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www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate regional-scale climate simulations simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Global Bernard Dugas Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division Meteorological Research Division Environment Canada Environment Canada in collaboration with in collaboration with A. Zadra, K. Winger and A. Zadra, K. Winger and P. Vaillancourt P. Vaillancourt GEM day – June 12, 2007 Ouranos, Montréal

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Page 1: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

www.ec.gc.ca

Diagnostic results from Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Globalwith the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global

Bernard DugasBernard DugasMeteorological Research DivisionMeteorological Research Division

Environment CanadaEnvironment Canada

in collaboration within collaboration with

A. Zadra, K. Winger andA. Zadra, K. Winger andP. VaillancourtP. Vaillancourt

GEM day – June 12, 2007Ouranos, Montréal

Page 2: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

The modelGEMCLIM is the climate-mode version of the GEM forecast model used operationally by Environment Canada. GEMCLIM provides an estimate of the forecast model’s long term bias as it will generally use configurations that are close that of the operations. It is also being used by our seasonal forecast system. The main difference between GEM and GEMCLIM is probably the latter’s extensive post-processing climate diagnostics.

The upcoming CRCM5 will be based on the GEM dynamical core and several projects are already underway at UQÀM to evaluate the model’s behaviour with its native physics. In this context, the CCCma physics is also being ported to the GEM dynamical core by RPN and CCCma personnel.

All runs discussed here were conducted with the same GEMCLIM library, version 3.2.1. They all started in January 1978 and ended in March 2004 including an 11 month spinup. The exception is the global uniform 0.5 “Meso-Global” which is a set of 26 Dec-Jan and June-July simulations started from initial conditions provided by another global uniform 1.0 degree GEMCLIM simulation.

Page 3: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

• Kain-Fritsch deep and CONRES shallow convections• Sundqvist large scale condensation• Li-Barker short- and long-wave Correlated K radiation (different from operations)• ISBA Land-Surface Scheme• McFarlane (1987) gravity-wave drag• Lott & Miller low-level blocking

Physics

SST and Sea-ice conditions are provided by AMIP2 1 degree monthly means for the whole period. The AMIP2-recommended Liang & Wang (1995) monthly ozone climatology is also used.

Northern Hemisphere winter model results are compared with their corresponding ERA40 time means.

grid type horiz. res. vert. levels top time step domain pilot

global uniform 0.5º 60 2 hPa 1800 s globe -

1.0º 60 2 hPa 2700 s globe -

1.5º 60 2 hPa 3600 s globe -

2.0º 50 5 hPa 3600 s globe -

global variable 0.5º - 1.5º 60 2 hPa 1800 s N. America -

(high res. 79x110) 0.5º - 1.5º 60 2 hPa 1800 s Europe -

limited area 0.5º 53 10 hPa 1800 s N. America ERA40

0.5º 53 10 hPa 1800 s N. America GEM- 1.5º

0.5º 53 10 hPa 1800 s Europe GEM- 1.5º

Page 4: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

304x204 Global 79x110 Core

Meso-Global720x360

Only one out of every five grid points are shown

SGMIP2 NA SGMIP2 EU

MODEL GRIDS

Page 5: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

SGMIP2 North AmericaZonal mean Temperature (-ERA40) (C)

SGMIP2 Europe

GEMCLIM Meso-Global

Page 6: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

500hPa GZ (-ERA40) (dm)SGMIP2 North America SGMIP2 Europe

GEMCLIM Meso-Global

Page 7: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

SGMIP2 North AmericaZonal mean Zonal Wind (-ERA40) (m/s)

SGMIP2 Europe

GEMCLIM Meso-Global

Page 8: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

200hPa Zonal Winds (-ERA40) (m/s)SGMIP2 North America SGMIP2 Europe

GEMCLIM Meso-Global

Page 9: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

SGMIP2 North AmericaSurface Winds (-ERA40) (m/s)

SGMIP2 Europe

GEMCLIM Meso-Global

Page 10: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

SGMIP2 North America200hPa Temperature (-ERA40) (C)

