1. o.i.v. report on the state of the vitiviniculture world market surface area of world vineyards...
TRANSCRIPT
1
O.I.V. REPORT ON THESTATE OF THE VITIVINICULTURE
WORLD MARKET
• Surface area of world vineyards
•Grapes• Global production
•Fresh grapes•Global production
•Raisins •Global production
•Wine•Global wine production •Global wine consumption•Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine•International trade
2
Surface area of vineyards worldwide
Surface area of vineyards worldwide
3
7871
7.0007.2007.4007.6007.8008.0008.2008.4008.6008.8009.000
86-9
0
91-9
5
96-0
0
01-0
519
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
05
Prov.
200
6
Forec
ast
2007
average
Years
Europe
Asia
America
Africa
Oceania
1000
ha
Surface area of vineyards worldwide
4
9,9%0,7%
69,0%
4,3%
16,1%
11,3%1,4%
64,4%
4,1%
18,8%
2,6%12,8%
57,8%
5,0%
21,7%
5
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
prov.
200
6
Foreca
st 2
007
Spain
France
Italy
USA
China
Iran
Turkey
100
150
200
250
300
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
prov.
200
6
Foreca
st 2
007
Portugal
Roumania
Argentina
Chile
South Africa
Australia
Moldavia
Recent developments of the leading vineyards
1000 ha
Surface area of vineyards worldwide
1169
867
800
525 500409
338248 231 205 197174
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Spain
Franc
eIta
ly
Turke
y
China
USAIra
n
Portu
gal
Argen
tina
Roman
iaChi
le
Austra
lia
1000
ha
Areas planted in vines of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2007
6
Prev.2007 / 2005
decreasing
stable
increasing
Global grape production
Global grape production
7
400.000
450.000
500.000
550.000
600.000
650.000
700.000
86-9
0
91-9
5
96-0
0
01-0
519
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
05
Prov.
200
6
Forec
ast
2007
average
Years
Europe
Asia
America
Africa
Oceania
1000
qs
8
17,2%1,0%
63,6%
4,0%
14,1%
2,0%18,2%
53,5%
5,1%
21,2%
3,0%20,8%
44,6%
5,9%
25,7%
Global grape production
646 007
9
30.000
35.000
40.000
45.000
50.000
55.000
60.000
65.000
70.000
75.000
80.000
85.000
90.000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Prov.
200
6
Foreca
st 2
007
ITALY
FRANCE
CHINA
SPAIN
USA
TURKEY
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Prov.
200
6
Foreca
st 2
007
ARGENTINA
IRAN
CHILE
SOUTH AFRICA
INDIA
AUSTRALIA
GERMANY
Recent developments of the leading grapes producers
1 000 qs
73
6562 60 58
3431 30
25
16 16 15 14 14 13
010
20
3040
50
60
7080
ITALY
FRANCE
CHINA
SPAINUSA
TURKEY
ARGENTINA
IRAN
CHILE
INDIA
SOUTH A
FRICA
AUSTRALIA
GERM
ANY
BRAZIL
EGYPT
1 00
0 00
0 q
sGlobal grapes production of the 15 leading countries
Forecast 2007
10
Prev.2007 / 2005
decreasing
stable
increasing
68 68
78 81
7177 76 74 78
8277 77 79
86 84 84 82
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Global grape production
Qs / haYield of global grape production
11
Fresh grapes
Global production of grapes for fresh usage
12
020.00040.00060.00080.000
100.000120.000140.000160.000180.000200.000
86-9
0
91-9
5
96-0
0
01-0
519
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
05
Eval.
200
6
average
Years
Europe
Asia
America
Africa
Oceania
1000
Qs
13
12,4%0,3%
42,4%
8,4%
36,5%
0,5%
14,7% 23,3%
11,3%
50,2%
0,5%
15,6% 17,9%
10,9%
55,1%
Total production of grapes for fresh usage
182 800
14
8.000
12.000
16.000
20.000
24.000
28.000
32.000
36.000
40.000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
CHINA *
IRAN
TURKEY
INDIA
ITALY
EGYPT
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
9.000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
USA
CHILE
BRAZIL
KOREA
SPAIN
MEXICO
Developments of the leading production of grapes for fresh usage
1000 Qs
* China including Macau & Hong Kong & Taiwan
37,0
18,3
15,514,0
12,7 11,88,6 8,1 6,8
3,2 3,1 3,0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
CHINA *
IRAN
TURKEYIN
DIA
ITALY
EGYPTUSA
CHILE
BRAZIL
KOREA
SPAIN
MEXIC
O
1000
000
Qs
Production of grapes for fresh usage of the 12 leading countries
Prov. 2005
15
Prev. 2005 / 2004
decreasing
stable
increasing
* China including Macau & Hong Kong & Taiwan
Raisins
Global raisin production
16
12.474
6.0007.0008.0009.000
10.00011.00012.00013.00014.000
86-9
0
91-9
5
96-0
0
01-0
519
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
05
Forec
ast 2
006
Forec
ast 2
007
average
Years
Europe
Asia
America
Africa
Oceania
1000
Qs
17
34,2%
6,0% 3,3%15,5%
41,0% 3,8%
29,8%
3,0%9,6%
53,8%
Total production of raisins
1,2%
33,7%
3,4%9,8%
52,0%
18
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Prev.
