CDRI

Annual Development Review2008 - 2009

CDRI

CDRI

©

Annual Development Review 2008-09

cdrimail@online.com.kh website: http://www.cdri.org.kh

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CDRI ........................................................................................

(CDRI)

CDRI

CDRI

CDRI

ADB (Asian Development Bank)

BMI-age

(Body Mass Index for Age and Sex)

CBNRM-LI(Community Based Natural Resource Management Learning Institute)

CDRI(Cambodia Development Resource Institute)

EIU Economist

(Economist Intelligence Unit)

FAO

(Food and Agriculture Organisation)

G3 economies

(G3 economies—US, euro zone and Japan)

ILO (International Labour Organisation)

IMF (International Monetary Fund)

MAFF(Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries)

NGO Forum

(NGO Forum on Cambodia)

NIE (Newly Industrialising Economies)

NIS (National Institute of Statistics)

OECD(Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development)

Hossein Jalilian

CDRI

Hossein Jalilian

Hossein Jalilian CDRI

CDRI

(NIS) (MoC) (MAFF) MAFF

Jayant Menon

(IMF)

CDRI

CDRI

Jayant Menon

CDRI

(NIE)

CDRI

Hossein Jalilian CDRI

(OECD)

OCED-FAO

duløar¼etan

duløar¼etan duløar¼etan

duløar¼etanRsUvsalI

emsa2008

emsa2008

emsa2008

emsa2008

RsUv RKab;rukçCatiykeRbg

RKb;FBaØCatiBitcarik

OECD-FAO

CDRI (2008)

ADB

(inclusive growth)

CDRI

sMelokbMBak; nigEs,keCIg

eRKOgsgðarwm nig]bkrN_

eRbIR)as;kñúgpÞH

FñÚ 06 mifuna 07 FñÚ 07 mkra 08 mIna 08 ]sPa 08 kkáda 08 kBaØa 08 viciäka 08 FñÚ 08

xum;bKRjinMT

Ira)gin³¢CsPerahaG

gIøPe kwTgingbEMsHpÞ

BaPxusMaTfErak

nÜøxMaTfEjinMT

Mr;bGarkginþnasMkrak90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

sMelokbMBak; nigEs,keCIg

eRKOgsgðarwm nigcMNay

kñúgpÞHepSg²

dwkCBa¢Ún nigTUrKmnaKmn_

2007 2008 2008

6000 9250 10,000 67

7500 9000 11,000 47

7500 9000 11,000 47

8000 10,000 11,000 38

9000 12,500 13,000 44

10,000 11,000 13,500 35

CDRI

2007 2008 2007 2008

3.7 3.7 0% 1.9 1.9 0%

180 250 39% 225 250 11%

663 921 39% 427 475 11%

233 350 50% 150 225 50%

430 571 33% 277 250 -10%

4.0 4.0 0%

150 140 -7%

600 560 -7%

205 280 37%

395 280 -29%

1.5 1.5 0%

550 450 -18%

825 675 -18%

260 375 44%

565 300 -47%

8.0 8.0 0%

70 30 -57%

560 240 -57%

288 420 46%

272 -180 -166%

10.4 6.5 10.3 15.8 13.4 10.2

5.9 6.8 1.1 21.6 6.9 6.5

0.5 0.2 2.3 2.2 1.6 0.6

15.6 7.6 19.5 2.2 11.2 14.1

3.8 7.4 8.0 2.9 4.4 4.4

25.1 26.4 18.4 13.7 18.4 24.2

9.2 16.7 4.6 5.8 7.8 9.8

5.7 6.3 9.2 18.7 5.3 6.3

2.7 8.0 5.7 1.4 2.5 3.3

0.4 0.3 1.1 2.2 1.2 0.5

1.2 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.9 1.2

2.4 2.3 2.3 2.9 3.1 2.5

0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 1.9 0.5

4.0 1.7 8.0 5.8 10.3 4.2

0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1

9.3 3.1 5.7 1.4 5.3 7.9

3.4 5.6 1.1 2.2 4.7 3.8

100 100 100 100 100 100

CDRI

(ADB 2008)

56% 79% 38% 67% 50% 75%

73% 90% 41% 79% 61% 86%

109% 93% 49% 64% 93% 86%

109% 114% 44% 66% 90% 100%

77% 81% 68% 96% 74% 86%

90% 96% 69% 95% 81% 95%

82% 87% 60% 92% 75% 88%

81% 87% 43% 80% 67% 84%

61% 74% 47% 76% 56% 74%

81% 94% 41% 71% 68% 86%

Fitzgerald and So., 2007)

IR 66

(kg/hh)

(kg/ha)

2004-05* NHH-08 2007-08 2004-05* NHH-08 2007-08

302 0

<0.5 ha 125 662 3,564 49 3,281 1,721 97 2,099

0.5-0.99 ha 182 1,221 3,006 70 2,893 1,462 138 1,582

1-1.99 ha 196 2,726 3,163 75 3,319 1,573 131 1,475

2-2.99 ha 96 5,560 3,161 39 3,871 1,123 61 1,505

>=3 ha 108 12,323 - 52 3,825 - 51 1,906

1009 2,680 3,281 285 3,376 1,535 478 1,682

*

37 41 3 33

39 70 31 41

10 57 47 17

4 16 12 40

3 66 63 27

7 50 43 10

30 72 42 80

20 65 45 64

8 12 5 94

17 49 32 50

Jayant Menon CDRI

(Great Depression)

