big day possible for santorum - public policy polling · 2017. 10. 9. · raleigh, n.c. – rick...

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Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected] FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 6, 2012 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE Big Day Possible for Santorum Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota, and Missouri. Missouri looks like a probable win for Santorum. He's at 45% there to 32% for Mitt Romney and 19% for Paul. Minnesota provides an opportunity for a win as well. Currently he has a small advantage with 33% to 24% for Romney, 22% for Newt Gingrich, and 20% for Ron Paul. And Santorum should get a second place finish in Colorado, where Romney appears to be the likely winner. The standings there are Romney at 37%, Santorum at 27%, Gingrich at 21%, and Paul at 13%. Santorum's personal popularity is the main reason for his sudden reemergence as a relevant player in the GOP race. In all 3 of these states his favorability is over 70%- 74/17 in Minnesota, 72/17 in Missouri, and 71/19 in Colorado. He's far better liked than his main opponents- Romney's favorability is 47-60% in those states and Gingrich's is 47- 48%. While Romney and Gingrich have hammered each other in recents weeks Santorum's been largely left alone and he's benefiting from that now. There are three groups Santorum's winning in all three of these states: Tea Partiers, Evangelicals, and those describing themselves as 'very conservative.' Those were groups that had previously been in Gingrich's column, but it appears right leaning Republican voters are shifting toward Santorum as their primary alternative to Romney. If Santorum does pick up 2 wins and a 2nd place finish tomorrow that trend is likely to be accelerated. “Rick Santorum has the potential to firmly establish himself as the conservative alternative to Mitt Romney today,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “If he can pick up two wins and a second it will raise significant questions about both Romney’s inevitability and about the purpose for Newt Gingrich’s continued presence in the race.” PPP surveyed 938 likely Republican caucus voters in Colorado with a margin of error of +/-3.2% and 864 likely Republican caucus voters in Minnesota with a margin of error of +/-3.3% on February 4 th and 6 th , as well as 958 likely primary voters in Missouri on February 6 th with a margin of error of +/-3.2%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

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Page 1: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected]

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 6, 2012 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE

Big Day Possible for Santorum

Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota, and Missouri. Missouri looks like a probable win for Santorum. He's at 45% there to 32% for Mitt Romney and 19% for Paul. Minnesota provides an opportunity for a win as well. Currently he has a small advantage with 33% to 24% for Romney, 22% for Newt Gingrich, and 20% for Ron Paul. And Santorum should get a second place finish in Colorado, where Romney appears to be the likely winner. The standings there are Romney at 37%, Santorum at 27%, Gingrich at 21%, and Paul at 13%.

Santorum's personal popularity is the main reason for his sudden reemergence as a relevant player in the GOP race. In all 3 of these states his favorability is over 70%- 74/17 in Minnesota, 72/17 in Missouri, and 71/19 in Colorado. He's far better liked than his main opponents- Romney's favorability is 47-60% in those states and Gingrich's is 47-48%. While Romney and Gingrich have hammered each other in recents weeks Santorum's been largely left alone and he's benefiting from that now.

There are three groups Santorum's winning in all three of these states: Tea Partiers, Evangelicals, and those describing themselves as 'very conservative.' Those were groups that had previously been in Gingrich's column, but it appears right leaning Republican voters are shifting toward Santorum as their primary alternative to Romney. If Santorum does pick up 2 wins and a 2nd place finish tomorrow that trend is likely to be accelerated.

“Rick Santorum has the potential to firmly establish himself as the conservative alternative to Mitt Romney today,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “If he can pick up two wins and a second it will raise significant questions about both Romney’s inevitability and about the purpose for Newt Gingrich’s continued presence in the race.”

PPP surveyed 938 likely Republican caucus voters in Colorado with a margin of error of +/-3.2% and 864 likely Republican caucus voters in Minnesota with a margin of error of +/-3.3% on February 4th and 6th, as well as 958 likely primary voters in Missouri on February 6th with a margin of error of +/-3.2%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

Page 2: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012Survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012Survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Colorado Survey Results

Q1 Do you plan to vote in the Republican caucus or the Democratic caucus, or are you not sure?

100% Republican caucus..........................................

0% Democratic caucus .........................................

0% Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 If the Republican candidates for President were Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

21% Newt Gingrich .................................................

13% Ron Paul .........................................................

37% Mitt Romney....................................................

27% Rick Santorum ................................................

2% Someone else/Not sure ..................................

Q3 Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

69% Strongly committed to that candidate..............

31% Might end up supporting someone else ..........

Q4 Who would be your second choice for President?

25% Newt Gingrich .................................................

10% Ron Paul .........................................................

17% Mitt Romney....................................................

23% Rick Santorum ................................................

25% Someone else/Not sure ..................................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Newt Gingrich?

48% Favorable........................................................

40% Unfavorable ....................................................

12% Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ron Paul?

41% Favorable........................................................

49% Unfavorable ....................................................

10% Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?

60% Favorable........................................................

32% Unfavorable ....................................................

8% Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum?

71% Favorable........................................................

19% Unfavorable ....................................................

10% Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

50% Woman ...........................................................

50% Man.................................................................

Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.

12% 18 to 29...........................................................

28% 30 to 45...........................................................

36% 46 to 65...........................................................

24% Older than 65 ..................................................

Q11 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

2% Very liberal ......................................................

4% Somewhat liberal ............................................

14% Moderate.........................................................

34% Somewhat conservative..................................

47% Very conservative ...........................................

Page 3: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012Survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012Survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Q12 Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

35% Yes..................................................................

53% No ...................................................................

12% Not sure ..........................................................

Q13 Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

45% Are an Evangelical ..........................................

55% Are not ............................................................

Q14 Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

19% Newt Gingrich .................................................

9% Ron Paul .........................................................

49% Mitt Romney....................................................

12% Rick Santorum ................................................

11% Someone else/Not sure .................................

Page 4: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

21% 20% 23%

14% 14% 13%

38% 41% 32%

27% 25% 32%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% - 27% 33% 37% 14%

13% 8% - 16% 12% 23%

37% 47% 45% - 51% 38%

27% 45% 28% 50% - 17%

2% - - - - 8%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 41% 1% 4%

13% 5% 23% 12%

37% 25% 53% 34%

27% 27% 22% 41%

2% 2% 1% 8%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 18% 23% 18%

13% 30% 1% 3%

37% 33% 40% 42%

27% 17% 34% 30%

2% 1% 2% 7%

Page 5: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 15% 29% 29%

13% 7% 24% 17%

37% 58% 3% 20%

27% 19% 42% 25%

2% 1% 2% 9%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 20% 24% 17%

13% 8% 29% 22%

37% 33% 45% 52%

27% 37% 0% 4%

2% 2% 2% 5%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 21% 20%

13% 9% 17%

37% 38% 37%

27% 30% 24%

2% 2% 2%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 22% 18% 19% 24%

13% 17% 19% 12% 6%

37% 31% 34% 39% 43%

27% 29% 25% 29% 24%

2% - 3% 1% 3%

Page 6: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 37% 25% 12% 19% 23%

13% 42% 33% 21% 14% 8%

37% 16% 21% 56% 46% 28%

27% 4% 13% 11% 19% 39%

2% - 8% - 2% 2%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 24% 18% 21%

13% 10% 16% 13%

37% 31% 43% 31%

27% 34% 21% 32%

2% 1% 2% 3%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 24% 18%

13% 8% 18%

37% 28% 46%

27% 38% 18%

2% 3% 1%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 74% 6% 7% 3% 17%

13% 4% 85% 6% 3% 13%

37% 4% 3% 70% 1% 19%

27% 17% 6% 15% 93% 40%

2% 1% - 1% - 10%

Page 7: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

New tGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 65% 70% 74% 63%

31% 35% 30% 26% 37%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% - 15% 30% 41% -

10% 13% - 12% 11% -

17% 27% 21% - 32% -

23% 42% 21% 32% - -

25% 17% 43% 25% 16% 100%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 96% 19% 33% 49% 41%

40% 2% 70% 57% 33% 11%

12% 3% 11% 11% 18% 48%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 37% 93% 37% 26% 19%

