august trends tracker - blueshift - honest research · welcome to blueshift research’s 14th...
TRANSCRIPT
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 1
August Trends Tracker Summary of Findings
• Fitbit Inc. (FIT) will continue to dominate Apple Inc.’s (AAPL) Apple Watch. Five times as many respondents had
purchased a Fitbit fitness band as those who had purchased an Apple watch. Twice as many respondents are likely
to purchase a Fitbit than an Apple Watch in the next three months. More specifically, 50% more respondents are
very or extremely likely to make a Fitbit purchase rather than an Apple Watch in that time frame.
• Skechers USA Inc. (SKX) continues to grow. It now is the third most popular performance/athletic shoe brand
among respondents, overtaking Adidas AG (ADDYY). Twice as many 18- to 29-year-olds as in Blueshift’s July Trends
Tracker plan to buy Skechers in the next six months. Also, Under Armour Inc. (UA) is gaining traction; 50% more
respondents are likely to purchase its shoes during the next six months, the biggest jump of any brand in our
survey.
• McDonald’s Corp.’s (MCD) struggles continue as it is losing customers younger than 44. It also was viewed as on
par with or worse than other fast-food/quick-serve restaurants. A quarter of our respondents do not eat at
McDonald’s at all. Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG), Restaurant Brands International’s (TSE:QSR) Burger King, and
Wendy’s Co. (WEN) have gained the most millennial traffic since July.
• Facebook Inc. (FB) is ahead of all other social media platforms in having its ads lead to a purchase. Respondents
have made an ad-related purchase through Facebook at a 5-to-1 ratio compared with its nearest competitor,
Pinterest. Overall, purchases through social media platforms have increased in frequency and dollar amounts, with
purchases of $100 or more doubling compared with six months ago.
• More respondents now use Spotify’s premium service over Pandora’s premium offering, a change from six months
ago, and Pandora is losing ground with 18- to 29-year-olds.
• Of all forms of video gaming, use of consoles has increased the most compared with last year, showing the effects
of Microsoft Corp.’s (MSFT) and Sony Corp.’s (TYO:6758) next-generation systems. Eight out of 10 console gamers
favor physical discs to digital downloads, potentially limiting damage to GameStop Corp. (GME). However,
smartphones now are the No. 1 way respondents play video games.
• Michael Kors Holdings Ltd. (KORS) and Kate Spade & Co. (KATE) are gaining traction in the handbag market,
especially among millennials. They have cut into Coach Inc.’s (COH) lead, which is driven by older respondents.
Introduction
Welcome to Blueshift Research’s 14th edition of the Trends Tracker. This monthly research survey tracks the most
pressing topics affecting U.S. consumers as well as business and investment theses. We monitor trends to see how
respondents’ opinions evolve and frequently update survey questions with new issues that emerge from our research
and observations.
The August Trends Tracker comprises 1,107 respondents who represent a general sample of the U.S. public and who
answered questions on Aug. 13 and 14. Blueshift utilized SurveyMonkey’s Census data to balance respondents by
gender and age so that the sample aligns with the U.S. population.
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 2
Location of Topics
Wearable tech/Fitbit/Apple Watch (Page 2)
Performance/athletic shoes (Page 6)
Fast-food/quick-serve restaurants (Page 8)
Social media ads (Page 12)
Streaming music services (Page 14)
Gaming (Page 18)
$200 to $700 handbag market (Page 20)
Rental car alternatives (Page 23)
Pay-TV/OTT/cord cutting (Page 24)
Personal account hacks/national cybersecurity (Page 29)
Residential solar adoption (Page 32)
Tobacco/e-cigarettes (Page 33)
Legalization of marijuana (Page 35)
Vaccinating children (Page 38)
Companies Covered
AAPL, ADDYY, AMZN, BBRY, CAR, CHTR, COH, CMG, CSIQ, DIS, DISH, DTV, FB, FIT, FSLR, GME, GOOG/GOOGL, HTZ,
IHRT, KATE, KORS, MCD, MO, MSFT, NFLX, NKE, P, PNRA, SKX, SUNE, TSE:QSR, TWC, TWTR, TWX, TYO:6758,
TYO:7936, TYO:7974, UA, VIA/VIAB, WEN, WRC
Topics
1) Respondents were five times more likely to purchase a Fitbit than an Apple Watch. Overall
wearable technology adoption has increased compared with last year.
Wearable technology adoption has increased 3.5 percentage points year to year in all age groups, led by 30- to 44-year-
olds. Five times the number of respondents bought a Fitbit fitness band compared with those who bought an Apple
Watch. Fitbit will continue to dominate Apple Watch sales, as twice as many respondents are likely to make a Fitbit
purchase than an Apple Watch. 3.7% of respondents are very or extremely likely to buy a Fitbit in the next three months,
compared with 2.2% of respondents who are very or extremely likely to buy an Apple Watch. Fitbit has been benefiting
from the wellness trends as well as its multiple price tiers. However, the company faces even more competition. Sony
announced its Smartband 2, which will be available in September for $130 and with all the same features as the Fitbit
Charge HR. Also in September, Misfit and Warnaco Group’s (WRC) Speedo will launch the Speedo Shine fitness tracker
for $79.99, which sets itself apart by being able to track swimmers’ strokes. To become more widely available to
consumers, Apple has expanded its distribution of the Apple Watch to Best Buy on Aug. 7.
How likely are you to adopt wearable technology in the next three months?
• 8% already have adopted wearable technology, a 3.5 percentage-point increase compared with a year ago.
o All age groups, led by 30- to 44-year-olds, have increased their wearable technology adoption.
• 33.8% are likely to adopt wearable technology in the next three months, a 0.9 percentage-point increase year to
year.
o 30- to 44-year-olds are the most likely to adopt wearable technology, followed by 18- to 29-year-olds; 30-
to 60-year-olds reported a greater likelihood while 18- to 29-year-olds and those above the age of 60
reported a lower likelihood year to year.
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 3
How likely are you to buy an Apple Watch in the next three months?
• 85.7% are not at all likely to buy an Apple Watch in the next three months.
• 1.3% have bought an Apple Watch.
o 18- to 29-year-olds and/or those with higher household incomes are the most likely to have an Apple
Watch.
• 2.2% are very or extremely likely to buy an Apple Watch in the next three months.
o Younger respondents and/or those with low-income households are the most very or extremely likely to
adopt an Apple Watch in the next three months.
62.6%
18.0%
7.0%5.0%
2.9% 4.5%
58.2%
19.1%
8.6%
3.5% 2.6%
8.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
Not at all likely Slightly likely Moderatelylikely
Very likely Extremely likely I already have
August '14 August '15
48.7%
50.0%
43.1%
27.5%
51.6%
42.4%
28.8%
30.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Likely to adopt wearable tech
August '14 August '15
8.1%
10.4%
8.0%
6.1%
4.2%
5.7%
3.9%
4.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Have adopted wearable tech
August '14 August '15
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 4
How likely are you to buy a Fitbit in the next three months?
85.7%
8.4%2.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
Not at all likely Slightly likely Moderately likely Very likely Extremely likely I already have anApple Watch
August '15
2.3%
1.2%
0.7%
1.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Already have an Apple Watch
August '15
3.6%
3.5%
1.0%
1.0%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Very/extremely likely to buy an Apple Watch
August '15
0.7%
0.6%
1.3%
1.2%
2.0%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Already have an Apple Watch
July
5.9%
1.3%
1.0%
2.4%
0.00%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Very/extremely likely to buy an Apple Watch
August '15
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 5
• 65.2% are not at all likely to buy a Fitbit in the next three months.
• 6.6% of respondents have bought a Fitbit.
o Respondents older than 45 and/or with higher-income households are the most likely to already have
purchased a Fitbit.
