17 top pick stats through sept. 24 - churchill downs · 2017. 9. 30. · joe’s '17 top pick...

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Joe’s '17 Top Pick Stats through Sept. 24 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 441 132 71 55 30.6% 58.5% Sunday, October 1, 2017 Race 1 #4 Warrior’s Passion – 1 st Lasix + cut back + sneaky good fit. #1 Monday Confession – On a serious roll in Minnesota. #5 Outrun the Posse – Claim lures Corey on the rise; respect. #6 Infinite Magic – Blinks on & cuts back turf to dirt; maybe. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-1-5-6-3-2 Race 2 #2 All Right – Woke up back on grass; beat Kitten at KYD. #3 Kitten’s Cat – Drops in for money Maker; class edge. #8 He’s Cheeky – Claimed two back at this level; next best. #7 Thirsty Actor – Claim steps up off consecutive tallies. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 2-3/8-7-5-1/4-6 Race 3 #5 Expressa – Solid impression in Chicago; handles dirt too? #2 Richie’slilwildcat – Speed of the speed should relish 5 ½. #1 Red Dread – Has run some big races; excuse for clunker? #7 Julia’s Kitty – Won nicely at first asking; tougher task. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 5-2-1-7-8/3-6-4 Race 4 #8 Gingermore – Competitive w/better; drops to score. #1 Hold Me Tight – Forgive Poly clunker; fits like a glove. #4 Ultra Arumba – Closer begging for a hot pace to kick at. #5 Capricasca – Ran hard to get up for place with similar. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 8/1/4-5/3-9 Race 5 #1 Blue Ridge Girl – Finds a soft spot for the level; finishes. #3 Right On By – Competitive at this level; must respect. #2 Herald Square – Overmatched in debut; can awaken. #9 Maline – Her head is spinning; very well intended here. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 1-3-2-9-6-5-7-10-11-/4-8-12 Race 6 #4 Tweeter in Chief – Toss out debut; hidden pedigree. #6 Combined – Obscurely bred but sneaky good? #1 Netas – Blinks on for dirt debut; tearing up the tab. #10 Paynter’s Boy – Deceivingly good debut; gimmicks. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-6-1/10-7-8-3-5-9-2

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Page 1: 17 Top Pick Stats through Sept. 24 - Churchill Downs · 2017. 9. 30. · Joe’s '17 Top Pick Stats through Sept. 24 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 441 132 71 55 30.6% 58.5% Sunday,

Joe’s '17 Top Pick Stats through Sept. 24 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 441 132 71 55 30.6% 58.5% Sunday, October 1, 2017 Race 1 #4 Warrior’s Passion – 1st Lasix + cut back + sneaky good fit. #1 Monday Confession – On a serious roll in Minnesota. #5 Outrun the Posse – Claim lures Corey on the rise; respect. #6 Infinite Magic – Blinks on & cuts back turf to dirt; maybe. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-1-5-6-3-2 Race 2 #2 All Right – Woke up back on grass; beat Kitten at KYD. #3 Kitten’s Cat – Drops in for money Maker; class edge. #8 He’s Cheeky – Claimed two back at this level; next best. #7 Thirsty Actor – Claim steps up off consecutive tallies. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 2-3/8-7-5-1/4-6 Race 3 #5 Expressa – Solid impression in Chicago; handles dirt too? #2 Richie’slilwildcat – Speed of the speed should relish 5 ½. #1 Red Dread – Has run some big races; excuse for clunker? #7 Julia’s Kitty – Won nicely at first asking; tougher task. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 5-2-1-7-8/3-6-4

Race 4 #8 Gingermore – Competitive w/better; drops to score. #1 Hold Me Tight – Forgive Poly clunker; fits like a glove. #4 Ultra Arumba – Closer begging for a hot pace to kick at. #5 Capricasca – Ran hard to get up for place with similar. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 8/1/4-5/3-9 Race 5 #1 Blue Ridge Girl – Finds a soft spot for the level; finishes. #3 Right On By – Competitive at this level; must respect. #2 Herald Square – Overmatched in debut; can awaken. #9 Maline – Her head is spinning; very well intended here. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 1-3-2-9-6-5-7-10-11-/4-8-12 Race 6 #4 Tweeter in Chief – Toss out debut; hidden pedigree. #6 Combined – Obscurely bred but sneaky good? #1 Netas – Blinks on for dirt debut; tearing up the tab. #10 Paynter’s Boy – Deceivingly good debut; gimmicks. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-6-1/10-7-8-3-5-9-2

Page 2: 17 Top Pick Stats through Sept. 24 - Churchill Downs · 2017. 9. 30. · Joe’s '17 Top Pick Stats through Sept. 24 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 441 132 71 55 30.6% 58.5% Sunday,

Race 7 #2 Silent Decree – Solid 2nd in return run; finally gets it done. #7 Awesome Fu – Speedster digs deep late; tough to get past. #1 Tabaddol – Claim returns Sharp off the bench; watch tote. #11 Promote – Sneaky good run two back; mud excuse last. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 2/7-1/11-8-3-4 Race 8 #8 Zambian – Even better than he looks; the price is right. #6 Zulu Alpha – Plenty of promise; flies under the radar. #1 Derby Champagne – Keeps getting better; trips out? #3 Zapperini – Running in tough luck; Corey sticks around. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 8-6-1-3-7-9/4-5-2 Race 9 #7 Song of Spring – Flashes of talent; on edge for this one. #10 Dreamcall – Taking steps forward; finishes with punch. #2 Jemrose – Faces class test on the rise; gimmick price shot. #5 Holiday Music – Solid on turf, but bred for dirt; gets Corey. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 7-10/2-5-12-3-9-6

Race 10 #8 Menacing – His granddam earned $486K sprinting; price? #11 Souper Smart – Ran 2nd as chalk in debut; one to beat. #9 Wilderness Gate – Bred for success; Calhoun has ready. #1 Zanesville – Granddam 3rd in Golden Rod; tough rail draw. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 8-11-9-1/4-5-2

Race X: Suggested Play:

KK’s Play of the Day By: Kevin Kerstein

@HorseRacingKK

Work of the Day By: Brandon Stauble

@bstaubs22

Race 5: 9/23- # 5 Herald Square under hold with mate in 25.1 and 49.1 moving well this morning. For valuable information on morning workouts and race day analysis, follow Brandon on Twitter @bstaubs22.