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All Rights Reserved ©2010 www.globalintelligence.com
Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook
Industry Outlook for 2010 and beyond
January 2010
Global Intelligence Alliance©2010. All rights reserved.
Contact: Nicolas Pechet , Vice President, China, and Head of Private Equity practice, [email protected]
Vishwanath Desai, Senior Consultant, [email protected]
Web: www.globalintelligence.com
Tel: Hong Kong (852) 2107 4299 Singapore (65) 6423 1681 New York (1) 212 946 2628 London (44) 207 203 8382
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Table of contents
Outlook for Private Equity in Asia
Key Private Equity Strategies and Opportunities
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
About GIA
4
7
15
26
Methodology:
This industry briefing is based on a month long study involving over 20 in-depth interviews with business leaders within Asia‟s Private Equity industry, including senior executives from Apax Partners, Baring Private Equity Asia, CLSA, GE Capital, Morgan Stanley, as well as ongoing market monitoring and analysis of PE industry trends since 2008.
The report is provided as is, free of charge and without any warranty or guarantee. Global Intelligence Alliance accepts no responsibility for errors or omissions, or for any loss or consequential loss arising as a result of decisions taken based on its contents.
©2010 Global Intelligence Alliance. All rights reserved. This report is copyrighted, however individual pages or portions thereof may be copied referencing “Global Intelligence Alliance” as the source.
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GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com 3
Abbreviations and acronyms
APAC Asia Pacific
AUM Assets under management
BFS Banking and finance
bn Billion
CAGR Compound annual growth rate
FDI Foreign direct investment
GPs General Partners
IPO Initial public offering
KPI Key performance indicator
LPs Limited Partners
mn Million
PE Private equity
Q-o-Q Quarter-on-quarter
R&D Research & Development
ROI Return on investment
TMT Telecom, Media and Technology
UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
Y-o-Y Year on Year
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Outlook for Private Equity in Asia
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com 5
Outlook for PE sector in Asia is generally very positive, though much uncertainty remains in short to medium term
Outlook for Private Equity in Asia
Private equity leaders in Asia remain generally very positive about growth of their industry in the region given strong
economic fundamentals, particularly in several of the region‟s top markets (i.e. China and India). However their outlook
on growth levels in the coming years varies substantially in light of economic uncertainty. Their expectations can be
captured along three key scenarios - strong growth, moderate growth, moderate growth and saturation.
“The Private Equity industry in Asia will undoubtedly continue to grow. The fundamentals of the region are right
and this presents great opportunities for Private Equity investors.”
-- Managing Director, GE Equity
Source: Global Intelligence Alliance, Research & Analysis, Center for Asia Private Equity Research
110,590
134,981
166,139
207,381
254,037
262,317
2004 2005 2006 2007 20081H „09
Asian private equity aggregate fund
pool (2004-1H 2009, millions of USD)
2012 20152009
Scenario 2:
Moderate
growth
Scenario 3:
Moderate growth
and saturation
Outlook for investment activities in AsiaScenario 1:
Strong growth
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Outlook for growth of PE sector in Asia
6
Scenario 2: Moderate growth
• Asia continues to attract capital for PE funds, however, the inflow of PE capital gradually outpaces economic
growth and productive use for such capital, causing competition amongst private equity firms to intensify further.
PE investment returns drop as the market matures.
• Some capital is ultimately redirected to more attractive asset classes in which risk adjusted returns are higher.
“Lack of experienced and seasoned professionals and team who can manage capital and risk effectively through the various economic
cycles could be a key barrier for growth of private equity industry in Asia.”
-- Managing Director, Baring Private Equity Partners
• Asia continues to recover from the economic downturn relatively faster than the US and Europe. Companies in
Asia continue to require capital to support expansion. Relatively low valuations caused by downturn attract PE
funds to close more deals in near term.
• Economic growth of 7 % to 10% in India and China remains on track in coming years, while demand for capital
in these countries remains high in order to meet requirements for growth.
• Strong economic growth absorbs PE investment and sustains further growth of PE industry.
