slr storm image loop

Newport HarborNewport, RI

Thames Street 1938 Hurricane

Photos: New England Hurricane A Factual Pictorial Record Works Progress Administration 1938

Evacuation Routes

Photos: Works Progress Administration1938, New England Hurricane A Factual Pictorial Record

Ocean DriveNewport, RI

Easton, Green End, Nelson and Gardner Ponds Reservoirs Newport, RI

28% of Newport Water District capacity~5000 residents and businesses

Drinking water facilities

Easton Reservoir after Tropical Storm Irene

Photo credit: Janet Freedman

Easton Beach after Irene

Easton Beach after Irene

Sandy Storm Damage in Newport - October 29, 2013

Sandy Storm Damage in Newport - October 29, 2013

Sandy Storm Damage in Newport - October 29, 2013

Sandy Storm Damage in Newport - October 29, 2013

Based on Net shoreline movement

Based on Net shoreline movement

December 12, 2008 Tidal Flood Event A Glimpse into the Future of

Waterplace Park?

Gilbane Office Trailer

James Boyd

RI Coastal Resources Management Council

December 12, 2008

December 12, 2008

Peak Flood Elevation

December 12, 2008

Flood Elevation

December 12, 2008

December 12, 2008

December 12, 2008

December 12, 2008

Will Providence look more like Venice in the future?

Photo: NY Times – Venice, Italy – December 1, 2008

Social Adaptation to Sea Level Rise?

Photo: NY Times – Venice, Italy – December 1, 2008

2005

Why Worry About Coastal Setbacks?

2007

GONE!

Why Worry About Coastal Setbacks?

Why Worry About Coastal Setbacks?

October 30, 2012

Tropical Storms (Hurricanes)Extra-tropical storms (Nor’easters)

Coastal ErosionHappens During Storms!

Atlantic Basin Tropical Storm Tracks 1851-2000

Graphic: USGS

Misquamicut 2012

Photo: RIDOT October 30, 2012

Coastal Erosion from Storms

Hurricane Sandy October 2012

Circa 1950s

The Ocean Mist

December 9, 2009

The Ocean Mist – Matunuck

April 1, 2010

Abandoned Cesspools

Now What?

HEIGHT NOW

Adapted from: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/

sltrends_station.shtml?stnid=8452660%20Newport,%20RIBoothroyd 2013

Rate of Rise 1930-19969.4 +/- 1 inch/100 yr

Rate of Rise 1930-201310.8 +/- .7 inch/100 yr

CU Sea Level Rise Research Group – University of Colorado http://sealevel.colorado.edu/

Satellite Radar Altimeter Data

Boothroyd 2013Rahmstorf et al., 2012

Observed Sea Level Rise is HIGHER than Projections

3.2 mm/yr observed vs. IPCC FAR estimate of 2.0 mm/yr (1993-2011)

Glass and Pilkey, 2013. Earth Vol. 58, No. 5

Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)North Kingstown Pilot Project (2011)

http://seagrant.gso.uri.edu/climate/habitat.html

Higher sea levels = more property at risk

Graphic courtesy of Jon Boothroyd URI

Hurricane Sandy2012

Rising sea levels will impact shoreline OWTS!

Source: USGS http://wh.er.usgs.gov/slr/coastalgroundwater.html

Sea Level Rise Influence on Groundwater

Problem!

Super-storm Sandy Impacts to RI CommunitiesWesterly Charlestown

Photo: RIDOT

NarragansettSouth Kingstown

Structural Failures

State Building Code Violations

Photo: RIDOT

CRMC Setbacks in Post-Storm Reality

Property line extent abutting town road

Inland edge of coastal feature

Less than 50 feet!

Base Flood Elevation (BFE)

Base Flood Elevation (BFE)

Design Flood Elevation (DFE)

Source: FEMA Coastal Construction Manual 2000

Freeboard

What is Freeboard?

Debris Removal from Overwash Sand - Westerly

WWW.CRMC.RI.GOV

Photo: RIDOT October 30, 2012