• 3.7% are very or extremely likely to buy a Fitbit in the next three months.
o 30- to 44-year-olds, followed by 18- to 29-year-olds, and/or those with household income of $100,000 to
$149,999 are the most very or extremely likely to purchase a Fitbit in the next three months.
65.2%
17.7%
6.7%2.5% 1.2%
6.6%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
Not at all likely Slightly likely Moderately likely Very likely Extremely likely I already have a Fitbit
August '15
5.9%
5.8%
8.0%
6.9%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: I already have a Fitbit
August '15
4.1%
5.8%
3.8%
1.1%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Very/extremely likely to buy a Fitbit
August '15
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 6
2) Skechers takes third spot from Adidas for top performance/athletic shoes.
The top performance/athletic shoe brands that respondents plan to buy in the next six months are Nike Inc. (NKE), New
Balance, Skechers, Adidas and Asics Corp. (TYO:7936). Skechers took third place from Adidas, with all age groups
except those 30 to 44 moving the brand up in importance. The drop among 30- to 44-year-olds could be a warning sign
for Skechers. Under Armour is coming on strong; 50% more respondents now are more likely than a month ago to
purchase Under Armour shoes in the next six months.
Blueshift’s May 20 report forecast strong growth for Skechers throughout 2015. The NPD Group also found that
Skechers was becoming more popular and was overtaking Adidas as the No. 2 shoe brand overall, not just in the
performance/athletic market. NPD Group related Skechers’ success to its GOwalk “athleisure” walking shoe and its
price tags. In addition, Skechers has added Demi Lovato, Brooke Burke-Charvet, Mariano Rivera and Ringo Starr as
brand endorsers. Adidas is try to gain some star power as well and has signed NBA player James Harden to a $200
million shoe deal. Under Armour and Nike are fighting for younger consumers with special events.
Which performance/athletic shoe brand do you plan to buy in the next six months? Select all that
apply.
• 25.9% plan to buy Nike shoes in the next six months, a 3.7 percentage-point increase compared with in July.
o The three age groups that comprise 18- to 60-year-olds are more likely to buy Nike shoes than they were in
July. The likelihood increased most among 45- to 60-year-olds.
• 18.7% plan to buy New Balance shoes in the next six months, a 3.3 percentage-point increase.
o All age groups are more likely to buy New Balance shoes compared with last month. The likelihood
increased most among 30- to 44-year-olds.
• 9.3% plan to buy Skechers shoes in the next six months, a 1.5 percentage-point increase compared with July.
o All age groups except 30- to 44-year-olds are more likely to buy Skechers shoes than in July. The likelihood
increased most among respondents over the age of 60, followed by 18- to 29-year-olds.
0.7%
3.9%
6.7%
10.9%
10.2%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: I already have a Fitbit
August '15
4.4%
2.6%
4.2%
6.5%
4.1%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Very/extremely likelyto buy a Fitbit
August '15
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 7
• 8.9% plan to buy Adidas shoes in the next six months, a 0.6 percentage-point decrease compared with last month.
o 18- to 29-year-olds and 45- to 60-year-olds are more likely to buy Adidas shoes than they were in July. 30-
to 44-year-olds are the most likely to purchase Adidas shoes while those older than 60 are the least likely.
• 7.8% plan to buy Asics shoes in the next six months, a 0.5 percentage-point increase compared with last month.
• 4.5% plan to buy Under Armour shoes in the next six months, a 1.5 percentage-point increase.
o All age groups except 30- to 44-year-olds are more likely to purchase Under Armour shoes compared with a
month ago; 30- to 44-year-olds have the same likelihood as last month. The likelihood increased most
among 45- to 60-year-olds.
22
.2%
15
.4%
7.8
%
9.5
%
7.3
%
5.5
%
5.1
%
3.1
%
3.0
%
4.6
%
2.2
%
3.2
%
1.5
%
1.8
%
0.0
% 5.7
%
39
.1%
25
.9%
18
.7%
9.3
%
8.9
%
7.8
%
6.9
%
5.3
%
4.6
%
4.5
%
3.7
%
3.4
%
2.9
%
1.5
%
1.4
%
0.4
% 5.5
%
35
.1%
0.0%5.0%
10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%45.0%
July August
37.8%
29.2%
27.1%
9.9%
36.8%
28.1%
16.4%
10.0%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Nike
July August
9.0%
17.3%
22.9%
22.9%
5.9%
13.9%
20.8%
20.5%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: New Balance
July August
13.1%
13.9%
6.9%
1.5%
12.7%
14.2%
5.8%
6.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Adidas
July August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 8
3) McDonald’s remains the top fast-food/quick-serve restaurant, but still is losing younger
consumers, specifically millennials.
Respondents have increased the number of fast-food/quick-serve restaurants they have eaten at in the past month,
with McDonald’s continuing to lead the pack. Millennials have eaten at McDonald’s less often than in July, and are
more likely to think McDonalds’s is worse than most other fast-food/quick-serve restaurants. 30- to 44-year-olds still
eat at the most fast-food/quick-serve restaurants. 18- to 29-year-olds remain the primary age group to eat at Chipotle
and have increased their frequency to this chain by 5.6 percentage points compared with last month. Burger King and
Wendy’s are making strides ahead of McDonald’s, which mirrors Blueshift’s July 15 report.
We added a new question to see how McDonald’s compared with other fast-food/quick-serve restaurants and found
that a quarter of our respondents do not eat at McDonald’s. Roughly 45% find McDonald’s on par with other fast-
food/quick-serve restaurants, 19% find McDonald’s to be worse than other fast-food/quick-serve restaurants, while
13.2%—the smallest group—find McDonald’s to be better than other fast-food/quick-serve restaurants.
McDonald’s has been testing all-day breakfasts in various markets and believes the entire rollout could increase sales
by 2.5%. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Clinic’s cafeteria is not renewing its contract with McDonald’s. Also, McDonald’s is
out of touch with millennials and issued an apology for its recent ad campaign. Chipotle continues to gain traction with
millennials, not only through its healthier, non-GMO foods but also through sponsoring its second annual free music
and food fest. Panera Bread Co. (PNRA) is seeing gains from its Panera 2.0 rollout, as discussed in Blueshift’s April 2
report.
Which fast-food/quick-serve restaurants have you eaten at in the past month? Select all that apply.
• 42% have eaten at McDonald’s in the past month, a 2.5 percentage-point increase compared with July.
o Respondents under the age of 44 have eaten at McDonald’s less often than in July, while older
respondents have eaten at McDonalds’s more often than a month ago.
5.4%
8.5%
10.4%
11.8%
2.7%
10.4%
9.1%
8.5%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Skechers
July August
5.4%
5.0%
5.6%
2.3%
4.1%
5.0%
2.2%
0.4%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Under Armour
July August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 9
• 32.4% have eaten at Doctor’s Associates Inc.’s Subway in the past month, a 1.8 percentage-point increase.
o Respondents over the age of 29, led by 45- to 60-year-olds, have eaten at Subway more often than in July.
• 25.6% have eaten at Taco Bell in the past month, a 1.6 percentage-point increase compared with July.
o All age groups except 30- to 44-year-olds have eaten at Taco Bell more often than in July, but still were led
by 30- to 44-year-olds.
• 23.6% have eaten at Wendy’s in the past month, a 3.4 percentage-point increase compared with July.
o All age groups, led by 18- to 29-year-olds, have eaten at Wendy’s more compared with July.
• 22.4% have eaten at Burger King in the past month, a 4.3 percentage-point increase compared with July.
o All age groups, led by 30- to 44-year-olds, have eaten at Burger King more often than in July.