49% 55% 5% 53% 63% 47%

10% 8% 2% 11% 11% 34%

Page 8: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 43% 31% 93% 42% 40%

32% 46% 58% 2% 50% 26%

8% 12% 10% 4% 8% 34%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 70% 41% 63% 98% 58%

19% 22% 42% 23% 0% 16%

10% 9% 17% 14% 2% 26%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 50% 36% 51% 55% 52%

50% 50% 64% 49% 45% 48%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 13% 16% 10% 13% -

28% 25% 40% 25% 27% 45%

36% 34% 33% 37% 39% 24%

24% 28% 11% 28% 22% 32%

Page 9: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 3% 5% 1% 0% -

4% 5% 10% 2% 2% 16%

14% 8% 22% 21% 6% -

34% 31% 36% 41% 24% 37%

47% 53% 27% 35% 68% 47%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 41% 25% 29% 45% 21%

53% 47% 63% 62% 41% 63%

12% 12% 11% 10% 14% 16%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 52% 27% 33% 63% 72%

55% 48% 73% 67% 37% 28%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 69% 5% 2% 12% 12%

9% 3% 58% 1% 2% -

49% 17% 23% 91% 28% 32%

12% 2% 3% 0% 42% -

11% 9% 11% 6% 16% 55%

Page 10: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 100% -

31% - 100%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 22% 31%

10% 11% 10%

17% 12% 28%

24% 26% 20%

23% 29% 10%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 44% 59%

40% 46% 28%

11% 10% 13%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 41% 43%

49% 51% 46%

9% 8% 12%

Page 11: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 58% 66%

32% 37% 21%

8% 5% 12%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 69% 75%

19% 22% 12%

10% 9% 13%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 50% 48%

50% 50% 52%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 12% 12%

28% 27% 30%

36% 37% 36%

24% 24% 23%

Page 12: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Ideology

Very liberal

Somew hat liberal

Moderate

Somew hatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 2%

4% 4% 3%

14% 14% 14%

34% 34% 33%

47% 46% 49%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 35% 36%

53% 54% 51%

12% 11% 13%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 44% 47%

55% 56% 53%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 19% 19%

9% 11% 5%

49% 46% 57%

12% 15% 6%

10% 9% 13%

Page 13: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 61% 70% 48% 73% 86%

31% 39% 30% 52% 27% 14%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 100% - - - -

10% - 100% - - -

17% - - 100% - -

23% - - - 100% -

25% - - - - 100%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 75% 36% 50% 51% 24%

40% 15% 52% 38% 45% 55%

12% 10% 12% 12% 4% 21%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 31% 78% 38% 40% 39%

49% 60% 16% 54% 54% 45%

10% 9% 6% 8% 6% 16%

Page 14: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 59% 61% 80% 59% 48%

32% 35% 35% 13% 34% 39%

8% 6% 4% 7% 7% 13%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 77% 58% 78% 89% 47%

19% 13% 31% 12% 8% 35%

10% 10% 11% 10% 2% 19%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 45% 55% 50% 52% 50%

50% 55% 45% 50% 48% 50%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 14% 14% 9% 12% 12%

28% 26% 38% 28% 23% 31%

36% 36% 27% 37% 41% 35%

24% 23% 21% 27% 25% 23%

Page 15: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 0% 4% 2% - 3%

4% 2% 5% 4% 2% 7%

14% 11% 27% 10% 10% 18%

34% 34% 37% 33% 36% 30%

47% 52% 27% 51% 52% 42%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 42% 21% 41% 39% 26%

53% 46% 68% 47% 50% 62%

12% 13% 10% 12% 11% 12%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 45% 48% 51% 46% 39%

55% 55% 52% 49% 54% 61%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 13% 21% 22% 29% 13%

