civitas institute north carolina june 2016 survey...field dates: june 21-23, 2016 (ask all) 1....

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Civitas Institute North Carolina June 2016 Survey

Interview Schedule N = 600 Likely Voters (30% Cell Phones) Margin of Error = +/- 4.00% Field Dates: June 21-23, 2016

(ASK ALL) 1. First, are you registered to vote at this address?

100% Yes (CONTINUE)

2. Do you feel things in North Carolina are generally headed in the right direction or have things gotten off on the wrong track?

4/16 5/16 6/16 31% 36% 34% Right Direction 58% 54% 57% Wrong Track 10% 10% 9% Don’t Know/Unsure (DO NOT READ) -- * * Refused (DO NOT READ)

5/13

6/13

10/13

12/13

1/14

3/14

4/14

5/14

6/14

9/14

10/14

2/15

3/15

7/15

10/15

11/15

41%

40% 33% 31%

29%

32%

29%

33%

31%

29% 31%

42%

38%

39% 37% 39% Right Dir.

46%

53% 57% 57%

60%

57%

60%

59%

59%

58% 55%

47%

48%

47% 46% 51% Wrong Track

13% 7% 10% 12%

11%

11%

10% 7%

10%

13% 13%

11%

14%

13% 17% 10% DK (DNR)

-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Ref. (DNR)

1/11

2/11

3/11

5/11

7/11

9/11

10/11

1/12

2/12

5/12

7/12

9/12

11/12

1/13

2/13

3/13

4/13

34%

33%

36%

31%

28%

25% 23%

27%

24%

24%

25%

34% 35%

38%

37%

39%

37% Right Dir.

54%

53%

50%

57%

60%

62% 63%

57%

58%

62%

63%

53% 50%

41%

50%

46%

48% Wrng Trk

12%

14%

15%

13%

11%

12% 13%

16%

17%

14%

12%

12% 15%

21%

12%

15%

15%

DK (DNR)

-- -- -- -- -- -- 1% -- 1% -- -- -- -- -- 1% -- -- Ref.(DNR)

3. If the election for State Legislator in your area were held today, would you be voting for the:

(ROTATE)

4/16 5/16 6/16 38% 41% 41% Republican candidate 45% 41% 44% Democrat candidate 7% 7% 7% Neither/Other/Independent (DO NOT READ) 10% 11% 8% Don’t Know/Undecided/Need More Info (DO NOT READ) * * * Refused (DO NOT READ)

4/13 5/13 10/13 12/13 1/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 9/14 10/14 2/15 3/15 7/15 10/15 11/15 38% 39% 37% 39% 39% 41% 41% 42% 40% 42% 37% 37% 34% 39% 36% Rep candidate 42% 42% 38% 42% 39% 44% 39% 45% 43% 42% 40% 39% 38% 39% 38% Dem candidate

6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 7% 6% 11% 8% 9% Neither (DNR) 13% 13% 18% 14% 18% 12% 15% 11% 15% 12% 15% 18% 16% 14% 16% DK (DNR)

1% 1% 1% -- -- -- 1% -- -- 2% 1% -- -- -- -- Ref. (DNR)

1/11 2/11 3/11 5/11 7/11 9/11 10/1

1 1/12 2/12 5/12 7/12 9/12 11/1

2 1/13 2/13 3/13 44%

39%

39%

40%

40%

38% 36%

38%

40%

43%

45%

41% 46%

40%

37%

43% Rep candidate

2

36%

38%

37%

34%

36%

31% 36%

36%

37%

41%

42%

44% 44%

40%

41%

35% Dem candidate

6% 8% 7% 4% 7% 6% 6% 7% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% Neither (DNR) 13%

14%

15%

22%

17%

23% 20%

17%

17%

12%

10%

11% 5%

13%

14%

15% DK (DNR)

1% 1% -- -- 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Ref. (DNR)

Now, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of … (ROTATE)

