1. o.i.v. report on the state of the vitiviniculture world market surface area of world vineyards...

1

O.I.V. REPORT ON THESTATE OF THE VITIVINICULTURE

WORLD MARKET

• Surface area of world vineyards

•Grapes• Global production

•Fresh grapes•Global production

•Raisins •Global production

•Wine•Global wine production •Global wine consumption•Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine•International trade

2

Surface area of vineyards worldwide

Surface area of vineyards worldwide

3

7871

7.0007.2007.4007.6007.8008.0008.2008.4008.6008.8009.000

86-9

0

91-9

5

96-0

0

01-0

519

9519

9619

9719

9819

9920

0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

05

Prov.

200

6

Forec

ast

2007

average

Years

Europe

Asia

America

Africa

Oceania

1000

ha

Surface area of vineyards worldwide

4

9,9%0,7%

69,0%

4,3%

16,1%

11,3%1,4%

64,4%

4,1%

18,8%

2,6%12,8%

57,8%

5,0%

21,7%

5

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

prov.

200

6

Foreca

st 2

007

Spain

France

Italy

USA

China

Iran

Turkey

100

150

200

250

300

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

prov.

200

6

Foreca

st 2

007

Portugal

Roumania

Argentina

Chile

South Africa

Australia

Moldavia

Recent developments of the leading vineyards

1000 ha

Surface area of vineyards worldwide

1169

867

800

525 500409

338248 231 205 197174

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Spain

Franc

eIta

ly

Turke

y

China

USAIra

n

Portu

gal

Argen

tina

Roman

iaChi

le

Austra

lia

1000

ha

Areas planted in vines of the 12 leading countries

Forecast 2007

6

Prev.2007 / 2005

decreasing

stable

increasing

Global grape production

Global grape production

7

400.000

450.000

500.000

550.000

600.000

650.000

700.000

86-9

0

91-9

5

96-0

0

01-0

519

9519

9619

9719

9819

9920

0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

05

Prov.

200

6

Forec

ast

2007

average

Years

Europe

Asia

America

Africa

Oceania

1000

qs

8

17,2%1,0%

63,6%

4,0%

14,1%

2,0%18,2%

53,5%

5,1%

21,2%

3,0%20,8%

44,6%

5,9%

25,7%

Global grape production

646 007

9

30.000

35.000

40.000

45.000

50.000

55.000

60.000

65.000

70.000

75.000

80.000

85.000

90.000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Prov.

200

6

Foreca

st 2

007

ITALY

FRANCE

CHINA

SPAIN

USA

TURKEY

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

35.000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Prov.

200

6

Foreca

st 2

007

ARGENTINA

IRAN

CHILE

SOUTH AFRICA

INDIA

AUSTRALIA

GERMANY

Recent developments of the leading grapes producers

1 000 qs

73

6562 60 58

3431 30

25

16 16 15 14 14 13

010

20

3040

50

60

7080

ITALY

FRANCE

CHINA

SPAINUSA

TURKEY

ARGENTINA

IRAN

CHILE

INDIA

SOUTH A

FRICA

AUSTRALIA

GERM

ANY

BRAZIL

EGYPT

1 00

0 00

0 q

sGlobal grapes production of the 15 leading countries

Forecast 2007

10

Prev.2007 / 2005

decreasing

stable

increasing

68 68

78 81

7177 76 74 78

8277 77 79

86 84 84 82

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Global grape production

Qs / haYield of global grape production

11

Fresh grapes

Global production of grapes for fresh usage

12

020.00040.00060.00080.000

100.000120.000140.000160.000180.000200.000

86-9

0

91-9

5

96-0

0

01-0

519

9519

9619

9719

9819

9920

0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

05

Eval.