9% 3% 7% 8% 7% 19%

49% 52% 52% 45% 55% 42%

12% 20% 12% 17% 3% 10%

11% 12% 8% 8% 7% 17%

Page 16: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 62% 78% 63%

31% 38% 22% 37%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 38% 9% 20%

10% 8% 13% 10%

17% 17% 16% 17%

23% 25% 26% 9%

25% 12% 35% 44%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 100% - -

40% - 100% -

12% - - 100%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 38% 49% 28%

49% 57% 45% 33%

10% 5% 6% 38%

Page 17: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 58% 67% 44%

32% 35% 29% 29%

8% 6% 4% 27%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 80% 62% 63%

19% 14% 29% 6%

10% 7% 9% 30%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 47% 50% 58%

50% 53% 50% 42%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 12% 12% 9%

28% 26% 28% 35%

36% 36% 36% 34%

24% 25% 23% 23%

Page 18: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 1% 2% 3%

4% 3% 4% 6%

14% 8% 21% 15%

34% 33% 35% 36%

47% 55% 39% 41%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 45% 26% 21%

53% 43% 66% 55%

12% 12% 8% 24%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 49% 37% 59%

55% 51% 63% 41%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 36% 1% 9%

9% 3% 17% 7%

49% 40% 62% 44%

12% 12% 11% 18%

11% 9% 9% 22%

Page 19: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 68% 71% 59%

31% 32% 29% 41%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 19% 30% 23%

10% 19% 3% 6%

17% 16% 18% 13%

23% 23% 26% 15%

25% 24% 23% 42%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 44% 56% 27%

40% 47% 36% 26%

12% 8% 8% 47%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 100% - -

49% - 100% -

10% - - 100%

Page 20: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 60% 61% 51%

32% 34% 32% 22%

8% 5% 7% 27%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 66% 77% 55%

19% 24% 17% 5%

10% 9% 6% 40%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 47% 50% 59%

50% 53% 50% 41%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 12% 12% 11%

28% 35% 22% 28%

36% 33% 39% 37%

24% 20% 27% 25%

Page 21: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 3% 1% 1%

4% 6% 3% 2%

14% 20% 9% 15%

34% 34% 31% 47%

47% 37% 57% 36%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 30% 42% 20%

53% 58% 49% 59%

12% 12% 9% 21%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 39% 50% 46%

55% 61% 50% 54%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 16% 22% 17%

9% 20% 1% 1%

49% 46% 51% 53%

12% 9% 16% 7%

11% 9% 10% 21%

Page 22: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 65% 79% 48%

31% 35% 21% 52%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 24% 27% 19%

10% 11% 11% 5%

17% 22% 7% 14%

23% 23% 25% 22%

25% 20% 31% 40%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 47% 53% 39%

40% 44% 36% 21%

12% 9% 11% 40%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 41% 44% 26%

49% 50% 49% 42%

10% 8% 7% 32%

Page 23: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 100% - -

32% - 100% -

8% - - 100%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 72% 71% 55%

19% 18% 23% 10%

10% 10% 6% 35%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 50% 48% 58%

50% 50% 52% 42%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 12% 13% 8%

28% 25% 33% 31%

36% 36% 35% 42%

24% 27% 19% 19%

Page 24: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 1% 2% 2%

4% 3% 5% 6%

14% 16% 11% 11%

34% 38% 26% 32%

47% 41% 57% 48%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 34% 40% 22%

53% 55% 50% 54%

12% 11% 10% 24%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 41% 51% 58%

55% 59% 49% 42%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 14% 29% 16%

9% 3% 20% 7%

49% 71% 11% 38%

12% 5% 25% 9%

11% 7% 14% 30%

Page 25: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 67% 80% 61%

31% 33% 20% 39%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 27% 17% 23%

10% 8% 17% 11%

17% 18% 11% 17%

23% 30% 10% 6%

25% 17% 46% 44%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 54% 35% 30%

40% 35% 61% 35%

12% 11% 4% 34%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 38% 53% 37%

49% 54% 45% 26%

10% 8% 2% 37%

Page 26: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 61% 57% 56%

32% 32% 39% 17%

8% 6% 4% 27%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 100% - -

19% - 100% -

10% - - 100%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 51% 40% 60%

50% 49% 60% 40%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 12% 11% 12%

28% 25% 36% 32%

36% 38% 30% 34%

24% 25% 23% 21%

Page 27: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 1% 3% 2%

4% 2% 10% 3%

14% 9% 26% 23%

34% 32% 33% 50%

47% 56% 28% 22%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 41% 24% 13%

53% 49% 63% 62%

12% 10% 12% 25%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 50% 29% 44%

55% 50% 71% 56%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 21% 17% 10%

9% 5% 22% 13%

49% 47% 50% 58%

12% 17% - 2%

11% 10% 10% 16%

Page 28: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 70% 68%

31% 30% 32%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 22% 27%

10% 11% 9%

17% 17% 17%

23% 25% 22%

25% 25% 25%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 46% 51%

40% 40% 40%

12% 14% 10%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 39% 43%

49% 50% 49%

10% 11% 8%

Page 29: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 60% 60%

32% 31% 33%

8% 9% 7%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 72% 69%

19% 15% 23%

10% 13% 8%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 100% -

50% - 100%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 14% 10%

28% 25% 31%

36% 36% 36%

24% 25% 23%

Page 30: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 1%

4% 3% 5%

14% 15% 13%

34% 33% 34%

47% 47% 46%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 31% 38%

53% 56% 51%

12% 13% 10%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 51% 40%

55% 49% 60%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 20% 18%

9% 7% 11%

49% 48% 50%

12% 13% 12%

11% 13% 9%

Page 31: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 69% 66% 69% 70%

31% 31% 34% 31% 30%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 29% 23% 25% 24%

10% 12% 14% 8% 9%

17% 12% 17% 17% 19%

23% 22% 19% 26% 25%

25% 24% 27% 24% 24%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 50% 45% 49% 50%

40% 41% 40% 40% 39%

12% 9% 15% 11% 11%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 41% 52% 37% 34%

49% 50% 39% 53% 56%

10% 9% 10% 10% 10%

Page 32: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 60% 54% 60% 68%

32% 34% 38% 31% 26%

8% 5% 9% 9% 6%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 72% 64% 74% 73%

19% 17% 24% 16% 18%

10% 10% 12% 10% 9%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 57% 45% 50% 51%

50% 43% 55% 50% 49%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 100% - - -

28% - 100% - -

36% - - 100% -

24% - - - 100%

Page 33: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 5% 1% 1% 1%

4% 7% 6% 2% 3%

14% 12% 19% 12% 12%

34% 24% 31% 39% 35%

47% 52% 43% 46% 50%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 41% 25% 39% 38%

53% 48% 62% 50% 51%

12% 10% 13% 11% 12%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 41% 41% 46% 51%

55% 59% 59% 54% 49%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 26% 15% 17% 24%

9% 10% 15% 8% 3%

49% 41% 48% 52% 50%

12% 12% 13% 13% 10%

11% 10% 10% 11% 13%

Page 34: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 64% 77% 70% 69% 67%

31% 36% 23% 30% 31% 33%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 4% 15% 19% 25% 27%

10% 29% 13% 20% 11% 6%

17% 19% 16% 12% 17% 18%

23% - 14% 16% 25% 26%

25% 48% 43% 33% 22% 22%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 37% 40% 28% 46% 56%

40% 41% 42% 59% 41% 33%

12% 22% 18% 12% 13% 10%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 71% 60% 59% 42% 32%

49% 25% 35% 30% 45% 60%

10% 4% 4% 11% 13% 7%

Page 35: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 48% 49% 68% 68% 53%

32% 41% 38% 25% 24% 39%

8% 11% 13% 6% 8% 8%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 52% 40% 47% 66% 84%

19% 36% 51% 35% 18% 11%

10% 12% 9% 18% 15% 5%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 70% 37% 52% 49% 50%

50% 30% 63% 48% 51% 50%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 39% 22% 10% 9% 13%

28% 22% 42% 38% 25% 26%

36% 30% 20% 30% 41% 36%

24% 9% 17% 21% 25% 25%

Page 36: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somew hatliberal Moderate

Somew hatconservative

Veryconservative

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 100% - - - -

4% - 100% - - -

14% - - 100% - -

34% - - - 100% -

47% - - - - 100%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 39% 25% 14% 28% 47%

53% 55% 63% 72% 60% 43%

12% 6% 12% 14% 12% 11%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 59% 34% 25% 38% 57%

55% 41% 66% 75% 62% 43%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 26% 28% 7% 17% 24%

9% 36% 24% 19% 9% 4%

49% 27% 36% 57% 55% 44%

12% 4% 5% 4% 9% 18%

11% 6% 7% 14% 11% 11%

Page 37: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 68% 70% 65%

31% 32% 30% 35%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 29% 21% 27%

10% 6% 13% 9%

17% 20% 15% 17%

23% 26% 22% 21%

25% 18% 29% 26%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 63% 39% 48%

40% 30% 49% 28%

12% 7% 12% 24%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 36% 44% 42%

49% 59% 45% 40%

10% 6% 11% 18%

Page 38: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 58% 62% 56%

32% 37% 30% 28%

8% 5% 8% 16%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 83% 65% 58%

19% 13% 22% 20%

10% 4% 12% 22%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 45% 52% 56%

50% 55% 48% 44%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 14% 11% 11%

28% 20% 33% 31%

36% 40% 34% 35%

24% 26% 23% 24%

Page 39: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 2% 1%

4% 3% 5% 4%

14% 6% 19% 17%

34% 27% 38% 36%

47% 63% 37% 43%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 100% - -

53% - 100% -

12% - - 100%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 56% 38% 49%

55% 44% 62% 51%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 25% 16% 14%

9% 7% 11% 9%

49% 44% 56% 33%

12% 18% 9% 8%

11% 6% 9% 36%

Page 40: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 67% 70%

31% 33% 30%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 25% 24%

10% 11% 10%

17% 19% 15%

23% 24% 23%

25% 21% 28%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 52% 45%

40% 33% 46%

12% 15% 9%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 35% 46%

49% 55% 45%

10% 10% 9%

Page 41: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 54% 65%

32% 36% 29%

8% 10% 6%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 77% 65%

19% 12% 24%

10% 10% 11%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 56% 45%

50% 44% 55%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 11% 13%

28% 26% 30%

36% 36% 36%

24% 27% 21%

Page 42: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 1%

4% 3% 5%

14% 8% 19%

34% 28% 38%

47% 59% 37%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 43% 28%

53% 44% 61%

12% 13% 11%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 100% -

55% - 100%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 24% 15%

9% 6% 12%

49% 42% 55%

12% 17% 8%

11% 11% 11%

Page 43: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

69% 68% 82% 64% 86% 60%

31% 32% 18% 36% 14% 40%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

25% 17% 8% 26% 41% 27%

10% 11% 8% 11% 10% 8%

17% 20% 16% 15% 23% 12%

23% 36% 17% 26% 5% 14%

25% 17% 51% 21% 21% 39%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 92% 14% 39% 47% 42%

40% 3% 77% 50% 35% 34%

12% 6% 9% 11% 18% 24%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 35% 93% 38% 29% 34%

49% 57% 6% 51% 66% 47%

10% 9% 1% 11% 5% 19%

Page 44: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

60% 44% 23% 86% 27% 36%

32% 49% 71% 7% 67% 41%

8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 22%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

71% 77% 38% 68% 99% 67%

19% 17% 47% 19% - 18%

10% 6% 16% 12% 1% 16%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 52% 39% 49% 52% 58%

50% 48% 61% 51% 48% 42%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 16% 14% 10% 12% 11%

28% 22% 48% 27% 29% 25%

36% 32% 31% 38% 39% 35%

24% 31% 7% 24% 20% 28%

Page 45: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 6% 1% 1% 1%

4% 6% 10% 3% 2% 3%

14% 5% 29% 16% 4% 18%

34% 29% 34% 38% 25% 33%

47% 58% 21% 42% 69% 45%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

35% 46% 25% 31% 53% 19%

53% 45% 63% 61% 40% 43%

12% 9% 12% 8% 8% 38%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

45% 58% 30% 39% 63% 44%

55% 42% 70% 61% 37% 56%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 100% - - - -

9% - 100% - - -

49% - - 100% - -

12% - - - 100% -

11% - - - - 100%

Page 46: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012Survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012Survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Minnesota Survey Results

Q1 Do you plan to vote in the Republican caucus or the Democratic caucus, or are you not sure?

