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All Rights Reserved ©2010 www.globalintelligence.com Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook Industry Outlook for 2010 and beyond January 2010 Global Intelligence Alliance©2010. All rights reserved. Contact: Nicolas Pechet , Vice President, China, and Head of Private Equity practice, [email protected] Vishwanath Desai, Senior Consultant, [email protected] Web: www.globalintelligence.com Tel: Hong Kong (852) 2107 4299 Singapore (65) 6423 1681 New York (1) 212 946 2628 London (44) 207 203 8382

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Page 1: Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook - M-Brain Market ... · Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook Industry Outlook for 2010 and beyond January 2010 ... as ongoing market monitoring

All Rights Reserved ©2010 www.globalintelligence.com

Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook

Industry Outlook for 2010 and beyond

January 2010

Global Intelligence Alliance©2010. All rights reserved.

Contact: Nicolas Pechet , Vice President, China, and Head of Private Equity practice, [email protected]

Vishwanath Desai, Senior Consultant, [email protected]

Web: www.globalintelligence.com

Tel: Hong Kong (852) 2107 4299 Singapore (65) 6423 1681 New York (1) 212 946 2628 London (44) 207 203 8382

Page 2: Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook - M-Brain Market ... · Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook Industry Outlook for 2010 and beyond January 2010 ... as ongoing market monitoring

GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

Table of contents

Outlook for Private Equity in Asia

Key Private Equity Strategies and Opportunities

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

About GIA

4

7

15

26

Methodology:

This industry briefing is based on a month long study involving over 20 in-depth interviews with business leaders within Asia‟s Private Equity industry, including senior executives from Apax Partners, Baring Private Equity Asia, CLSA, GE Capital, Morgan Stanley, as well as ongoing market monitoring and analysis of PE industry trends since 2008.

The report is provided as is, free of charge and without any warranty or guarantee. Global Intelligence Alliance accepts no responsibility for errors or omissions, or for any loss or consequential loss arising as a result of decisions taken based on its contents.

©2010 Global Intelligence Alliance. All rights reserved. This report is copyrighted, however individual pages or portions thereof may be copied referencing “Global Intelligence Alliance” as the source.

2

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GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com 3

Abbreviations and acronyms

APAC Asia Pacific

AUM Assets under management

BFS Banking and finance

bn Billion

CAGR Compound annual growth rate

FDI Foreign direct investment

GPs General Partners

IPO Initial public offering

KPI Key performance indicator

LPs Limited Partners

mn Million

PE Private equity

Q-o-Q Quarter-on-quarter

R&D Research & Development

ROI Return on investment

TMT Telecom, Media and Technology

UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.

Y-o-Y Year on Year

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www.globalintelligence.com

Outlook for Private Equity in Asia

Page 5: Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook - M-Brain Market ... · Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook Industry Outlook for 2010 and beyond January 2010 ... as ongoing market monitoring

GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com 5

Outlook for PE sector in Asia is generally very positive, though much uncertainty remains in short to medium term

Outlook for Private Equity in Asia

Private equity leaders in Asia remain generally very positive about growth of their industry in the region given strong

economic fundamentals, particularly in several of the region‟s top markets (i.e. China and India). However their outlook

on growth levels in the coming years varies substantially in light of economic uncertainty. Their expectations can be

captured along three key scenarios - strong growth, moderate growth, moderate growth and saturation.

“The Private Equity industry in Asia will undoubtedly continue to grow. The fundamentals of the region are right

and this presents great opportunities for Private Equity investors.”

-- Managing Director, GE Equity

Source: Global Intelligence Alliance, Research & Analysis, Center for Asia Private Equity Research

110,590

134,981

166,139

207,381

254,037

262,317

2004 2005 2006 2007 20081H „09

Asian private equity aggregate fund

pool (2004-1H 2009, millions of USD)

2012 20152009

Scenario 2:

Moderate

growth

Scenario 3:

Moderate growth

and saturation

Outlook for investment activities in AsiaScenario 1:

Strong growth

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GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

Outlook for growth of PE sector in Asia

6

Scenario 2: Moderate growth

• Asia continues to attract capital for PE funds, however, the inflow of PE capital gradually outpaces economic

growth and productive use for such capital, causing competition amongst private equity firms to intensify further.

PE investment returns drop as the market matures.

