community-centered resilience: lessons from …justin kozak, phd, cfm researcher & policy...

Community-Centered Resilience: Lessons from Louisiana

November 6, 2019

Materials will be available at: www.eesi.org/110619lasafe

Tweet about the briefing: #eesitalk @eesionline

• Founded in 1984 by a bipartisanCongressional caucus.

• Now an independent, bipartisan nonprofit with no Congressional funding.

• We provide fact-based information on energy and environmental policy for Congress and other policymakers.

• We focus on win-win solutions to make our energy, buildings, and transportation sectors sustainable and resilient.

Visit www.eesi.org to:

• View videos of our Congressional briefings.

• Sign up to receive our briefing notices, and fact sheets.

• Subscribe to our newsletters, including Climate Change Solutions.

Mathew D. Sanders, AICPResilience Policy & Program AdministratorLouisiana Office of Community Development

Environmental and Energy Study Institute // 11.6.19

Community-Centered Resilience: Lessons from Louisiana

Liz Williams RussellCoastal Community Resilience DirectorFoundation for Louisiana

Elder Donald Bogen, Jr.OrganizerBayou Interfaith Shared Community Organizing

Justin Kozak, PhD, CFMResearcher & Policy AnalystCenter for Planning Excellence (CPEX)

Historic Hurricane Tracks 1854-Present

LAND & WETLANDS - 1960

LAND & WETLANDS - 2017

LAND LOSS – 2067

FLOOD RISK & LAND LOSS - 2017

15’12’

9’6’3’

FLOOD RISK & LAND LOSS - 2067

15’12’

9’6’3’

POPULATION SHIFTS 2000-2010

FEMA DECLAREDDISASTERS

Working together for community resilience, economic prosperity, and a better quality of life

for everyone in Louisiana.

1 3 4 5Identify

Challenges & Opportunities

Propose Strategies

Evaluate Vision &

Strategies

Policy, Program, &

Project Development

Project Evaluation

2

ParishwideMeeting

Community Meetings

ParishwideMeeting

Stakeholder Round-tables & Open Houses

ParishwideMeeting

March & April May & June July & August October December

71 Community Meetings2,835 Individual Participants

2017 Outreach & Engagement 2018 Plan Development

& Implementation

LA SAFE combined the highest rated

community strategies with

future flood risk and existing

efforts in each parish to create

draft projects

Public Boat DocksCross-Parish Stormwater ManagementCoastal Restoration and Jobs TrainingImproved Drainage SystemJob Training ProgramsIncreased Affordable Housing OptionsDrainage Requirements for New DevelopmentsCultural Camps & After School ProgramsCulvert & Ditch MaintenanceCommuter & Regional RailComplete StreetsCommunity Gardens & Planting ProgramsIncentivize Essential Service ProvidersMedium Density HousingImprove Public Transit Across Parish LinesCreate a full-time drain Maintenance DepartmentRestore Abandoned Property to Natural ConditionExpand Boat Harbors

Selected Project Portfolio Most popular strategies

Planning Around Supply Chains and Industries

Planning for Future Growth Corridors on High Ground

Six Parish Plans, One Regional Approach

Environmental and Energy Study Institute // 11.6.19

LA SAFE & Community Organizing

Liz Williams RussellCoastal Community Resilience DirectorFoundation for Louisiana

Philanthropy and Government Action• Civic Engagement, Leadership Development and

Relationship Infrastructure• Research and Analysis towards necessary policies

and practices• Storytelling to connect experiences of change to

narratives for action

Environmental and Energy Study Institute // 11.6.19

LA SAFE from the Community’s Perspective

Elder Donald Bogen, Jr.OrganizerBayou Interfaith Shared Community Organizing

IN THEIR WORDS“When you have to relocate, it is like a death.

It plays on your mental and physical well-being.”

4 in10know friends or neighbors who have left

Survey funded by National Association of Realtors

1 in 4 know family

who have left

MOVING AWAY

Community Faith Leaders Politician

LA SAFE: LONG TERM IMPACTS ON SOCIAL

NETWORKS

Healthy community debate

Government Led Planning often lacks inclusiveness

Local government

Federal government State government

Communities are often asked to comment on plans they didn’t make

The LA SAFE Approach: Was It Effective?

Environmental and Energy Study Institute // 11.6.19

The Need for Transformative Policy & Governance

Justin Kozak, PhD, CFMResearcher & Policy AnalystCenter for Planning Excellence (CPEX)

The Disconnect Between LA SAFE Planning and Local Adoption

The Challenge: Lack of capacity and local context

How do we buy down our risk?

With Coastal Master Plan

Without Plan

Low Scenario (most optimistic)

Medium Scenario High Scenario(least optimistic)

Louisiana Coastal Master Plan ScenariosScenario Planning

We’re used to responding to disasters

Collaboration, Communication, Coordination

Slower moving drivers of change

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100

Rela

tive

Sea

Leve

l Cha

nge

(feet

)

Low

Intermediate-Low

Intermediate

Data source: NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 083.

A collection of rational decisions adding up to an irrational result

Society requires stability in our institutionsAdaptation requires flexibility

Who should be thinking about the implications?

LA SAFE – Terrebonne Parish, LAModerate Risk – 50 year vision

Rethinking Government’s Approach to Climate Adaptation Planning

REALactions,

behaviours

CONCEPTUALrules, norms, governance

EXISTENTIALvalues, assumptions, beliefs

The Three Emergencies

James Butler, Ioan Fazey, Graham Leicester, Camille Manning Broome, Jeannette Dubinin

Visibility

Political

capitalAre we doing things right?

RESPONSES

Rethinking government’s approach to adaptation planning

REALactions,

behaviours

CONCEPTUALrules, norms, governance

EXISTENTIALvalues, assumptions, beliefs

The Three Emergencies

James Butler, Ioan Fazey, Graham Leicester, Camille Manning Broome, Jeannette Dubinin

Visibility

Political

capitalAre we doing things right?

What are the right things?

RESPONSES

Rethinking government’s approach to adaptation planning

REALactions,

behaviours

CONCEPTUALrules, norms, governance

EXISTENTIALvalues, assumptions, beliefs

The Three Emergencies

James Butler, Ioan Fazey, Graham Leicester, Camille Manning Broome, Jeannette Dubinin

Visibility

Political

capitalAre we doing things right?

What are the right things?

What is right?

RESPONSES

Rethinking government’s approach to adaptation planning

An Existential Emergency Up and Down the Bayou

What’s next?

How do we incentivize big ideas like LA SAFE?

Good Data and Modeling

0

10

20

2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100

Rela

tive

Sea

Leve

l Cha

nge

(feet

)

Low

Start the Conversation

Need to Build in Flexibility

Neighborhood

CommunityRegion

Site

Leadership

Mathew D. Sanders, AICPResilience Policy & Program AdministratorLouisiana Office of Community Development

Environmental and Energy Study Institute // 11.6.19

Community-Centered Resilience: Lessons from Louisiana

Liz Williams RussellCoastal Community Resilience DirectorFoundation for Louisiana

Elder Donald Bogen, Jr.OrganizerBayou Interfaith Shared Community Organizing

Dr. Justin KozakResearcher & Policy AnalystCenter for Planning Excellence (CPEX)

Community-Centered Resilience: Lessons from Louisiana

Materials will be available at: www.eesi.org/110619lasafe

Tweet about the briefing: #eesitalk @eesionline

What did you think of the briefing?Please take 2 minutes to let us know at:

www.eesi.org/survey