100% Republican caucus..........................................

0% Democratic caucus .........................................

0% Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 If the Republican candidates for President were Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

22% Newt Gingrich .................................................

20% Ron Paul .........................................................

24% Mitt Romney....................................................

33% Rick Santorum ................................................

2% Someone else/Not sure ..................................

Q3 Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

65% Strongly committed to that candidate..............

35% Might end up supporting someone else ..........

Q4 Who would be your second choice for President?

20% Newt Gingrich .................................................

10% Ron Paul .........................................................

20% Mitt Romney....................................................

25% Rick Santorum ................................................

24% Someone else/Not sure ..................................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Newt Gingrich?

47% Favorable........................................................

40% Unfavorable ....................................................

13% Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ron Paul?

49% Favorable........................................................

39% Unfavorable ....................................................

12% Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?

48% Favorable........................................................

41% Unfavorable ....................................................

11% Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum?

74% Favorable........................................................

17% Unfavorable ....................................................

9% Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

50% Woman ...........................................................

50% Man.................................................................

Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.

13% 18 to 29...........................................................

23% 30 to 45...........................................................

40% 46 to 65...........................................................

24% Older than 65 ..................................................

Q11 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

2% Very liberal ......................................................

5% Somewhat liberal ............................................

17% Moderate.........................................................

35% Somewhat conservative..................................

41% Very conservative ...........................................

Page 47: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012Survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012Survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Q12 Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

33% Yes..................................................................

55% No ...................................................................

12% Not sure ..........................................................

Q13 Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

49% Are an Evangelical ..........................................

51% Are not ............................................................

Q14 Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

23% Newt Gingrich .................................................

11% Ron Paul .........................................................

35% Mitt Romney....................................................

17% Rick Santorum ................................................

14% Someone else/Not sure .................................

Page 48: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

22% 25% 17%

20% 22% 17%

24% 24% 24%

33% 29% 41%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% - 28% 30% 40% 11%

20% 11% - 21% 23% 30%

24% 28% 30% - 36% 24%

33% 61% 42% 49% - 25%

2% - - - - 10%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% 43% 3% 4%

20% 10% 30% 20%

24% 16% 33% 26%

33% 30% 32% 44%

2% 1% 3% 5%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% 17% 29% 18%

20% 38% 1% 5%

24% 18% 29% 29%

33% 25% 39% 42%

2% 1% 2% 6%

Page 49: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% 15% 30% 20%

20% 10% 32% 15%

24% 44% 2% 16%

33% 30% 32% 46%

2% 1% 3% 3%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% 22% 23% 17%

20% 13% 44% 27%

24% 20% 27% 48%

33% 43% 2% 4%

2% 2% 5% 4%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% 20% 23%

20% 14% 25%

24% 26% 21%

33% 37% 29%

2% 3% 2%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% 20% 21% 22% 23%

20% 31% 29% 16% 10%

24% 12% 23% 24% 31%

33% 29% 26% 37% 34%

2% 8% 1% 1% 2%

Page 50: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% 31% 31% 16% 21% 23%

20% 26% 19% 36% 18% 14%

24% 24% 26% 30% 30% 16%

33% 20% 14% 18% 29% 45%

2% - 10% 1% 2% 3%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% 26% 19% 21%

20% 16% 22% 14%

24% 18% 27% 26%

33% 37% 29% 36%

2% 3% 2% 2%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% 24% 19%

20% 13% 25%

24% 20% 27%

33% 41% 25%

2% 1% 3%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

22% 71% 6% 6% 6% 14%

20% 7% 81% 12% 7% 22%

24% 4% 3% 59% 2% 11%

33% 18% 6% 22% 85% 42%

2% 0% 4% 1% - 11%

Page 51: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

New tGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 72% 70% 65% 57%

35% 28% 30% 35% 43%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% - 11% 24% 38% -

10% 13% - 13% 13% -

20% 28% 21% - 30% -

25% 46% 30% 39% - -

24% 12% 37% 24% 19% 100%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 92% 25% 31% 43% 25%

40% 5% 61% 55% 39% 47%

13% 3% 14% 15% 18% 28%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 38% 96% 38% 38% 29%

39% 52% 1% 48% 47% 39%

12% 10% 3% 15% 15% 32%

Page 52: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 34% 24% 89% 44% 26%

41% 57% 67% 4% 40% 60%

11% 10% 8% 7% 15% 14%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 75% 50% 63% 98% 52%

17% 18% 38% 19% 1% 34%

9% 7% 12% 18% 1% 15%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 46% 36% 55% 56% 54%

50% 54% 64% 45% 44% 46%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 12% 20% 6% 11% 47%

23% 22% 35% 23% 18% 5%

40% 40% 33% 40% 45% 25%

24% 26% 13% 31% 25% 23%

Page 53: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 3% 3% 2% 1% -

5% 7% 4% 5% 2% 19%

17% 12% 31% 22% 9% 5%

35% 34% 32% 44% 31% 31%

41% 44% 30% 27% 57% 45%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 39% 28% 24% 37% 36%

55% 49% 64% 62% 49% 56%

12% 12% 9% 13% 13% 9%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 55% 34% 41% 61% 31%

51% 45% 66% 59% 39% 69%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 73% 9% 4% 12% 4%

11% 3% 48% 2% 2% 19%

35% 10% 22% 86% 24% 13%

17% 4% 6% 2% 44% -

14% 9% 16% 7% 18% 65%

Page 54: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 100% -

35% - 100%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 19% 23%

11% 11% 10%

20% 16% 28%

26% 27% 23%

22% 26% 15%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 46% 50%

40% 42% 35%

13% 12% 15%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 52% 44%

39% 39% 40%

11% 9% 16%

Page 55: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 46% 54%

41% 46% 31%

11% 8% 15%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

75% 73% 77%

17% 19% 13%

9% 8% 10%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Gender

Woman

Man

49% 49% 50%

51% 51% 50%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 14% 8%

23% 23% 24%

40% 39% 44%

24% 24% 24%

Page 56: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Ideology

Very liberal

Somew hat liberal

Moderate

Somew hatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 2%

4% 5% 4%

17% 18% 15%

35% 32% 39%

41% 42% 40%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 31% 35%

55% 57% 53%

12% 12% 12%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

50% 48% 52%

50% 52% 48%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 24% 22%

11% 14% 6%

35% 32% 43%

17% 19% 14%

13% 11% 16%

Page 57: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 60% 66% 51% 68% 76%

35% 40% 34% 49% 32% 24%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 100% - - - -

10% - 100% - - -

20% - - 100% - -

25% - - - 100% -

24% - - - - 100%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 69% 39% 48% 53% 25%

40% 12% 46% 41% 38% 61%

13% 20% 16% 11% 9% 14%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 33% 80% 47% 50% 49%

39% 51% 9% 44% 43% 34%

12% 16% 11% 9% 7% 17%

Page 58: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 47% 33% 82% 43% 34%

41% 41% 56% 11% 50% 51%

11% 13% 11% 7% 7% 16%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 81% 69% 81% 90% 49%

17% 11% 18% 16% 6% 35%

9% 7% 13% 3% 5% 17%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 56% 40% 47% 50% 49%

50% 44% 60% 53% 50% 51%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 11% 17% 12% 9% 18%

23% 24% 22% 26% 21% 22%

40% 41% 42% 41% 45% 33%

24% 24% 19% 22% 25% 27%

Page 59: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 4% 2% 1% 4%

5% 4% 7% 3% 2% 7%

17% 14% 17% 14% 15% 25%

35% 35% 33% 37% 39% 28%

41% 45% 38% 44% 43% 36%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 38% 26% 37% 37% 23%

55% 51% 62% 51% 53% 62%

12% 12% 12% 12% 9% 15%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 47% 45% 58% 51% 44%

51% 53% 55% 42% 49% 56%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 25% 18% 20% 36% 12%