200

6

average

Years

Europe

Asia

America

Africa

Oceania

1000

Qs

13

12,4%0,3%

42,4%

8,4%

36,5%

0,5%

14,7% 23,3%

11,3%

50,2%

0,5%

15,6% 17,9%

10,9%

55,1%

Total production of grapes for fresh usage

182 800

14

8.000

12.000

16.000

20.000

24.000

28.000

32.000

36.000

40.000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

CHINA *

IRAN

TURKEY

INDIA

ITALY

EGYPT

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

9.000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

USA

CHILE

BRAZIL

KOREA

SPAIN

MEXICO

Developments of the leading production of grapes for fresh usage

1000 Qs

* China including Macau & Hong Kong & Taiwan

37,0

18,3

15,514,0

12,7 11,88,6 8,1 6,8

3,2 3,1 3,0

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

CHINA *

IRAN

TURKEYIN

DIA

ITALY

EGYPTUSA

CHILE

BRAZIL

KOREA

SPAIN

MEXIC

O

1000

000

Qs

Production of grapes for fresh usage of the 12 leading countries

Prov. 2005

15

Prev. 2005 / 2004

decreasing

stable

increasing

* China including Macau & Hong Kong & Taiwan

Raisins

Global raisin production

16

12.474

6.0007.0008.0009.000

10.00011.00012.00013.00014.000

86-9

0

91-9

5

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0

01-0

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9619

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0120

0220

0320

0420

05

Forec

ast 2

006

Forec

ast 2

007

average

Years

Europe

Asia

America

Africa

Oceania

1000

Qs

17

34,2%

6,0% 3,3%15,5%

41,0% 3,8%

29,8%

3,0%9,6%

53,8%

Total production of raisins

1,2%

33,7%

3,4%9,8%

52,0%

18

1.500

2.000

2.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Prev.

200

6

Foreca

st 2

007

TURKEY

USA

IRAN

0100200300400500600700800900

1000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Prev.

200

6

Foreca

st 2

007

GREECE

CHILE

SOUTH AFRICA

UZBEKISTAN

AFGHANISTAN

ARGENTINA

AUSTRALIA

SYRIA

CHINA

Developments of the leading production of raisins

1000 Qs

3.6883.300

2.102

800660415

356338

202150

120 750

500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

TURKEYIR

AN

CHILE

UZBEKIS

TAN

ARGENTINA

SYRIA

1 00

0 Q

sProduction of raisins of the 12 leading countries

Forecast 2007

19

Prev. 2007 / 2005

decreasing

stable

increasing

Global wine production

Global wine production

20

270,9

220

240

260

280

300

320

86-9

0

91-9

5

96-0

0

01-0

519

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9619

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0120

0220

0320

0420

05

Pro

v. 2

006

Forec

ast 2

007

average

Years

Europe

Asia

America

Africa

Oceania

1 00

0 00

0 H

l

21

1,5%

3,0%

78,0%

1,6%

16,0%3,1%

17,0%71,6%

3,4%

5,0%

World production of wine

4,1%

18,5%68,2%

4,2%

5,0%

2.0004.0006.0008.000

10.00012.00014.00016.00018.00020.00022.00024.00026.000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Pro

v. 2

006

Forec

ast 2

007

USA

ARGENTINA

AUSTRALIA

CHINA

GERMANY

SOUTH AFRICA

CHILE

RUSSIAN FED

PORTUGAL

22

25.00030.00035.00040.000

45.00050.00055.00060.000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Pro

v. 2

006

Forec

ast 2

007

FRANCE

ITALY

SPAIN

Developments of the leading production of wine

1000 Hl

48,448,0

34,7

20,0 15,0

12,010,3

9,8 9,68,2

6,0

5,8

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

FRANCE

ITALY

SPAINUSA

ARGENTINA

CHINA

GERM

ANY

SOUTH A

FRICA

AUSTRALIA

CHILE

RUSSIAN F

ED

PORTUGAL

1 00

0 00

0 H

lProduction of wine of the 12 leading countries

Forecast 2007

23

Prov. 2007 / 2005

decreasing

stable

increasing

Productions of wines (excluding juice & musts) countries of the southern hemisphere

0

3 000

6 000

9 000

12 000

15 000

18 000

21 000

SOUTH AFRICA

ARGENTINA

BOLIVIA

BRAZIL

CHILE

PERU

URUGUAY

AUSTRALIA

NEW-ZELANDE

1 000 Hl

24

Global wine consumption

Global wine consumption

25

240,6

210215220225230235240245

86-9

0

91-9

5

96-0

0

01-0

519

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0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

05

Pro

v. 2

006

Forec

ast 2

007

average

Years

Europe

Asia

America

Africa

Oceania

1 00

0 00

0 H

l

26

20,2%

1,6%

73,8%

2,5%

1,9%

1,9%

19,7%69,0%

2,8%

6,6%

World consumption of wine

2,3%

20,7%67,3%

2,6%

7,2%

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

10.000

12.000

14.000

16.000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Pro

v. 2

006

Forec

ast 2

007

CHINA

SPAIN

UK

ARGENTINA

RUSSIAN FED

ROMANIA

PORTUGAL

AUSTRALIA

27

19.00021.00023.00025.00027.00029.00031.00033.00035.000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Pro