• High net worth individuals, sovereign funds and institutional asset managers continue to show strong interest in
exposure to PE in Asia, making prospects for raising PE capital in Asia very bright.
Scenario 1: Strong growth
• Overinvestment in many core sectors such as chemical and manufacturing, and excessive competition amongst
PE investors in the few remaining attractive sectors lead to weak PE investment returns.
• Insufficient fund managers with skills to navigate PE funds through challenging cycles further limits growth. Only
the best PE firms with top talent continue to thrive and attract capital.
• A substantial reduction in capital allocated to PE funds occurs, eventually bringing the industry back to a more
sustainable and balanced size.
Scenario 3: Moderate growth and saturation
Outlook for Private Equity in Asia
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Key Private Equity Strategies and Opportunities
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Key value creation areas by PE investors to portfolio companies in Asia
8
Key Private Equity Strategies and Opportunities
1 Bringing international exposure to portfolio company management
• Access to senior management professionals and advisors with specific expertise.
• Cross border collaboration with other portfolio companies.
• Support for expansion in overseas markets through network and other portfolio companies.
2 Assistance in business development and growth planning
• Steering organic growth via focused 100 day plans as well as long term business planning.
• Rapid growth through M&A and partnerships in international markets.
3 Understanding and advice on capital structure
• Assistance in capital need identification, capital allocation and management.
4 Assistance for IPO readiness
• Setting up corporate governance and financial reporting systems as a precursor to IPO.
• Promoting management reporting and transparency.
5 Operational best practices and optimization
• Performance measurement and planning.
• Sharing practices such as Six Sigma, inventory optimization and lean manufacturing.
“As the industry matures, simple Pre-IPO deals will become less attractive. To maintain high returns, PE firms will have to
undertake deals where success depends more on improvement of the underlying business. Handling this operational risk
requires a different skill set.”
-- Former Investment Manager, Apax Partners
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Opportunities created by global financial downturn
9
Key Private Equity Strategies and Opportunities
• Quality of deals improved
During last 4 quarters, companies in all major sectors more or less saw the effect of economic slowdown. The deal flow
surged till 2nd quarter of 2009. As a result PE firms received high quality leads and improved deal quality.
• Acquisitions multiples have gone low. Thus there now are good companies available at cheaper prices. PE firms
could assist portfolio companies better through strategic acquisitions/partnerships.
• Competition moderated and principles of PE business underscored
• Competition from “me too” deal makers and hedge funds got moderated during recent time.
• PE fund managers and firms could convince investors about their capabilities to manage the portfolio successfully
through the downturn.
• Importance of portfolio management increased
• Due to unattractive exit options, PE firms preferred to stay longer in the existing deals to improve the performance of
portfolio companies.
• Short term working capital management, customer focus, effective capital allocation and utilization by portfolio
companies.
• Smaller positions (investments of small size) are now getting better attention as PE funds focus more on portfolio
management.
Executives share that Private Equity firms in Asia were less impacted by the economic crisis as compared to many large
US or European funds. However, many US/European funds investing in Asia have been constrained in terms of ability to
exit deals, and have seen loss of some value during the recent cycle.
“I haven‟t seen many deals at bargain valuations here in Asia. Companies that have focus on domestic markets
have done well. ”
-- Managing Director, Morgan Stanley Private Equity
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Shifting industry sector focus and deal sources
10
Source: GIA Research & Analysis
Consumer &
Retail
Renewable
Energy
HealthcareTechnology /
Media
Financial
Services
Agriculture EducationBusiness
Services
Manufacturing
/ Industrial
Infrastructure
/Real Estate
Key sectors for PE investment in Asia
Deal sources % range
Individual referrals 5 – 20
Self researched & identified 10 – 50
Approached by companies 5 – 30
Investment banks/brokers 30 – 60
Others* 10 – 40
* includes small boutique I-Banks, accounting firms,
consulting firms, industry associations, etc.