11% 7% 6% 7% 11% 22%

35% 30% 33% 48% 39% 24%

17% 27% 30% 17% 7% 13%

14% 12% 14% 8% 7% 29%

Page 60: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 63% 68% 60%

35% 37% 32% 40%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 30% 6% 30%

10% 9% 12% 12%

20% 21% 20% 17%

25% 28% 24% 17%

24% 13% 37% 24%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 100% - -

40% - 100% -

13% - - 100%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 45% 58% 35%

39% 47% 34% 29%

12% 8% 8% 36%

Page 61: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 48% 51% 39%

41% 43% 43% 27%

11% 8% 6% 34%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 82% 69% 63%

17% 12% 26% 6%

9% 6% 5% 30%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 49% 48% 56%

50% 51% 52% 44%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 11% 15% 13%

23% 23% 26% 17%

40% 43% 37% 37%

24% 23% 22% 33%

Page 62: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 3% 1% 3%

5% 4% 5% 4%

17% 14% 21% 15%

35% 34% 35% 37%

41% 45% 37% 42%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 41% 24% 29%

55% 48% 66% 52%

12% 11% 10% 19%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 52% 44% 53%

51% 48% 56% 47%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 43% 3% 10%

11% 6% 19% 9%

35% 25% 46% 36%

17% 15% 17% 21%

14% 10% 15% 24%

Page 63: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 69% 64% 51%

35% 31% 36% 49%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 14% 26% 27%

10% 17% 2% 10%

20% 19% 23% 14%

25% 26% 28% 14%

24% 24% 21% 35%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 43% 56% 33%

40% 47% 34% 26%

13% 10% 10% 41%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 100% - -

39% - 100% -

12% - - 100%

Page 64: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 43% 57% 43%

41% 50% 35% 22%

11% 7% 8% 36%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 73% 80% 59%

17% 20% 16% 9%

9% 7% 4% 32%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 43% 51% 69%

50% 57% 49% 31%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 17% 9% 9%

23% 25% 22% 22%

40% 40% 41% 39%

24% 19% 29% 30%

Page 65: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 4% 1% 1%

5% 4% 5% 6%

17% 21% 15% 10%

35% 34% 32% 45%

41% 37% 48% 39%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 34% 35% 19%

55% 57% 54% 56%

12% 10% 11% 25%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 41% 55% 63%

51% 59% 45% 37%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 17% 28% 26%

11% 21% 2% 5%

35% 32% 38% 36%

17% 17% 19% 7%

14% 13% 12% 26%

Page 66: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 61% 73% 51%

35% 39% 27% 49%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 20% 20% 24%

10% 7% 14% 11%

20% 34% 5% 13%

25% 22% 30% 17%

24% 17% 30% 35%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 47% 49% 36%

40% 42% 42% 21%

13% 11% 9% 43%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 43% 60% 31%

39% 46% 34% 30%

12% 10% 6% 39%

Page 67: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 100% - -

41% - 100% -

11% - - 100%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 78% 72% 62%

17% 13% 23% 10%

9% 8% 4% 28%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 51% 46% 55%

50% 49% 54% 45%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 10% 18% 10%

23% 22% 25% 18%

40% 42% 38% 42%

24% 27% 19% 30%

Page 68: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 3% 3%

5% 5% 5% 2%

17% 16% 19% 13%

35% 38% 27% 48%

41% 40% 46% 34%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 31% 35% 31%

55% 57% 56% 43%

12% 11% 9% 26%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 49% 48% 53%

51% 51% 52% 47%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 14% 34% 20%

11% 3% 22% 7%

35% 60% 8% 24%

17% 14% 20% 19%

14% 9% 16% 30%

Page 69: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 63% 72% 61%

35% 37% 28% 39%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 22% 14% 17%

10% 10% 11% 15%

20% 22% 18% 7%

25% 30% 8% 14%

24% 16% 49% 46%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 52% 34% 32%

40% 37% 61% 22%

13% 11% 5% 46%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 48% 57% 39%

39% 43% 37% 17%

12% 9% 6% 44%

Page 70: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 51% 38% 45%

41% 40% 56% 21%

11% 9% 6% 34%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 100% - -

17% - 100% -

9% - - 100%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 51% 43% 47%

50% 49% 57% 53%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 11% 22% 13%

23% 21% 27% 29%

40% 42% 32% 37%

24% 26% 19% 21%

Page 71: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 1% 3% 6%

5% 2% 14% 5%

17% 12% 38% 20%

35% 36% 25% 44%

41% 48% 20% 25%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 37% 20% 21%

55% 51% 72% 56%

12% 12% 8% 23%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 55% 26% 46%

51% 45% 74% 54%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 24% 22% 12%

11% 7% 29% 15%

35% 34% 33% 47%

17% 22% 1% -

14% 12% 15% 26%

Page 72: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 64% 65%

35% 36% 35%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 23% 18%

10% 8% 12%

20% 19% 21%

25% 26% 25%

24% 24% 24%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 46% 47%

40% 39% 41%

13% 15% 12%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 43% 55%

39% 41% 38%

12% 17% 7%

Page 73: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 50% 46%

41% 38% 44%

11% 12% 10%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 77% 72%

17% 15% 19%

9% 8% 9%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 100% -

50% - 100%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 12% 14%

23% 23% 23%

40% 37% 43%

24% 28% 20%

Page 74: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 1% 3%

5% 4% 5%

17% 17% 17%

35% 33% 36%

41% 44% 39%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 30% 35%

55% 54% 56%

12% 16% 8%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 54% 45%

51% 46% 55%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 23% 23%

11% 9% 14%

35% 36% 34%

17% 16% 18%

14% 17% 11%

Page 75: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 76% 64% 62% 64%

35% 24% 36% 38% 36%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 17% 21% 21% 21%

10% 14% 10% 11% 8%

20% 19% 22% 20% 18%

25% 17% 23% 28% 26%

24% 34% 23% 20% 27%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 39% 46% 51% 46%

40% 47% 45% 37% 36%

13% 14% 10% 12% 18%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 64% 52% 49% 38%

39% 27% 37% 40% 47%

12% 8% 11% 12% 15%

Page 76: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 36% 46% 50% 54%

41% 56% 45% 39% 33%

11% 8% 9% 11% 13%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 63% 69% 78% 79%

17% 29% 20% 14% 13%

9% 8% 11% 8% 8%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 47% 49% 46% 58%

50% 53% 51% 54% 42%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 100% - - -

23% - 100% - -

40% - - 100% -

24% - - - 100%

Page 77: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 8% 2% 1% 1%

5% 8% 3% 4% 5%

17% 19% 16% 18% 16%

35% 36% 35% 34% 36%

41% 29% 45% 44% 42%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 31% 30% 39% 26%

55% 64% 56% 50% 58%

12% 5% 13% 11% 16%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 41% 43% 50% 58%

51% 59% 57% 50% 42%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 20% 21% 23% 25%

11% 25% 20% 7% 4%

35% 24% 36% 34% 41%

17% 14% 13% 20% 16%

14% 17% 10% 15% 14%

Page 78: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 66% 69% 69% 60% 66%

35% 34% 31% 31% 40% 34%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 14% 20% 17% 21% 22%

10% 21% 17% 10% 10% 10%

20% 14% 14% 17% 22% 21%

25% 8% 12% 22% 28% 26%

24% 43% 38% 35% 20% 21%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 56% 44% 39% 45% 51%

40% 24% 45% 50% 40% 36%

13% 20% 11% 11% 14% 13%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 80% 46% 59% 48% 44%

39% 14% 39% 34% 37% 45%

12% 6% 15% 7% 15% 11%

Page 79: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 34% 48% 46% 53% 46%

41% 50% 47% 46% 32% 45%

11% 16% 5% 8% 15% 9%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 49% 39% 51% 77% 87%

17% 25% 51% 38% 12% 8%

9% 26% 9% 10% 11% 5%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 29% 47% 49% 48% 53%

50% 71% 53% 51% 52% 47%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 51% 24% 14% 13% 9%

23% 17% 16% 22% 23% 25%

40% 16% 35% 41% 39% 42%

24% 16% 25% 23% 25% 24%

Page 80: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somew hatliberal Moderate

