aaf survey on dodd-frank

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    D O D D - F R A N KS U R V E Y

    January 18

    -

    20, 2016

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    2

    METHODOLOGY

    The following survey was conducted by

    OnMessage Inc. in 30 congressional districts.

    Telephone interviews were conducted on

    January 18-20, 2016. This survey consists of1200 likely voters and was stratified to reflect

    historic voter trends. The margin of error for this

    survey is +/-2.82%.

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    3

    METHODOLOGY

    The survey was separated into the following threegroupings to gain an understanding of the views ofdifferent parts of the population.

    Conservative AdvantageCompetitive Conservative Stronghold

    CA-10CA-21CO-6IL-12MN-2

    NH-1NV-3

    NY-21NY-24VA-2

    CA-25CA-39FL-15IA-4IN-2

    KY-6MT-ALNY-23PA-3

    TX-23

    AL-1AR-2CA-4CO-5FL-11

    GA-5IL-15OK-4PA-9TX-17

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    4

    25 129

    125

    28

    34

    I MAGE T E S T SR E P U B L I C AN S I N C O N G R E S S

    53

    Net: -19

    Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav

    Never Heard Of 

    No Opinion

    27 128

    12329

    23 119

    227

    28

    25 1310

    2725

    COMPETITIVENET: -17

    CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE

    NET: -23CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    NET: -17

    35

    52

    32

    55

    35

    52

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    5

    21 118

    125

    35

    29

    I MAGE T E S T SD E M O C R AT S I N C O N G R E S S

    60

    Net: -31

    Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav

    Never Heard Of 

    No Opinion

    23 128

    124

    33

    24 107

    226

    31

    17 108

    24

    41

    COMPETITIVENET: -26

    CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE

    NET: -26CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    NET: -40

    31

    57

    31

    57

    25

    65

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    Regulation

    Series

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    4050 50

    36 3726

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    7

    B I G B AN K S VS. B I G G O V E R N M E N T

    47 33 21

    Big Government Big Banks DK/Refuse

    “Which of the following do you think has had more of a negative impact onyour personal financial situation over the last decade big government or big

    Wall Street Banks .”

    +14 Big Governmentover Big Banks

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    33 3140

    48 5441

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    8

    M I S G U I D E D P O L I CY VS. L AC K O F R EGULATION

    35 48

    12 3 3Misguided

    Federal Policy

    Lack of 

    Regulation

    Both Neither DK/Refused

    “Thinking about the financial crisis of 2008, please tell me which of thefollowing comes closest to your opinion.”

    Some people say that the financial crisis was causedby misguided federal policies which encouraged

    banks to offer home loans to people who could notafford to pay them back.

    Others say that the financial crisis was caused by alack of regulation over the financial industry and thatWall Street bankers took advantage of the system by

    offering risky loans for their own personal profit.

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    33 30 3348 48

    41

    7 13 10

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE GOP STRONGHOLD

    9

    C A US E O F F I N A N C I A L C R I S I S

    30 4510 10 4

    Government

    Regulations

    Greedy

    Executives

    Natural Economic

    Cycles

    All of the Above DK/Refused

    “Thinking again about financial crisis of 2008, please tell me which of thefollowing was the greatest cause of the crisis”

    Government regulations that forcedbanks to make millions of risky home

    loans.

    Greedy Wall Street executives whogambled on the housing market bubble,

    endangering the financial system.

    Natural economic cycles that all butguaranteed that a recession would

    occur.

    Who’s to blame? Wall

    Street greed trumps

    misguided federalpolicies by 15 points,

    but hang on.

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    3514 9

    30

    12

    Agree Disagree DK/Refused

    10

    65

    “Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement.Although the Obama Administration claims that lack of regulation caused the

    financial crisis of 2008, the real cause was misguided federal policy that

    encourage banks to offer loans to people who could not pay them back,

    leading to a nationwide real estate crash.”