• 18.3% have eaten at Chipotle in the past month, a 0.9 percentage-point increase compared with July.
o All age groups except 45- to 60-year-olds and led by 18- to 29-year-olds have eaten at Chipotle more often
than in July.
o 31.5% of 18- to 29-year-olds have eaten at Chipotle, a 5.6 percentage-point increase compared with July.
• 17.4% have eaten at Panera in the past month, a 0.3 percentage-point increase compared with July.
o All age groups except 30- to 44-year-olds and led by respondents over the age of 60 have eaten at Panera
more often than in July.
• 14.4% have not eaten at any fast-food/quick-serve restaurants in the past month, a 0.8 percentage-point decrease
compared with July.
• All age groups have increased their average number of visits to fast-food/quick-serve restaurants in the past
month; 30- to 44-year-olds remain the primary age group to eat at fast-food/quick-serve restaurants.
39
.5%
30
.6%
24
.0%
20
.2%
18
.1%
14
.9%
17
.4%
17
.1%
10
.1%
11
.5%
13
.5%
12
.7%
12
.3%
9.2
%
8.8
%
6.7
%
7.3
%
9.8
%
6.9
%
5.7
%
7.8
%
3.9
%
1.7
%
3.3
%
2.2
%
10
.8%
15
.2%
42
.0%
32
.4%
25
.6%
23
.6%
22
.4%
19
.9%
18
.3%
17
.4%
16
.5%
16
.4%
13
.8%
13
.4%
13
.1%
10
.4%
9.9
%
8.1
%
7.9
%
7.7
%
7.7
%
7.2
%
6.7
%
3.3
%
2.5
%
2.0
%
1.9
% 9.3
% 14
.4%
0.0%5.0%
10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%45.0%
July August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 10
41.0%
43.9%
44.1%
37.8%
44.6%
46.2%
37.6%
29.7%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: McDonald's
July August
21.6%
25.8%
20.1%
21.8%
16.8%
19.6%
18.6%
15.4%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Burger King
July August
26.6%
26.2%
25.4%
16.0%
25.0%
23.5%
20.4%
13.1%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Wendy's
July August
31.5%
18.9%
14.9%
9.9%
25.9%
18.5%
17.2%
8.5%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Chipotle
July August
29.7%
33.5%
34.4%
29.0%
38.6%
31.5%
31.0%
22.4%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Subway
July August
15.3%
14.2%
18.1%
22.1%
15.0%
18.5%
13.5%
20.9%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Panera
July August
26.6%
31.5%
27.1%
17.6%
25.9%
31.9%
24.8%
14.3%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age:Taco Bell
July August
12.2%
15.8%
10.4%
19.9%
11.4%
8.9%
15.7%
24.7%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: None
July August
3.97
4.04
3.78
3.13
3.69
3.85
3.24
2.31
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Average number of fast-food chains in past month
July August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 11
How does McDonald’s compare to all other fast-food/quick-serve restaurants?
• 43.4% find McDonald’s to be on par with other fast-food/quick-serve restaurants.
• 19% find McDonald’s to be worse than others or to be the worst fast-food/quick-serve restaurant.
o Younger respondents, specifically 18- to 29-year-olds, are the most likely to find McDonald’s worse than
other fast-food/quick-serve restaurants.
• 13.2% consider McDonald’s to better than others or to be the best fast-food/quick-serve restaurant.
o 45- to 60-year-olds are the most likely to find McDonald’s better than others.
• 24.4% do not eat at McDonald’s.
o Respondents over the age of 60 or 18- to 29-year-olds are the most likely to not eat at McDonald’s.
o Those with household incomes of $100,000 to $149,999 are the most likely to not eat at McDonald’s.
24.4%
4.7%
14.3%
43.4%
10.1%
3.1%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 12
.
4) Facebook’s advertisements continue to dominate purchases made through social media.
Purchases through social media ads overall have grown compared with six months ago, and Facebook continues to
dominate all other social media platforms in having its ads lead to purchases. 30- to 44-year-olds have overtaken
millennials and now are the most likely to purchase a product through a social media ad. Respondents are making ad-
related purchases through Facebook at a 5-to-1 ratio compared with its nearest competitor, Pinterest. Forrester
Research reported that Facebook’s ads perform better than other social networks’, which dovetails with our findings.
Our respondents’ purchases through Twitter Inc. (TWTR) have increased compared with six months ago while
Facebook’s Instagram saw a slight slip. Overall, dollar amounts for purchases through social media ads have increased;
the most common amount remains below $40, but we noted a jump in respondents paying $100 or more per
purchase.
Twitter may garner some more attention as it now allows advertisers to share promoted tweets or videos to the 700
million-strong MoPub network—more than twice the size of Twitter—which pushes these promoted items to apps that
10.8%
10.8%
17.0%
13.4%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Better
August
26.6%
23.5%
17.7%
9.6%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Worse
August
27.0%
26.5%
16.3%
28.6%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: I don't eat at McDonald's
August
19.9%
23.1%
24.7%
27.3%
21.4%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: I don't eat at McDonald's
August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 13
include Candy Crush and Slack video. Instagram also may start to see ad gains as Facebook opened up Instagram’s ad
API to third parties. Facebook did the same thing to its own platform in 2011, in turn boosting its advertising four-fold
during the past four years.
Have you bought any products through a social media ad?
• 13.8% have bought a product through a social media ad, a 1.2 percentage-point increase compared with February.
o 30- to 44-year-olds are now the most likely to buy a product through a social media ad. All age groups
except 18- to 29-year-olds have increased their purchases through social media ads since February.
o All income levels are buying more products through social media ads compared with six months ago.
• 9.1% have bought a product through a Facebook ad, a 1 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
• 1.8% have bought a product through a Pinterest ad, a 0.1 percentage-point decrease compared with six months
ago.
• 1.1% have bought a product through an Instagram ad, a 0.2 percentage-point decrease.
• 0.9% have bought a product through a Twitter ad, a 0.3 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
8.1%1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2%
76.1%
11.4%9.1%
1.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.8%
74.6%
11.5%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
Yes, throughFacebook
Yes, throughPinterest
Yes, throughInstagram
Yes, throughTwitter
Yes, throughTumblr
Yes, other No I do not usesocial media
February August
13.5%
18.1%
14.2%
9.5%
15.4%
13.8%
12.4%
8.0%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Have bought products through social media ads
February August
13.2%
18.0%
12.8%
14.6%
17.3%
11.9%
14.8%
11.8%
13.9%
15.2%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Have bought products through social media ads
February August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 14
How much did you spend on the product you bought through the social media ad?
• 63.7% spent $40 or less on a product bought through a social media ad, 0.6 percentage-point increase compared
with six months ago.
• 12.3% spent $100 or more on a product brought through a social media ad, a 6.5 percentage point (and more
than 100%) increase compared with six months ago.
5) More respondents now use Spotify’s premium service rather than Pandora’s premium offering.
Pandora Media Inc.’s (P) free service remains the most used streaming music option compared with six months ago.
However, use of Pandora’s free and subscription services has slowed among 18- to 29-year-olds. Also, more
respondents reported using Spotify’s premium service than Pandora’s premium offering. Spotify premium experienced
53% growth over the last six months while Pandora premium posted a 26% increase. Use of both Spotify’s free service
and premium offerings has increased compared with six months ago in all age groups, specifically 18- to 29-year-olds.
iHeartMedia Inc.’s (IHRT) iHeartRadio posted the most growth compared with six months ago, thanks to use among
respondents under the age of 61. Apple Music, which currently is being offered as a free trial, has become more
popular among respondents under the age of 61, particularly those 18 to 29 years old; this may be due to family plan
sign-ups. 18- to 29-year-olds are using Spotify, iHeartRadio and Apple Music more than in February, but have
decreased their use of Pandora.
