future cities: innovation, investment and transformation - professor sir david king
TRANSCRIPT
14th July 2015
Smart, Secure and Sustainable Cities India,
Windsor
,
Toronto,, Ontario, CANADA
CRISIS, WHICH CRISIS?
Cambridge
1
Future Cities: Innovation, Investment and
Transformation.
Professor Sir David King
UK Foreign Secretary’s Special Representative for Climate ChangeChair, Future Cities Catapult, UK
Total Population of the World in Billions
Source: IIASA
Middle Class*
*Middle class here defined as daily per capita spending of between $10 and $100 in PPP terms
21st Century Challenges
Conflict andterrorism
Water resource
Energy security and supply
Health and developmen
t
Food production
Climate change
Ecosystems
Minerals
Population – the driver
Conflict andterrorism
Water resource
Energy security and supply
Food production
Climate change
Ecosystems
Minerals
Demographics – the driver
2008 >50%
2050 >70%
GLOBAL URBAN GROWTH
MGI Commodity Price Index (years 1999-2001=100)
Source: McKinsey Global Institute 2011
Crude Oil Price versus Crude Oil Production from 1998 to present
Source: Murray, J. and King, D. (2012) Oil’s Tipping Point has Passed, Nature, Volume 481, 433-435
Sea Level and Temperature Measurements
Source: Met Office & Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory Liverpool
Cumulative total anthropogenic CO2 emissions from 1870 (GtCO2)
Risk of fatal heat stress
Risk of Crop Failure (Rice)
Probability of exceeding 4°C
Change in Return Periodof present 100-year flood event
Data extracted from Hallegatte et al. (2013)
Traffic
“Circular Economy”
Source: Ellen MacArthur Foundation
Low Carbon Vehicles
Source: Gordon Murray Designs
Energy & Urban Density
D. Lam & P. Head (Arup) in O.R. Inderwildi & D.A. Kind (Eds.), ‘Energy, Transport & the Environment, Springer 2012
People vs. Cars: Bogota
Source: Courtesy of Enrique Penalosa
VariaLift Airship
THANK YOU
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David King, John Browne, Richard Layard, Gus O’Donnell,
Martin Rees, Nicholas Stern, Adair Turner