• Some capital is ultimately redirected to more attractive asset classes in which risk adjusted returns are higher.

“Lack of experienced and seasoned professionals and team who can manage capital and risk effectively through the various economic

cycles could be a key barrier for growth of private equity industry in Asia.”

-- Managing Director, Baring Private Equity Partners

• Asia continues to recover from the economic downturn relatively faster than the US and Europe. Companies in

Asia continue to require capital to support expansion. Relatively low valuations caused by downturn attract PE

funds to close more deals in near term.

• Economic growth of 7 % to 10% in India and China remains on track in coming years, while demand for capital

in these countries remains high in order to meet requirements for growth.

• Strong economic growth absorbs PE investment and sustains further growth of PE industry.

• High net worth individuals, sovereign funds and institutional asset managers continue to show strong interest in

exposure to PE in Asia, making prospects for raising PE capital in Asia very bright.

Scenario 1: Strong growth

• Overinvestment in many core sectors such as chemical and manufacturing, and excessive competition amongst

PE investors in the few remaining attractive sectors lead to weak PE investment returns.

• Insufficient fund managers with skills to navigate PE funds through challenging cycles further limits growth. Only

the best PE firms with top talent continue to thrive and attract capital.

• A substantial reduction in capital allocated to PE funds occurs, eventually bringing the industry back to a more

sustainable and balanced size.

Scenario 3: Moderate growth and saturation

Outlook for Private Equity in Asia

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www.globalintelligence.com

Key Private Equity Strategies and Opportunities

Page 8: Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook - M-Brain Market ... · Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook Industry Outlook for 2010 and beyond January 2010 ... as ongoing market monitoring

GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

Key value creation areas by PE investors to portfolio companies in Asia

8

Key Private Equity Strategies and Opportunities

1 Bringing international exposure to portfolio company management

• Access to senior management professionals and advisors with specific expertise.

• Cross border collaboration with other portfolio companies.

• Support for expansion in overseas markets through network and other portfolio companies.

2 Assistance in business development and growth planning

• Steering organic growth via focused 100 day plans as well as long term business planning.

• Rapid growth through M&A and partnerships in international markets.

3 Understanding and advice on capital structure

• Assistance in capital need identification, capital allocation and management.

4 Assistance for IPO readiness

• Setting up corporate governance and financial reporting systems as a precursor to IPO.

• Promoting management reporting and transparency.

5 Operational best practices and optimization

• Performance measurement and planning.

• Sharing practices such as Six Sigma, inventory optimization and lean manufacturing.

“As the industry matures, simple Pre-IPO deals will become less attractive. To maintain high returns, PE firms will have to

undertake deals where success depends more on improvement of the underlying business. Handling this operational risk

requires a different skill set.”

-- Former Investment Manager, Apax Partners

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Opportunities created by global financial downturn

9

Key Private Equity Strategies and Opportunities

• Quality of deals improved

During last 4 quarters, companies in all major sectors more or less saw the effect of economic slowdown. The deal flow

surged till 2nd quarter of 2009. As a result PE firms received high quality leads and improved deal quality.

• Acquisitions multiples have gone low. Thus there now are good companies available at cheaper prices. PE firms

could assist portfolio companies better through strategic acquisitions/partnerships.

• Competition moderated and principles of PE business underscored

• Competition from “me too” deal makers and hedge funds got moderated during recent time.

• PE fund managers and firms could convince investors about their capabilities to manage the portfolio successfully

through the downturn.

• Importance of portfolio management increased

• Due to unattractive exit options, PE firms preferred to stay longer in the existing deals to improve the performance of

portfolio companies.

• Short term working capital management, customer focus, effective capital allocation and utilization by portfolio

companies.

• Smaller positions (investments of small size) are now getting better attention as PE funds focus more on portfolio

management.

Executives share that Private Equity firms in Asia were less impacted by the economic crisis as compared to many large

US or European funds. However, many US/European funds investing in Asia have been constrained in terms of ability to

exit deals, and have seen loss of some value during the recent cycle.