Sector focused strategies
Key countries for PE investment in Asia
Ge
og
rap
hy f
oc
us
ed
fu
nd
s
India
ChinaS. Korea
Australia
Singapore
Vietnam
Hong Kong
Japan
• Deals sourced through individual referrals and
networks tend to have a higher success rate for a
range of reasons (e.g. less competitive deal terms,
higher trust factor, etc.).
Research
/ Due
Diligence
ExitPortfolio
Management
Idea
generationScreening
Current actively invested sectors
Future attractive sectors for investment
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Growth capital screening process similar to US and EU, but more effort required to forecast market growth and regulatory dynamics in Asia
11
Market
Company
Deal structure
• Country‟s macro-economic growth, legal frameworks/ investor
protection, geographical fit with fund mandate
• Fundamentals of target industry/market, including industry size,
structure and growth potential
• Competitive landscape and intensity, new entrants and barriers
to entry
• Regulatory environment, government control / intervention
• Strategic fit with firm‟s investment mandate and clear strategy for
value creation during holding period
• 360 degree assessment of target company, including due
diligence on such factors as:
• Business plan, business model, scalability, track record,
financials, etc.
• Comparative advantages (e.g. IP, technology, brand, license,
etc.)
• Management quality and compatibility
• Top and bottom line growth potential
• Legal, technology, operational, other risks
• Capital requirements for expansion
• Etc.
Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis
Research
/ Due
Diligence
ExitPortfolio
Management
Idea
generationScreening
Deal funnel
• Investment size
• Entry price / valuation
• Holding period
• Control
• Other investor / shareholder rights and conditions
• Exit options
Scre
en
ing
Du
e d
ilig
en
ce
De
al str
uctu
rin
g
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Key post investment priorities typically used by APAC PE investors to lay foundations for long-term value creation
12
Research
/ Due
Diligence
ExitPortfolio
Management
Idea
generationScreening
1 Working capital management to meet short term objectives
• Re-negotiation of supplier contracts and centralizing procurement.
• Supply chain improvement, reducing inventory, and optimization of working capital.
• Cash-flow management and optimization.
2 Strengthening management of the company
• Identification and prioritization of key issues for Board and management to address.
• Incentive alignment of various stakeholders.
3 Financial and control system implementation
• Assessment and improvement of financial reporting systems.
• Implementation of policies to promote transparency.
• Balance sheet management to manage risk while meeting long term needs.
4 Efficient capital allocation and capital usage
• Identification of capital needs and alignment with growth objectives.
• Prioritization of capital allocation and control on expenditure.
5 Implementation of operational level strategies
• Identification of operational issues and implementation of improvement programs.
• Implementation of operational improvement can be much more difficult in emerging Asian markets given gaps
in knowledge, and thus requires more hands on involvement from PE firm.
Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Key value creation levers most commonly used by PE executives interviewed
13
Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis
Sales focus optimization
Sales force efficiency and
organization
Compensation scheme
Purchasing
Total cost of ownership
(TCO) reduction
Make-or-Buy
Low-cost-country sourcing
Sales effectiveness
New market entry
Distribution network
Customer portfolio
Pricing optimization
Marketing Strategies
•Customer need
assessment
•New product and service
offering
G&A rationalization
Overhead / support
function efficiency
Shared services
Off- and near shoring
IT performance
Inventory management
Inventory optimization
Efficient warehousing
Supply chain
Supplier network strategy
Lead time reduction
Manufacturing
Make-or-Buy
Manufacturing footprint
optimization
Benchmarking
Production efficiency
Marketing Strategies
Customer need
assessment
New product and service
offering
Working capital /
optimization
Supplier payment terms
Account receivable
Cash management
Asset restructuring
Sale of new core assets
Company restructuring
Plant optimization
External growth
Growth opportunities
identification and target
Screening acquisitions of
high potential targets
Post Merger Integration
Profit and loss Balance sheet
CoGS optimization
SG&A optimization
Sales optimization
Geographic/product
expansionNew markets focus
Increasing core
competencies
New products & services
R&D efficiency
Research
/ Due
Diligence
ExitPortfolio
Management
Idea
generationScreening
Very high impact High impact Moderate impact
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Exit strategies heavily reliant on IPOs
14
IPO remains the preferred exit strategy for most funds across various APAC markets, though strategic/
trade sales and overseas backdoor listings are prevalent for smaller markets in South East Asia.
Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis, Center for Asia Private Equity Research
Research
/ Due
Diligence
ExitPortfolio
Management
Idea
generationScreening
Exit strategies by key geographies
• IPOs will continue to be the key exit strategy,
particularly given the increasingly large
demand for IPOs in China and India, and
falling capital controls allowing capital to flow
into those markets more freely.
• China – Exit route is mainly via IPO, though
backdoor listing in overseas markets are
commonly used given long lead times to
complete IPOs domestically.
• India – a mix of both IPO and trade sales
with majority of deals exiting via IPO.
• South East Asia – exits tend to be more via
strategic/trade sales given limited domestic
IPO markets.
• Korea – exits tend to be primarily via through
strategic/ trade sales, through domestic IPO
markets are increasingly robust.
• Australia & Japan – a mix of strategic/trade
sales and IPOs.
5% - Others, including
dividends and write-downs
31%
Strategic/
Trade sales64% - IPO
N = 176 exits
Number of exits in 2008
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Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
China & India to continue leading the economic recovery
16
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis, IMF Asia Regional Economic Outlook Oct 2009
• Asia is leading the recovery from the global downturn, with the region‟s GDP forecast to grow at 5.75% in 2010. The
relatively strong recovery is attributed to following key drivers:
• Effective fiscal and economical policies implemented by Governments in Asia, particularly in China.
• China and India‟s effectiveness in compensating for loss of exports via highly responsive and aggressive fiscal stimulus
and credit easing in 2009.
• Trade normalization: in late 2009, Japan, newly industrialized and ASEAN 5 countries have seen uptake in demand.
• China and India will remain key economic drivers for regional growth. China GDP is expected to grow at 9% in 2010 and
further at 10% through 2012.
• A key challenge for Asia to contend with in 2010 will be to implement policies which support recovery momentum while
external demand is expected to remain weak in the medium term.
8.50%
5.36%4.61%
- 0.99%
-3.62% -3.33%
0.73%
-5.37%
9.84%
7.63%6.55%
4.97%4.33% 4.17%
3.42%
2.32%
China India Vietnam South Korea Hong Kong Singapore Australia Japan
2009
2012
GDP Growth Rate Forecast
(2009, 2012)
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
FDI inflows expected to continue to rise through 2011
17
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
Source: Survey by United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)
• Investment activities in East and South Asia set to grow in next 3 years;
largest percentage of respondent companies reported in UNCTAD‟s
survey that they planned to increase their FDI in this region.
• China and India featured in the UNCTAD‟s top 5 list of destinations for
investment through 2011; both countries showed highest growth in FDI
inflows in 2008.
• Large market size and growth, presence of an integrated supply chain,
skilled labor and talent are the primary reasons for investment growth
in Asian markets.
Inward Foreign Direct Investment(USD millions)
2,628
6,739
31,550
22,549
25,127
44,330
54,365
83,521
7,603
8,050
22,725
24,426
41,554
46,774
63,003
108,312
South Korea
Vietnam
Singapore
Japan
India
Australia
Hong Kong
China
2008
2007
Home region Most favored destinations
North AmericaChina, United Kingdom, The Russian Federation,
Germany, Brazil, United States
EuropeUnited States, China, India, Brazil, The Russian
Federation, United Kingdom
Japan China, India, United States, Brazil, Vietnam,
Germany
Developing Asia China, United States, Indonesia, Australia, India,
Vietnam
Top 6 FDI destinations, by home region(UNCTAD Survey)
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
PE investments in Asia bottomed out in Q4 2008
18
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis, Asia Venture Capital Journal, KPMG
• East Asia remained a major recipient of Private Equity
investment in 1H 2009; China and South Korea saw the
largest size deals followed by Australia, India and
Singapore.
