www.pitt.edu/~super/ just-in-time lecture china earthquake: 12 may 2008
TRANSCRIPT
www.pitt.edu/~super/
Just-in-Time Lecture
China Earthquake: China Earthquake: 12 May 200812 May 2008
The Global Disaster Health Network
is designed to translate the best
possible scholarly information to
educators worldwide.
What are the Disaster Supercourse
& JIT lecture?
Mission Statement
What is the Disaster Supercourse?
What is a JIT lecture?
http://www.pitt.edu/~super1
Lecture objectives
To provide the best possible scientific
information about the China
earthquake, 12 May 2008
To teach how the science can help
Chinese to be prepared for primary &
secondary prevention of consequences
of
earthquake
Lecture Objectives
In this lecture you will find:
How the vulnerability conditions can change
a natural hazard to a disaster?
What is the Earthquake?
The shaking of earth caused by waves
moving on and below the earth's surface and
causing: surface faulting, tremors vibration,
liquefaction, landslides, aftershocks and/or
tsunamis.
How Earthquake Happens?
It caused by a sudden slip on a FAULT.
Stresses in the earth's outer layer push sides of fault together.
Stress builds up & rocks slips suddenly, releasing energy in waves that travel through the earth's CRUST & cause the shaking that we Feel during an earthquake.
I) Magnitude:
Definition: A measure of actual physical energy
release at its source as estimated from
instrumental observations.
Scale: Richter Scale
By Charles Richter, 1936
Open-ended scale
The oldest & most widely used
Noji 1997
Earthquake Strength Measures
I) Magnitude & II) Intensity
II) Intensity:
Definition: a measure of the felt or perceived effects
of an earthquake rather than the strength of the
earthquake itself.
Scale: Modified Mercalli (MM) scale
12-point scale, ranges from barely
perceptible earthquakes at MM I to
near total destruction at MM XII
Earthquake Strength Measures
I) Magnitude & II) Intensity
Magnitude refers to the force of the earthquake as
a whole, while intensity refers to the effects of an
earthquake at a particular site.
An earthquake can have just one magnitude, while
intensity is usually strongest close to the epicenter
& is weaker the farther a site is from the epicenter.
The intensity of an earthquake is more germane to
its public health consequences than its magnitude.
Magnitude versus Intensity
Please see the following
addresses for above title:
Part I.
http://www.pitt.edu/~super1/lecture/lec13021/index.htm
Part II.
http://www.pitt.edu/~super1/lecture/lec13051/index.htm
Public Health Consequences
of Earthquakes
• The most populous country
• 3rd largest country– 23 provinces– 5 autonomous regions– 4 municipalities – 2 special administrative regions (Hong Kong & Macau)
• 56 ethnic groups:– 91.6% Han people – 8.4% others
Peoples Republic of China
• World’s economic superpower
• Fastest-growing nation for the past 25 years
• Average annual GDP growth rate above 10%
Economic Development in China
www.Heritage.org
Urban areas:• Street clinics – primary health care• District hospitals – secondary care• City hospitals – tertiary care
Rural area:• Village clinics – primary care• Township hospitals – secondary care• Country hospitals – tertiary care
Health System Structure in China
China’s Health Statistics
Population Population 1,323,350,0001,323,350,000
Gross national income per capita (PPP international $) Gross national income per capita (PPP international $) 6,6006,600
Life expectancy at birth m/f (years)Life expectancy at birth m/f (years) 71/74 71/74
Healthy life expectancy at birth m/f (years, 2002)Healthy life expectancy at birth m/f (years, 2002) 63/65 63/65
Total expenditure on health per capita (Intl $, 2004) Total expenditure on health per capita (Intl $, 2004) 277277
Total expenditure on health as % of GDP (2004)Total expenditure on health as % of GDP (2004) 4.74.7
Source: WHO
10 Top Disaster in China Sorted by Damage US$
Disaster Date Damage US$ (000's)
1 Flood 1-Jul-98 30,000,000
2 Drought Jan-94 13,755,200
3 Flood 30-Jun-96 12,600,000
4 Flood 23-Jun-99 8,100,000
5 Flood 23-Jun-03 7,890,000
6 Flood 1-Jun-91 7,500,000
7 Flood 15-May-95 6,720,000
8 Flood Aug-96 6,314,500
9 Flood Jun-93 6,061,000
10 Earthquake 27-Jul-76 5,600,000
History of Deadly Earthquakes in China
Earthquake Center Year Death Toll
1 Shaanxi 1556 830,000
2 Tangshan 1976 255,000
3 Haiyuan 1920 240,000
4 Chihli 1290 100,000
5 Changma, Gansu 1932 70,000
6 Gulang, Gansu e 1927 40,000
7 Tonghai 1970 15,621
8 Sichuan Diexi 1933 6,800
9 Haicheng 1975 2,041
Source: Wikipedia
Sichuan Province
• Area 485,000 km²
• Population (2004) 87,250,000 (3rd)
• Density 180 /km² (22nd)
• Major nationalities – Han 95.0%– Yi 2.6%– Tibetan 1.5%– Qiang 0.4%
• Magnitude: 7.9 Richter scale
• Local earthquake time: 14.48 Beijing-time
• Location: 30.986°N, 103.364°E
• Depth: 19 km (11.8 miles)
West Sichuan Earthquake, 12th May 2008
Tectonics of Sichuan Earthquake
• Motion on a northeast striking reverse fault or thrust fault on the northwestern margin of the Sichuan Basin
National Mourning• Three-days period of national mourning
• The Chinese National Flag and Regional Flags of Hong
Kong SAR and Macau SAR were raised at half mast.
