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Page 1: SLR Storm Image Loop

Newport HarborNewport, RI

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Thames Street 1938 Hurricane

Photos: New England Hurricane A Factual Pictorial Record Works Progress Administration 1938

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Evacuation Routes

Photos: Works Progress Administration1938, New England Hurricane A Factual Pictorial Record

Ocean DriveNewport, RI

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Easton, Green End, Nelson and Gardner Ponds Reservoirs Newport, RI

28% of Newport Water District capacity~5000 residents and businesses

Drinking water facilities

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Easton Reservoir after Tropical Storm Irene

Photo credit: Janet Freedman

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Easton Beach after Irene

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Easton Beach after Irene

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Sandy Storm Damage in Newport - October 29, 2013

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Sandy Storm Damage in Newport - October 29, 2013

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Sandy Storm Damage in Newport - October 29, 2013

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Sandy Storm Damage in Newport - October 29, 2013

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Based on Net shoreline movement

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Based on Net shoreline movement

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December 12, 2008 Tidal Flood Event A Glimpse into the Future of

Waterplace Park?

Gilbane Office Trailer

James Boyd

RI Coastal Resources Management Council

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December 12, 2008

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December 12, 2008

Peak Flood Elevation

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December 12, 2008

Flood Elevation

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December 12, 2008

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December 12, 2008

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December 12, 2008

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December 12, 2008

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Will Providence look more like Venice in the future?

Photo: NY Times – Venice, Italy – December 1, 2008

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Social Adaptation to Sea Level Rise?

Photo: NY Times – Venice, Italy – December 1, 2008

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2005

Why Worry About Coastal Setbacks?

2007

GONE!

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Why Worry About Coastal Setbacks?

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Why Worry About Coastal Setbacks?

October 30, 2012

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Tropical Storms (Hurricanes)Extra-tropical storms (Nor’easters)

Coastal ErosionHappens During Storms!

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Atlantic Basin Tropical Storm Tracks 1851-2000

Graphic: USGS

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Misquamicut 2012

Photo: RIDOT October 30, 2012

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Coastal Erosion from Storms

Hurricane Sandy October 2012

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Circa 1950s

The Ocean Mist

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December 9, 2009

The Ocean Mist – Matunuck

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April 1, 2010

Abandoned Cesspools

Now What?

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HEIGHT NOW

Adapted from: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/

sltrends_station.shtml?stnid=8452660%20Newport,%20RIBoothroyd 2013

Rate of Rise 1930-19969.4 +/- 1 inch/100 yr

Rate of Rise 1930-201310.8 +/- .7 inch/100 yr

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CU Sea Level Rise Research Group – University of Colorado http://sealevel.colorado.edu/

Satellite Radar Altimeter Data

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Boothroyd 2013Rahmstorf et al., 2012

Observed Sea Level Rise is HIGHER than Projections

3.2 mm/yr observed vs. IPCC FAR estimate of 2.0 mm/yr (1993-2011)

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Glass and Pilkey, 2013. Earth Vol. 58, No. 5

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Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)North Kingstown Pilot Project (2011)

http://seagrant.gso.uri.edu/climate/habitat.html

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Higher sea levels = more property at risk

Graphic courtesy of Jon Boothroyd URI

Hurricane Sandy2012

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Rising sea levels will impact shoreline OWTS!

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Source: USGS http://wh.er.usgs.gov/slr/coastalgroundwater.html

Sea Level Rise Influence on Groundwater

Problem!

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Super-storm Sandy Impacts to RI CommunitiesWesterly Charlestown

Photo: RIDOT

NarragansettSouth Kingstown

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Structural Failures

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State Building Code Violations

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Photo: RIDOT

CRMC Setbacks in Post-Storm Reality

Property line extent abutting town road

Inland edge of coastal feature

Less than 50 feet!

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Base Flood Elevation (BFE)

Base Flood Elevation (BFE)

Design Flood Elevation (DFE)

Source: FEMA Coastal Construction Manual 2000

Freeboard

What is Freeboard?

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Debris Removal from Overwash Sand - Westerly

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WWW.CRMC.RI.GOV

Photo: RIDOT October 30, 2012