“I haven‟t seen many deals at bargain valuations here in Asia. Companies that have focus on domestic markets

have done well. ”

-- Managing Director, Morgan Stanley Private Equity

Page 10: Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook - M-Brain Market ... · Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook Industry Outlook for 2010 and beyond January 2010 ... as ongoing market monitoring

GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

Shifting industry sector focus and deal sources

10

Source: GIA Research & Analysis

Consumer &

Retail

Renewable

Energy

HealthcareTechnology /

Media

Financial

Services

Agriculture EducationBusiness

Services

Manufacturing

/ Industrial

Infrastructure

/Real Estate

Key sectors for PE investment in Asia

Deal sources % range

Individual referrals 5 – 20

Self researched & identified 10 – 50

Approached by companies 5 – 30

Investment banks/brokers 30 – 60

Others* 10 – 40

* includes small boutique I-Banks, accounting firms,

consulting firms, industry associations, etc.

Sector focused strategies

Key countries for PE investment in Asia

Ge

og

rap

hy f

oc

us

ed

fu

nd

s

India

ChinaS. Korea

Australia

Singapore

Vietnam

Hong Kong

Japan

• Deals sourced through individual referrals and

networks tend to have a higher success rate for a

range of reasons (e.g. less competitive deal terms,

higher trust factor, etc.).

Research

/ Due

Diligence

ExitPortfolio

Management

Idea

generationScreening

Current actively invested sectors

Future attractive sectors for investment

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GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

Growth capital screening process similar to US and EU, but more effort required to forecast market growth and regulatory dynamics in Asia

11

Market

Company

Deal structure

• Country‟s macro-economic growth, legal frameworks/ investor

protection, geographical fit with fund mandate

• Fundamentals of target industry/market, including industry size,

structure and growth potential

• Competitive landscape and intensity, new entrants and barriers

to entry

• Regulatory environment, government control / intervention

• Strategic fit with firm‟s investment mandate and clear strategy for

value creation during holding period

• 360 degree assessment of target company, including due

diligence on such factors as:

• Business plan, business model, scalability, track record,

financials, etc.

• Comparative advantages (e.g. IP, technology, brand, license,

etc.)

• Management quality and compatibility

• Top and bottom line growth potential

• Legal, technology, operational, other risks

• Capital requirements for expansion

• Etc.

Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis

Research

/ Due

Diligence

ExitPortfolio

Management

Idea

generationScreening

Deal funnel

• Investment size

• Entry price / valuation

• Holding period

• Control

• Other investor / shareholder rights and conditions

• Exit options

Scre

en

ing

Du

e d

ilig

en

ce

De

al str

uctu

rin

g

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Key post investment priorities typically used by APAC PE investors to lay foundations for long-term value creation

12

Research

/ Due

Diligence

ExitPortfolio

Management

Idea

generationScreening

1 Working capital management to meet short term objectives

• Re-negotiation of supplier contracts and centralizing procurement.

• Supply chain improvement, reducing inventory, and optimization of working capital.

• Cash-flow management and optimization.

2 Strengthening management of the company

• Identification and prioritization of key issues for Board and management to address.

• Incentive alignment of various stakeholders.

3 Financial and control system implementation

• Assessment and improvement of financial reporting systems.

• Implementation of policies to promote transparency.

• Balance sheet management to manage risk while meeting long term needs.

4 Efficient capital allocation and capital usage

• Identification of capital needs and alignment with growth objectives.

• Prioritization of capital allocation and control on expenditure.

5 Implementation of operational level strategies

• Identification of operational issues and implementation of improvement programs.

• Implementation of operational improvement can be much more difficult in emerging Asian markets given gaps

in knowledge, and thus requires more hands on involvement from PE firm.

Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis

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GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