200
6
Foreca
st 2
007
TURKEY
USA
IRAN
0100200300400500600700800900
1000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Prev.
200
6
Foreca
st 2
007
GREECE
CHILE
SOUTH AFRICA
UZBEKISTAN
AFGHANISTAN
ARGENTINA
AUSTRALIA
SYRIA
CHINA
Developments of the leading production of raisins
1000 Qs
3.6883.300
2.102
800660415
356338
202150
120 750
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
TURKEYIR
AN
CHILE
UZBEKIS
TAN
ARGENTINA
SYRIA
1 00
0 Q
sProduction of raisins of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2007
19
Prev. 2007 / 2005
decreasing
stable
increasing
Global wine production
Global wine production
20
270,9
220
240
260
280
300
320
86-9
0
91-9
5
96-0
0
01-0
519
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
05
Pro
v. 2
006
Forec
ast 2
007
average
Years
Europe
Asia
America
Africa
Oceania
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
21
1,5%
3,0%
78,0%
1,6%
16,0%3,1%
17,0%71,6%
3,4%
5,0%
World production of wine
4,1%
18,5%68,2%
4,2%
5,0%
2.0004.0006.0008.000
10.00012.00014.00016.00018.00020.00022.00024.00026.000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Pro
v. 2
006
Forec
ast 2
007
USA
ARGENTINA
AUSTRALIA
CHINA
GERMANY
SOUTH AFRICA
CHILE
RUSSIAN FED
PORTUGAL
22
25.00030.00035.00040.000
45.00050.00055.00060.000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Pro
v. 2
006
Forec
ast 2
007
FRANCE
ITALY
SPAIN
Developments of the leading production of wine
1000 Hl
48,448,0
34,7
20,0 15,0
12,010,3
9,8 9,68,2
6,0
5,8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
FRANCE
ITALY
SPAINUSA
ARGENTINA
CHINA
GERM
ANY
SOUTH A
FRICA
AUSTRALIA
CHILE
RUSSIAN F
ED
PORTUGAL
1 00
0 00
0 H
lProduction of wine of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2007
23
Prov. 2007 / 2005
decreasing
stable
increasing
Productions of wines (excluding juice & musts) countries of the southern hemisphere
0
3 000
6 000
9 000
12 000
15 000
18 000
21 000
SOUTH AFRICA
ARGENTINA
BOLIVIA
BRAZIL
CHILE
PERU
URUGUAY
AUSTRALIA
NEW-ZELANDE
1 000 Hl
24
Global wine consumption
Global wine consumption
25
240,6
210215220225230235240245
86-9
0
91-9
5
96-0
0
01-0
519
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
05
Pro
v. 2
006
Forec
ast 2
007
average
Years
Europe
Asia
America
Africa
Oceania
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
26
20,2%
1,6%
73,8%
2,5%
1,9%
1,9%
19,7%69,0%
2,8%
6,6%
World consumption of wine
2,3%
20,7%67,3%
2,6%
7,2%
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
14.000
16.000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Pro
v. 2
006
Forec
ast 2
007
CHINA
SPAIN
UK
ARGENTINA
RUSSIAN FED
ROMANIA
PORTUGAL
AUSTRALIA
27
19.00021.00023.00025.00027.00029.00031.00033.00035.000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Pro
v. 2
006
Foreca
st 2
007
FRANCE
ITALY
USA
GERMANY
Developments of the leading consumption of wine
1000 Hl
32,2
26,926,5
20,2
13,6
13,312,1
11,2 10,5
5,54,7 4,8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
FRANCE
ITALY
USA
GERM
ANY
CHINA
SPAIN UK
ARGENTINA
RUSSIAN F
ED
ROM
ANIA
PORTUGAL
AUSTRALIA
1 00
0 00
0 H
lConsumption of wine of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2007
28
Prov. 2007 / 2005
decreasing
stable
increasing
Dat
a 20
06
Dat
a 20
06
Per capita wine consumption
Liters
Global wine consumption
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
LUXEMBOURG
FRANCE
ITALY
PORTUGAL
SLOVENIA
CROATIA
SWIT
ZERLAND
HUNGARY
SPAIN
AUSTRIA
GREECE
DENMARK
2005 Prov. 2006 Forecast 2007
29
Calculation taken from FAO 2005 demographics data base
Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine
Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine
30
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine
Difference between wine production and consumption
Nb:This spread can not be considered as a surplus because near 35 million hl are used to supply the market for industrial
purposes: brandies, carburation, vinegars and vermouth.