Somew hatconservative

Veryconservative

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 100% - - - -

5% - 100% - - -

17% - - 100% - -

35% - - - 100% -

41% - - - - 100%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 40% 23% 17% 24% 48%

55% 55% 73% 76% 61% 40%

12% 5% 4% 8% 15% 12%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 69% 30% 36% 41% 62%

51% 31% 70% 64% 59% 38%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 11% 31% 20% 23% 24%

11% 34% 18% 20% 9% 8%

35% 28% 35% 38% 42% 28%

17% 15% 3% 11% 11% 26%

14% 11% 13% 10% 15% 15%

Page 81: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 62% 66% 64%

35% 38% 34% 36%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 23% 19% 20%

10% 8% 12% 11%

20% 23% 18% 20%

25% 28% 24% 20%

24% 17% 27% 30%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 59% 40% 44%

40% 29% 47% 34%

13% 12% 12% 22%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 51% 50% 39%

39% 42% 38% 36%

12% 7% 12% 24%

Page 82: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 46% 50% 45%

41% 44% 42% 32%

11% 10% 8% 23%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 84% 69% 72%

17% 11% 22% 11%

9% 6% 9% 17%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 46% 49% 64%

50% 54% 51% 36%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 12% 15% 5%

23% 21% 23% 25%

40% 48% 36% 37%

24% 19% 25% 32%

Page 83: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 3% 2% 1%

5% 3% 6% 1%

17% 9% 23% 11%

35% 25% 38% 44%

41% 60% 30% 43%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 100% - -

55% - 100% -

12% - - 100%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 62% 40% 56%

51% 38% 60% 44%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 27% 20% 20%

11% 10% 13% 8%

35% 32% 37% 34%

17% 22% 14% 13%

14% 8% 15% 25%

Page 84: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 63% 67%

35% 37% 33%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 19% 21%

10% 9% 11%

20% 24% 17%

25% 26% 24%

24% 22% 27%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 50% 44%

40% 36% 44%

13% 14% 12%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 41% 57%

39% 44% 35%

12% 15% 9%

Page 85: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 48% 48%

41% 40% 42%

11% 12% 10%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 83% 66%

17% 9% 25%

9% 8% 9%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 54% 45%

50% 46% 55%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 11% 15%

23% 20% 26%

40% 41% 39%

24% 28% 20%

Page 86: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 3% 1%

5% 3% 6%

17% 12% 21%

35% 29% 40%

41% 52% 31%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 41% 24%

55% 45% 65%

12% 14% 10%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 100% -

51% - 100%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 26% 20%

11% 8% 14%

35% 35% 35%

17% 21% 12%

14% 9% 19%

Page 87: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

65% 67% 82% 58% 71% 57%

35% 33% 18% 42% 29% 43%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

20% 22% 12% 18% 32% 17%

10% 8% 5% 10% 18% 10%

20% 18% 12% 28% 21% 11%

25% 39% 25% 28% 10% 12%

24% 13% 47% 17% 18% 50%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 90% 24% 33% 43% 35%

40% 5% 66% 53% 40% 43%

13% 6% 10% 14% 17% 23%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 37% 88% 45% 49% 45%

39% 49% 7% 43% 45% 34%

12% 14% 5% 12% 5% 22%

Page 88: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 30% 13% 83% 40% 30%

41% 61% 80% 10% 48% 47%

11% 9% 7% 7% 12% 23%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

74% 79% 45% 72% 99% 66%

17% 16% 43% 16% 1% 19%

9% 5% 12% 12% - 16%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gender

Woman

Man

50% 50% 40% 51% 46% 59%

50% 50% 60% 49% 54% 41%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

13% 12% 29% 9% 10% 16%

23% 21% 39% 24% 18% 17%

40% 41% 24% 39% 48% 43%

24% 27% 8% 28% 23% 24%

Page 89: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 1% 7% 2% 2% 2%

5% 6% 7% 5% 1% 4%

17% 15% 30% 19% 11% 13%

35% 34% 27% 42% 22% 38%

41% 43% 29% 33% 64% 43%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

33% 40% 29% 30% 43% 19%

55% 50% 63% 59% 47% 60%

12% 11% 8% 12% 9% 22%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

49% 56% 36% 49% 63% 33%

51% 44% 64% 51% 37% 67%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

23% 100% - - - -

11% - 100% - - -

35% - - 100% - -

17% - - - 100% -

14% - - - - 100%

Page 90: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012Survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012Survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Missouri Survey Results

Q1 Do you plan to vote in the Republican primary or the Democratic primary, or are you not sure?

100% Republican primary .........................................

0% Democratic primary.........................................

0% Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 The Republican candidates for President on the ballot in Missouri are Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

19% Ron Paul .........................................................

32% Mitt Romney....................................................

45% Rick Santorum ................................................

4% Someone else/Not sure ..................................

Q3 Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

62% Strongly committed to that candidate..............

38% Might end up supporting someone else ..........

Q4 Who would be your second choice for President?

11% Ron Paul .........................................................

23% Mitt Romney....................................................

22% Rick Santorum ................................................

44% Someone else/Not sure ..................................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Newt Gingrich?

48% Favorable........................................................

39% Unfavorable ....................................................

13% Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ron Paul?

41% Favorable........................................................

47% Unfavorable ....................................................

12% Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?

47% Favorable........................................................

40% Unfavorable ....................................................

13% Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum?

72% Favorable........................................................

17% Unfavorable ....................................................

10% Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

47% Woman ...........................................................

53% Man.................................................................

Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.

12% 18 to 29...........................................................

24% 30 to 45...........................................................

37% 46 to 65...........................................................

27% Older than 65 ..................................................

Q11 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

2% Very liberal ......................................................

5% Somewhat liberal ............................................

15% Moderate.........................................................

35% Somewhat conservative..................................

43% Very conservative ...........................................

Q12 Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

27% Yes..................................................................

59% No ...................................................................

14% Not sure ..........................................................

Page 91: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012Survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012Survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Q13 Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

54% Are an Evangelical ..........................................

46% Are not ............................................................

Q14 Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

21% Newt Gingrich .................................................

9% Ron Paul .........................................................

36% Mitt Romney....................................................

17% Rick Santorum ................................................

17% Someone else/Not sure .................................

Page 92: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

20% 22% 17%

33% 33% 33%

47% 45% 51%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% - 13% 31% 21%

32% 30% - 69% 31%

46% 70% 87% - 39%

4% - - - 9%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 15% 26% 15%

32% 25% 41% 28%

45% 56% 31% 51%

4% 5% 2% 6%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 40% 5% 4%

32% 22% 36% 47%

45% 35% 55% 41%

4% 3% 4% 8%

Page 93: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 5% 36% 15%

32% 59% 6% 13%

45% 34% 54% 61%

4% 2% 4% 11%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 10% 53% 29%

32% 28% 35% 51%

45% 59% 8% 9%

4% 3% 4% 11%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 16% 22%

32% 35% 28%

45% 46% 45%

4% 3% 5%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 33% 31% 14% 9%

32% 33% 25% 33% 34%

45% 33% 39% 49% 52%

4% 2% 5% 3% 5%

Page 94: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 18% 34% 32% 16% 16%

32% 18% 39% 33% 38% 26%

45% 63% 20% 30% 42% 55%

4% - 7% 4% 4% 3%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 18% 19% 23%

32% 25% 38% 19%

45% 54% 40% 52%

4% 3% 4% 7%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 15% 24%

32% 25% 39%

45% 56% 33%

4% 4% 4%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

19% 21% 75% 7% 7% 25%

32% 16% 11% 68% - 15%

45% 56% 12% 24% 92% 48%

4% 7% 2% 1% 1% 11%

Page 95: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 68% 62% 59%

38% 32% 38% 41%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% - 11% 17% -

23% 16% - 45% -

22% 36% 47% - -

44% 48% 42% 38% 100%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 37% 38% 58% 57%

39% 53% 51% 27% 23%

13% 10% 12% 15% 20%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 85% 29% 32% 29%