v. 2

006

Foreca

st 2

007

FRANCE

ITALY

USA

GERMANY

Developments of the leading consumption of wine

1000 Hl

32,2

26,926,5

20,2

13,6

13,312,1

11,2 10,5

5,54,7 4,8

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

FRANCE

ITALY

USA

GERM

ANY

CHINA

SPAIN UK

ARGENTINA

RUSSIAN F

ED

ROM

ANIA

PORTUGAL

AUSTRALIA

1 00

0 00

0 H

lConsumption of wine of the 12 leading countries

Forecast 2007

28

Prov. 2007 / 2005

decreasing

stable

increasing

Dat

a 20

06

Dat

a 20

06

Per capita wine consumption

Liters

Global wine consumption

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

LUXEMBOURG

FRANCE

ITALY

PORTUGAL

SLOVENIA

CROATIA

SWIT

ZERLAND

HUNGARY

SPAIN

AUSTRIA

GREECE

DENMARK

2005 Prov. 2006 Forecast 2007

29

Calculation taken from FAO 2005 demographics data base

Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine

Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine

30

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine

Difference between wine production and consumption

Nb:This spread can not be considered as a surplus because near 35 million hl are used to supply the market for industrial

purposes: brandies, carburation, vinegars and vermouth.

31

1 00

0 00

0 H

l

-15.000

-10.000

-5.000

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

FRANCE

ITALY

SPAINUSA

ARGENTIN

A

CHINA

GERMANY

SOUTH A

FRICA

AUSTRALIA

CHILE

RUSSIAN F

ED

PORTUGAL

100

0 h

lDegree of market equilibrium in the world of wine

Difference between wine production and consumption for the main producer countries

Forecast 2007

32

International trade

International trade

33

91,4

35

45

55

65

75

85

95

86-9

0

91-9

5

96-0

0

01-0

519

9519

9619

9719

9819

9920

0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

05

Pro

v. 2

006

Forec

ast 2

007

average

Years

Europe

Asia

America

Africa

Oceania

1 00

0 00

0 H

l

34

0,9% 1,5%

94,6%

0,6%2,5%

0,6%2,5%

85,3%8,7%

2,9%

World wine exports

9,5%

15,4% 70,8%

3,9%

0,4%

5001.000

1.5002.0002.500

3.0003.500

4.0004.500

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Pro

v. 2

006

Forec

ast 2

007

USA

ARGENTINA

PORTUGAL

GERMANY

SOUTH AFRICA

MOLDAVIA REP.

BULGARIA

35

Developments of the leading of wine exports

1000 Hl2.000

6.000

10.000

14.000

18.000

22.000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Pro

v. 2

006

Foreca

st 2

007

ITALY

SPAIN

FRANCE

AUSTRALIA

CHILE

18,8

15,315,2

7,86,1

4,2 3,6 3,5 3,4 3,1

1,5 1,2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

ITALY

SPAIN

FRANCE

AUSTRALIA

CHILE

USA

ARGENTINA

PORTUGAL

GERM

ANY

SOUTH A

FRICA

MOLDAVIA

REP.

BULGARIA

1 00

0 00

0 H

lExports of wine of the 12 leading countries

Forecast 2007

36

Prov. 2007 / 2005

decreasing

stable

increasing

81,1

3540455055606570758085

86-9

0

91-9

5

96-0

0

01-0

519

9519

9619

9719

9819

9920

0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

05

Pro

v. 2

006

Forec

ast 2

007

average

Years

Europe

Asia

America

Africa

Oceania

1 00

0 00

0 H

l

37

12,1%

0,6%

82,1%

3,1%

2,1%1,1%

12,0%76,8%

2,9%

7,2%

World wine imports

1,2%

17,0%74,8%

2,4%

4,7%

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

4.500

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Pro

v. 2

006

Forec

ast 2

007

NETHERLANDS

BELGIUM

CANADA

SWITZERLAND

DENMARK

SWEDEN

JAPAN

38

Developments of the leading of wine imports

1000 Hl2.0004.0006.0008.000

10.00012.00014.000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Pro

v. 2

006

Foreca

st 2

007

GERMANY

UK

USA

RUSSIAN FED

FRANCE

14,2

11,7

8,4

6,4 5,4

3,33,1

3,11,9 1,8 1,8 1,7

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

GERM

ANYUK

USA

RUSSIAN F

ED

FRANCE

NETHERLANDS

BELGIU

M

CANADA

SWIT

ZERLAND

DENMARK

SWEDEN

JAPAN

1 00

0 00

0 H

lImports of wine of the 12 leading countries

Forecast 2007

39

Prov. 2007 / 2005

decreasing

stable

increasing

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

86-9

0

96-0

0

1.99

6

1.99

8

2000

2002

2004

Prov.

200

6

5 leadingexporters UE

Southernhemisphere +USA

Othercountries

World market share

International trade

40

Grazie per la Loro attenzione

Vielen Dank für Ihre Aufmerksamkeit

Thank you for your attention

Gracias por su atención

Merci de votre attention 41