SGMIP2 Europe

GEMCLIM Meso-Global

Page 11: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

SGMIP2 North AmericaSurface Temperature (-ERA40) (C)

SGMIP2 Europe

GEMCLIM Meso-Global

Page 12: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

Zonal Mean Precipitation (mm/day)

Page 13: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

JAN_79-04

SGMIP2 NA, DJF 79-03 SGMIP2 EU, DJF 79-03

Meso-Global, JAN 79-04 ERA40, DJF 79-01

Page 14: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

Part 1 Summary

The three simulations generally produce very similar (and good) results in the large scale although there are some indications of localized sensitivity to changes in resolution, both in the negative and positive sense: That is to say that the uniform high-resolution model does not always out-perform the variable-resolution models when we compare them with ERA40 re-analysis time means

This ends Part 1 of our GEMCLIM diagnostics presentation. Part 2, coming up immediately, will discuss another subset of GEMCLIM simulations,

concentrating on regional North-American and European aspects.

Page 15: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

www.ec.gc.ca

Diagnostic results from Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 2 – GEM-LAMwith the GEM model: Part 2 – GEM-LAM

GEM day – June 12, 2007Ouranos, Montréal

As provided by Ayrton ZadraMeteorological Research DivisionMeteorological Research DivisionEnvironment CanadaEnvironment Canada

Page 16: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

EXPERIMENTS diagnostic period: 1978-2002(3)

grid type horiz. res. vert. levels top time step domain pilot

global uniform 0.5º 60 2 hPa 1800 s globe -

1.0º 60 2 hPa 2700 s globe -

1.5º 60 2 hPa 3600 s globe -

2.0º 50 5 hPa 3600 s globe -

global variable 0.5º - 1.5º 60 2 hPa 1800 s N. America -

(high res. 79x110) 0.5º - 1.5º 60 2 hPa 1800 s Europe -

limited area 0.5º 53 10 hPa 1800 s N. America ERA40

0.5º 53 10 hPa 1800 s N. America GEM- 1.5º

0.5º 53 10 hPa 1800 s Europe GEM- 1.5º

CMOS 2007 Related talks / postersStorm track climatologies from GEMCLIM – K. Winger et al. C05-3DP.11

Evaluation of cloud-radiation interaction in the Canadian GEM model using ARM observations – D. Paquin-Ricard et al. C05-3B5.2

Issues arising from the transferability of two Canadian regional climate models to non-native domains – Z. Kothavala et al. C05-3C5.6

An evaluation of cloud and radiation processes simulated by GEM-LAM for the Arctic SHEBA year – D. Simjanovski et al. C05-3DP.3

Page 17: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

First experiment Grid

• 0.5° uniform, rotated 140x120 grid • Includes 10-point pilot area and 10-

point blending area at boundaries (1 in 5 shown here)• 53 vertical hybrid levels; top 10 hPa

Numerics

• 3x2 MPI domains & 4 OpenMP threads

• 1800s time step6 horizontal diffusion

Physics

• Kain-Fritch deep convection• Sundquist large-scale condensation • ISBA land-surface scheme• Li & Barker Correlated-K radiation• McFarlane gravity-wave drag• Lott & Miller low-level blocking

Pilot information

• atmosphere: ERA40 1957-2002 (2.5°, every 6h)

• oceans/lakes: AMIP2 (1°, monthly)• no spectral nesting, but temperature

piloted at model top

Results for 1978-2002 presented

Page 18: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

500hPaGZ (dam)

DJF JJA

T_surf(deg C)

DJF JJA

Page 19: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

Precip(mm/day)

DJF JJA

1000hPaspec. hum.