Key value creation levers most commonly used by PE executives interviewed

13

Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis

Sales focus optimization

Sales force efficiency and

organization

Compensation scheme

Purchasing

Total cost of ownership

(TCO) reduction

Make-or-Buy

Low-cost-country sourcing

Sales effectiveness

New market entry

Distribution network

Customer portfolio

Pricing optimization

Marketing Strategies

•Customer need

assessment

•New product and service

offering

G&A rationalization

Overhead / support

function efficiency

Shared services

Off- and near shoring

IT performance

Inventory management

Inventory optimization

Efficient warehousing

Supply chain

Supplier network strategy

Lead time reduction

Manufacturing

Make-or-Buy

Manufacturing footprint

optimization

Benchmarking

Production efficiency

Marketing Strategies

Customer need

assessment

New product and service

offering

Working capital /

optimization

Supplier payment terms

Account receivable

Cash management

Asset restructuring

Sale of new core assets

Company restructuring

Plant optimization

External growth

Growth opportunities

identification and target

Screening acquisitions of

high potential targets

Post Merger Integration

Profit and loss Balance sheet

CoGS optimization

SG&A optimization

Sales optimization

Geographic/product

expansionNew markets focus

Increasing core

competencies

New products & services

R&D efficiency

Research

/ Due

Diligence

ExitPortfolio

Management

Idea

generationScreening

Very high impact High impact Moderate impact

Page 14: Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook - M-Brain Market ... · Asia Private Equity Leaders’ Outlook Industry Outlook for 2010 and beyond January 2010 ... as ongoing market monitoring

GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

Exit strategies heavily reliant on IPOs

14

IPO remains the preferred exit strategy for most funds across various APAC markets, though strategic/

trade sales and overseas backdoor listings are prevalent for smaller markets in South East Asia.

Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis, Center for Asia Private Equity Research

Research

/ Due

Diligence

ExitPortfolio

Management

Idea

generationScreening

Exit strategies by key geographies

• IPOs will continue to be the key exit strategy,

particularly given the increasingly large

demand for IPOs in China and India, and

falling capital controls allowing capital to flow

into those markets more freely.

• China – Exit route is mainly via IPO, though

backdoor listing in overseas markets are

commonly used given long lead times to

complete IPOs domestically.

• India – a mix of both IPO and trade sales

with majority of deals exiting via IPO.

• South East Asia – exits tend to be more via

strategic/trade sales given limited domestic

IPO markets.

• Korea – exits tend to be primarily via through

strategic/ trade sales, through domestic IPO

markets are increasingly robust.

• Australia & Japan – a mix of strategic/trade

sales and IPOs.

5% - Others, including

dividends and write-downs

31%

Strategic/

Trade sales64% - IPO

N = 176 exits

Number of exits in 2008

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www.globalintelligence.com

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

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GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

China & India to continue leading the economic recovery

16

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis, IMF Asia Regional Economic Outlook Oct 2009

• Asia is leading the recovery from the global downturn, with the region‟s GDP forecast to grow at 5.75% in 2010. The

relatively strong recovery is attributed to following key drivers:

• Effective fiscal and economical policies implemented by Governments in Asia, particularly in China.

• China and India‟s effectiveness in compensating for loss of exports via highly responsive and aggressive fiscal stimulus

and credit easing in 2009.

• Trade normalization: in late 2009, Japan, newly industrialized and ASEAN 5 countries have seen uptake in demand.

• China and India will remain key economic drivers for regional growth. China GDP is expected to grow at 9% in 2010 and

further at 10% through 2012.

• A key challenge for Asia to contend with in 2010 will be to implement policies which support recovery momentum while

external demand is expected to remain weak in the medium term.

8.50%

5.36%4.61%

- 0.99%

-3.62% -3.33%

0.73%

-5.37%

9.84%

7.63%6.55%

4.97%4.33% 4.17%

3.42%

2.32%

China India Vietnam South Korea Hong Kong Singapore Australia Japan

2009

2012

GDP Growth Rate Forecast

(2009, 2012)

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GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

FDI inflows expected to continue to rise through 2011

17

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

Source: Survey by United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)

• Investment activities in East and South Asia set to grow in next 3 years;

largest percentage of respondent companies reported in UNCTAD‟s

survey that they planned to increase their FDI in this region.

• China and India featured in the UNCTAD‟s top 5 list of destinations for

investment through 2011; both countries showed highest growth in FDI

inflows in 2008.

• Large market size and growth, presence of an integrated supply chain,

skilled labor and talent are the primary reasons for investment growth

in Asian markets.

Inward Foreign Direct Investment(USD millions)

2,628

6,739

31,550

22,549

25,127

44,330

54,365

83,521

7,603

8,050

22,725

24,426

41,554

46,774

63,003

108,312

South Korea

Vietnam

Singapore

Japan

India

Australia

Hong Kong

China

2008

2007

Home region Most favored destinations

North AmericaChina, United Kingdom, The Russian Federation,

Germany, Brazil, United States

EuropeUnited States, China, India, Brazil, The Russian

Federation, United Kingdom

Japan China, India, United States, Brazil, Vietnam,

Germany

Developing Asia China, United States, Indonesia, Australia, India,

Vietnam

Top 6 FDI destinations, by home region(UNCTAD Survey)

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PE investments in Asia bottomed out in Q4 2008

18

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis, Asia Venture Capital Journal, KPMG

• East Asia remained a major recipient of Private Equity

investment in 1H 2009; China and South Korea saw the

largest size deals followed by Australia, India and

Singapore.

