broadband experiences in asia pacific - aiti.gov.bn council asia-pacific... · 92.7 million ftth...
TRANSCRIPT
Topics
• Who is the FTTH Council APAC
• What are the benefits of FTTH?
• Recent market study on FTTH in APAC
• Drivers of FTTH in APAC
• Challenges of FTTH in APAC
Established in March 2005
Currently has 75 members
BoD, GM & 7 working committees
*Source : Ovum
Monique Morrow (President)
Technology &
Standards
Bernard Lee
Membership
Yoshihiro Ishibashi
Education &
Training
Xingfu He
Market Intelligence
Anil Pande
Application &
Solutions
Alexis Bernadino
Emblem
H. Munasir Choudhury
Planning, Comms. &
Events
Zony Chen
1563 New Users/Hour
US $60B Worth Projects in APAC
CHINA >100m FTTH users by 2017
17% CAGR 2011~2017
159.5M FTTH users by 2017
92.7M FTTH subscribers
Year-end 2013
What are the benefits of FTTH? - Economic
‘A 10% increase in broadband household
penetration will boost a country’s GDP by 0.9% ~
1.5%
‘A business/organization in the USA, 10% greater
utilization of internet will increase revenue by 24%
& reduce cost by 7%’
‘Doubling broadband speed produces a 0.3%
increase in GDP’
‘with FTTH, operators can generate ARPU that are, on average 46%
higher, by offering unique services’
‘on average, cost saving of between 0.5% and 1.5% in each of the four
section (electricity, transport, energy health) over 10 years resulting directly
from the new network could justify the cost of deploying FTTH
*Source : Ovum
92.7 million FTTH subscribers Asia Pacific - year-end 2013
281.7 million wireline broadband subscribers
79 million FTTx subscribers Asia Pacific - year-end 2012
272.5 million wireline broadband subscribers
FTTH
Cable Modem
DSL
FTTH
Cable Modem
DSL
29% 33%
63.6% 59%
8% 7.4%
+ 13.7 million
4%
0.6% 4.6%
*Source : Ovum
FTTH leads the growth in wireline broadband – beginning of DSL decline
Will exceed 159 million subscribers in 2017
-7.12m
>100million
*Source : Ovum
FTTH is the major growth segment and exceeds DSL in 2017
Wireline broadband subscribers in Asia-Pacific will exceed 338 million in 2017
FTTH to overtake DSL in 2017
FTTH
DSL
*Source : Ovum
FTTH growth analysis by country – 2013 to 2017 (Key Markets)
China is the most FTTH connection & will approach 100 million FTTH subscribers by 2017, a CAGR of 19% from 2013 to 2017. Even with significant growth, household penetration reaches only 25% in 2017.
Hong Kong – growth continues at slower rate given already high household penetration. Expected to reach household penetration of 82% in 2017
Japan – has been deploying FTTH for many years so growth rate is small and seeing slow down. Expected to reach 70% household penetration in 2017.
South Korea - has been deploying FTTH for many years so growth rate is small but still maintain to be the country with highest penetration. Expected to reach 73% household penetration in 2017.
Australia – major change in NBN plan likely, thereby limiting FTTH deployments.
New Zealand – high growth, household penetration expected to approach 29% in 2017.
Drivers for FTTH in APAC • Demography: a huge market potential
• India and China are the most populated countries in the world (APAC >50%) • MDUs are dominating in large cities especially in China • Asia Pacific’s FTTH/B subscriber base will grow to 160 million at year-end 2017.
• Low competition from other networks
• As in Eastern Europe, the “quality gap” between copper and fibre networks is important: end users will need fibre for higher bandwidth
• Cablecos are less dominating the broadband market than in Europe or in the US… but it could change (SARFT in China)
• A key driver for mass market migration in APAC: NBN programs
• Incumbents leading rollouts in APAC but also some free room for new entrants
• Some incumbents are deeply involved in national FTTH/B deployments (Malaysia) • New entrants in large countries (India) or in challenging markets (Vietnam)
• APAC Mobile centric countries will need fibre also: LTE Backhaul
Challenges FTTH Deployment & Adoption – 5Cs
Competency
Civil & Construction
Content
Customer Equipment
Customer Awareness
Deployment
Monetisation
Adoption
Challenge Impact
Manpower need to be competent to deploy & maintain the network
Up to date digital home equipment to fully enjoy benefits of FTTH
New guideline and best practices are required to deploy fiber up to
the customer premises
New content is needed to capitalize the additional speed
offered - Increase ARPU
FTTH will struggle to evolve beyond being a just another
commodity product
Customers will fail to experience benefits of FTTH over DSL
Deter new users from subscribing to the FTTH services due to
extensive civil work required
Insufficient skilled/competent manpower will delay deployment
thus increasing TCO
Customers are unknown of the new capabilities and potential of
FTTH
Customers reluctant to adopt FTTH services
Copper Installers not used to handling fibre
Inexperience contractors finding difficulty working with aerial distribution
fibres
Unfamiliar working with fibre cables. Time
taken approx 6hrs
15
Lack of appreciation for fibre connector cleanliness accounts for 90% of all reported faults
Lack of appreciation for connector care during
ODF installation at Central Office
Connector cleaning was not performed
leaving finger oil traces on
connectors
18
Lack of appreciation for minimum bending radius requirements
thus causing macrobending
Lack of appreciation for minimum
bending radius requirements
19
Handling of Fibre cables… unlike copper, fibre has to be treated with more care
Role of the FTTH Council Asia-Pacific Education & Training Committee
Role: Created to promote the FTTH Council APAC as
‘trusted & impartial central source’ for knowledge, facts, education and perspectives of FTTH
Criteria for Endorsement:
• Supply a consistent and accurate view of FTTH • Training program must be impartial • Training syllabus must be relevant to target market
Material for Endorsement:
• Reference document (book or training manual) • Supplementary training material (slides, video, equipment, etc)
Process Flow of Endorsement
• Training institution (Requestor) will submit a request to the E&T Committee Chair/Vice Chair for endorsement
• Determined if NDA is required (if not proceed to next step)
Request for Endorsement
• Upon acknowledgement of E&T Committee, all training material must be submitted to E&T for review (please refer to material list)
• Review Cycle < 1 month
Submission of training material
• E&T Committee will revert with a feedback of their review of the material
• E&T Committee may suggest changes to comply to guideline (please refer to
guideline)
Result of review
• Representative from E&T Committee is to perform an audit visit to ‘sit-in’ at one of the training program (All travel expenses to be paid by requestor)
• Auditor to submit report to E&T Chair/Vice Chair
Audit Visit by E&T Committee
• E&T Committee based on the Auditor’s report will revert to requestor if endorsement is granted
• Endorsement Letter to be issued to Requestor
E&T Committee Decision
Pro
cess
Flo
w
Photos taken during training in SEA
22 22
Lecture Session
Lecture Session Training Equipment
Hands-on Equipment
24
Telecommunications ducts are not given priority
Lack of care by property owners has rendered telecommunication access points not
conducive to work on
Silt over the years has blocked majority of the underground ducting
25
Extensive civil required to bring the services to the customers
Vertical saw cut into external wall of customer
premise to allow installation of new ducts
Installation of raceways at customer premises
Slot cutting machine wheeled into position