identifying and prioritising adaptation actions

Identifying and prioritising adaptation actions

Introduction

Welcome & Acknowledgement

Background

• Workshops action plan

• General Manager’s support

Housekeeping

• Facilities, OH&S, Turn off mobiles

[Insert Council logo]

Purpose• Developing a Climate Change Action Plan

Program• Keeping to time • Respectful discussion

IntroductionsEvaluation forms

Introduction

Gain internal support

Gain internal support

Steering Committee Meeting 1-Develop a planning program

Steering Committee Meeting 1-Develop a planning program

Workshop 1-IntroductionWorkshop 1

-Introduction

Steering Committee Meeting 2-Research adaptation options

Steering Committee Meeting 2-Research adaptation options

Steering CommitteeMeeting 4 -Action plan

Steering CommitteeMeeting 4 -Action plan

Steering CommitteeMeeting 5 -Review

Steering CommitteeMeeting 5 -Review

Steering Committee Meeting 3 -MitigationSteering Committee

Meeting 3 -MitigationWorkshop 4

-Mitigation actionsWorkshop 4

-Mitigation actions

Identify Planning Team

Identify Planning Team

Workshop 2-Risk assessment

Workshop 2-Risk assessment

Workshop 3-Adaptation

actions

Workshop 3-Adaptation

actions

Progress

Expected outcomes

Participants will:• Understand the concept of adaptation• Identify adaptation actions • Determine effectiveness of adaptation actions - by re-analysing risk statements • Prioritise adaptation actions

Adaptation

• Adaptation: is preparing for the impacts of climate change

• Includes adjustments to reduce risks or take advantage of any potential benefits

Adaptation actions

Treating risks: often strategic planning & resource allocation (rather than short term, reactive)

• Avoiding risks e.g. change location of new housing developments

• Education public & staff awareness• Regulatory and institutional e.g. urban

planning

Photo by publik16 www.flickr.com

Adaptation actions

• Research for improved understanding• Structural & technological solutions e.g.

change in design of stormwater systems• Spreading risks e.g. financial products or

geographical diversification

Bellingen flood Oct 27 '09 by Pip Wilson www.flickr.com

Adaptation

• Under-adaptation & over-adaptation• Balanced approach to managing climate & non-

climate risks• Integrating climate change risk management

with the broader risk management processes • Focus on higher priority risks

Photo by Rossco www.flickr.com

Examples of adaptation actions

• Potential adaptation actions for Council include:

Overview of activity

Part 1: • Groups of 3-4 people• Templates with risk statements that relate to

your service area• Fill in templates with at least 3 adaptation

actions for each risk • Re-evaluate likelihood & consequence of each

risk assuming adaptation action is implemented

Part 2:• Risk assessment tool for determining new risk

rating & a risk effectiveness score for each adaptation action

• Check group agrees on rating

Firstly, recap of likelihood & consequence scales…..

Overview of activity

Success criteria

• Consequence = “How bad is it likely to be”• Risks can affect Council in many different ways

depending on objectives (success criteria)• Success criteria suggested by the AGO (2006):

– Public safety– Local economy and growth– Community and lifestyle– Environment and sustainability– Public administration

**Replace with Council risk framework if applicable** Photo by yewenyi www.flickr.com

Consequence

**Replace with Council risk framework if applicable**

Likelihood

Likelihood rating Recurrent Risks Single Events

Almost Certain May occur in most circumstances, say a number of times a month >90% chance of occurring

Likely May occur in most circumstances, say about once a year 50-90% chance of occurring

Possible May occur once every 2-5 years 20-50% chance of occurring

UnlikelyThe event may not yet have occurred, but could occur at some time, say once in 10 years

1-20% chance of occurring

Rare May occur in exceptional circumstances <1% change of occurring

**Replace with Council risk framework if applicable**

Analysing risks

Level of Risk = Likelihood of an occurrence x Consequence of that occurrence

MediumLowLowLowLowRare

MediumMediumMediumLowLowUnlikely

HighHighMediumMediumLowPossible

ExtremeHighHighMediumLowLikely

ExtremeExtremeHighMediumMediumAlmost Certain

Catastrophic

MajorModerateMinorInsignifican

t

Consequence

Lik

eli

ho

od

**Replace with Council risk framework if applicable**

Activity

Part 1: • Groups of 3-4 people• Templates with risk statements that relate to

your service area• Fill in templates with at least 3 adaptation

actions for each risk • If someone else is better placed to address a

risk, consult that person• Re-evaluate likelihood & consequence of each

risk assuming adaptation action is implemented

Activity

Break while information is entered into the risk assessment tool

Part 2:• Risk assessment tool for determining new risk

rating & a risk effectiveness score for each adaptation action

• Does group agree on the ratings?

• Any questions?

Conclusion

• Thank you

• Evaluation forms

References

AGO, 2006, Climate Change Impacts and Risk Management – A Guide for Business and Government http://www.climatechange.gov.au/community/~/media/publications/local-govt/risk-management.ashx