BreachingParadigms in Project ManagementRobert Weißgraeber

21th October 2015, Amsterdam

/meRobert Weißgraeber

CPO @ AX Semantics

what we do:

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what we do:

Diesel EXPOSURE LOW - Sneaker - black

I love jeans! These black EXPOSURE LOW sneakers by Diesel are avowed fans of denim and therefore come in a trendy jeans look, as reflected by the traditional denim elements, for instance the coin pocket, the typical rivets and a deep pocket. A declaration of love for the popular denim look: Diesel EXPOSURE LOW sneakers in black.

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what we do:

Diesel EXPOSURE LOW - Sneaker - black

I love jeans! These black EXPOSURE LOW sneakers by Diesel are avowed fans of denim and therefore come in a trendy jeans look, as reflected by the traditional denim elements, for instance the coin pocket, the typical rivets and a deep pocket. A declaration of love for the popular denim look: Diesel EXPOSURE LOW sneakers in black.

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www.ax-semantics.com

@robert_we#foodkoma

№1Why?

“Software is eating the world.”- Marc Andreesen

“Today every company is a software company. That includes John Deere and Nordstrom.”

- @barry_crist (CEO @ Chef)

You don’t own a John Deere anymore.

More stuff is being done in software.

Even Hardware.

faster, FASTER!

Kodak

Zynga

Rovio UPS

„Uber, the world’s largest taxi company, owns no vehicles. Facebook, the world’s most popular media owner, creates no content. Alibaba, the most valuable retailer, has no inventory. And Airbnb, the world’s largest accommodation provider, owns no real estate.“

http://techcrunch.com/2015/03/03/in-the-age-of-disintermediation-the-battle-is-all-for-the-customer-interface/

Creation of value is not bound to capital.

Ownership is a legacy concept from the industrial era.

Katharina Brunner, http://katharinabrunner.de/2015/03/besitz-ist-sowas-von-industriezeitalter/

“Over two billion people now use the broadband Internet, up from perhaps 50 million a decade ago, […].In the next 10 years, I expect at least five billion people worldwide to own smartphones.”

- Marc Andreesen, 2011

№2Now what?

Agility is not a choice anymore.

Digital options enable non-physical domains.

№3Project Management: Current State

Projects are default.

When you look at it | by Damian Gadal / Flickr

Projects transition the org from one state to the other.

PM Aspects

• definition of success: adherence to a plan (a goal)

• life cycle management

• project professionality

Methods & ToolsProfessional Project Management

en.wikipedia.org

Schools of Thought

• Agile

• "Modern Waterfall“: Unified Process, CCPM

• Lean

New Stuff!

R-7 8K72 „Vostok" - Wikipedia

#NoEstimates

• time, as in effort of a task, can not be compared

• duration depends on lots of factors: resources, task-switching

• value and cost are not related

• requirements get stale and have no learning possibility.

• while implementing the work, we discover what is is about.

• system „gaming“ and human fallacies lead to ignored potential

• focus on delivering value, not following a plan

Cost of DelayAnnotated Deadlines for priorization

Beyond Budgeting: Beta Codex

• „beta principles“

• a fully networked organisation

• inside-out operations model

© Niels Pfläging

№4Conclusions?Wrap up?

Organizations will need to compete in a world withnon-physical limits.

Fat-tailed distributions are real.

Wikipedia / Black swan

Fat-tailed distributions are real.

Wikipedia / Black swan

Fat-tailed distributions are real.

Wikipedia / Black swan

Agility is not optional anymore.

Projects as a method to get somewhere can not be left to the amateurs - and not to the PMs.

We solved doing things right.

Now up: doing the right things.

№5Future of PM? what you need to have a look at – changing paradigms

Projects are Products that are Serviceswe create and deliver.

Let’s call thatservice creation & service delivery.

“Now That Software's Eaten the World, It's Started to Eat the Company“

~ Drew Hendricks (Forbes)

Separation of Business and IT

Means of labor production are hidden behind software.

> Builder instead of Manager.

Managed By Q.

ZenPayroll

Supply• make

• buy

• lease

Involvement• do

• involve

• externalize

Boundaries• embrace or get

replaced

make or buy?

• no more a single „IT department“

• embedded in the whole organisation

• manage relations: with customers, suppliers, employees

Software Development is getting bigger.

Risk Management

Risk Management

• Classic:analytical – complicated

• Fokus on unkwon but knowledgeable risks

• Managing Technical Debt

• Modern:non-analytic – complex

• non-stochastical risk models („black swan“)

• Craftsmanship

• proven delivery of value

Your biggest risk is creating software that is not being used.

Your Project is not aone-time state transfer.

• It’s a „Flow of States“• Change is Default

• States need to be reliably reproducible• PM needs to create that „flow“

enviroment

@agilesensei - popcornflow.com

RightshiftingBob Marshall „The Marshall Model“

We have…#NoEstimates

#NoProjects

#NoManagement

#NoEmployees

#NoGoats

#NoNo

What is next?

#NoXXX

Challenge existing solutions for real needs - by exploring the ideas behind the need.

(take a breath)

Thank you.Robert Weißgraeber, AX Semantics

@robert_we