• China recorded highest investment activity with 84 deals in
1H 2009.
• Hopu Investment Management and Temasek
Holdings‟ investment of USD 4.5bn to acquire a 3.6%
stake in China Construction Bank was the most
significant deal in China.
• Private Equity investment activities in the region has shown a „V‟
shaped recovery in first two quarters of 2009 after bottoming in 4Q
2008.
• Investment in 1H 2009 amounted for USD 22.4bn, 36% less than
similar period in 2008.
• However, a record low since 2005, only USD 9.8bn of fresh
capital flowed into funds in of 1H 2009.
• As markets are stabilizing and new funds are being setup, total
AUM in Asian private equity is expected to grow significantly
during the second half of 2009 and early 2010.
20.6
27.7
19.7
15.4
11.4
7.4
10.312.1
3Q 2007 4Q 2007 1Q 2008 2Q 2008 3Q 2008 4Q 2008 1Q 2009 2Q 2009
Asia: Q-o-Q PE investment (USD billion)
China44%
Japan
6%
South
Korea
4%Australia
9%
India 26%
Vietnam
3%
Others
8%
Asia: Number of PE deals 1H 2009Total deals studied: 190
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
TMT was the largest sector for PE investment in 2008 in Asia, followed by manufacturing and industrial sectors
19
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
Source: Thomson Reuters
Telecom, Media,
Technology
20%
Manufacturing &
Industrial 11%
Consumer
& Retail
9%
Business services
9%
Alternative energy
5%
Agriculture,
Forestry
4%
Financial
services
4%Chemicals &
Materials
4%Transportation
4%
Construction 3%
Others
27%
Asia: Private Equity investment by industry (2008)(USD billion)
Fund type # of funds Total Amount
(USD billion)
Buyouts 17 20.07
Growth 86 18.16
VC 60 5.26
Infrastructure 11 3.34
Mezzanine 3 0.96
Secondary 1 0.48
Asia: Private Equity fund types (2008)
• Buyouts are the leading type of private equipment investment,
representing 41.5% of the total.
• The average buyout fund size in 2008 was ~USD 1.18bn.
• In India and South East Asia, non-buyouts were the dominant
transaction type.
• While developed economies see substantial amounts of buyout
transactions, emerging economies such as India and China have
yet to see significant volumes of buyouts. As industries in those
countries consolidate and mature in the coming decades, buyout
volumes are expected to increase.
• Telecom, Media and Technology (TMT) remains the largest
sector for PE investment in 2008 in Asia, followed by
manufacturing and industrial.
• Consumer & retail sector enjoyed relatively consistent growth
despite the global economic downturn in all major countries in
Asia, and proved to be another important sector for attracting
PE investment.
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
China led the regional fund pool for 2008, with 49% of all assets under management in Asia going to China
20
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis
• China led the fund pool for 2008 with 49% of all investments
in Asia going to China.
• India, with a fund pool of US$7.8bn, was 2nd to China.
• The allure of China and India‟s market potential is clearly
shown in this distribution of funds.
• Developed economies such as Japan and South Korea have
a relatively small fund pool, with Australia being the only
exception in the developed segment. This is however slightly
misleading as much Australia‟s AUM are directed towards
other APAC countries.
Australia, 4.5
China, 15
India, 7.8
Japan, 2.6
SE Asia, 0.22
South Korea, 0.66
• Banking and Finance (BFS) were most preferred
across Asia, attracting 25% of invested private equity
capital.
• Though IT & Telcom attracted the 3rd largest amount of
private equity investment, it managed the highest
number of transactions in 2008, totaling to 144.
• The remaining private equity investments are
diversified across a broad range of sectors, ranging
from consumer and retail, to education and agriculture.
Banking &
Finance
Industrial &
Mfg. Goods
IT & Telecom
4.6
Others 21.94
11.4
8.4
Asia: Private Equity AUM by country (2008)(USD billion)
Asia: Private Equity investment by sector (2008)(USD billion)
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Average private equity deal size in Asia increased by ~15% in 2008 given fewer deals
21
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis, Asia PE Review 2008
• US$46.3 billion in private equity deals was
completed in 2008, virtually unchanged
from 2007 levels.