Total Total Strong Smwt Smwt Strong Don’t Refused Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Disapp. Disapp Know (DNR) (DNR)

4. ... the job that Barack Obama is doing as President? 6/16 48% 51% 32% 16% 10% 41% 2% -- 5/16 45% 52% 26% 19% 7% 45% 2% -- 10/15 45% 53% 25% 20% 12% 41% 2% -- 7/15 48% 49% 26% 22% 9% 40% 3% -- 3/15 44% 52% 24% 20% 9% 43% 4% -- 2/15 47% 51% 28% 19% 10% 41% 2% -- 10/30/14 42% 54% 25% 17% 13% 41% 4% -- 10/18/14 43% 53% 24% 19% 10% 44% 3% -- 9/14 44% 53% 23% 21% 8% 45% 3% -- 7/14 45% 53% 23% 22% 6% 47% 1% -- 6/14 46% 53% 24% 22% 8% 44% 2% -- 5/14 45% 54% 23% 22% 11% 43% 1% -- 4/14 47% 50% 24% 23% 10% 40% 3% -- 3/14 46% 53% 24% 22% 9% 44% 1% -- 1/14 45% 52% 25% 19% 10% 42% 3% -- 12/13 45% 54% 24% 20% 11% 43% 1% -- 10/13 44% 53% 25% 19% 9% 43% 3% -- 5/13 46% 51% 29% 17% 9% 42% 3% -- 3/13 45% 54% 27% 18% 10% 44% 2% -- 2/13 50% 46% 30% 20% 8% 38% 4% -- 1/13 47% 50% 33% 14% 8% 42% 3% -- 11/12 50% 48% 32% 17% 7% 41% 2% -- 9/12 50% 47% 37% 12% 7% 41% 3% 1% 7/12 48% 50% 30% 18% 8% 42% 1% -- 5/12 51% 46% 33% 18% 7% 38% 3% 1% 3/12 49% 46% 31% 18% 11% 35% 4% -- 2/12 48% 49% 29% 19% 10% 39% 3% -- 1/12 43% 53% 26% 17% 13% 40% 4% -- 10/11 46% 50% 23% 23% 11% 40% 2% 2% 9/11 41% 54% 25% 15% 12% 42% 6% -- 7/11 44% 53% 25% 19% 13% 39% 4% -- 5/11 51% 45% 30% 21% 15% 31% 3% -- 3/11 47% 50% 26% 20% 12% 38% 3% -- 2/11 50% 45% 31% 20% 13% 32% 5% -- 1/11 45% 49% 27% 17% 12% 37% 6% --

5. ... the job that Pat McCrory is doing as Governor? 6/16 50% 43% 24% 26% 14% 29% 6% -- 5/16 47% 45% 27% 20% 11% 34% 7% -- 10/15 53% 39% 19% 34% 17% 22% 8% -- 7/15 51% 39% 19% 33% 16% 23% 9% -- 3/15 48% 39% 15% 33% 15% 24% 13% -- 2/15 51% 40% 18% 33% 16% 24% 9% -- 9/14 49% 39% 21% 28% 13% 26% 12% -- 6/14 48% 47% 16% 31% 16% 31% 5% -- 4/14 50% 44% 16% 34% 15% 30% 6% -- 3/14 48% 46% 16% 32% 14% 32% 7% -- 1/14 48% 42% 17% 31% 16% 26% 9% -- 12/13 45% 45% 17% 28% 12% 34% 10% --

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10/13 46% 44% 17% 29% 13% 30% 10% -- 5/13 54% 29% 23% 31% 10% 19% 17% --

3/13 55% 24% 22% 33% 10% 14% 21% --

2/13 46% 28% 21% 26% 11% 17% 26% --

1/13 41% 11% 16% 25% 4% 7% 48% 1%

Now I am going to read you a list of people active in politics or in the news. After I read each name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you never heard of them, just tell me and we’ll go on to the next one…the (first/next) one is…(RANDOMIZE)