Our respondents favor radio-style streaming to whole albums or specific songs, and have increased their use of such
streaming compared with six months ago, which benefits Pandora and iHeartRadio. 18- to 29-year-olds are still the top
age group for streaming whole albums or specific songs, which benefits Spotify. Pandora recently beat second-quarter
earnings. Apple Music’s success in this industry is still in question as the service just came online two months ago and
remains a free service for another month. A recent MarketWatch survey suggests that 48% of Apple Music trial users
have left, while Apple has stated that 79% of consumers who have signed up for the service still are using it.
29.0%
34.1%
21.0%
5.8%4.3%
5.8%
32.2% 31.5%
14.4%
5.5%4.1%
12.3%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
$0 - $20 $21 - $40 $41 - $60 $61 - $80 $81 - $100 $100+
May August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 15
MarketWatch also reported that 61% of Apple Music users already have turned off the auto-renewal option, but 64% of
current users said they are very likely or extremely likely to subscribe.
What streaming music services do you use?
• 39.7% use Pandora’s free service, a 3.5 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
o 18- to 29-year-olds are the only age group to decrease their use of Pandora’s free service, but still are the
leading user group of this option.
• 4.3% use Pandora One premium, a 0.9 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
o 30- to 44-year-olds are the most likely to use Pandora One premium, a shift from six months ago when 18-
to 29-year-olds were the primary user group of the service.
• 15.3% use Spotify’s free service, a 1.8 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
o Respondents under the age of 61 are increasing their use of Spotify’s free service. 18- to 29-year-olds are
the primary users of the service and posted an increase compared with February.
• 4.6% use Spotify premium, a 1.6 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
o All age groups have increased their use of Spotify premium; 18- to 29-year-olds remain the primary users.
• 13.2% use iHeartRadio, a 4.3 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
o Respondents younger than 61 are increasing their use of iHeartRadio; 30- to 60-year-olds are primary
users.
• 9.3% use iTunes Radio for free, a 2.3 percentage-point decrease compared with six months ago.
o All age groups except 30- to 44-year-olds are decreasing their use of iTunes Radio.
• 9.3% use Apple Music (free trial, then $9.99 a month for a single user and $14.99 for a family plan), a 0.4
percentage-point increase compared with last month.
o All age groups except those over the age of 60 are increasing their use of Apple Music; 18- to 29-year-olds
are the primary users.
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 16
36
.2%
25
.9%
13
.5%
8.9
%
5.4
%
11
.6%
8.9
%
3.0
%
3.4
%
2.5
%
1.5
%
2.0
%
1.6
%
1.2
%
1.1
%
8.4
%
32
.8%
39
.7%
36
.1%
15
.3%
13
.2%
10
.8%
9.3
%
9.3
%
4.6
%
4.3
%
3.1
%
2.0
%
1.8
%
1.2
%
1.2
%
1.0
%
8.2
%
28
.1%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
February Aug-15
51.4%
47.7%
38.2%
22.9%
53.6%
37.6%
36.7%
20.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Pandora (free)
February August
4.1%
5.4%
4.9%
3.1%
5.5%
2.7%
3.2%
2.7%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Pandora One
February August
14.4%
16.2%
16.0%
6.1%
9.5%
8.6%
11.3%
6.5%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: iHeartRadio
February August
July
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 17
How do you primarily consume streaming music?
• 60.4% primarily consume radio-style streaming music, a 2.9 percentage-point increase quarter to quarter.
• 45- to 60-year-olds are the only age group to listen to more whole albums or specific songs via streaming quarter to
quarter, but 18- to 29-year-olds remain the most likely to prefer this type of streaming music.
26.1%
21.5%
11.8%
5.3%
25.5%
14.5%
10.6%
5.7%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Spotify (free)
February August
10.4%
5.4%
2.1%
1.9%
8.2%
2.7%
1.4%
0.8%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Spotify Premium
February August
9.5%
10.4%
9.7%
7.6%
13.2%
9.8%
15.2%
8.4%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: iTunes Radio (free)
February August
16.2%
9.2%
8.3%
3.8%
12.3%
8.5%
8.0%
7.0%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Apple Music
July August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 18
6) Smartphone use is now the most popular way consumers play video games. Console gaming
posted the most gains compared with last year, driven by next-gen systems.
Smartphone use is now the No. 1 way respondents play most of their video games. The U.S. smartphone gaming
industry is projected to grow 16.5% to more than $3 billion this year, according to eMarketer. Smartphone and console
gaming grew year to year while computer gaming has declined among our respondents.
Console gaming grew across all age groups and all income levels except $100,000 to $149,999, while smartphone
gaming grew among those 18 to 29 or 45 to 60 years old and/or household incomes below $24,999 or above
$100,000. Overall, respondents prefer digital downloads to physical disc purchases, but among console gamers only,
roughly 80% prefer physical discs to digital downloads. The increase in console gaming can be related to purchases of
Microsoft’s Xbox One and Sony’s PS4, which sold 1.4 and 3 million consoles, respectively, up 10% and 0.3 million sales
year to year. PS4 sales led all console sales for July, making it the third consecutive month for highest U.S. sales. Such
developments bode well for GameStop, for which analysts are awaiting earnings on Aug. 27. A recent patent filed by
Nintendo Co. Ltd. (TYO:7974) suggests that its new platform, NX, may not have a disk drive.
How do you play most of your video games?
• 14.8% play most video games through a console, a 3.1 percentage-point increase compared with a year ago.
o All age groups, still led by 18- to 29-year-olds, increased their use of consoles year to year.
o Households with incomes of $100,000 to $149,999 reported a decrease in console use, while lower-
income households remained the most likely to use consoles for gaming.
• 15.9% play most video games through a smartphone, a 1.8 percentage-point increase.
o Smartphone gaming rose among those ages 18 to 29 and 45 to 60, but still is led by those ages 30 to 44.
o Smartphone gaming is up for low-income and high-income households alike. Those with household
incomes of $0 to $24,999 saw the greatest year-to-year increase in smartphone gaming.
42.5%
57.5%
39.6%
60.4%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
Whole album or specific songs (on demand) Radio-style (where songs are selected for you)
May August
42.4%
35.6%
41.2%
38.2%
51.3%
36.9%
35.2%
47.1%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Whole album or specific songs
May August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 19
• 15.7% play most video games through a computer, a 0.3 percentage-point decrease compared with a year ago.
• 9.1% play most video games through a tablet, a 0.1 percentage-point increase.
o Tablet gaming grew among those 45 and older and declined among those younger than 45 year to year.
14.1%16.0%
11.7%9.0%
1.1%
48.0%
15.9% 15.7% 14.8%
9.1%
0.8%
43.7%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Smartphone Computer Console Tablet Handheld console I do not play videogames
August '14 August '15
26.6%
23.1%
9.0%
3.4%
24.7%
17.2%
7.4%
1.1%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Console
Aug '14 Aug '15
18.9%
22.7%
17.4%
5.3%
14.9%
23.7%
11.2%
7.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Smartphone
Aug '14 Aug '15
4.1%
5.8%
12.2%
12.6%
7.0%
8.0%
12.0%
9.0%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Tablet
Aug '14 Aug '15
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 20
How do you prefer to purchase most of your video games?
• Overall, 63.9% of gamers prefer digital downloads to physical discs.
• 79.9% of console gamers, on the other hand, prefer physical discs to digital downloads (filtered by console
gamers).
• Older respondents are the most likely to prefer digital downloads to physical discs.
7) Coach remains the top handbag brand in the $200 to $700 range, but Michael Kors and Kate
Spade are gaining traction among millennials.
