2011 horizon report (astd presentation)
DESCRIPTION
Presentation on the 2011 Horizon Report for the ASTD Mt Diablo Chapter- links and info at http://cogdogblog.com/stuff/astd11/TRANSCRIPT
The 2011 Horizon ReportKey Emerging Technologies
Alan Levine • cogdogblog.com
cogdogblog.com/stuff/astd11
cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by WanderingtheWorld (www.LostManProject.com): http://flickr.com/photos/chrisschoenbohm/5104367911/
cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by kk+: http://flickr.com/photos/kk/4983299/
Predicting is about certainty, and forecasting is about appreciating uncertainty. Forecasting gives a context for decision makers to act in the face of uncertainty. In the business world uncertainty is our friend, because uncertainty is opportunity.
The Horizon Reporthorizon.nmc.org
cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by sd: http://flickr.com/photos/sd/7746599/
cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by Lady Pain (Marta Manso): http://flickr.com/photos/ladypain/178384326/
cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by kev/null: http://flickr.com/photos/kurioso/153495196/
cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by wili_hybrid: http://flickr.com/photos/wili/284074954/
cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by eMotionblogster karolien taverniers: http://
flickr.com/photos/emotionblogster/16298316/
cc licensed ( BY ) flickr photo by chefranden: http://flickr.com/photos/chefranden/
5515093813/
cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by Jartweb: http://flickr.com/photos/jartweb/1472346841/
Three Horizons
moving alongcc licensed ( BY SD ) flickr photo by Neil T: http://flickr.com/photos/neilt/79065838/
Horizon Processcc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by freshwater2006: http://flickr.com/photos/freshwater2006/693945631/
Open Wikihorizon.wiki.nmc.org
Topics
voting
Short List http://horizon.wiki.nmc.org/2011+Short+List
www.nmc.org/publications/2011-horizon-report
Trends
•Abundance•Expectations•Collaborative•The Cloud
Challenges•Digital Media Literacy•Evaluation Metrics•Competition to
Tradition•Keeping Pace
One Year or Lesscc licensed ( BY NC ND ) flickr photo by kxlly: http://flickr.com/photos/kxlly/349894433/
ONE YEAR OR LESS:
Electronic Books
ONE YEAR OR LESS:
Mobiles
Where is that unevenly distributed future? cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by dogfaceboy: http://flickr.com/photos/dogfaceboy/355798876//
eBooks?
mobiles?
Two to Three Yearscc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by ronnie44052: http://flickr.com/photos/ronnie44052/2574261551/
Institute for the Future
124 University Avenue, 2nd Floor
Palo Alto, CA 94301
www.iftf.org
Technology Horizons Program
February, 2009 | SR-1221
superstructing superstructing
TWO TO THREE YEARS:
Augmented Reality
TWO TO THREE YEARS:
Game-Based LearningTraining & Development
Where is that unevenly distributed future? cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by diluvium: http://flickr.com/photos/diluvium/165722011/
Augmented Reality?
Games?
Four to Five Yearscc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by blueforce4116: http://flickr.com/photos/blueforce4116/1398244602/
FOUR TO FIVE YEARS:
Gesture-Based Computing
FOUR TO FIVE YEARS:
Learning Analytics
Where is that unevenly distributed future? flickr photo by Jon Pawley: http://www.flickr.com/photos/jon_pawley/8697122/
Gesture-Based Computing?
Learning Analytics?
How to Participatecc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by Marina Cast.: http://flickr.com/photos/marinacast/3878053449/
The 2011 Horizon ReportKey Emerging Technologies
Alan Levine • cogdogblog.com
cogdogblog.com/stuff/astd11
cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by WanderingtheWorld (www.LostManProject.com): http://flickr.com/photos/chrisschoenbohm/5104367911/