    M I S G U I D E D P O L I C Y

    Somewhat

    Strongly

    26

    61 66 68

    29 28 23

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE GOP STRONGHOLD

    Agree

    Disagree

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    Dodd-Frank

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    12

    10 276

    321016

    16

    I MAGE T E S T ST H E D O D D - F R A N K W A L L S T R E E TR E F O R M A C T

    26

    Net: -10

    Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav

    Never Heard Of 

    No Opinion

    10 296

    30817

    11 267

    3212129 265

    331018

    COMPETITIVENET: -9

    CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE

    NET: -6CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    NET: -14

    16

    25

    18

    24

    14

    28

    59% have no ideawhat we’re talking

    about.

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    3321

    51317

    38

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    13

    Age/Gender/Race

    I MAGE T E S T ST H E D O D D - F R A N K W A L L S T R E E TR E F O R M A C T

    FavorableUnfavorable

    17 15 19 13 15 182324 27

    3220 27 24 19

    55 & Under Over 55 Male Female White Hispanic Af.

    American

    Ideology

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    3143

    1

    5

    20

    Familiar Unfamiliar DK/Refuse

    14

    36

    How familiar would you say you are with the Dodd-Frank Wall Street ReformAct? Would you say you are …

    FA MI LI AR IT Y W IT H D O D D- F R A N K

    Somewhat

    Very

    63

    37 35 37

    62 64 62

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    Familiar

    Unfamiliar

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    13 2225

    24 17

    Favor Oppose DK/Refused

    15

    37

    As you may know, in 2010 President Obama signed the Dodd-Frank WallStreet Reform Act into law with the goal of increasing federal regulation over

    the financial industry following the financial crisis of 2008. Based oneverything you have heard, do you favor or oppose the Dodd-Frank Wall

    Street Reform Act?

    D O D D- F R A N K – FAVOR/ O P P O S E

    Somewhat

    Strongly39

    39 4131

    38 37 40

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    Favor

    Oppose

    The default position is a dead heat with a slight intensity advantage.

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    73

    49

    151323

    60

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    16

    Age/Gender/Race

    FavorOppose

    39 36 38 36 35 42 5137 39 45 32 40 4122

    55 & Under Over 55 Male Female White Hispanic Af.

    American

    D O D D- F R A N K – FAVOR/ O P P O S E

    Ideology

    Starts 26 points net favorable

    among Independents.

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    514

    27 2220 12

    Helped Harmed No Difference DK/Refused

    17

    25

    Based on everything you have heard, would you say that the Dodd-FrankWall Street Reforms helped, harmed, or made no difference to the stability of

    our financial industry?

    E F F EC T O F D O D D- F R A N K

    Somewhat

    Strongly

    26

    26 26 2327 22 282731 25

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    Helped

    Harmed

    No Difference

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    Dodd-FrankPush Series

    19

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    D O D D- F R A N K P U S H S E R I E SC O M P E T I T I V E

    24

    22

    20

    19

    25

    38

    43

    44

    46

    42

    8

    9

    7

    7

    8

    6

    7

    5

    6

    6

    100 80 60 40 20 20 40 60 80 100

    NETLess Likely More Likely

    Somewhat More Likely

    19

    1467

    Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

    -53

    The Dodd-Frank Act was aimed at big banks, but its crippling legaland administrative costs have caused many small banks to close or

    reduce lending which has harmed local economies and made itincreasingly difficult for small businesses and entrepreneurs to thrive.

    1365 -52

    1665 -49

    1264 -52

    Dodd Frank created a new type of bailout fund for big banks calledOrderly Liquidation Authority. Instead of requiring big banks to gothrough the same bankruptcy shutdown procedures as all other

    companies in America, banks are allowed an exception to the rulesthrough OLA.

    Before the Dodd-Frank Act, over 75% of banks offered freechecking. However after the Dodd-Frank regulations took affect

    only 39% now offer free checking.

    Many experts say that the Dodd-Frank Act was aimed at Wall Streetbut hit Main Street.