47% 13% 53% 57% 46%

12% 3% 18% 11% 24%

Page 96: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 13% 87% 35% 18%

40% 76% 7% 47% 45%

13% 11% 5% 18% 36%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 37% 64% 95% 53%

17% 48% 19% 3% 18%

10% 15% 16% 2% 29%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 38% 53% 47% 38%

53% 62% 47% 53% 62%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 21% 12% 9% 6%

24% 39% 19% 20% 32%

37% 28% 39% 40% 30%

27% 12% 29% 31% 33%

Page 97: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 1% 3% -

5% 8% 6% 2% 8%

15% 25% 15% 10% 16%

35% 29% 42% 33% 38%

43% 35% 35% 52% 38%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 26% 21% 32% 20%

59% 57% 70% 51% 56%

14% 17% 8% 16% 24%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 42% 43% 66% 55%

46% 58% 57% 34% 45%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 24% 11% 27% 38%

9% 33% 3% 2% 5%

36% 14% 78% 19% 5%

17% 6% - 34% 2%

17% 23% 8% 18% 50%

Page 98: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 100% -

38% - 100%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

12% 13% 9%

24% 20% 31%

23% 23% 21%

41% 43% 39%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 42% 55%

40% 47% 29%

13% 11% 16%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 43% 39%

47% 49% 44%

12% 9% 17%

Page 99: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 46% 51%

40% 45% 32%

12% 10% 17%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

73% 74% 72%

17% 20% 14%

9% 6% 15%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 47% 48%

53% 53% 52%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 14% 10%

24% 26% 20%

37% 36% 40%

27% 25% 30%

Page 100: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Ideology

Very liberal

Somew hat liberal

Moderate

Somew hatconservative

Very conservative

3% 3% 2%

4% 4% 5%

15% 16% 13%

35% 32% 40%

43% 45% 40%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 29% 25%

59% 58% 60%

14% 13% 15%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 53% 54%

46% 47% 46%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up supportingsomeone else

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 15% 29%

9% 12% 4%

38% 38% 37%

17% 23% 8%

16% 12% 22%

Page 101: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 70% 51% 65% 64%

38% 30% 49% 35% 36%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 100% - - -

23% - 100% - -

22% - - 100% -

44% - - - 100%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 38% 53% 39% 52%

39% 49% 33% 50% 35%

13% 13% 14% 11% 13%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 80% 33% 44% 33%

47% 11% 55% 43% 54%

12% 9% 12% 14% 13%

Page 102: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 34% 57% 69% 33%

40% 54% 23% 25% 52%

13% 12% 20% 5% 14%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 84% 85% 83% 57%

18% 8% 10% 7% 29%

10% 8% 4% 10% 14%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 36% 49% 44% 50%

53% 64% 51% 56% 50%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 12% 8% 15% 13%

24% 24% 24% 22% 25%

37% 39% 40% 37% 35%

27% 26% 28% 26% 27%

Page 103: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 4% 3% 2% 2%

5% 5% 1% 7% 5%

15% 15% 11% 13% 18%

35% 37% 36% 35% 35%

43% 39% 48% 44% 40%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 29% 27% 28% 26%

59% 55% 57% 60% 60%

14% 15% 16% 12% 14%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 58% 62% 47% 51%

46% 42% 38% 53% 49%

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 13% 20% 11% 30%

9% 1% 5% 10% 12%

36% 37% 32% 63% 25%

17% 32% 28% 5% 13%

17% 17% 16% 11% 21%

Page 104: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 56% 73% 52%

38% 44% 27% 48%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 9% 14% 12%

23% 26% 20% 25%

22% 17% 28% 19%

44% 47% 39% 45%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 100% - -

39% - 100% -

13% - - 100%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 37% 51% 24%

47% 55% 39% 38%

12% 8% 10% 37%

Page 105: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 48% 52% 27%

40% 45% 38% 26%

13% 7% 10% 47%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 82% 63% 67%

17% 12% 28% 4%

10% 6% 9% 29%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 42% 48% 60%

53% 58% 52% 40%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 11% 13% 13%

24% 24% 25% 20%

37% 38% 37% 36%

27% 27% 25% 30%

Page 106: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 1% 4% 2%

5% 3% 6% 7%

15% 9% 21% 17%

35% 34% 37% 35%

43% 53% 33% 39%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 34% 19% 23%

59% 50% 72% 48%

14% 15% 9% 29%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 60% 44% 59%

46% 40% 56% 41%

Base

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 41% 3% 5%

9% 4% 14% 7%

36% 24% 50% 38%

17% 16% 17% 18%

17% 14% 15% 33%

Page 107: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 64% 65% 44%

38% 36% 35% 56%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 22% 3% 8%

23% 19% 28% 22%

22% 23% 20% 24%

44% 36% 50% 46%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 43% 56% 30%

39% 49% 33% 31%

13% 8% 11% 40%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 100% - -

47% - 100% -

12% - - 100%

Page 108: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 42% 51% 46%

40% 49% 38% 16%

13% 10% 10% 38%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 69% 79% 60%

17% 23% 15% 9%

10% 9% 6% 31%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 37% 52% 60%

53% 63% 48% 40%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 12% 11% 16%

24% 28% 21% 22%

37% 37% 39% 29%

27% 22% 29% 34%

Page 109: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 3% 2%

5% 6% 3% 7%

15% 19% 11% 15%

35% 38% 33% 38%

43% 35% 51% 39%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 26% 30% 17%

59% 62% 55% 59%

14% 11% 14% 24%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 47% 60% 53%

46% 53% 40% 47%

Base

Paul Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 17% 27% 15%

9% 15% 4% 6%

36% 32% 37% 46%

17% 17% 18% 9%

17% 18% 15% 25%

Page 110: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 59% 70% 48%

38% 41% 30% 52%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 8% 16% 10%

23% 28% 14% 35%

22% 32% 14% 9%

44% 31% 57% 46%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 49% 54% 25%

39% 44% 38% 29%

13% 8% 9% 45%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 36% 50% 29%

47% 51% 45% 36%

12% 12% 5% 35%

Page 111: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 100% - -

40% - 100% -

13% - - 100%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 78% 67% 68%

17% 13% 27% 3%

10% 9% 6% 29%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 47% 41% 62%

53% 53% 59% 38%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 9% 15% 13%

24% 20% 26% 32%

37% 42% 36% 24%

27% 29% 23% 30%

Page 112: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 3% 3%

5% 4% 6% 4%

15% 12% 19% 12%

35% 40% 29% 39%

43% 43% 44% 41%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 25% 32% 20%

59% 65% 55% 49%

14% 10% 14% 30%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 50% 56% 58%

46% 50% 44% 42%

Base

Romney Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 15% 34% 7%

9% 2% 16% 8%

36% 64% 9% 23%

17% 10% 24% 17%

17% 9% 17% 45%

Page 113: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 63% 70% 41%

38% 37% 30% 59%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 13% 5% 9%

23% 28% 14% 10%

22% 25% 8% 22%

44% 34% 73% 59%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 54% 34% 28%

39% 34% 63% 35%

13% 12% 3% 37%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 39% 53% 34%

47% 51% 40% 27%

12% 10% 7% 38%

Page 114: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 50% 36% 39%

40% 37% 62% 22%

13% 13% 2% 38%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 100% - -

17% - 100% -

10% - - 100%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 47% 42% 52%

53% 53% 58% 48%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 9% 19% 19%

24% 22% 33% 22%

37% 40% 32% 28%

27% 29% 16% 30%

Page 115: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 4% 1%

5% 2% 9% 12%

15% 11% 32% 16%

35% 37% 29% 39%

43% 48% 27% 32%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 30% 16% 25%

59% 56% 73% 56%

14% 14% 11% 19%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 57% 39% 53%

46% 43% 61% 47%

Base

Santorum Favorability

Favorable UnfavorableNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 22% 24% 17%

