B+(1) Capital Structure(2) PE Analysis(3) Price To Book Ratio(4) Price To Cash Flow Ratio(5) Price To Sales Ratio(6) Market Value
Asset Utilization(1)Capital Utilization(2)
Operating Margins(3)Relative Margin(4)
Return On Equity(5)Gross Profitability(6)
(1) Cash Flow Growth(2) EBITDA Margin(3) Debt To Cash Flow Ratio(4) Interest Coverage Ratio(5) Economic Value Added(6) Working Capital Ratio
CASH FLOW = A+ PROFITABILITY = A
B+A+A
A-
CSI MarketGrader China New Economy Index Selection Process
1Collect Financial
StatementsCalculate
Fundamental GradesCalculate Overall
Grade & RatingApply Market Cap &
Liquidity FiltersSector
SelectionBuild New Economy
IndexSemi-Annual
Rebalance
2 3 4 5 6 7
2,900 A Shares
Pick Top 30 Companies in:
120 Companies
GrowthX 6
Market Cap Minimum: RMB 1.4 Billion
3-Month Trading Volume Minimum: RMB 14 Million (Daily)
12-Month Aggregate Volume Minimum: RMB 350 Million
ConsumerDiscretionary
CombineFour Sector Indexes and Equally-Weight All Constituents
Repeat this process Every June and December
60 to 100BUY
50 to 60HOLD
0 to 50SELL
ValueX 6
ProfitabilityX 6
Cash FlowX 6
IncomeStatement
BalanceSheet
Cash FlowStatement
EarningsEstimates
CSI MGChina New Economy IndexConsumer
Staples
Health Care
Technology
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CSI MarketGrader China New Economy Index Snapshot
9R E S E A R C H & I N D E X E SMarketGrader
AverageMarketCap RMB46,451.04
MedianMarketCap RMB14,348.90
Average3Mo.RMBVolume RMB274,738,013.76
Average3Mo.TradingVolume 9,712,467.00
LastRebalanceDate 6/11/18
CompaniesReplaced 50
LargestCo:KweichowMoutai,Co.–RMB853billion
SmallestCo.:ShanghaiCarthaneCo.–RMB2.2billion
TrailingP/ERatio 27.1
ForwardP/ERatio 20.1
EarningsYield 3.8%
Price/BookRatio 5.9
RevenueChange-3Years 98.8%
OperatingIncomeChange-3Years 177.4%
OperatingMargin 24.5%
EarningsperShare(EPS)3-YearGrowth 30.4%
Long-TermDebttoCapital 6.6%
ReturnonEquity 20.4%
DividendYield 1.03%AllfiguresasofJune30,2018.Source:MarketGraderResearch
IndexBio FundamentalAttributes
CSI MarketGrader China New Economy Index Constituents
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002626.CN XiamenKingdomwayGroupCo 90.2
002001.CN ZhejiangNHUCoLtd 83.0
300113.CN HangzhouShunwangTech. 82.7
300176.CN GuangDongHongTeoTech. 81.4
300296.CN LeyardOptoelectronicCo.,Ltd. 81.4
600566.CN HUBEIJUMPCANPHARMACEUT. 80.4
603808.CN SHENZHENELLASSAYFASHION 80.2
603589.CN AnhuiKouziDistilleryCo.,Ltd. 80.0
002680.CN ChangshengBio-technologyCo. 79.9
002019.CN YIFANPHARMACEUTICALCO. 79.0
000813.CN XinjiangTianshanWoolTexStock 78.7
600519.CN KweichowMoutaiCoLtd 23
000568.CN LuzhouLaoJiaoCoLtd 20
000858.CN WuliangyeYibinCoLtd 20
000848.CN HeBeiChengDeLoloCoLtd 19
600887.CN InnerMongoliaYiliIndustrialGroup 18
600809.CN ShanxiXinghuacunFenWineFact. 17
600763.CN TopChoiceMedicalInvestmentCo. 16
600197.CN XinjiangYiliteIndustryCoLtd 16
002304.CN JiangsuYangheBreweryJoint-Stock 16
002032.CN ZhejiangSuporCo.,Ltd 16
002001.CN ZhejiangNHUCoLtd 14
CompanygradesasofJune30,2018.Source:MarketGraderResearch
Top10FundamentalGrades MostSelectionsSinceInception
CSI MarketGrader China New Economy Index Performance
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-100.00%
-50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
100.00%
150.00%
200.00%
250.00%
300.00%
12/31/07 12/31/08 12/31/09 12/31/10 12/31/11 12/31/12 12/31/13 12/31/14 12/31/15 12/31/16 12/31/17
CSI MarketGrader China New Economy (201.49%)
SME-ChiNext 100 (30.44%)
CSI All Share (-9.70%)
CSIMGNE SMEChiNext ChiNext CSIAllShare3-Years -1.00% -9.50% -15.40% -10.80%5-Years 18.40% 8.60% 10.20% 11.60%Since12/31/07 11.10% 2.60% - -1.00%
AnnualizedReturnsCSIMGNE SMEChiNext ChiNext CSIAllShare
3-Years -2.90% -26.00% -39.30% -29.00%5-Years 132.20% 51.30% 62.40% 72.80%Since12/31/07 201.50% 30.40% - -9.70%
CumulativeReturns
CumulativeTotalReturn,Dec.2007–Jun.2018
AllvaluesinRMB;allperformancefiguresarebasedontotalreturns.TheCSIMarketGraderChinaNewEconomyIndexwasfirstpublishedonMarch20,2015.Alldatapriortothatdateisbasedonanindexbacktest.Sources:ChinaSecuritiesIndexCo.,MarketGraderResearch,Bloomberg.