TOTAL TOTAL VERY SMWT SMWT VERY HRD OF/ NEVER FAV UNFAV FAV FAV UNFAV UNFAV NO OPIN HRD OF

6. Donald Trump 6/16 43% 53% 22% 20% 6% 47% 4% 1% 4/16 30% 65% 13% 18% 13% 52% 5% -- 7. Hillary Clinton 6/16 45% 52% 25% 20% 8% 44% 3% * 4/16 43% 52% 21% 22% 10% 41% 5% * 8. Pat McCrory 6/16 51% 40% 25% 26% 12% 28% 6% 2% 5/16 48% 44% 27% 21% 10% 34% 7% 1% 4/16 39% 49% 17% 22% 14% 35% 9% 3% 11/15 46% 42% 19% 27% 18% 24% 10% 2% 10/15 54% 37% 22% 33% 17% 20% 6% 2% 7/15 52% 36% 18% 34% 13% 23% 9% 2% 3/15 52% 36% 16% 36% 15% 22% 11% 1% 2/15 51% 37% 16% 35% 14% 23% 10% 2% 9/14 47% 36% 25% 21% 11% 25% 13% 4% 6/14 47% 43% 19% 28% 15% 28% 9% 2% 5/14 48% 38% 18% 30% 13% 25% 10% 4% 4/14 44% 42% 17% 27% 14% 28% 11% 3% 3/14 44% 46% 20% 24% 14% 32% 9% 1% 1/14 43% 44% 18% 25% 15% 28% 11% 2% 10/13 43% 44% 17% 26% 15% 29% 12% 1% 6/13 49% 32% 23% 26% 13% 19% 18% 1% 4/13 54% 30% 25% 28% 12% 18% 13% 3% 3/13 56% 25% 28% 28% 9% 16% 15% 3% 7/12 51% 24% 26% 25% 9% 14% 14% 11% 5/12 48% 20% 24% 24% 7% 13% 17% 15%

9. Richard Burr 6/16 38% 30% 13% 25% 14% 16% 20% 12% 5/16 39% 30% 13% 26% 13% 17% 20% 12% 10/15 41% 28% 13% 28% 16% 12% 25% 6% 7/15 39% 30% 7% 31% 14% 16% 22% 10% 2/15 32% 25% 8% 25% 12% 13% 28% 15% 10/13 32% 28% 9% 22% 14% 14% 30% 10%

10. Roy Cooper 6/16 32% 25% 13% 19% 10% 16% 24% 19% 5/16 36% 23% 16% 20% 9% 14% 21% 20% 4/16 35% 20% 15% 20% 10% 11% 20% 25% 11/15 30% 15% 14% 16% 8% 7% 24% 31% 10/15 52% 17% 18% 34% 9% 8% 23% 8% 7/15 38% 17% 11% 27% 8% 9% 30% 15%

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Now thinking ahead to the November Election...

11. If the election for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? (READ IN ORDER, DO NOT ROTATE)

4/16 5/16 6/16 37% 39% 40% Donald Trump, the Republican, 49% 36% 42% Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, 8% 6% ... or Gary Johnson, the Libertarian? 10% 14% 10% Lean/ Undecided

32% 31% 33% DEFINITELY TRUMP 5% 9% 7% PROBABLY TRUMP 3% 2% 2% LEAN TRUMP

42% 30% 37% DEFINITELY CLINTON 6% 6% 5% PROBABLY CLINTON 1% 2% 1% LEAN CLINTON

5% 4% DEFINITELY JOHNSON 3% 2% PROBABLY JOHNSON * 1% LEAN JOHNSON

6% 9% 7% HARD UNDECIDED (DNR) 2% 2% * NAMED OTHER (DNR) 2% 2% 1% REFUSED (DNR)

(ASK IF Q11:1-3) N=252 12. Whom do you feel Donald Trump should pick as his Vice President? (OPEN ENDED)