Coach remains the trendiest handbag brand and the most likely to be chosen by respondents planning to buy a new
handbag, but it is losing momentum to Michael Kors and Kate Spade except among older respondents. 18- to 29-year-
22.1%
18.0%
12.8%
8.5%
13.3%
16.4%
14.1%
12.2%
9.8%
7.6%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Console
Aug '14 Aug '15
19.9%
16.7%
15.1%
17.0%
16.3%
6.9%
20.4%
15.9%
13.0%
13.3%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Smartphone
Aug '14 Aug '15
63.9%
36.1%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
Digital downloads Physical discs
August
55.3%
63.8%
66.7%
71.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Digital downloads
August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 21
olds find Michael Kors the trendiest handbag brand and will purchase its handbags next, followed by Coach, Kate
Spade and Dooney & Bourke Inc. Michael Kors and Kate Spade are both becoming trendier and are more likely to be
purchased compared with the previous quarter, while Dooney & Bourke is declining in trendiness and respondents’
future purchases. Blueshift’s April 23 Coach report continues to holds weight in our survey as we still see Michael Kors
as Coach’s main threat; one supplier source said both brands were losing share to Kate Spade. Our findings of growing
purchases of Coach, Michael Kors, and Kate Spade align with all three companies’ recent earnings calls exceeding
expectations.
Which handbag brand do you consider to be the trendiest in the $200 to $700 range?
• 13.1% consider Coach the trendiest handbag brand in the $200 to $700 range, a 0.7 percentage-point decrease
quarter to quarter.
o 45- to 60-year-olds remain the primary age group to find Coach handbags the trendiest; they are joined by
respondents ages 18 to 29 in finding Coach to be trendier than in the previous quarter.
• 8.9% consider Michael Kors the trendiest brand in the $200 to $700 range, a 1.2 percentage-point increase.
o 30- to 44-year-olds are the primary age group to find Michael Kors handbags the trendiest, but all age
groups found the brand to be trendier than in the previous quarter.
• 5.3% consider Kate Spade the trendiest brand in the $200 to $700 range, a 0.8 percentage-point increase.
o All age groups except those above the age of 60 and led by 30- to 44-year-olds find Kate Spade more
trendy compared with the previous quarter.
• 3.2% consider Dooney & Bourke the trendiest brand in the $200 to $700 range, a 0.3 percentage-point decrease.
o Respondents 61 and older were more likely than other age groups to find Dooney & Bourke to be more
trendy, and was the only age group to find Dooney & Bourke trendier than in the previous quarter.
13
.8%
7.7
%
4.5
%
3.5
%
1.6
%
1.6
%
1.6
%
1.1
%
0.7
%
0.8
%
0.5
%
0.6
%
0.6
%
0.7
% 5.9
%
55
.2%
13
.1%
8.9
%
5.3
%
3.2
%
1.9
%
1.8
%
1.5
%
1.4
%
1.0
%
0.8
%
0.8
%
0.6
%
0.6
%
0.1
%
4.4
%
54
.6%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
May August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 22
Which handbag brand in the $200 to $700 range will you most likely purchase next?
• 18.7% of respondents who buy handbags most likely will purchase a Coach bag, a 2.9 percentage-point increase
compared with the previous quarter.
o Older respondents are the most likely to purchase a Coach handbag. Those 45 and older are more likely
than in the previous quarter to make a Coach purchase.
• 10.1% said they most likely will purchase a Michael Kors handbag, a 3.2 percentage-point increase.
o 18- to 29-year-old respondents are the most likely to purchase a Michael Kors handbag. Those younger
than 61 are more likely than in the previous quarter to make a Kors purchase.
• 4.8% will most likely purchase a Kate Spade handbag next, a 1.5 percentage-point increase.
o Those younger than 61, led by 18- to 29-year-olds, are more likely to purchase a Kate Spade handbag.
• 4.8% will most likely purchase a Dooney & Bourke handbag, a 1.5 percentage-point decrease.
o Respondents younger than 61 are less likely to purchase a Dooney & Bourke handbag, while those 61 and
older are the most likely to purchase the brand.
8.6%
13.5%
16.3%
13.7%
7.9%
14.7%
16.1%
14.6%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Coach
May Aug
9.9%
11.2%
8.3%
6.5%
9.7%
8.5%
8.2%
4.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Michael Kors
May Aug
5.0%
6.9%
5.6%
3.4%
2.3%
5.0%
5.4%
5.0%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Kate Spade
May Aug
2.3%
1.9%
3.8%
4.6%
3.2%
3.5%
4.3%
3.1%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Dooney & Bourke
May Aug
15
.8%
6.9
%
3.3
% 6.3
%
2.8
%
1.7
%
2.2
%
0.9
%
1.5
%
1.3
%
2.2
%
0.7
%
0.7
%
1.3
%
36
.0%
16
.5%
18
.7%
10
.1%
4.8
%
4.8
%
3.6
%
1.9
%
1.7
%
1.7
%
1.1
%
0.8
%
0.8
%
0.6
%
0.6
%
0.6
%
37
.3%
10
.7%
0.0%5.0%
10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%
May August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 23
8) Rental car use rises with end-of-summer travel, most alternatives take a hit since last month.
Respondents were more likely to report using rental cars only than to say they used alternatives in the last three
months. Their use of rental cars increased compared with July, which likely benefited Hertz Global Holdings Inc. (HTZ)
and Avis Budget Group Inc. (CAR). Uber is the most frequently used alternative, followed by taxis and Lyft, all of which
have decreased in popularity among respondents since July. Younger respondents are the primary users of Uber and
Lyft, while older respondents are most likely to use rental cars. 18- to 29-year-olds were the only age group to increase
their use of Uber since July. According to a leaked document, Uber will have $2 billion in revenue this year; it plans to
triple that next year and have an IPO within 18 to 24 months. The slight increase in respondents using only rental cars
was first spotted in Blueshift’s June 12 report, in which sources said Uber and Lyft were more of a threat to taxi
services.
Which of these services have you used instead of a car rental in the last three months? Select all
that apply.
• 18.9% only use rental cars, a 0.9 percentage-point increase compared with July.
o 18- to 44-year-olds have increased their use of rental cars since July, but respondents older than 60 still
are the most likely to use rental cars only.
• 13.9% have used Uber instead of a car rental in the last three months, a 2.7 percentage-point decrease.
o 18- to 29-year-olds still are the primary users of Uber, and were the only age group to increase their use of
the company compared with last month.
• 13.6% have used a taxi instead of a car rental in the last three months, a 2.8 percentage-point decrease since July.
• 3.1% have used Lyft instead of a car rental in the last three months, a 0.3 percentage-point decrease.
o All age groups except 45- to 60-year-olds decreased their use of Lyft compared with July.
11.9%
20.0%
20.0%
21.2%
12.2%
22.8%
15.6%
10.8%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Coach
May August
17.8%
8.3%
12.9%
1.9%
14.6%
5.3%
7.4%
3.3%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Michael Kors
May Aug
8.9%
4.2%
5.0%
1.9%
4.9%
1.8%
4.4%
2.5%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Kate Spade
May August
3.0%
3.3%
5.7%
7.7%
3.7%
7.9%
7.4%
5.8%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Dooney & Bourke
May Aug
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 24
9) Pay-TV service use has increased compared with six months ago; most online streaming services
continue to grow in usage, particularly HBO Now.
For the first time in months, the number of respondents with pay-TV services has increased. We also saw a decrease in
respondents who have never had a pay-TV service, a slight drop in respondents who canceled their pay-TV service more
than a month ago, and a consistent 1% of respondents who canceled their service in the last month. The increase in
those with add-on services could be reflected in pay-TV subscribers upgrading their services. DirecTV (DTV), Charter
Communications Inc. (CHTR), Dish Network Corp. (DISH), and Time Warner Cable Inc. (TWC) noted increases in revenue
per average customer.
