climate change, disaster risk reduction & the post-2015 ...€¦ · climate change, disaster...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
CLIMATE CHANGE,
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
& THE POST-2015
DEVELOPMENT
FRAMEWORK
7th session of the general assembly open
working group on sustainable development
goals
Andrew Steer
President & CEO, WRI
9 January, 2014
![Page 2: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Outline
The “Why”
The “How”
Storyline
Goals and targets
![Page 3: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Impressive progress made with MDGs. . .
![Page 4: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
↑100% real per capita income
in developing countries
2 billion gained access to
improved drinking water
↓50% people living on less
than $1.25 per day
↓47% maternal deaths
↑58% girls enrolled in primary
education in least developed
countries
(United Nations, World Bank, 2012)
![Page 5: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
"If we disregard sustainability, whatever progress
we have made in poverty reduction or
improvement of human development will just be
erased due to climate change.”
Photo credit: Fickr/Biodiversity International
But…
![Page 6: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
13 of the hottest years on
record have been since 1998
Temperature Change
![Page 7: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
2-7 feet Sea level rise possible by
end of century
Sea Level Rise
![Page 8: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Natural Disasters 95% of deaths from natural
disasters in developing
countries
![Page 9: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Hydrologic Shifts
10-40% increase in river runoff by
2050 in others
10-30% decrease in river runoff
by 2050 in some regions
![Page 10: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
What this means for development:
Crop yields under threat Projected impact of climate change on agricultural yields between now and 2050
Source: World Bank. 2010. World Development Report 2010: Development and Climate Change.
Washington, DC: World Bank.
![Page 11: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
What this means for development:
Rising waters threaten cities
![Page 12: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
The good news is...
![Page 13: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Val Gempis/ USAF
Food for the Hungry
2007
1991
Good development requires climate
adaptation
![Page 14: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Access to employment
Improved urban air quality
Reduced congestion
Fuel Savings
Good development requires low-carbon
development
![Page 15: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Access to jobs
Improves urban air
quality
Congestion reduction
Energy efficient
Niger – 200 million new trees over the past 2 decades
Good development requires low-carbon
development
![Page 16: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Maximizing our impact
![Page 17: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
We are at a pivotal moment
2015
Conference on Financing
for Development
UNFCCC COP 21
Hyogo Framework for
Action on disaster risk
reduction
Post-2015
Development
Framework
![Page 18: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
1. Storyline
2. Goals and targets
3. Implementation
The “How” A Climate-Smart Development Agenda
![Page 19: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Explicitly connect development and climate change in
chapeau text for the post-2015 development framework
A Storyline Connecting Development and Climate
Action
![Page 20: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Scale of the challenge
30 Years it will take us to use the
other half at current rate
To stay within 2° of warming,
emissions must peak by
2020
200 Years it took us to use half
the world’s carbon budget
![Page 21: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Given the scale of the challenge, all must
act . . . and equity is essential
• Tackle disproportionate impacts on poorest
• Share action fairly
• Ensure access to transformational technologies
• Address intergenerational equity
![Page 22: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
The Climate Justice Dialogue
DEVELOPING A HUMAN-CENTERED NARRATIVE AND CREATIVE IDEAS ON HOW TO ADDRESS EQUITY WITHIN THE CLIMATE CHANGE REGIME
![Page 23: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Outline
The “Why”
The “How”
Storyline
Goals and targets
![Page 24: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Reflect development and climate linkages
in targets
Climate-smart development targets should:
• Build resilience and adaptation
• Support low-carbon development pathways
• Deliver development progress and make it
irreversible
![Page 25: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
SECURE, SUSTAINABLE
ENERGY Target 3. Double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency in buildings, industry, agriculture and transport
Target 1. Ensure universal access to modern energy services
Target 2. Double the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix
Target 4. Phase out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies that encourage wasteful consumption
![Page 26: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
FOOD & NUTRITIONAL
SECURITY FOR ALL
Target 1. End hunger and ensure universal access to safe, affordable, and nutritious food
Target 2. Reduce the rate of food loss and waste by 50 percent
Target 3. Universal access to climate and disaster information
Target 4. Increase the water-efficiency of agricultural production by 25 percent
Target 5. Support small-holder agriculture to become climate resilient by shifting to eco-system based approaches
Target 6. Reduce stunting by x%, wasting by y%, and anemia by z% for all children under five
![Page 27: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
INCLUSIVE, PRODUCTIVE,
AND RESILIENT
CITIES
Target 1. End extreme urban poverty and raise living standards, especially in slums
Target 2. Ensure universal access to basic urban services
Target 3. Halve average commuting times
Target 4. Halve incidence of morbidity and mortality from transport-related air pollution by 2030
![Page 28: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
GLOBAL PARTNERSHIP FOR
DEVELOPMENT
Target 1. An open and fair trading system
Target 2. Developed countries reach 0.7% Gross National Product in ODA
Target 3. Hold the increase in global average temperature below catastrophic levels
Target 4. Guarantee the public’s right to information
Target 5. Ensure co-benefits by integrating climate in development strategies and planning
![Page 29: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
INDEPENDENT
RESEARCH FORUM
www.irf2015.org
Critical thinking, integrated analysis and
awareness raising for a post 2015 future
11 international research institutions working
together to provide analysis and debate.
![Page 30: CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 ...€¦ · CLIMATE CHANGE, DISASTER RISK REDUCTION & THE POST-2015 DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 7th session of the general assembly](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022071011/5fc90d9b14ef0f43a247f606/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Thank you