adaptive shelters_catalysts for change zone of future innovtion

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© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B © 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B March 2013 Foresight Engine Game Analysis: 25 Zones of Future Innovation © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundation www.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation Contact: Tessa Finlev, [email protected]

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Page 1: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B© 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B

March 2013

Foresight Engine Game Analysis:

25 Zones of Future Innovation

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B

A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundationwww.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation

Contact: Tessa Finlev, [email protected]

Page 2: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B

3 | Adaptive Shelters

2

Page 3: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B

Climate change, coupled with extreme

weather events, economic constraints, and

increased nomadism, requires us to think

of new ways to build, distribute, and

regulate homes and shelters. The changing

urban landscape can be seen as an

opportunity to redesign human settlements for

both resilience and inclusion.  

3

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Future Innovation

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B

Page 4: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B

When we look at player ideas as a whole we see a new trend: openness to,

and interest in, completely rethinking how we relate to and design our

settlements.

Ideas ranged from the adaptive, such as turning vehicles and cargo containers into

homes and creating biodomes to climate-mitigate public spaces, to the pragmatic,

such as acknowledging the permanence and uniqueness of slums by supporting

the innovative and entrepreneurial activities in these communities through property

rights and low-tech shelter upgrades.

4

3 | Adaptive Shelters | From the Players

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B

Page 5: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 5

Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.*

Earth**

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game

*Cards have been lightly edited for readability**Player location was self selected

Page 6: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 6

Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub. Canada

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game

Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.

Earth

Page 7: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 7

Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com

USA

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game

Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.

Canada

Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.

Earth

Page 8: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 8

A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.

India

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game

Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.

Canada

Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.

Earth

Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com

USA

Page 9: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 9

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game

Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.

Canada

Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.

Earth

Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com

USA

A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.

India

i.e. property rights, a level playing field, encourage investments in new technology & skills.

South Africa

Page 10: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 10

Cargo condos: repurpose shipping containers to provide secure modular housing units for urban homeless

USA

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game

Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.

Canada

Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.

Earth

Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com

USA

A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.

India

i.e. property rights, a level playing field, encourage investments in new technology & skills.

South Africa

Page 11: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 11

And valuing low-tech solutions. Like the bottles of water set into roofs in the slums to bring a sort of indoor lighting.

Denmark

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game

Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.

Canada

Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.

Earth

Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com

USA

A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.

India

i.e. property rights, a level playing field, encourage investments in new technology & skills.

South Africa

Cargo condos: repurpose shipping containers to provide secure modular housing units for urban homeless

USA

Page 12: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 12

Create lightweight, large-scale Shelter Domes to climate-mitigate more traditional public space.

USA

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game

Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.

Canada

Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.

Earth

Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com

USA

A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.

India

i.e. property rights, a level playing field, encourage investments in new technology & skills.

South Africa

Cargo condos: repurpose shipping containers to provide secure modular housing units for urban homeless

USA

And valuing low-tech solutions. Like the bottles of water set into roofs in the slums to bring a sort of indoor lighting.

Denmark

Page 13: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 13

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Micro-forecasts from the Game

Create modular homes out of shipping containers, retrofit in bulk with low cost, simple, well designed waste/water/electricity system & hub.

Canada

Cities develop capacity to sustain, integrate, nomadic populations living in cars vehicles, with safe parking rules, zones, public spaces.

Earth

Empower the use of the Hexa-Yurt shelter design (Public Domain) hexayurt.com

USA

A lack of understanding about how poor settlements are structured (physically and figuratively) and how that affects their daily lives.

India

i.e. property rights, a level playing field, encourage investments in new technology & skills.

South Africa

Cargo condos: repurpose shipping containers to provide secure modular housing units for urban homeless

USA

And valuing low-tech solutions. Like the bottles of water set into roofs in the slums to bring a sort of indoor lighting.

Denmark

Create lightweight, large-scale Shelter Domes to climate-mitigate more traditional public space.

USA

Page 14: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B

Signals from the Present

14

3 | Adaptive Shelters

Page 15: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 15

The Hexayurt Project has designed a way to turn standard building materials such as plywood into zero-waste modular homes called hexayurts. These homes present a low-cost and sustainable way to provide shelter for refugees or weather migrants who may not have access to homes for extended periods of time.

Citihub Mandaluyong

Citihub Mandaluyong is a low-income dormitory in the Philippines, built from shipping containers.

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Signals from the Present

Hexayurt

Image Source: http://www.springwise.com/homes_housing/philippines-shipping-containers-create-low-income-housing/

Image Source: http://files.howtolivewiki.com/hexayurt.com/grass_roots_united__haiti_1.jpg

Page 16: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 16

Open Source House México is a global contest to create affordable eco-housing for impoverished communities within México.

Living Houses

Terreform ONE (Open Network Ecology) has designed a concept for a single-family living house called the Fab Tree Hab.

3 | Adaptive Shelters | Signals from the Present

Open Source House México

Image Source:www.architizer.com/en_us/projects/view/fab-tree-hab/542/#.UOcZzYnjncE

Image Source: www.os-housemexico.org

A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundationwww.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation

Page 17: Adaptive Shelters_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B© 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B

March 2013

Foresight Engine Game Analysis:

25 Zones of Future Innovation

© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B

A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundationwww.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation

Contact: Tessa Finlev, [email protected]