18
.0%
16
.6%
16
.4%
3.4
%
3.2
%
1.5
%
1.5
%
0.4
%
0.7
%
1.0
%
2.2
%
51
.5%
18
.9%
13
.9%
13
.6%
3.1
%
2.3
%
1.5
%
0.9
%
0.5
%
0.4
%
0.1
%
2.6
%
55
.8%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
July August
27.9%
16.9%
9.0%
5.3%
25.0%
18.5%
14.2%
10.8%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Uber
July August
7.2%
3.9%
1.7%
0.0%
7.7%
5.0%
0.7%
0.8%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Lyft
July August
8.1%
16.9%
23.6%
25.2%
4.6%
13.9%
25.6%
26.6%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: None, I only use rental cars
July August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 25
Overall pay-TV subscribers are more likely to cancel their service than they were in February, but the number of those
very or extremely likely to do so has decreased over that time. 18- to 29-year-olds are twice as likely to cancel their pay-
TV service in the next six months than they were in February.
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) continues to lead all adoption of online streaming services, followed by Google Inc.’s (GOOG/GOOGL)
YouTube, which experienced the most growth during the last six months. Dish’s Sling TV continues to see minimal
adoption, as discussed in Blueshift’s March 26 report. All online streaming services have increased in use except for
ESPN3 (Walt Disney Co./DIS and Hearst Corp.), for which use has stayed the same, and Viacom Inc.’s (VIA/VIAB)
Nickelodeon Noggin, which received fewer mentions than in May. Time Warner Inc.’s (TWX) HBO Now has doubled in
use compared with the previous quarter, and just became more attractive to families because of a new deal with the
Sesame Workshop for the exclusive rights to episodes for nine months before they air on PBS. HBO Now is now
available on Amazon.com Inc.’s (AMZN) Fire TV and Fire TV Stick, as well as on Chromecast and on Android and iOS
devices.
Do you use pay-TV in your household?
• 69.9% have a pay-TV service, a 1.5 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
• Of those, 32.9% have pay-TV with add-on services, a 1.5 percentage-point increase.
o 18- to 29-year-olds and those above the age of 61 have increased their subscriptions to pay-TV with add-
on services, while 30- to 59-year-olds have decreased such subscriptions.
• 17.7% have never had a pay-TV service, a 1 percentage-point decrease compared with six months ago.
o 18- to 29-year-olds are still the most likely to have never had a pay-TV subscription, but this percentage
has fallen compared with six months ago.
• 11.4% canceled their pay-TV subscription more than a month ago, a 0.4 percentage-point decrease.
o 30- to 44-year-olds and those above the age of 61 have increased in their cancellations of pay-TV
subscriptions more than a month ago.
• 1% of respondents canceled their pay-TV subscription in the past month, the same as six months ago.
31.4%
37.0%
18.7%
1.0%
11.8%
32.9%
37.0%
17.7%
1.0%
11.4%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
Yes, including add-onservices like HBO
Yes, just basic service No, I have never hadpay-TV
No, I canceled my pay-TV subscription in past
month
No, I canceled my pay-TV subscription more
than a month ago
February August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 26
.
How likely are you to cancel your pay-TV subscription and use online-only streaming services in the
next six months?
• 40.5% of pay-TV users are likely to cancel their subscription in the next six months, a 0.8 percentage-point increase
compared with two months ago.
o 18- to 29-year-olds and lower-income households are the most likely to cancel their pay-TV service in the
next six months. Such responses have increased compared with two months.
• 7.5% of pay-TV users are very or extremely likely to cancel their pay-TV subscriptions in the next six months, a 2.7
percentage-point decrease compared with two months ago.
33.8%
19.6%
9.0%
10.3%
40.0%
18.4%
9.9%
10.3%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Have never had pay-TV
February August
22.1%
26.2%
36.8%
43.9%
14.5%
26.7%
41.3%
39.5%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Have add-on services
February August
10.8%
18.9%
9.7%
6.1%
17.7%
15.3%
11.0%
4.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Canceled more than 1 month ago
February August
60.3%
18.6%
10.9%6.2%
4.0%
59.5%
20.3%
12.8%
4.3% 3.2%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
Not at all likely Slightly likely Moderately likely Very likely Extremely likely
June August
16.4%
9.6%
3.5%
6.0%
7.0%
14.0%
10.2%
8.4%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Very/extremely likely
June August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 27
Which online streaming TV services do you use?
• 54.6% use Netflix, a 5.1 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
o Netflix is used the most by 18- to 29-year-olds; all other age groups posted increases in the number of pay-
TV subscriptions compared with six months ago.
• 41.9% use YouTube, an 11.3 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
• 24.8% use Amazon Instant Video, a 4 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
o All age groups, led by 30- to 44-year-olds, increased their adoption of Amazon Instant Video.
• 11.5% of respondents use Hulu Plus, a 2.8 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
o All age groups increased their adoption of Hulu Plus. 18- to 29-year-olds still are the primary users, but
usage increased the most among those ages 30 to 44 compared with six months ago.
• 14.6% of respondents use Hulu, a 3.7 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
o Adoption of Hulu is still led by 18- to 29-year-olds, but this number has slightly decreased compared with
six months ago. All other age groups posted increases.
• 11.1% of respondents use HBO Go, a 2.1 percentage-point increase compared with six months ago.
o All age groups, still led by 18- to 29-year-olds, increased their adoption of HBO Go.
• 6% of respondents use HBO Now, a 3.5 percentage-point increase compared with a quarter ago.
o All age groups, still lead by 18- to 29-year-olds, increased their adoption of HBO Now.
• 1.6% of respondents use Sling TV, a 0.6 percentage-point increase compared with last quarter.
o 18- to 29-year-olds were the only age group to decrease their adoption compared with last quarter.
• 25.9% do not use any online streaming TV services, a 5.3 percentage-point decrease.
o Those with incomes above $150,000 were the only level to post an increase in the number of respondents
without online streaming services. All other income levels saw a decline compared with six months ago.
17.1%
11.5%
6.4%
3.0%
2.3%
14.9%
13.3%
8.1%
8.5%
9.3%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Very/extremely likely
June August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 28
49
.5%
30
.6%
20
.8%
10
.9%
8.7
%
9.0
%
4.9
%
4.8
%
2.5
%
3.4
%
3.2
%
3.3
%
0.9
%
1.0
%
0.6
%
0.7
% 3.3
%
31
.2%
54
.6%
41
.9%
24
.8%
14
.6%
11
.5%
11
.1%
8.0
%
6.3
%
6.0
%
5.1
%
5.0
%
3.3
%
3.2
%
1.6
%
1.3
%
0.6
%
5.6
%
25
.9%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
February August
69.4%
64.6%
51.7%
36.6%
70.0%
52.2%
46.6%
31.9%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Netflix
February August
31.1%
31.5%
21.9%
17.9%
27.3%
23.9%
18.4%
15.6%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Amazon Instant Video
February August
23.9%
14.2%
14.9%
7.3%
24.1%
8.6%
8.8%
4.6%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Hulu
February August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 29
10) Concerns have decreased regarding personal accounts being hacked and national
cybersecurity.
Four in 10 respondents are very or extremely concerned about personal accounts or devices being hacked, a decrease
compared with the previous quarter. All age groups and income levels are less concerned about their personal
accounts or devices being hacked, with 18- to 29-year-olds being the least concerned. The decline is surprising in light
of recent developments such as the Ashley Madison data hack, Android’s text hack and car hacks.
