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The black swan edition PART TIME ADVERTISING Online

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The black swan edition

PARTTIMEADVERTISING

Online

BEFORE THE APPEARANCE OF THE BLACK SWAN

FAILURE TO GRASP THE SCALE OF EVENTS

FIRST SIGNALS

with the business and consumers

(WEEK 1)

BUSINESSESFirst measures for safety of teams/o�ces

Introduction of internal rules

Home o�ce optional

CONSUMERSHoarding with disinfectants Hoarding with vitamins and

food supplements

N.B. At this stage companies and brands did not think over or cater for a change in their external communication. Adequate measures were introduced mostly internally: teams, HR, internal communication.

BEFORE THE APPEARANCE OF THE BLACK SWAN

(WEEK 2)

STAGE: STATEOF EMERGENCY DECLARED

LACK OF TRANSITION. LACK OF PREPAREDNESS

LACK OF TRANSITION. LACK OF PREPAREDNESS

STAGE: STATE OF EMERGENCY DECLARED

Abrupt and imperative transition to home o�ce / home school regimePanic reactions of businesses RE their communications conduct provoked by:

REASONS WHY

The new reality

Abrupt changes in consumer conduct – unpredictability

Disrupted supply chains, especially from abroad

Lack of predictability

The challenge to keep/restructure teams

(shutdown of commercial outlets, restaurants and hotels, transition to isolation at home, shutdown of state borders/cities)

STAGE: STATE OF EMERGENCY DECLARED

CRISIS = OPPORTUNITY THE CLICHÉ THAT WORKS

Lack of preparedness / analysis of the situation

Unplanned halt of communication

Cost restrictions without analysis and a strategic plan for the situation AFTER

MOST BUSINESSES HAVE POTENTIAL/PREREQUISITES FOR ADAPTATION

E-shops

Home deliveries

Fitting into the new daily routine of consumers coupled with increasing demand.

STATISTICS ARE ENCOURAGING The Black Swan brings hopes for an increase in quoted percentages

• Growth in e-commerce in the past 5 years 21% to 33%

• Growth in B2C online sales 30% (2019)

• 1,500,000 Bulgarian consumers shopped online in 2019

• Each of these consumers spent on average EUR 473 in 2019

• 31% of online consumers (more than 20% of Bulgaria’s entire population) have made online shopping a habit and have trust in the process.

THE ABRUPT ONSET OF THE CRISIS HAMPERS SOBER ASSESSMENT.

Source: Google Trends

*sources BEA e-commerce

Passport 2019

Take out food orders

CERTAIN BUSINESSES HAVE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SALES

• Pharma and food supplements

• Foodstu�s

• Detergents

• Sports equipment for home

• Home appliances and consumer electronics

• Courier services

• IT and hosting services

STATISTICS ARE ENCOURAGING

• 84% of users of online services / commerce try something new for the first time

• The highest percentage : 34% try medical online consultation

• 33% try various online trainings

• 15% buy fitness equipment for home

• 15% try e-banking for the first time

DEMAND IS SUBJECT TO DYNAMIC CHANGE

Source: Google Internal Data

1-7 MARCH

8-14 MARCH

THOSE WHO CANNOT SELL ACTIVELY NEED TO REMAIN WITHIN THE EYE-SHOT

OF THE CONSUMER IN AN OPTIMIZED WAY

“People forget what you told them and how, but will never forget how you made them feel” = an emotional bond with the brand

Source: Google Internal Data

Consumption of luxury goods

THE BIG QUESTION:

HOW?! Much easier for the brands whose

business is active online!

The challenge is the right approach of those

whose business comes across LOGISTIC

HURDLES TO OPERATE NORMALLY OR

WHOSE PRODUCT/SERVICE IS NOT IN

DEMAND

THE NOVEL PROFILE OF CONSUMER CONDUCT

THE NOVEL PROFILE OF CONSUMER CONDUCT

• Urgent shopping – staples but also irrational hoarding

• Shopping from home

• Development of e-commerce

• Anti-stress, indulgence shopping!!! NB = an opportunity

Data from Google Trends suggests that 71% of consumers at 16 March noted that COVID-19 had changed their spare time.

Source: Google Trends

Does the coronavirus pandemic a�ect your leisure time?

CHANGES IN CONSUMER CONDUCT

CHANGES IN CONSUMER CONDUCT

THE NEW NEEDS STEER THE SEARCH FOR CONTENT:

• The sense of safety >> search for news, sharing on social media, mobile applications for

meditations, toilet paper

• Homemade food >> recipes, cooking appliances, online shopping

• Care for personal health and the hygiene at home >> online content for health and wellness

• Entertainment >> social media, paid streaming services (+63%), bananas, books (+39%),

music, games (+47%), podcasts

• Educational information >> online educational platforms

• Physical activity >> online training, purchase of equipment and accessories for home fitness