13% Newt Gingrich 9% Ben Carson 6% Ted Cruz 5% Chris Christie 4% Marco Rubio 3% John Kasich 2% Sarah Palin 1% Condoleezza Rice

1% Herman Cain 1% Bernie Sanders 1% General James Mattis 1% General David Petraeus 5% Other 12% None/ Nothing 31% Don’t Know 8% Refused

(ASK IF Q11:4-6) N=256

13. Whom do you feel Hillary Clinton should pick as her Vice President? (OPEN ENDED)

21% Bernie Sanders 9% Elizabeth Warren 2% Bill Clinton 2% Woman (non-specific) 2% Man (Non-specific) 1% Joe Biden 1% Barack Obama 1% Corey Booker

1% John Kerry 1% Ron Paul 1% Ben Carson 1% Julian Castro 3% Other 18% None/ Nothing 30% Don’t Know 9% Refused

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(ASK ALL) 14. Regardless of whom you said you would vote for, if you could vote for anyone in the 2016

Presidential Election, whether they are running or not, for whom would it be? (OPEN ENDED)

15% Hillary Clinton 13% Donald Trump 9% Bernie Sanders 7% Barack Obama 6% Ted Cruz 4% Ben Carson 3% Marco Rubio 2% Paul Ryan 2% Joe Biden 2% John Kasich 2% Bill Clinton 1% Gary Johnson 1% Chris Christie 1% Ronald Regan 1% Mike Huckabee 1% Mitt Romney 1% George Bush

1% Jeb Bush 1% Elizabeth Warren 1% Rand Paul 1% Colin Powell * Newt Gingrich * Condoleezza Rice * Ross Perot * Allen West * Bobby Jindal * John McCain * Al Gore * Scott Walker * John Kerry 4% Other 6% None/ Nothing 9% Don’t Know 4% Refused

15. If there was another economic crash this year, like the one that happened in September of 2008,

might that change your decision on whom you plan to vote for in November?

12% Total Yes 4% Yes, Strongly 8% Yes, Somewhat

84% No

5% Undecided/ Don’t Know (DO NOT READ) * Refused (DO NOT READ)

16. If the election for US Senate were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? (READ IN ORDER, DO NOT ROTATE)

4/16 5/16 6/16 37% 40% 44% Richard Burr, the Republican, 35% 35% 34% Deborah K. Ross, the Democrat, 6% 4% 6% ... or Sean Haugh, the Libertarian? 21% 20% 15% Lean/Undecided

26% 30% 34% DEFINITELY BURR 11% 10% 10% PROBABLY BURR 2% 2% 1% LEAN BURR

30% 28% 27% DEFINITELY ROSS 6% 7% 7% PROBABLY ROSS 2% 1% 1% LEAN ROSS

3% 3% 4% DEFINITELY HAUGH

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3% 1% 2% PROBABLY HAUGH 1% 1% * LEAN HAUGH

16% 16% 13% HARD UNDECIDED (DNR) * -- * NAMED OTHER (DNR) 1% * 1% REFUSED (DNR)

17. If the election for Governor were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would

you vote? (READ IN ORDER, DO NOT ROTATE)

4/16 5/16 6/16 36% 45% 45% Pat McCrory, the Republican, 46% 40% 40% Roy Cooper, the Democrat, 5% 3% 3% ...or Lon Cecil, the Libertarian? 12% 11% 10% Lean/Undecided

30% 39% 38% DEFINITELY MCCRORY 7% 7% 7% PROBABLY MCCRORY 2% 2% 1% LEAN MCCRORY

38% 34% 34% DEFINITELY COOPER 8% 6% 6% PROBABLY COOPER 2% 1% 1% LEAN COOPER

4% 1% 1% DEFINITELY CECIL 1% 2% 2% PROBABLY CECIL * 1% 1% LEAN CECIL

9% 8% 7% HARD UNDECIDED (DNR) -- * * NAMED OTHER (DNR) 1% * 1% REFUSED (DNR)