9% 4% 28% 5%

36% 37% 30% 44%

17% 22% 1% 2%

17% 15% 17% 32%

Page 116: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 61% 63%

38% 39% 37%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 9% 14%

23% 24% 22%

22% 20% 23%

44% 46% 41%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 42% 52%

39% 41% 38%

13% 17% 10%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 32% 48%

47% 52% 42%

12% 16% 9%

Page 117: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 47% 46%

40% 35% 44%

13% 18% 10%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 73% 72%

17% 16% 19%

10% 11% 9%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 100% -

53% - 100%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 15% 9%

24% 21% 26%

37% 36% 38%

27% 27% 27%

Page 118: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 3%

5% 4% 5%

15% 15% 14%

35% 34% 37%

43% 44% 42%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 22% 31%

59% 60% 57%

14% 18% 11%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 60% 48%

46% 40% 52%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 23% 20%

9% 6% 11%

36% 41% 32%

17% 14% 19%

17% 16% 18%

Page 119: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 69% 68% 59% 57%

38% 31% 32% 41% 43%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 11% 11% 12% 11%

23% 15% 23% 25% 24%

22% 28% 20% 21% 21%

44% 46% 46% 41% 44%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 42% 48% 48% 48%

39% 44% 41% 39% 37%

13% 15% 11% 13% 15%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 40% 48% 41% 34%

47% 44% 41% 49% 51%

12% 16% 11% 10% 16%

Page 120: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 36% 38% 53% 51%

40% 49% 44% 39% 34%

13% 15% 18% 9% 15%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 56% 66% 77% 78%

17% 27% 24% 15% 11%

10% 16% 9% 8% 11%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 60% 41% 46% 47%

53% 40% 59% 54% 53%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 100% - - -

24% - 100% - -

37% - - 100% -

27% - - - 100%

Page 121: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 7% 3% 1% 2%

5% 11% 5% 3% 3%

15% 9% 16% 16% 15%

35% 35% 34% 37% 35%

43% 38% 42% 43% 46%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 29% 28% 28% 25%

59% 47% 63% 61% 57%

14% 24% 9% 12% 19%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 55% 51% 52% 58%

46% 45% 49% 48% 42%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 25% 22% 19% 23%

9% 11% 16% 6% 4%

36% 29% 26% 43% 40%

17% 11% 16% 18% 18%

17% 24% 20% 15% 15%

Page 122: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 68% 59% 66% 57% 65%

38% 32% 41% 34% 43% 35%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 17% 13% 12% 12% 10%

23% 29% 6% 18% 24% 26%

22% 16% 32% 19% 21% 22%

44% 38% 48% 52% 43% 41%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 25% 28% 29% 46% 58%

39% 66% 51% 56% 41% 30%

13% 9% 21% 15% 13% 12%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 39% 51% 54% 44% 33%

47% 53% 30% 34% 43% 56%

12% 8% 19% 13% 13% 11%

Page 123: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 36% 37% 37% 53% 46%

40% 46% 50% 52% 32% 41%

13% 17% 13% 11% 15% 13%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 70% 38% 52% 75% 82%

17% 27% 35% 38% 14% 11%

10% 3% 27% 11% 11% 8%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 44% 41% 49% 45% 48%

53% 56% 59% 51% 55% 52%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 36% 29% 7% 12% 11%

24% 25% 27% 25% 23% 24%

37% 15% 28% 40% 39% 37%

27% 24% 16% 27% 26% 29%

Page 124: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somew hatliberal Moderate

Somew hatconservative

Veryconservative

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 100% - - - -

5% - 100% - - -

15% - - 100% - -

35% - - - 100% -

43% - - - - 100%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 45% 11% 12% 21% 38%

59% 55% 74% 81% 64% 45%

14% - 15% 7% 15% 17%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 56% 35% 36% 46% 67%

46% 44% 65% 64% 54% 33%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 15% 11% 13% 21% 26%

9% 23% 11% 15% 8% 6%

36% 34% 35% 37% 41% 32%

17% 25% 10% 11% 15% 20%

17% 4% 33% 24% 15% 15%

Page 125: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 65% 61% 59%

38% 35% 39% 41%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 12% 11% 12%

23% 23% 23% 26%

22% 23% 22% 18%

44% 42% 45% 43%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 61% 41% 50%

39% 28% 48% 23%

13% 11% 11% 26%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 40% 43% 32%

47% 52% 44% 47%

12% 8% 13% 21%

Page 126: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 43% 51% 33%

40% 47% 37% 38%

13% 10% 11% 28%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 80% 69% 73%

17% 10% 22% 14%

10% 9% 10% 14%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 39% 48% 58%

53% 61% 52% 42%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 13% 10% 20%

24% 24% 26% 16%

37% 38% 38% 30%

27% 25% 26% 35%

Page 127: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 4% 2% -

5% 2% 6% 5%

15% 6% 20% 7%

35% 28% 39% 37%

43% 60% 33% 52%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 100% - -

59% - 100% -

14% - - 100%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 66% 46% 62%

46% 34% 54% 38%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes NoNot

sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 31% 16% 26%

9% 7% 11% 1%

36% 32% 42% 21%

17% 21% 14% 19%

17% 9% 17% 32%

Page 128: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 62% 62%

38% 38% 38%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 12% 10%

23% 27% 19%

22% 19% 25%

44% 42% 46%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 53% 41%

39% 32% 48%

13% 14% 12%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 35% 47%

47% 52% 40%

12% 12% 13%

Page 129: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 44% 50%

40% 42% 38%

13% 15% 12%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 77% 67%

17% 13% 23%

10% 10% 10%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 53% 40%

53% 47% 60%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 12% 12%

24% 23% 25%

37% 36% 38%

27% 29% 25%

Page 130: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 3% 2%

5% 3% 6%

15% 10% 20%

35% 31% 41%

43% 54% 30%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 33% 20%

59% 50% 68%

14% 17% 12%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 100% -

46% - 100%

Base

Evangelical?

Are anEvangelical

Arenot

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 26% 16%

9% 7% 11%

36% 32% 41%

17% 20% 13%

17% 15% 20%

Page 131: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

62% 46% 82% 63% 82% 48%

38% 54% 18% 37% 18% 52%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

11% 7% 1% 12% 22% 11%

23% 21% 13% 21% 39% 21%

22% 12% 26% 38% 6% 14%

44% 60% 60% 30% 33% 54%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 92% 24% 32% 45% 40%

39% 5% 66% 55% 41% 35%

13% 3% 10% 14% 14% 25%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

41% 33% 73% 36% 42% 43%

47% 59% 19% 48% 51% 40%

12% 8% 8% 16% 7% 18%

Page 132: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 32% 13% 82% 28% 25%

40% 63% 75% 10% 58% 40%

13% 5% 12% 8% 14% 35%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

SantorumFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

72% 73% 37% 73% 98% 64%

17% 19% 57% 14% 1% 18%

10% 8% 6% 12% 1% 19%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Gender

Woman

Man

47% 50% 33% 53% 39% 45%

53% 50% 67% 47% 61% 55%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Age

18 to 29

30 to 45

46 to 65

Older than 65

12% 14% 15% 10% 8% 17%

24% 24% 46% 17% 24% 28%

37% 33% 26% 43% 40% 32%

27% 29% 13% 30% 29% 24%

Page 133: Big Day Possible for Santorum - Public Policy Polling · 2017. 10. 9. · Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota,

February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Ideology

Very liberal

Somewhat liberal

Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Very conservative

2% 2% 6% 2% 4% 1%

5% 2% 6% 4% 3% 9%

15% 9% 26% 15% 9% 20%

35% 34% 31% 40% 33% 32%

43% 53% 30% 38% 51% 39%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Tea Party ID

Yes

No

Not sure

27% 39% 23% 24% 34% 15%

59% 44% 75% 68% 49% 59%

14% 17% 3% 9% 17% 27%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Evangelical?

Are an Evangelical

Are not

54% 66% 41% 47% 65% 47%

46% 34% 59% 53% 35% 53%

Base

Best Chance to Defeat Obama?

NewtGingrich

RonPaul

MittRomney

RickSantorum

Someoneelse/Not sure

Best Chance toDefeat Obama?

Newt Gingrich

Ron Paul

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

21% 100% - - - -

9% - 100% - - -

36% - - 100% - -

17% - - - 100% -

17% - - - - 100%