australian fisheries – outlook and economic indicators robert curtotti manager – fisheries...
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Australian fisheries – outlook and economic indicators
Robert Curtotti
Manager – Fisheries Economics
ABARES
World seafood consumption (live weight equivalent)
Seafood consumption in 2008: (live weight equivalent)
frozen, cured or canned
fresh
Source: FAO
Seafood supply (live weight equivalent): average 2005-2007
Source: FAO
World fisheries production
Aquaculture
Mt
Wild
caught
Source: FAO
World trade by species group
Source: FAO
World export price by commodity group
crustaceans
fish
molluscs
Source: FAO
Australian fisheries production
Aquaculture
2009-10
A$ billion
Wild caught
Average beach price - key species
Rock lobster
prawns
Abalone
Tuna
Australian fisheries production by species
Australian trade in fisheries products
Fisheries trade mix in 2009-10
Exports
1.2 A$ billion
Imports
1.5 A$ billion
Australian exports of fisheries products (2009-10 A$)
1999-00
2.7 $ billion
2009-10
1.2 $ billion
Outlook for Australian fisheries production
2010-11 A$ billion
Profitability over the medium term
• Factors we can’t control• exchange rates• fish prices• fuel and other input prices
• Fishery management• as cost effective as possible• set effort levels that are sustainable and
that maximise economic returns
Role for economic indicators
• Gross value of production
• Economic returns
• Productivity analysis
• Profit decomposition analysis
Commonwealth Trawl Sector
Economic returns in the Commonwealth Trawl Sector of the Southern and Eastern Scalefish
and Shark fishery (SESSF)
Productivity indices by scale of operation for the Commonwealth Trawl Sector
Input index
Output index
Productivity index
Productivity indices by scale of operation for the Commonwealth Trawl Sector of the SESSF
Fuel price
Output price
Labour price
Profit
Productivity
Summary
• Profitability likely to remain under pressure over the medium term
• Economic indicators provide information about trends in economic returns