    Most traditional banks are not willing to make small dollar loans. Thisleaves many working families with no option to cover unexpected short

    term expenses except for the lifeline of taking out a short term loan.1462 -48

    20

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    D O D D- F R A N K P U S H S E R I E SC O N S E R V A T I V E A D V A N T A G E

    27

    24

    27

    24

    24

    32

    35

    36

    39

    41

    11

    14

    11

    12

    11

    11

    8

    11

    10

    7

    100 80 60 40 20 20 40 60 80 100

    NETLess Likely More Likely

    Somewhat More Likely

    20

    1865

    Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

    -47Before the Dodd-Frank Act, over 75% of banks offered free checking.

    However after the Dodd-Frank regulations took affect only 39% nowoffer free checking.

    2263 -41

    2259 -37

    2263 -41

    Dodd Frank created a new type of bailout fund for big banks calledOrderly Liquidation Authority . Instead of requiring big banks to go

    through the same bankruptcy shutdown procedures as all othercompanies in America, banks are allowed an exception to the rules

    through OLA.

    Dodd-Frank was supposed to shrink banks that were deemed “too bigto fail” but by driving out smaller banks, the reality is it made big Wall

    Street banks even bigger.

    The Dodd-Frank Act does not end bailouts for too-big-to-fail banks. Infact, it makes those bailouts a requirement of federal law.

    Many experts say that the Dodd-Frank Act was aimed at Wall Street buthit Main Street. 2259 -37

    21

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    D O D D- F R A N K P U S H S E R I E SC O N S E R V A T I V E S T R O N G H O L D

    18

    17

    18

    17

    21

    43

    43

    44

    45

    44

    11

    11

    11

    10

    9

    9

    6

    8

    7

    7

    100 80 60 40 20 20 40 60 80 100

    NETLess Likely More Likely

    Somewhat More Likely

    21

    1665

    Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

    -49Before the Dodd-Frank Act, over 75% of banks offered free checking.

    However after the Dodd-Frank regulations took affect only 39% nowoffer free checking.

    1762 -45

    1860 -43

    1962 -43

    The Dodd-Frank Act does not end bailouts for too-big-to-fail banks.In fact, it makes those bailouts a requirement of federal law.

    Dodd-Frank was supposed to shrink banks that were deemed “too bigto fail” but by driving out smaller banks, the reality is it made big Wall

    Street banks even bigger.

    Dodd Frank created a new type of bailout fund for big banks calledOrderly Liquidation Authority (OLA). Instead of requiring big banks to

    go through the same bankruptcy shutdown procedures as all othercompanies in America, banks are allowed an exception to the rules

    through OLA.

    The Dodd-Frank Act did nothing to reform government backedmortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which many experts say

    were the root cause of the Financial Crisis of 2008.

    2061 -41

    Appeals mostly to conservatives.

    22

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    6

    4213

    16

    23

    Favor Oppose DK/Refused

    22

    22

    “Now knowing this, do you favor or oppose the Dodd-Frank Wall

    Street Reform Act?”

    D O D D- F R A N K – P O S T P U S H

    Somewhat

    Strongly

    65

    23 26 18

    62 6369

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    Favor

    Oppose

    • Killing Small Banks

    • Special Rules for Big Banks

    • Punishing Consumers

    • Too big to fail (cons)

    Collapses support of Dodd-Frank

    23

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    3923

    3862

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    W H O M OVED?D O D D - F R A N K P U S H S E R I E S

    y

    23

    COMPETITIVE

    +24 OPPOSE

    4126

    37

    63

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE

    +26 OPPOSE

    3118

    40

    69

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE

    +29 OPPOSE

    73

    47

    1336

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    LIBERAL+23 OPPOSE

    493023

    58

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    MODERATE+35 OPPOSE

    15 7

    60

    83

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    CONSERVATIVE+23 OPPOSE

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    D O D D - F R A N KS U R V E Y

    January 18-20, 2016