18. If the election for North Carolina Attorney General were being held today and you had to make a

choice, for whom would you vote?. (READ IN ORDER, DO NOT ROTATE)

4/16 6/16 32% 35% Buck Newton, the Republican, 37% 35% ... or Josh Stein, the Democrat? 30% 27% Lean/Undecided

23% 29% Definitely Newton 9% 6% Probably Newton 3% 1% Lean Newton 24% 24% Undecided (DO NOT READ) 3% 2% Lean Stein 9% 11% Probably Stein 28% 24% Definitely Stein 2% 3% Refused (DO NOT READ)

19. If the election for State Treasurer were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom

would you vote? (READ IN ORDER, DO NOT ROTATE)

4/16 6/16 27% 33% Dale R. Folwell, the Republican, 39% 37% ... or Dan Blue III, the Democrat? 33% 29% Lean/Undecided

18% 27% Definitely Folwell 8% 6% Probably Folwell 3% 1% Lean Folwell

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27% 27% Undecided (DO NOT READ) 2% 2% Lean Blue 8% 10% Probably Blue 31% 27% Definitely Blue 1% 1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

20. If the election for North Carolina Commissioner of Labor were being held today and you had to

make a choice, for whom would you vote? (READ IN ORDER, DO NOT ROTATE)

44% Cherie Berry, the Republican, 35% ... or Charles Meeker, the Democrat? 20% Lean/Undecided

36% Definitely Berry 8% Probably Berry 1% Lean Berry 17% Undecided (DO NOT READ) 2% Lean Meeker 11% Probably Meeker 24% Definitely Meeker 1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

21. If the election for North Carolina Superintendent of Public Instruction were being held today and

you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? (READ IN ORDER, DO NOT ROTATE)

34% Mark Johnson, the Republican, 41% ... or June Atkinson, the Democrat? 25% Lean/ Undecided

29% Definitely Johnson 5% Probably Johnson 1% Lean Johnson 22% Undecided (DO NOT READ) 1% Lean Atkinson 9% Probably Atkinson 31% Definitely Atkinson 1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

22. And thinking for a moment about voting for judges in North Carolina. If all things were equal, and you had to make a choice for judge based solely on party, would you vote for the... (ROTATE)

39% Republican 43% Democrat 6% Neither/Other/Independent (DO NOT READ) 11% Don’t Know/Undecided/Need More Info (DO NOT READ) 1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

23. In your opinion, which is the way North Carolina should choose appeals court judges…

(ROTATE)

74% Continue to elect them in statewide elections as they currently are. ...or.... 14% Switch to a system where state appeals court judges are selected by the legislature for

eight-year terms. 11% Don’t Know/ Unsure (DO NOT READ) * Refused (DO NOT READ)

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And thinking about health care for a moment…

24. Would you support or oppose extending the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, to everyone currently working in the United States, even illegal immigrants currently working?

40% Total Support 55% Total Oppose

25% Strongly Support 15% Somewhat Support 8% Somewhat Oppose 47% Strongly Oppose 5% Don’t Know/ Need More Information (DO NOT READ) * Refused (DO NOT READ)

25. State health insurance mandates are state laws that require all health insurance plans offered in

the state to cover certain procedures and conditions. Which statement best reflects your views when it comes to health insurance mandates: (ROTATE)

49% State government should not dictate to health insurance companies what must be covered in all policies. Instead, insurance providers should be free to offer different coverages in a variety of plans and allow consumers to choose what best suits their needs.

41% State health insurance mandates are necessary and should be implemented so that health insurance companies will cover drugs, procedures, and conditions that they may not otherwise cover because they are too expensive.

9% Undecided/ Don’t Know (DO NOT READ) 1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

26. Given the rise of prescription drug abuse across the country, would you be in favor of state

government requiring health insurance companies to pay a certain price for opioid painkillers that are equally addictive and more expensive, but more resistant to crushing or melting, even if this mandate would raise premiums for everyone?