National Mourning
Yahoo news
Death Tolls & Casualties (as of 23rd May) Affected population: 10.59 Millions and 5.2 Millions left homelessAffected population: 10.59 Millions and 5.2 Millions left homeless
292,481
24,960
3,451
62,664
73,939
0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000
Injured
Death
Hos pitalized
Mis s ed
Died in Hos pitals
Source: OCHA reports
Infrastructure Damage
1 Collapsed Buildings 5.36 Million $
2 Damaged Buildings 21 Million $
3 Pipes 5,000 km
4 Water tanks 839
5 Water treatment works 1,281
• Irrigation systems for 100,000 hectares of paddy fields
• > 50,000 greenhouses
• 7.3 million square meters of livestock barns
Agricultural DamageAgricultural Damage
Relief web
Building Damage
• Number of damaged/collapsed: >15,000,000
• Building earthquake resistant structures makes good economic sense: 3-5% for typical buildings
Giant Pandas
• Unknown situation of 280
giant pandas in Wolong
National Nature Reserve
www.iht.com
• The world just passed a 2-years global campaign of Safe
Schools
• The 2006-7 Global campaign focused on promoting the
safety of school buildings & mainstreaming of disaster risk
reduction (DRR) into school curricula or at least school
activities.
• How are safe the schools in your community?
2006-7 International Campaign on School Safety
According WHO:
1) Treating The Injured
2) Communicable Disease Surveillance & Control
3) Ensuring Safe Water And Food Supply
4) Immediate & Long-term Mental Health & Psychosocial Support
5) Reconstruction Of Health Care System In The Affected Areas
Public Health Priorities
• > 3.3 million tents
• Garbage Treatment Facilities & Sewage Treatment Facilities
• Chemical proof protective clothing, Shoes and masks
• Radiation detector (X ray and Y ray survey meter, Personal
dosimeter)
• Medical Instruments like ECG, Operational Kits, etc
• Medication for infectious disease
Urgent Needs
Source: UNOCHA situation report NO 6, 7 & 8
Do not forget children in Sichuan!
• At least 5,498 children have been left alone in Sichuan Province's quake zone, either because they have been orphaned or their parents cannot be located
Do not forget elderly in Sichuan!
• About 4,800 elderly people left alone due to death of their family or they have been separated from all their relatives
Secondary hazards: Possible dam failure
• 30 cm movement of China's largest earth-rock dam due to earthquake
• 400 damaged dams with possible threat to downstream people
Lake Formation & Flood Threat
• Creating natural dams by moved down rocks into rivers
• Formation of 21 lakes throughout the basin
Dangers due to earthquake-created dams:– Upstream floods
– Instability of the piles of rubble
– Bursting the dam by another quake
– Downstream floods by cascade of water
– Evacuation of thousands of people from Beichuan
30 years continuous evolution in the
practice of Crisis or Disaster Management
Civil defense
Emergency assistance
Disaster response and relief
Humanitarian assistance
Emergency management
Civil protection
Disaster mitigation and prevention
Disaster Risk Management
Strategic shift
from managing
a disastrous
event to more
preventive and
proactive
approaches!!
• A potentially damaging physical event, phenomenon
or human activity that may cause the loss of life or
injury, property damage, social and economic
disruption or environmental degradation.
Natural Geological China Earthquake
Hydro meteorological Flood, Hurricane
Biological Pandemic
Hyman Induced Environmental degradation Deforestation
Technological Nuclear release
What is the Hazard?
What is the Vulnerability?
• The conditions determined by physical, social,
economic, and environmental factors or processes,
which increase the susceptibility of a community to the
impact of hazards.
• Vulnerable Sichuan:
o Unprepared people
o Non-resistant house & school building
o High-density population
o etc.
What is Risk?
• The probability of harmful consequences, or expected
losses (deaths, injuries, property, livelihoods,
economic activity disrupted or environment damaged)
resulting from interactions between natural or
human-induced hazards & vulnerable conditions.
• Risk = Hazards x Vulnerability
What is a Disaster ?
• A serious disruption of the functioning of a community
or a society causing widespread human, material,
economic or environmental losses which exceed the
ability of the affected community or society to cope
using its own resources.
Sichuan earthquake: Risk model
• Maybe Sichuan was not able to modify the
hazard part of the earthquake risk model, and
predict it precisely, BUT they could assess their
vulnerability conditions and reduced them!
• This has been the same experience in Bam &
Kashmir, Yogyakarta !
Risk awareness & Knowledge development
including education, training, research and
information are of the important fields of
action for Disaster Risk Reduction!
Just-in-Time Education
Let’s teach the communities right now !
Please read carefully at:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/faq/prepare.html
What we should do/do not
before,
during & after the earthquake?
Main Lesson Learned
So, an earthquake measuring 7.9 on the
Richter scale is a big earthquake, but not
necessarily equal to a disaster. It is just
movement of the earth crust. Our
vulnerability has changed it to a disaster!!
References
We wish to express our warm thanks
to GDHNet faculties and all groups
that contributed their valuable
materials.