electricity 2.0 - using the lessons of the web to improve our energy networks

Electricity 2.0

Using The Lessons Of the Web To Improve Our Energy Networks

Tom Raftery

•Lead analyst, energy and sustainability practice, RedMonk•GreenMonk.net•twitter.com/tomraftery•tom@redmonk.com•+34 677 695 468

Which Switch?

Telecoms

Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Alexander_Graham_Bell.jpg

Telecoms

Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:1876_Bell_Speaking_into_Telephone.jpg

Telecoms

Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Alexander_Graham_Bell.jpg Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/alt1040/2675256698/

Electricity

Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Thomas_Edison.jpg Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/intimaj/111843868/

Electricity 1.0 - Read Only

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/ericskiff/2400270056/

Electricity 1.0 - Top Down

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/mikedefiant/1949525340/

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/adambrock/142056834/

Electricity 1.0 - LAN!

Electricity 1.0 - buggy

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/smb_flickr/892015017/

Electricity 1.0 - Dumb!

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/bright/24691962/

Electricity 1.0 - Closed!

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/markusschoepke/72431367/

Electricity 1.0 - Architected for the Past

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/bakewell/35026819/

Provisioning for Hits

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/hsinho/228010056/

Provisioning for Hits

OH NOES!

Chart http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:RockyMtnGuy

Then along comes...

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/hsinho/228010056/

Renewable energy

Source - Red Eléctrica de España (http://www.ree.es)

Renewable energy

Source - http://www.eirgrid.ie

Renewable energy

Electricity Demand Wind Energy Wind

20065GW max

1.8GW min

0.9GW max

0.0GW min6.5%

Renewable energy - 2020

Electricity Demand Wind Energy Wind

202510GW max

3.6 GW min

6.3GW max

0.0GW min40%

Storage?

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/spo0ky/420291292/

Exotic storage solutions

Image http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/d/d9/Minebw-large.jpg

Exotic Storage solutions

Image http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9a/Pumpstor_racoon_mtn.jpg

Less Exotic Storage solutions!

Image http://www.flickr.com/photos/airport/154582232/

Which leads to...

Graph - http://www.eirgrid.ie

And this...

Solution? Make it a big Network!

Use proven principles

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/alexbip/247333777/

Information

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/traftery/2888824539/

Peak Shaving

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/ronlayters/13237817/

Peak Shaving in the home

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/andybutkaj/441970348/

Demand Stimulation

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/m_alsaleh/2737919108/

Demand Stimulation in the home

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/pigpogm/320545917/

The Read/Write Grid

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/cdell/185642911/

Vehicle to Grid - p2p power?

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/54493249@N00/2243340775/

Quote

I could imagine a smart garage where I would plug in my car and the computer handles it. I could even make money by cost shifting.... It solves energy security, energy prices and job creation...and by the way, climate change.

Eric SchmidtCEO Google

To Know Me Is To Change Me

Photo http://www.currentcost.co.uk

To Know Me Is To Change Me

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/tristanf/2627886505/

Hacking Your Home Electric

Infrastructure Requirements

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/eastpole/580765318/

Barriers to Participation?

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/gavinandrewstewart/93222089/

Quote

The electranet presumes that every citizen is a producer and seller of electricity as well as a consumer of electricity.

Jock Gill

Electricity 2.0

• Architecture of Participation • Bottom up and top down• Hackable • Massive routable network• Multiple Sources• New entrants • Open "API's" • Publish and Subscribe • Read and Write • Sustainable

Why is this important?

As global average temperature increase exceeds about 3.5 degrees C, model projections suggest significant extinctions (40-70% of species assessed) around the globe.

2007 IPCC Climate Change Synthesis Report

http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/syr/ar4_syr_spm.pdf

Why is this critical?

If there’s no action before 2012, that’s too late. What we do in the next two to three years will determine our future. This is the defining moment.

Rajendra PachauriChair IPCC