• 789 private equity investment transactions
were known to have been completed in
2008, a 13.0% decline from 907 deals in
2007, indicating a higher average deal
value in 2008.
• The average deal size has increased to
US$66.4 million in 2008, an increase of
~15% over 2007.
• The number of billion dollar deals in Asia in 2008 increased to 7, against only 4 in 2007.
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
The financial services sector received most private equity investment in H1 2009 in China and India
22
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
Source: AVCJ Asian Private Equity Barometer, Q1 and Q2 2009 report
India-PE Investments by Industry in H1 2009 (mn USD)
818
518
138
103
86
47
43
42
34
31
Financial services
Telecom/Media/Technology
Infrastructure
Utilities
Medical
Consumer products & services
Ecology
Transportation / Distribution
Manufacturing-heavy
Retail/Wholesale
China-PE Investments by Industry in H1 2009 (mn USD)
5311
523
437
249
227
141
110
69
69
20
10
Financial services
Retail/Wholesale
Transportation/Distribution
Telecom/Media/Technology
Manufacturing-heavy
Textiles and clothing
Electronics
Non-financial services
Mining and metals
Leisure/Entertainment
Construction
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Japan saw huge PE investments in the leisure/ entertainment industry in H1 2009, while Australia’s investments were heavily focused on financial services
23
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
Japan-PE Investments by Industry in H1 2009 (mn USD)
1682
160
119
113
93
89
84
37
33
3
Leisure/Entertainment
Financial services
Manufacturing-heavy
Non-financial services
Telecom/Media/Technology
Manufacturing-light
Travel/Hospitality
Transportation/Distribution
Construction
Electronics
Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis
Australia-PE Investments by Industry in H1 2009 (mn USD)
5070
569
397
272
96
84
33
32
9
2
Financial services
Utilities
Environmental Management
Consumer products & services
Telecom/Media/Technology
Mining and metals
Medical
Electronics
Manufacturing-Heavy
Textile & clothing
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Private equity firms are very upbeat about investment opportunities in China in 2010
24
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
Source: Chinaventure.com
•The average deal size has increased to
US$66.4 million in 2008, compared to the
US$57.6 million
•The number of billion dollar deals in 2008 were 7, against 4 in 2007
• Although interest plummeted in the aftermath of
the global financial crisis, the latest annual survey
of industry participants by Deloitte, suggests that
confidence has rebounded.
• More than 95% of respondents said that they
expected investment activity in China's private
equity market to increase in 2010, driven by an
improving economic environment and an
upturn in local stock markets.
• Honson To, Partner and Regional Head of Private
Equity across Asia Pacific at KPMG said:
“We have seen an increased willingness to do
deals compared to several months ago, both on
the part of private equity firms and companies
raising capital. This may be driven by the
realization that there are many business segments
in China that remain promising, despite the global
economic turmoil, while valuations may be
reaching levels that are enticing to both buyer and
seller”.
• Consumer driven sectors will continue be the
hottest growth sectors for investment.
• Pharma & biotech have been growing rapidly in
China in recent years and will attract more PE
investment.
• With a large population, energy saving and
environmental protection remain a big challenge to
the Chinese government. The “Green” industry,
new energy and clean technology sectors are hot
areas for PE investors in China.
• Private equity from local government or central
government will witness rapid growth, e.g. China
Social Security Fund, Chinese Government Funds,
CIC, etc.
• Destinations for PE investment are going to be
more diversified as tier-two and tier-three cities
are attracting more development opportunities.
2009 2010 and beyond
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Infrastructure will be the most popular sector for PE investors in India in 2010
25
Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows
Source: Deloitte Corporate Finance Services India Private Limited
• Private equity deals slowed significantly over
Q1, Q2 and Q3 of 2009 and at an accelerated
rate.