31
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
-15.000
-10.000
-5.000
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
FRANCE
ITALY
SPAINUSA
ARGENTIN
A
CHINA
GERMANY
SOUTH A
FRICA
AUSTRALIA
CHILE
RUSSIAN F
ED
PORTUGAL
100
0 h
lDegree of market equilibrium in the world of wine
Difference between wine production and consumption for the main producer countries
Forecast 2007
32
International trade
International trade
33
91,4
35
45
55
65
75
85
95
86-9
0
91-9
5
96-0
0
01-0
519
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
05
Pro
v. 2
006
Forec
ast 2
007
average
Years
Europe
Asia
America
Africa
Oceania
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
34
0,9% 1,5%
94,6%
0,6%2,5%
0,6%2,5%
85,3%8,7%
2,9%
World wine exports
9,5%
15,4% 70,8%
3,9%
0,4%
5001.000
1.5002.0002.500
3.0003.500
4.0004.500
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Pro
v. 2
006
Forec
ast 2
007
USA
ARGENTINA
PORTUGAL
GERMANY
SOUTH AFRICA
MOLDAVIA REP.
BULGARIA
35
Developments of the leading of wine exports
1000 Hl2.000
6.000
10.000
14.000
18.000
22.000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Pro
v. 2
006
Foreca
st 2
007
ITALY
SPAIN
FRANCE
AUSTRALIA
CHILE
18,8
15,315,2
7,86,1
4,2 3,6 3,5 3,4 3,1
1,5 1,2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
ITALY
SPAIN
FRANCE
AUSTRALIA
CHILE
USA
ARGENTINA
PORTUGAL
GERM
ANY
SOUTH A
FRICA
MOLDAVIA
REP.
BULGARIA
1 00
0 00
0 H
lExports of wine of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2007
36
Prov. 2007 / 2005
decreasing
stable
increasing
81,1
3540455055606570758085
86-9
0
91-9
5
96-0
0
01-0
519
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
05
Pro
v. 2
006
Forec
ast 2
007
average
Years
Europe
Asia
America
Africa
Oceania
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
37
12,1%
0,6%
82,1%
3,1%
2,1%1,1%
12,0%76,8%
2,9%
7,2%
World wine imports
1,2%
17,0%74,8%
2,4%
4,7%
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
4.500
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Pro
v. 2
006
Forec
ast 2
007
NETHERLANDS
BELGIUM
CANADA
SWITZERLAND
DENMARK
SWEDEN
JAPAN
38
Developments of the leading of wine imports
1000 Hl2.0004.0006.0008.000
10.00012.00014.000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Pro
v. 2
006
Foreca
st 2
007
GERMANY
UK
USA
RUSSIAN FED
FRANCE
14,2
11,7
8,4
6,4 5,4
3,33,1
3,11,9 1,8 1,8 1,7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
GERM
ANYUK
USA
RUSSIAN F
ED
FRANCE
NETHERLANDS
BELGIU
M
CANADA
SWIT
ZERLAND
DENMARK
SWEDEN
JAPAN
1 00
0 00
0 H
lImports of wine of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2007
39
Prov. 2007 / 2005
decreasing
stable
increasing
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
86-9
0
96-0
0
1.99
6
1.99
8
2000
2002
2004
Prov.
200
6
5 leadingexporters UE
Southernhemisphere +USA
Othercountries
World market share
International trade
40
Grazie per la Loro attenzione
Vielen Dank für Ihre Aufmerksamkeit
Thank you for your attention
Gracias por su atención
Merci de votre attention 41