Roughly half of respondents are still very or extremely concerned about national cybersecurity, but such responses
have decreased compared with the previous quarter. All age groups and household income levels are less concerned
compared with the previous quarter, led by 18- to 29-year-olds and/or those with households incomes of $24,999 or
18.5%
15.0%
9.4%
5.3%
17.3%
7.5%
7.8%
3.4%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Hulu Plus
February August
16.2%
15.0%
8.3%
6.1%
14.1%
12.5%
6.0%
4.6%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: HBO Go
February August
8.6%
7.3%
5.2%
2.7%
2.3%
3.9%
2.5%
1.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: HBO Now
May August
1.8%
2.7%
1.4%
0.8%
1.9%
1.2%
0.7%
0.0%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Sling TV
May August
17.7%
22.4%
27.9%
24.9%
27.6%
33.6%
34.8%
30.8%
29.9%
20.0%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: No online streaming
February August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 30
less. Stopping national cybersecurity hacks has increasingly been emphasized by the National Cyber Security Alliance,
which BlackBerry Ltd (BBRY) just joined.
How concerned are you that any of your personal accounts or devices could be hacked?
• 39.3% are very or extremely concerned about their personal accounts or devices being hacked, a 9.9 percentage-
point decrease quarter to quarter.
o All age groups are less concerned about their personal accounts or devices being hacked, but 45- to 60-
year-olds remain the most concerned about being hacked.
o All income levels are less concerned about their personal accounts or devices being hacked, but those
making more than $150,000 or between $25,000 and $49,999 remain the most concerned about their
personal accounts or devices being hacked.
• 7.1% are not at all concerned about their personal accounts or devices being hacked, a 0.3 percentage-point
increase quarter to quarter.
o 18- to 29-year-olds remain the least concerned about their personal accounts being hacked. 30- to 44-
year-olds and those above the age of 61 have become less concerned.
6.8%
14.4%
29.6%
23.8%25.4%
7.1%
18.6%
35.0%
20.3% 19.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
Not at all concerned Slightly concerned Moderately concerned Very concerned Extremely concerned
May August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 31
How would you describe your level of concern about national cybersecurity?
• 51.5% are very or extremely concerned about national cybersecurity, a 6.2 percentage-point decrease quarter to
quarter.
o Older respondents remain the most concerned about national cybersecurity, but all age groups have
become less concerned regarding the matter quarter to quarter.
o Households with incomes above $150,000 are the most concerned about national cybersecurity, but all
income levels have become less concerned regarding the matter quarter to quarter.
• 6.9% of respondents are not at all concerned about national cybersecurity, a 1.2 percentage-point increase.
o Younger respondents remain the least concerned about national cybersecurity. 45- to 60-year-olds were
the only age group to become more concerned quarter to quarter.
o Lower-income households are the least concerned about national cybersecurity. Those with incomes lower
than $99,999 have become less concerned quarter to quarter.
13.5%
8.5%
3.8%
3.8%
13.9%
7.8%
3.9%
3.1%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Not at all concerned
May Aug
27.0%
37.7%
46.5%
43.9%
32.4%
50.0%
55.9%
55.8%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Extremely or very concerned
May Aug
11.0%
8.3%
7.4%
4.9%
1.0%
12.7%
6.6%
5.2%
3.9%
5.0%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Not at all concerned
May Aug
39.7%
43.0%
36.2%
32.1%
43.9%
46.4%
51.5%
45.3%
50.0%
50.5%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Extremely or very concerned
May Aug
5.7%
10.2%
26.3%
30.5%
27.2%
6.9%
12.3%
29.3%26.3% 25.2%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Not at all concerned Slightly concerned Moderately concerned Very concerned Extremely concerned
May August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 32
11) Solar adoption grows, but the number of those likely to adopt solar drops.
Solar power adoption in homes has grown compared with last year, but those likely to make the switch going forward
have declined. The 0.9 year-to-year percentage-point growth in respondents who already have adopted solar power in
their homes represents a 53% increase over that time period. Higher-income households, specifically those making
$150,000 or more a year, are the most likely to adopt or already have adopted solar panels in their homes.
Companies are building out solar fields to sell power to electric companies. Texas is starting to experience a boom in
this sector. OCI Solar Power LLC, First Solar Inc. (FSLR), SunEdison Inc. (SUNE) and Recurrent Energy (a subsidiary of
Canadian Solar Inc./CSIQ) are all trying to start their very own solar fields in the state, which does not offer incentives to
utilities to buy or build solar panels. The Electric Reliability Council of Texas, the power grid operator for most of the
state, expects 10,000 to 12,500 megawatts of solar electricity capacity or the equivalent of all the solar farms currently
operating in the United States to be installed by 2029. New York is seeing residential solar adoption rise as prices for
installations drop; a New York resident can install solar panels for an average $15,000, but will spend around $8,000
total after rebates and tax incentives. Google has launched a beta version of Project Sunroof, which allows consumers
to see how much sun falls on their roof and where the solar panels will fit best. It also includes a price calculator and
contact information on installers. However, utility companies are placing fees on residential solar installers.
How likely are you to adopt solar power for your home during the next six months?
• 2.6% already have solar panels for their homes, a 0.9 percentage-point increase compared with a year ago.
o All income levels posted increases in solar panel adoption compared with a year ago, but respondents with
higher incomes had the top adoption level.
o 45- to 60-year-olds have been the primary adopters of solar panels for homes.
• 24.3% are likely to adopt solar panels for their homes in the next six months, a 4.9 percentage-point decrease.
o 45- to 60-year-olds are now the most likely to adopt solar panels for their homes.
o All household income levels have decreased their likelihood of adopting solar panels year to year.
14.0%
9.6%
2.1%
3.1%
13.9%
6.2%
2.9%
1.2%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Not at all concerned
May Aug
30.6%
48.5%
59.7%
63.4%
38.0%
55.0%
63.1%
71.5%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Extremely or very concerned
May Aug
12.5%
10.3%
5.8%
3.0%
1.0%
10.5%
4.8%
4.1%
4.6%
4.0%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Not at all concerned
May Aug
45.6%
50.0%
51.6%
48.5%
56.1%
51.9%
59.9%
55.8%
65.4%
60.4%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Extremely or very concerned
May Aug
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 33
12) Fewer respondents smoke tobacco compared with a year ago, but e-cigarette use has
increased.
Almost 83% of respondents do not smoke tobacco compared with a year ago, but those who do smoke prefer
manufactured cigarettes. Electronic cigarettes were the only type of tobacco to post higher usage, particularly among
1.7% 2.5% 3.8%7.2%
15.7%
69.2%
2.6% 1.2% 2.8%5.6%
14.7%
73.1%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
I already have solarpanels
Extremely likely Very likely Moderately likely Slightly likely Not at all likely
August '14 August '15
1.8%
1.2%
3.8%
3.1%
1.4%
1.5%
0.7%
2.6%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Have adopted solar
August '14 August '15
24.8%
26.9%
30.2%
26.0%
32.6%
35.5%
25.3%
30.6%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Likely to adopt solarin six months
August '14 August '15
1.5%
0.6%
2.9%
2.4%
6.1%
1.4%
0.0%
1.5%
1.6%
1.0%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Have adopted solar
August '14 August '15
27.9%
21.8%
26.9%
29.7%
31.6%
28.8%
26.8%
27.8%
31.0%
41.9%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Likely to adopt solar in six months
August '14 August '15
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 34
those 18 to 29 years old. A recent study by Public Health England suggests that e-cigarettes are 95% safer compared
with cigarettes, and that the National Health Service should consider recommending e-cigarettes to consumers who
want to quit smoking. U.S. smokable product sales have declined 3% to 6% each year since 2009, and are anticipated
to fall 3% this year. At the same time, e-cigarette sales have doubled each year, from $20 million in 2008 to around
$1.5 billion in 2014, and are projected to continue to grow 20% year to year going forward. Altria Group Inc. (MO) is one
tobacco company trying to offset declining tobacco sales with e-cigarettes.