(g/kg)

DJF JJA

Page 20: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

Summary of N. America/ERA40 experiment

> Provides a reference GEM-LAM simulation of the climate over N. America:• documentation (paper in preparation)• driving data for other simulations (e.g. hydrology models)• data for regional climate studies (e.g. student projects)• statistics of model behavior (also for NWP development)

> Issues currently under investigation: Simulated climate too dry and warm, mainly in the summer and over central N. America; possible deficiencies in

• geophysical fields (e.g. roughness length, land cover)• physical parametrizations

- surface scheme- boundary layer- vertical diffusion- radiative transfer- convection

Page 21: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

Second set of experiments

- local extension of SGMIP2 experiment

- two 26-year, 0.5° GEM- LAM simulations: North- America and Europe (same high-resolution core areas of SGMIP2 simulations, same period)

- lateral boundary conditions: 1.5° global uniform-resolution GEM simulation (same physics)

N. America

Europe

Page 22: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

SGMIP2 NA

SGMIP2 NAT

ota

l p

reci

p –

Xie

-Ark

in [

mm

/day

]S

urf

ace

Te

mp

era

ture

– E

RA

40 [

C] LAM NA

WINTER 79-03

LAM NA

Page 23: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

To

tal

pre

cip

– X

ie-A

rkin

[m

m/d

ay] SGMIP2 NA

Su

rfac

e T

em

pe

ratu

re –

ER

A40

[C

] SGMIP2 NA LAM NASUMMER 79-03

LAM NA

Page 24: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

SGMIP2 EU

SGMIP2 EUS

urf

ace

Te

mp

era

ture

– E

RA

40 [

C]

To

tal

pre

cip

– X

ie-A

rkin

[m

m/d

ay]

LAM EUWINTER 78-03

LAM EU

Page 25: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

SGMIP2 EUS

urf

ace

Te

mp

era

ture

– E

RA

40 [

C]

SGMIP2 EU

To

tal

pre

cip

– X

ie-A

rkin

[m

m/d

ay]

LAM EUSUMMER 78-03

LAM EU

Page 26: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

Summary of limited-area versus variable-resolutionexperiments over N. America & Europe

> comparison of climatologies:• remarkably similar in winter• some differences in summer (LAM slightly closer to analyses)

> cost/benefit favors LAM approach over both domains (note: not necessarily true for other domains, e.g. tropics)

> main weaknesses (e.g. too warm/dry regions, excessive precip. over mountains, etc.) most likely related to deficiencies in geophysical fields and physical parametrizations

Page 27: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

www.ec.gc.ca

… … thank you / mercithank you / merci

GEM day – June 12, 2007Ouranos, Montréal

Page 28: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

in case anyone asks for more results…

Page 29: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division
Page 30: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

200hPa Winds (-ERA40) (m/s)

DJF JJA

Page 31: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

DJF 850 hPa Winds (-ERA40) (m/s)

Page 32: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

JJA 850 hPa Winds (-ERA40) (m/s)

Page 33: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

From: Comparison of Cloud Microphysics between GEM and ARM-SGP Observations. By Danahe

Paquin-Ricard, Colin Jones and Paul Vaillancourt. Submitted to WGNE Blue Book 2007.

Bernard Dugas
1) Too frequent CLEAR-SKY conditions.2) PCP removes cloud water efficiently at too low LWP
Page 34: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division

a) Winter ISR all sky,

b) Winter ISR cloud free,

c) Winter ISR cloudy,

d) Winter DLR all sky,

e) Winter DLR cloud free,

f) Winter DLR cloudy,

g) Summer ISR all sky,

h) Summer ISR cloud free,

i) Summer ISR cloudy,

j) Summer DLR all sky,

k) Summer DLR cloud free,

l) Summer DLR cloudy.

Distribution of ISR and DLR 3-hourly radiation fluxes from RCMs and observations. The period 15-21 UTC is analyzed due to cloud observations only being available during sunlight:

From: The Simulated Surface Radiation Budget over North America in a Suite of Regional Climate Models by Marko Markovic, Colin Jones, Paul Vaillancourt and Dominique Paquin. Submitted to WGNE Blue Book 2007.

Bernard Dugas
DJF results:abc) "Good" results for GEMe) bad representation of water vapour continuum in cold dry conditions OR no trace gases/aerosols in total DLWJJA results:i) Overestimated optically thin cirrusk) Systematic underestimate of JJA cloud cover.
Page 35: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division
Page 36: Www.ec.gc.ca Diagnostic results from regional-scale climate simulations with the GEM model: Part 1 – GEM Global Bernard Dugas Meteorological Research Division