• PE investment in the first 3 quarters of 2009
totaled USD2.3 bn, a 75% plunge compared
to USD 9.2 bn in the same period of 2008.
• This was primarily caused by two key factors:
• The global economic downturn hit the
demand and confidence of consumers as
well as enterprises.
• Mismatch on valuation expectations
between investors and sellers.
• Financial services, TMT and infrastructure
sectors were most favored by private equity
investors.
• All the top international PE players today
have a presence in India and are making
investments in various sectors. They include
the Blackstone Group, Kohlberg Kravis
Roberts (KKR), W.L. Ross & Co, Warburg
Pincus, Providence Equity Partners, Carlyle
Group, Actis Capital, 3i Group, Deutsche
Bank and Temasek Holdings of Singapore.
2009
• Retail and consumer products, as well as pharma & biotech will
remain popular sectors given growth in disposable income and
increasing spending power.
• Although poor infrastructure will hold back the rate of growth of PE
investment, the infrastructure sector should emerge as a major PE
destination in India.
• The education sector, cleantech and renewable energy will also be
very attractive in 2010 and beyond.
• A survey by Deloitte Corporate Finance completed in February 2009
shows the following industries are expected to be most popular for
PE investors in India.
2010 and beyond
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About GIA
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Global Intelligence Alliance (GIA) was formed in 1995
when a team of market intelligence specialists,
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to make better informed decisions worldwide.
GIA is a strategic market Intelligence and advisory group
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
GIA Group has 12 offices on 4
continents. Together with affiliated GIA
Member companies, certified GIA
Research Partners and consultants,
GIA provides access to local knowledge
in over 100 countries.
All GIA Network companies adhere to
GIA‟s Research and Analysis Quality
System as well as the SCIP Code of
Ethics.
Access local knowledge in over 100 countries
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
360 target evaluationSector topography and opportunity
studies
Access network of industry insiders / domain
expertise to address hard to solve issues
Forecasting and impact
analysis of sectoral
trends
System dynamics and
game theory modeling
Identify and evaluate
potential exit partners
Monitor industry exits/
M&A activity
Idea generation
Research/
due diligence
Portfolio
management
Screening
Exit
Identify, monitor and quantify new threats &
developmentsEvaluation of investment
theses and assumptions
Assess viability of targetgrowth strategy andability to compete
Benchmark products/ services and forecast
market success
Investment identification and screening
Development of company screening
models
We bring value to private equity investment decisions
Conclusions based on end-to-end research, from suppliers to customers .
Global coverage, and local expertise in 16 countries in APAC.
Leverage local industry experience. No
„learning curve‟ at your expense.
Answers in days, not weeks.
Independent 3rd party opinion on opportunity.
In-country industry expert network at critical stage of transaction and development.
We understand the PE investor mindset, investment lifecycle and mode of cooperation.
Integrated due diligence
Fact based decisions
Rapid diagnosis
Interviews with local industry players along the value-chain (suppliers, competitors, distributors, retailers, customers, regulatory and industry experts.
Cross-referencing and validation of critical data / assumptions.
GIA‟s suite of services to
support investment decisions
Value
Creation
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Over the last decade, the private equity industry has experienced dramatic growth in scale and ambition
Recent difficulties in fund raising coupled with defaults by portfolio companies mean challenging times for investors.
Intense rivalry between PE houses, and a scarcity of proprietary investment opportunities are leading to an increasing
focus on generating attractive proprietary deal flow, making superior investment decisions and on adding value to
portfolio companies.
Recognizing this we have developed a proprietary network of industry and technical consultants throughout the world as
the cornerstone of our approach to addressing our client‟s commercial due diligence needs.
We can help you to address these challenges and more.Contact us to find out how:[email protected]
GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com
Strategic market intelligence & advisory
www.globalintelligence.com
GIA is a strategic market intelligence and advisory group that is
consistently commended for its reliable client-oriented and expertise-
based solutions. According to our latest customer survey, a full 100%
of our retainer clients say they would recommend GIA as a business
partner to their peers.