• China recorded highest investment activity with 84 deals in

1H 2009.

• Hopu Investment Management and Temasek

Holdings‟ investment of USD 4.5bn to acquire a 3.6%

stake in China Construction Bank was the most

significant deal in China.

• Private Equity investment activities in the region has shown a „V‟

shaped recovery in first two quarters of 2009 after bottoming in 4Q

2008.

• Investment in 1H 2009 amounted for USD 22.4bn, 36% less than

similar period in 2008.

• However, a record low since 2005, only USD 9.8bn of fresh

capital flowed into funds in of 1H 2009.

• As markets are stabilizing and new funds are being setup, total

AUM in Asian private equity is expected to grow significantly

during the second half of 2009 and early 2010.

20.6

27.7

19.7

15.4

11.4

7.4

10.312.1

3Q 2007 4Q 2007 1Q 2008 2Q 2008 3Q 2008 4Q 2008 1Q 2009 2Q 2009

Asia: Q-o-Q PE investment (USD billion)

China44%

Japan

6%

South

Korea

4%Australia

9%

India 26%

Vietnam

3%

Others

8%

Asia: Number of PE deals 1H 2009Total deals studied: 190

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TMT was the largest sector for PE investment in 2008 in Asia, followed by manufacturing and industrial sectors

19

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

Source: Thomson Reuters

Telecom, Media,

Technology

20%

Manufacturing &

Industrial 11%

Consumer

& Retail

9%

Business services

9%

Alternative energy

5%

Agriculture,

Forestry

4%

Financial

services

4%Chemicals &

Materials

4%Transportation

4%

Construction 3%

Others

27%

Asia: Private Equity investment by industry (2008)(USD billion)

Fund type # of funds Total Amount

(USD billion)

Buyouts 17 20.07

Growth 86 18.16

VC 60 5.26

Infrastructure 11 3.34

Mezzanine 3 0.96

Secondary 1 0.48

Asia: Private Equity fund types (2008)

• Buyouts are the leading type of private equipment investment,

representing 41.5% of the total.

• The average buyout fund size in 2008 was ~USD 1.18bn.

• In India and South East Asia, non-buyouts were the dominant

transaction type.

• While developed economies see substantial amounts of buyout

transactions, emerging economies such as India and China have

yet to see significant volumes of buyouts. As industries in those

countries consolidate and mature in the coming decades, buyout

volumes are expected to increase.

• Telecom, Media and Technology (TMT) remains the largest

sector for PE investment in 2008 in Asia, followed by

manufacturing and industrial.

• Consumer & retail sector enjoyed relatively consistent growth

despite the global economic downturn in all major countries in

Asia, and proved to be another important sector for attracting

PE investment.

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China led the regional fund pool for 2008, with 49% of all assets under management in Asia going to China

20

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis

• China led the fund pool for 2008 with 49% of all investments

in Asia going to China.

• India, with a fund pool of US$7.8bn, was 2nd to China.

• The allure of China and India‟s market potential is clearly

shown in this distribution of funds.

• Developed economies such as Japan and South Korea have

a relatively small fund pool, with Australia being the only

exception in the developed segment. This is however slightly

misleading as much Australia‟s AUM are directed towards

other APAC countries.

Australia, 4.5

China, 15

India, 7.8

Japan, 2.6

SE Asia, 0.22

South Korea, 0.66

• Banking and Finance (BFS) were most preferred

across Asia, attracting 25% of invested private equity

capital.

• Though IT & Telcom attracted the 3rd largest amount of

private equity investment, it managed the highest

number of transactions in 2008, totaling to 144.

• The remaining private equity investments are

diversified across a broad range of sectors, ranging

from consumer and retail, to education and agriculture.