(IMF 2009b)

Bear Stearns

Lehman Brothers

(Bank of America) Merrill Lynch American

International Group (AIG)

(subprime lending)

(prime underwriting guidelines)

(US subprime

loan) FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation)

(a trillion US dollars)

(IMF 2009a)

(G3)

8

7

6

5

4

300

250

200

150

276 276

258

242

2736.6

235

5.2

brimaNlk;

brimaNlk;

¬lanÉkta¦éfø

éfø

¬mFüm/ Ban;duløar¦

mkra 05 mkra 08mkra 06 mkra 07emsa 05 emsa 08emsa 06 emsa 07kkáda 05 kkáda 08kkáda 06 kkáda 07tula 05 tula 07tula 06 kBaØa 08

CEIC

CLV (Cambodia,

Lao, Vietnam)

(NIEs)

IMF (2009a)

(IMF 2008b)

500

300

-100

100

-300

1200

1000

600

800

400

200

0

368

262

162 140

1179

-76 -88 -100

-284 -240

bMErbMrYlcMnYnkargar kar)at;bg;kargarbUksrub

kar)at;bg;kargarbUksrub

mkra 05 mkra 08mkra 06 mkra 07emsa 05 emsa 08emsa 06 emsa 07kkáda 05 kkáda 08kkáda 06 kkáda 07tula 05 tula 07tula 06 tula 08

OREI US

(target policy rate) (basis points)

IMF

(IMF 2009a)

340320300280260240220200180160140120100

182

221

304

252

161

214

181

141

102

**

OREI IMF

G3

(IMF 2009a)

(4 trillion)

(NIEs)

(IMF 2009a)

(IMF 2009a)

IMF

(IMF 2008a) (EIU 2008a)

(ADB 2008a) IMF

(EIU 2008a) (ADB

2008b) EIU

IMF (2009a)

(Menon 2009)

CPI* **

%104

102

100

98

96

30.0

25.0

20.0

15.0

10.0

5.0

0.0

101.1

16.2

18.1

snÞsSn_GRtabþÚrR)ak;

mkra 06 emsa 07 kkáda 08mifuna 06 vicäika 06 kBaØa 07 FñÚ 08kumÖ³ 08

GRtaGtiprNa

GRtabþÚrR)ak;duløareFobnwgrUbiyb½NÑkñúgRsuk

GRtakarR)ak;carik

*

*

OREI Bloomberg, CEIC IMF IFC.

EIU (2008b)

US

Salvatore et al, 2004;

Watanabe 2006; Menon 2008a; b)

(open

market operations)

EIU

(2008b)

+

IMF

IMF

(trade-off)

(Liu et al. 2006)

(coordinates)

(NGOs Forum 2005)

(NGOs Forum)

NGO Forum

Hansen Top

Hansen Top

Bann

Hansen Top

(CBNRM-LI)

(AFD)

(Satz 2003)

(Guarcello et al. 2004)

(ILO, 1998)

(Human Rights Watch 2002)

Guarcello et al.

(Parker 1997; ILO 1998)

O’Donnell et al.

Fentiman et al.

(Cochran et al. 1982)

(Wolfe & Behrman 1987) Thomas et al.

Blunch

Maitra

Glewwe

Guarcello et al.

(BMI-age)

ILO

Seiichi Fukui

ILO (NIS

2002)

190 0 190

100.00 0.00 100.00

90.48 0.00 88.79

20 4 24

83.33 16.67 100.00

9.52 100.00 11.21

210 4 214

98.13 1.87 100.00

100.00 100.00 100.00

BMI

O’Donell et al.

Ham

ILO,

Kannan, K. P.

McAndrew, John P.

Kannan, K. P.

Toshiyasu-Kato

Murshid, K. A. S.

McAndrew, John P.

Martin-Godfrey, Toshiyasu-Kato Nina-Orlova, Per-Ronnås

Gorman, Siobhan,

Toshiyasu Kato

CDRI

Toshiyasu-Kato Jeffrey A. Kaplan,

Toshiyasu Kato, Jeffrey A. Kaplan,

Martin Godfrey, Claude-Katz Sarthi-Acharya

Sarthi Acharya

Brett Ballard Sarthi Acharya

Bhargavi Ramamurthy Per Ronnås

Sarthi Acharya

Bruce McKenney

Sarthi Acharya

Sarthi Acharya

Sarthi Acharya

Bruce McKenney

Bruce McKenney

Bruce McKenney

Caroline Hughes

Robert Oberndorf

K.A.S. Murshid

Kasper K. Hansen

, Jenny Knowles David Craig

Review

Joakim Öjendal

Brett M. Ballard, Christian Sloth, David Wharton, Ingrid FitzGerald, K.A.S Murshid, Kasper K. Hansen,

Ingrid FITZGERALD

CDRI

CDRI

Chem Phalla et al., Framing Research on Water Resources Management and Governance in Cambodia: A Literature

Review (Working Paper No. 37)

Pak Kimchoeun and David Craig, Accountability and Public Expenditure Management in Decentralised Cambodia

(Working Paper No. 38)

Horng Vuthy and David Craig, Accountability and Planning in Decentralised Cambodia (Working Paper No. 39)

CDRI, Impact of High Food Prices in Cambodia

Eng Netra and David Craig (forthcoming), Accountability and Human Resource Management in Decentralised

Cambodia (Working Paper No. 40)

E-mail: cdrimail@online.com.khWebsite: http://www.cdri.org.kh

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