How do you smoke most of your tobacco?
• 82.8% do not smoke tobacco, a 0.9 percentage-point increase year to year.
• 17.3% smoke tobacco, a 0.9 percentage-point decrease compared with a year ago.
o 30- to 44-year-olds were the only age group to post an increase in smoking compared with a year ago,
while 18- to 29-year-olds remain the most likely to smoke tobacco.
o Respondents with household incomes $24,999 or less have increased the amount they smoke and
remain primary users of tobacco.
• 61.6% of tobacco users choose manufactured cigarettes, a 5.3 percentage-point decrease year to year.
• 1.7% use e-cigarettes or vaporizers, a 0.1 percentage-point increase compared with a year ago.
o 9.9% of tobacco users specifically choose e-cigarettes or vaporizers, a 1.1 percentage-point increase
compared with a year ago
o 18- to 29-year-olds use e-cigarettes the most out of all the age groups, up 0.9 percentage points compared
with a year ago. Those 61 and older also have increased their use of e-cigarettes.
o Lower-income households remain the most likely to use e-cigarettes, but have posted a year-to-year
decline.
12.1%
3.3% 1.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.4%
81.9%
10.6%
2.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
82.8%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
Cigarettes Cigars Electroniccigarette or
vaporizer
Hookah Hand-rolledcigarettes
Pipe I do not smoketobacco
August '14 August '15
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 35
13) Half of respondents support legalization of marijuana, an increase from a year ago.
Support for marijuana legalization has grown in all age groups and in households with incomes above $25,000, and
now represents almost half of our respondents. The number of marijuana users among respondents has decreased
compared with the previous month, while responses have increased from those who have used marijuana in the past.
In Oregon, consumers 21 and older will be able to purchase recreational marijuana in participating medical marijuana
stores in October; a 25% tax on the product will not start until January. Other states are gearing up for the 2015 or
2016 ballots to include propositions to legalize marijuana.
What should the current law be regarding marijuana?
• 48.4% support the legalization of marijuana, a 6.7 percentage-point increase compared with a year ago.
o All age groups and those with household incomes of $25,000 or higher reported more support for the
legalization of marijuana.
• 14.6% want to keep marijuana illegal, a 4.1 percentage-point increase compared with a year ago.
66.9%
18.2%
8.8% 6.6% 7.2%2.6%
61.6%
15.1%9.9% 7.0% 4.7% 2.3%
Cigarettes Cigars E-cig or vaporizer Hookah Hand-rolledcigarettes
Pipe
Percentage among Tobacco Smokers
August '14 August '15
22.5%
21.9%
16.3%
9.2%
23.3%
19.9%
19.0%
11.3%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Smoke tobacco
Aug '14 Aug '15
3.2%
1.9%
1.0%
1.2%
2.3%
1.9%
1.4%
0.8%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: E-cig/vapor
Aug '14 Aug '15
34.6%
21.2%
18.3%
9.1%
15.3%
27.4%
26.1%
19.3%
17.9%
10.5%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Smoke tobacco
Aug '14 Aug '15
4.4%
1.3%
1.3%
1.2%
1.0%
5.5%
0.0%
1.5%
2.7%
0.0%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: E-cig/vapor
Aug '14 Aug '15
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 36
(Optional) Do you smoke, vaporize or ingest marijuana? Your answers are kept strictly confidential.
• 18.6% currently do not use marijuana but have in the past, a 1.5 percentage-point increase from May.
o Younger respondents remain the most likely to have used marijuana in the past.
o Those with higher household incomes now are the most likely to have used marijuana in the past, a
reversal from our results in the last quarter.
• 5.7% of respondents use marijuana, a 2 percentage-point decrease compared with the previous quarter.
o Younger respondents still are the most likely to use marijuana.
o Respondents with household incomes of $100,000 to $149,999 now are the most likely to use marijuana.
• 1.5% use marijuana for medical purposes, a 0.2 percentage-point decrease compared with the previous quarter.
41.7%
23.3% 24.5%
5.8% 4.7%
48.4%
19.6%17.5%
7.8% 6.8%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Completely legal Medical use only Controlled on a state-by-state basis
Illegal with lowpunishments
Illegal with highpunishments
August '14 August '15
51.4%
49.2%
46.9%
47.3%
51.2%
46.2%
37.2%
36.6%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Legalization
August '14 August '15
47.8%
53.2%
47.1%
53.9%
56.1%
49.3%
45.8%
40.6%
45.7%
48.6%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Legalization
August '14 August '15
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 37
7.7%
1.7%
71.1%
17.1%
2.4%5.7%
1.5%
71.0%
18.6%
3.3%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
Yes Yes, for medical purposes No Not currently, but I have inthe past
Decline to answer
May August
9.3%
8.9%
4.2%
1.2%
15.3%
7.0%
6.8%
3.1%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Currently uses marijuana
May August
6.6%
7.8%
5.5%
8.5%
1.0%
11.6%
10.2%
5.6%
6.9%
5.9%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Currently uses marijuana
May August
20.8%
20.1%
17.4%
16.6%
18.1%
23.3%
16.1%
11.5%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Have used marijuana in the past
May August
19.1%
17.0%
20.5%
20.1%
24.5%
21.0%
22.2%
16.5%
12.3%
17.8%
0-$24,999
$25,000-$49,999
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000-$149,999
$150,000+
Income: Have used marijuana in the past
May August
August 28, 2015
301 Battery Street, 2nd Floor, San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com 38
14) Support is growing for not vaccinating children.
Opposition to childhood vaccinations is growing among respondents under the age of 60, specifically those 18 to 29
years old. Still, those in support of vaccinating children largely outnumber those in opposition. In June, California
became the largest state to require most public school children to get vaccinations. The law eliminates personal and
religious exemptions, and may be creating backlash. As a result, the Department of Health has created a “Don’t Wait.
Vaccinate.” campaign.
Should children be vaccinated?
• 5.8% believe children should not be vaccinated, a 1.3 percentage-point increase year to year.
o Respondents under the age of 61, led by 18- to 29-year-olds, are becoming more opposed to vaccinating
children.
The Author(s) of this research report certify that all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect their personal views about any and all of the subject securities
and that no part of the Author(s) compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views in this report. The Author does not
own securities in any of the aforementioned companies.
OTA Financial Group LP has a membership interest in Blueshift Research LLC. OTA LLC, an SEC registered broker dealer subsidiary of OTA Financial Group LP, has both
market making and proprietary trading operations on several exchanges and alternative trading systems. The affiliated companies of the OTA Financial Group LP, including
OTA LLC, its principals, employees or clients may have an interest in the securities discussed herein, in securities of other issuers in other industries, may provide bids and
offers of the subject companies and may act as principal in connection with such transactions. Craig Gordon, the founder of Blueshift, has an investment in OTA Financial
Group LP.
© 2015 Blueshift Research LLC. All rights reserved. This transmission was produced for the exclusive use of Blueshift Research LLC, and may not be reproduced or relied
upon, in whole or in part, without Blueshift’s written consent. The information herein is not intended to be a complete analysis of every material fact in respect to any
company or industry discussed. Blueshift Research is a trademark owned by Blueshift Research LLC.
95.5%
4.5%
94.2%
5.8%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
Yes No
August '14 August '15
9.9%
8.1%
4.2%
1.9%
6.0%
6.0%
3.0%
3.0%
18-29
30-44
45-60
60+
Age: Opposed to vaccinations
August '14 August '15