Banking &

Finance

Industrial &

Mfg. Goods

IT & Telecom

4.6

Others 21.94

11.4

8.4

Asia: Private Equity AUM by country (2008)(USD billion)

Asia: Private Equity investment by sector (2008)(USD billion)

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Average private equity deal size in Asia increased by ~15% in 2008 given fewer deals

21

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis, Asia PE Review 2008

• US$46.3 billion in private equity deals was

completed in 2008, virtually unchanged

from 2007 levels.

• 789 private equity investment transactions

were known to have been completed in

2008, a 13.0% decline from 907 deals in

2007, indicating a higher average deal

value in 2008.

• The average deal size has increased to

US$66.4 million in 2008, an increase of

~15% over 2007.

• The number of billion dollar deals in Asia in 2008 increased to 7, against only 4 in 2007.

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The financial services sector received most private equity investment in H1 2009 in China and India

22

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

Source: AVCJ Asian Private Equity Barometer, Q1 and Q2 2009 report

India-PE Investments by Industry in H1 2009 (mn USD)

818

518

138

103

86

47

43

42

34

31

Financial services

Telecom/Media/Technology

Infrastructure

Utilities

Medical

Consumer products & services

Ecology

Transportation / Distribution

Manufacturing-heavy

Retail/Wholesale

China-PE Investments by Industry in H1 2009 (mn USD)

5311

523

437

249

227

141

110

69

69

20

10

Financial services

Retail/Wholesale

Transportation/Distribution

Telecom/Media/Technology

Manufacturing-heavy

Textiles and clothing

Electronics

Non-financial services

Mining and metals

Leisure/Entertainment

Construction

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Japan saw huge PE investments in the leisure/ entertainment industry in H1 2009, while Australia’s investments were heavily focused on financial services

23

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

Japan-PE Investments by Industry in H1 2009 (mn USD)

1682

160

119

113

93

89

84

37

33

3

Leisure/Entertainment

Financial services

Manufacturing-heavy

Non-financial services

Telecom/Media/Technology

Manufacturing-light

Travel/Hospitality

Transportation/Distribution

Construction

Electronics

Source: Global Intelligence Alliance Research & Analysis

Australia-PE Investments by Industry in H1 2009 (mn USD)

5070

569

397

272

96

84

33

32

9

2

Financial services

Utilities

Environmental Management

Consumer products & services

Telecom/Media/Technology

Mining and metals

Medical

Electronics

Manufacturing-Heavy

Textile & clothing

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Private equity firms are very upbeat about investment opportunities in China in 2010

24

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

Source: Chinaventure.com

•The average deal size has increased to

US$66.4 million in 2008, compared to the

US$57.6 million

•The number of billion dollar deals in 2008 were 7, against 4 in 2007

• Although interest plummeted in the aftermath of

the global financial crisis, the latest annual survey

of industry participants by Deloitte, suggests that

confidence has rebounded.

• More than 95% of respondents said that they

expected investment activity in China's private

equity market to increase in 2010, driven by an

improving economic environment and an

upturn in local stock markets.

• Honson To, Partner and Regional Head of Private

Equity across Asia Pacific at KPMG said:

“We have seen an increased willingness to do

deals compared to several months ago, both on

the part of private equity firms and companies

raising capital. This may be driven by the

realization that there are many business segments

in China that remain promising, despite the global

economic turmoil, while valuations may be

reaching levels that are enticing to both buyer and

seller”.

• Consumer driven sectors will continue be the

hottest growth sectors for investment.

• Pharma & biotech have been growing rapidly in

China in recent years and will attract more PE

investment.

• With a large population, energy saving and

environmental protection remain a big challenge to

the Chinese government. The “Green” industry,

new energy and clean technology sectors are hot

areas for PE investors in China.

• Private equity from local government or central

government will witness rapid growth, e.g. China

Social Security Fund, Chinese Government Funds,

CIC, etc.

• Destinations for PE investment are going to be

more diversified as tier-two and tier-three cities

are attracting more development opportunities.

2009 2010 and beyond

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Infrastructure will be the most popular sector for PE investors in India in 2010

25

Snapshot of APAC Private Equity Investment Flows

Source: Deloitte Corporate Finance Services India Private Limited

• Private equity deals slowed significantly over

Q1, Q2 and Q3 of 2009 and at an accelerated

rate.

• PE investment in the first 3 quarters of 2009

totaled USD2.3 bn, a 75% plunge compared

to USD 9.2 bn in the same period of 2008.