• Isolation >> purchase of electronic devices

THIRST FOR ENTERTAINMENT IN FIGURES

Source: Google Internal Data

increase in daily downloads of mobile

games in China in February forecast growth in streaming

+60% +80%

CHANGES IN CONSUMER CONDUCT

A boom in online challenges and an upsurge of TikTok

CHANGES IN CONSUMER CONDUCT

Top results from Google search indicate a strong sense of community and

solidarity

Italy singing from windows youtube +1.100%

YOUTUBE mo willems +1.050%

Dropkick murphys youtube +950%

Cosmic kids yoga youtube +450%

joe rogan youtube +250%

CHANGES IN CONSUMER CONDUCT

CHANGESIN MEDIA CONSUMPTION

GROWTH IN CONSUMPTION

• TV - 28% growth in daily average consumption of Nova

Broadcasting Group and 15% in prime time

- Change on program schedules of TV channels

- Conversion of o�ine formats into TV

e.g.: the educational conference of Investor Group is due

on air at TV Bulgaria and Bulgaria On Air

SLUMP IN CONSUMPTION

• Out-of-home

Except for positions outside BILLA and Kaufland

• Ambient

• Print

Cinema

• ONLINE- High growth in tra�c of news websites

e.g.: Nova.bg reported 263% growth in the first days of the state of

emergency

- Increasing the time of watching video content

Netinfo reports 20% growth of consumption of video and en-

tertainment content

Streaming platforms

COMMUNICATION

The notions of your brand

formed in consumer minds

during crisis will most probably

be long-term and will persist

even after it has subsided.

RATIONAL APPROACHfor brands in Group A

• Communicate actively the benefits of the product in the light of new demand

• Make sure to use the right channels and your media plan be adjusted to the new daily round of

consumers

• Extend a hand and declare you are part of the community

COMMUNICATION

ACCEPT AND ANALYZE ADAPT YOUR COMMUNICATION

TRANSFORM MARKETING STRATEGIES

PREPARE FOR “AFTER”

COMMUNICATIONEMOTIONAL APPROACHfor brands in Group B

It is no time for sales / But it is time for conversation� Define a brand message adequate to the situation: demonstrate UNDERSTANDING and SUPPORT

� Use the communication channels of the new reality to transmit it

� In the case of total impossibility to sell your product /service – COMMUNICATE IN A USEFUL WAY

Remind of your product with selected frequency, adequate copy / visuals

Share useful content related to the product, tips, exercises or games

Send a message for “AFTER” – games with prizes which the consumer wins after the Black Swan

If possible: TRANSFORM

Make up for the gaps in your logistics chain

Find an opportunity for minimum sales or an additional business line

Investment in communication NOW will save extra costs of companies and brands

AFTER.

THE SUCCESSFUL EXAMPLES

HappyN

edel

ya

Chi

sto

Fantastico

A1

Telenor

First Investment Bank LIDL

& KAUFLAND

Co

ca C

ola

WHEN "AFTER" COMES

COMMUNICATION WITH

STAKEHOLDERS

WHEN"AFTER" COMES

CONTINUITY

keyword:

- The OUTSOURCING sector

Manufacturing and B2B services

Internal communication

CORPORATECOMMUNICATIONS

CORPORATE COMMUNICATIONS

KEYWORDS:

� OPENNESS AND HONESTY

� SOLID ARGUMENTS

� GOALS AND CLARIFICATION OF PROCESSES

� CONTINUITY

� POINTING TO WAY OUT / VISION FOR “AFTER”

Apart from the companies in the B2C sector, businesses vary in focus:

- OUTSOURCING

- Manufacturing / B2B products and services

INTERNAL WITH STAKEHOLDERS EXTERNAL /

REPUTATIONAL

INTERNAL COMMUNICATION

Regular communication with teams / at managerial and employee levels

Providing regular information about

o the status of the business/ its orders

o the strategy for the team /keeping sta�, leaves, freezes, layo�s

o Naming the arguments for the decisions made by the management

o Outlining prospects

IN THE COURSE OF ....

OVERTAKE EXPECTATIONS AND MANAGE THEM!

CORPORATE COMMUNICATIONS

Online meetings / Zoom, Teams, GoToMeeting, BlueJean…

Own media: online newsletter, o�ine edition, intranet

Looking for feedback

EXTERNAL COMMUNICATION & STAKEHOLDER RELATIONS

Keeping a market name and reputation

Not ignoring image presence

*in a situation of crisis the company has the chance to show its socially responsible face

Using the platforms of organizations and partners (stakeholders) for:

o exchange of experience

o sharing news

o looking for opportunities for laid o� sta� or sta� put on freeze

TOOLKIT

CORPORATE COMMUNICATIONS

Sharing good and bad news in person

Both INSIDE THE TEAM and OUTSIDE

Open conversation based on arguments

Articulating positivism and faith in the outcome of the situation

TONE OF VOICE OF COMMUNICATION:

KEEPING THE LEVELS OF COMMUNICATION

KEEPING BUSINESS ETHICS

=

CORPORATE COMMUNICATIONS

Because there will be “AFTER”,

Because “AFTER” will be di�erent, but to-day’s partnerships will be necessary tomorrow too.

Loyalty and support between businesses will have even greater value.

The battle for the talents will be back on the agenda, but at a di�erent level: the battle for the finest talents - those whose motivation is contingent on ATTITUDE and ETHICS.

www.interpartners.bg12, Emil Bersinski St. floor 6, Sofia

+359 2 963 3184o�[email protected]