21% Yes, I would be in favor 58% No, I would NOT be in favor 20% Undecided/ Don’t Know (DO NOT READ) * Refused (DO NOT READ)

Moving on to education in North Carolina… 27. Would you support or oppose legislation that allows middle school and high school math students

the option to choose between either a traditional math sequence or Common Core math sequence?


39% Strongly Support 21% Somewhat Support 8% Somewhat Oppose 13% Strongly Oppose

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18% Don’t Know/ Need More Information (DO NOT READ) 1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

28. Would you support or oppose legislation that offers a guarantee of no tuition increase for UNC

system undergraduates in exchange for a commitment to obtaining a degree and graduating in eight semesters?


37% Strongly Support 26% Somewhat Support 9% Somewhat Oppose 11% Strongly Oppose 17% Don’t Know/ Need More Information (DO NOT READ) 1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

29. Would you support or oppose a legislative proposal that allows charter school operators with a

track record of success to manage up to five of the lowest performing schools in the state and also gives these schools greater flexibility to improve their academic performance?



And thinking about some other issues…

30. Would you support or oppose using state highway taxes to pay for construction of a $1.6 billion 17-mile long light-rail line between Chapel Hill and Durham?


18% Strongly Support 16% Somewhat Support 13% Somewhat Oppose 41% Strongly Oppose 12% Don’t Know/ Need More Information (DO NOT READ) * Refused (DO NOT READ)

31. Many law enforcement agencies in North Carolina use funds to buy body cameras for law

enforcement personnel. The North Carolina Legislature is currently crafting legislation to determine who can see and access the footage recorded. In your opinion, who should be able to view law enforcement body camera recordings? (RANDOMIZE)

47% Everyone 14% Only those who are involved in the recording 31% The law enforcement agency should decide who can view the video on a case-by-case

basis 1% Other (SPECIFY) (DO NOT READ) 6% Undecided/ Don’t Know (DO NOT READ)

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* Refused (DO NOT READ)

32. If you should happen to be arrested and charged with a crime, your Miranda rights state that you “… have a right to an attorney. If you cannot afford one you will have a lawyer appointed to you.” In your opinion, who do you believe that “lawyer” should be?

16% Someone chosen and appointed to you by the state 29% Certain lawyers on a state approved list to choose from 47% Any lawyer that you choose 8% Undecided/ Don’t Know (DO NOT READ) * Refused (DO NOT READ)

33. Sanctuary cities are local governments that refuse to comply with federal immigration law and do

not cooperate in the apprehension and deportation of illegal immigrants. Do you support or oppose local governments establishing themselves as sanctuaries for those in violation of federal immigration law?



34. How much longer do you think it will take for the economy to improve and the current recession to end? If you think the current recession has ended just say so.

6/16 2% Under 6 months 7% Between 6 months and a year 16% Between 1 and 2 years 42% Over 2 years 19% Recession has ended 14% Don’t Know (DO NOT READ) * Refused (DO NOT READ)

5/11 9/11 3/12 7/12 1/13 5/13 12/13 1/14 3/14 4/14 6/14 9/14 10/14 2/15 7/15 11/15 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% < 6 mo. 7% 3% 7% 4% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 4% 3% 5% 6% 6% 5% 8% 6 mo - 1 yr

22% 24% 23% 21% 23% 19% 18% 17% 15% 18% 16% 16% 14% 17% 16% 25% 1 - 2 yrs 60% 62% 54% 62% 58% 54% 59% 62% 59% 58% 60% 54% 52% 48% 54% 41% > 2 yrs

3% 1% 6% 3% 5% 10% 9% 7% 10% 11% 12% 10% 12% 21% 16% 14% Ended 7% 8% 9% 9% 6% 9% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 13% 14% 7% 8% 9% DK (DNR)