• This was primarily caused by two key factors:

• The global economic downturn hit the

demand and confidence of consumers as

well as enterprises.

• Mismatch on valuation expectations

between investors and sellers.

• Financial services, TMT and infrastructure

sectors were most favored by private equity

investors.

• All the top international PE players today

have a presence in India and are making

investments in various sectors. They include

the Blackstone Group, Kohlberg Kravis

Roberts (KKR), W.L. Ross & Co, Warburg

Pincus, Providence Equity Partners, Carlyle

Group, Actis Capital, 3i Group, Deutsche

Bank and Temasek Holdings of Singapore.

2009

• Retail and consumer products, as well as pharma & biotech will

remain popular sectors given growth in disposable income and

increasing spending power.

• Although poor infrastructure will hold back the rate of growth of PE

investment, the infrastructure sector should emerge as a major PE

destination in India.

• The education sector, cleantech and renewable energy will also be

very attractive in 2010 and beyond.

• A survey by Deloitte Corporate Finance completed in February 2009

shows the following industries are expected to be most popular for

PE investors in India.

2010 and beyond

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www.globalintelligence.com

About GIA

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GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

Global Intelligence Alliance (GIA) was formed in 1995

when a team of market intelligence specialists,

management consultants, industry analysts and

technology experts came together to build a powerful

suite of customized solutions ranging from outsourced

market monitoring services and software, to strategic

analysis and advisory.Today, we are the preferred partner for organizations

seeking to understand, compete and grow in

international markets. Our industry expertise and

coverage of over 100 countries enables our customers

to make better informed decisions worldwide.

GIA is a strategic market Intelligence and advisory group

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GIA Industry White Paper 1 / 2010: Asia Private Equity Leaders‟ Outlook www.globalintelligence.com

GIA Group has 12 offices on 4

continents. Together with affiliated GIA

Member companies, certified GIA

Research Partners and consultants,

GIA provides access to local knowledge

in over 100 countries.

All GIA Network companies adhere to

GIA‟s Research and Analysis Quality

System as well as the SCIP Code of

Ethics.

Access local knowledge in over 100 countries

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360 target evaluationSector topography and opportunity

studies

Access network of industry insiders / domain

expertise to address hard to solve issues

Forecasting and impact

analysis of sectoral

trends

System dynamics and

game theory modeling

Identify and evaluate

potential exit partners

Monitor industry exits/

M&A activity

Idea generation

Research/

due diligence

Portfolio

management

Screening

Exit

Identify, monitor and quantify new threats &

developmentsEvaluation of investment

theses and assumptions

Assess viability of targetgrowth strategy andability to compete

Benchmark products/ services and forecast

market success

Investment identification and screening

Development of company screening

models

We bring value to private equity investment decisions

Conclusions based on end-to-end research, from suppliers to customers .

Global coverage, and local expertise in 16 countries in APAC.

Leverage local industry experience. No

„learning curve‟ at your expense.

Answers in days, not weeks.

Independent 3rd party opinion on opportunity.

In-country industry expert network at critical stage of transaction and development.

We understand the PE investor mindset, investment lifecycle and mode of cooperation.

Integrated due diligence

Fact based decisions

Rapid diagnosis

Interviews with local industry players along the value-chain (suppliers, competitors, distributors, retailers, customers, regulatory and industry experts.

Cross-referencing and validation of critical data / assumptions.

GIA‟s suite of services to

support investment decisions

Value

Creation

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Over the last decade, the private equity industry has experienced dramatic growth in scale and ambition

Recent difficulties in fund raising coupled with defaults by portfolio companies mean challenging times for investors.

Intense rivalry between PE houses, and a scarcity of proprietary investment opportunities are leading to an increasing

focus on generating attractive proprietary deal flow, making superior investment decisions and on adding value to

portfolio companies.

Recognizing this we have developed a proprietary network of industry and technical consultants throughout the world as

the cornerstone of our approach to addressing our client‟s commercial due diligence needs.

We can help you to address these challenges and more.Contact us to find out how:[email protected]

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Strategic market intelligence & advisory

www.globalintelligence.com

GIA is a strategic market intelligence and advisory group that is

consistently commended for its reliable client-oriented and expertise-

based solutions. According to our latest customer survey, a full 100%

of our retainer clients say they would recommend GIA as a business

partner to their peers.