future cities: innovation, investment and transformation - professor sir david king

14th July 2015

Smart, Secure and Sustainable Cities India,

Windsor

,

Toronto,, Ontario, CANADA

CRISIS, WHICH CRISIS?

Cambridge

1

Future Cities: Innovation, Investment and

Transformation.

Professor Sir David King

UK Foreign Secretary’s Special Representative for Climate ChangeChair, Future Cities Catapult, UK

Total Population of the World in Billions

Source: IIASA

Middle Class*

*Middle class here defined as daily per capita spending of between $10 and $100 in PPP terms

21st Century Challenges

Conflict andterrorism

Water resource

Energy security and supply

Health and developmen

t

Food production

Climate change

Ecosystems

Minerals

Population – the driver

Conflict andterrorism

Water resource

Energy security and supply

Food production

Climate change

Ecosystems

Minerals

Demographics – the driver

2008 >50%

2050 >70%

GLOBAL URBAN GROWTH

MGI Commodity Price Index (years 1999-2001=100)

Source: McKinsey Global Institute 2011

Crude Oil Price versus Crude Oil Production from 1998 to present

Source: Murray, J. and King, D. (2012) Oil’s Tipping Point has Passed, Nature, Volume 481, 433-435

Sea Level and Temperature Measurements

Source: Met Office & Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory Liverpool

Cumulative total anthropogenic CO2 emissions from 1870 (GtCO2)

Risk of fatal heat stress

Risk of Crop Failure (Rice)

Probability of exceeding 4°C

Change in Return Periodof present 100-year flood event

Data extracted from Hallegatte et al. (2013)

Traffic

“Circular Economy”

Source: Ellen MacArthur Foundation

Low Carbon Vehicles

Source: Gordon Murray Designs

Energy & Urban Density

D. Lam & P. Head (Arup) in O.R. Inderwildi & D.A. Kind (Eds.), ‘Energy, Transport & the Environment, Springer 2012

People vs. Cars: Bogota

Source: Courtesy of Enrique Penalosa

VariaLift Airship

THANK YOU

If you’d like to know more about our work:

Visit our website futurecities.catapult.org.uk

Follow us on Twitter @FutureCitiesCat

Contact us directly info@futurecities.catapult.org.uk

David King, John Browne, Richard Layard, Gus O’Donnell,

Martin Rees, Nicholas Stern, Adair Turner