-- -- -- -- -- -- 1% -- -- -- -- 1% -- -- -- -- Ref. (DNR)

35. Thinking for a moment, about the debate over House Bill 2, also referred to as the transgender bathroom issue... In your opinion, which of the following best reflects your views regarding the accuracy and balance of North Carolina news media coverage on the issue... Would you say... (ROTATE TOP-TO-BOTTOM, BOTTOM-TO-TOP)

38% Total accurate and balanced 50% Total not accurate and balanced

10% Very accurate and balanced 28% Somewhat accurate and balanced 16% Not too accurate and balanced 34% Not at all accurate and balanced

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11% Undecided/ Don’t Know (DO NOT READ) 1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

And one last issue that has been in the news...

36. In your opinion, which of the following issues contributed most to the killings in the Orlando Night club on June 16th... (ROTATE)

47% Radical Islamic Terrorism ...or... 27% The availability of guns in America 14% Both (DO NOT READ) 7% Neither (DO NOT READ) 4% Don't Know (DO NOT READ) 1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

Now I just have a few questions for statistical purposes, and then we’ll be finished….

37. First, in what year were you born? (Record exact year. 9999=Refused)

4/16 5/16 6/16 7% 5% 3% 18-25 18% 12% 18% 26-40 29% 25% 23% 41-55 20% 23% 25% 56-65 26% 29% 26% 66+ * 6% 5% Refused

38. Would you say you are a liberal or conservative in your political beliefs?

4/16 5/16 6/16 30% 26% 27% Total Liberal 24% 22% 26% Total Moderate 43% 47% 44% Total Conservative

13% 11% 12% Very Liberal 16% 15% 14% Somewhat Liberal 23% 24% 18% Somewhat Conservative 20% 23% 26% Very Conservative 3% 4% 3% Don’t Know/Refused (DO NOT READ) * 1% 1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

39. In terms of your current employment status, would you say you… (RANDOMIZE)

5/16 6/16 3% 2% Own or part owner of a business which employs others 8% 9% Are Self Employed 28% 25% Work for a Private Company 9% 11% Work for Government 5% 5% Are a Spouse (Homemaker) 39% 36% Are Retired 4% 7% Are Unemployed 3% 3% Don’t Know/Refused (DO NOT READ)

40. Which category best describes your race or ethnicity? (RANDOMIZE)

4/16 5/16 6/16 70% 73% 72% Caucasian 23% 20% 18% African-American 3% 1% 3% Hispanic

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1% 2% 2% Native American 1% 2% 1% Asian 1% 1% 1% Other (Specify) 1% 1% 3% Refused (DO NOT READ)

41. Gender (By observation)

4/16 5/16 6/16 48% 48% 48% Men 52% 52% 52% Women

42. Geographic Area (From Sample)

4/16 5/16 6/16 21% 20% 21% Charlotte 13% 14% 13% Western 19% 18% 19% Piedmont Triad 20% 22% 22% Triangle 12% 12% 12% Northeast 15% 15% 13% Southeast

43. Party Reg (From Sample)

4/16 5/16 6/16 33% 33% 33% Republican 25% 25% 25% Independent/Other 42% 42% 42% Democratic

CELL PHONE SCREENERS:

(AT BEGINING OF THE SURVEY, ASK C1-C5 TO CELL PHONE RESPONDENTS ONLY)

C1. Just to confirm, have I reached you on your cell phone?

100% Yes

C2. And, for your safety, are you currently driving?

100% No

C3. Do you currently live in North Carolina, or do you live in some other state?

100% North Carolina

C4. And, in which county in North Carolina do you currently reside? (OPEN END)

SEE CROSSTABS FOR FULL RESULTS

C5. Do you have a landline at home in addition to your cell phone, or is your cell phone the only telephone you have?

100% Cell phone is only telephone (CONTINUE TO Q1)

civitas institute north carolina june 2016 survey...field dates: june 21-23, 2016 (ask all) 1....

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