World Tourism Performance 2011 and Outlook 2012IPK 19th World Travel Monitor ForumPisa, Italy3-4 November, 2011

Results 2011

www.unwto.org/facts

International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution World (% change)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2008 2009 2010 2011*

V-shape decline of 15 consecutive

months of negative growth

+2.1% -3.8% +6.6% +4.5%

Consolidation of growth achieved in 2010

International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution World (million)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2008200920102011*

2010: 940 mn

2009: 881 mn => 2010: +59 mn

2008: 916 mn => 2010: +24 mn

2011 expected to mark new all-time record

International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution Advanced economies & Emerging economies (% change)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2008 2009 2010 2011*

Advanced economies

Emerging economies

10 months

16 months

Advanced economy destinations gain momentum

International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolutionEurope (% change)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2008 2009 2010 2011*

V-shape decline of 19 consecutive

months of negative growth

+0.5% -4.9% +3.1% +6.4%

Europe: fastest growing region in 2011

International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolutionEurope (million)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2011*201020092008

International Tourist Arrivals (% change over same period of the previous year)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©

0

35

3

1412

6

12

7

3 4

10

6 7

15

7

3

9 8

1

12

0

13

34 4

13

-15

3

-9

6.54.5

-16-14-12-10

-8-6-4-202468

10121416

WorldNorth

ern Euro

peWest

ern Euro

pe

Central/

Eastern

Europe

Souther

n/Medi

ter. Eu.

North-East

AsiaSout

h-East

Asia

Oceania

South A

siaNorth

America

Caribbea

nCent

ral Americ

aSout

h Americ

aNorth

Africa

Subsaha

ran Afric

aMidd

le East

10/09

11*/10 January - August

2010 and 2011 year to date by subregion

International Tourism Expenditure (% change of same period year before, local currencies current prices)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Germany

United S

tates

China

United K

ingdom

France

Canada

Japan Ital

y

Russian

Federati

onAust

ralia

Saudi Arab

iaNeth

erlands

Belgium

Korea, R

epublic

of

Hong Kong

(Chin

a)Spai

nSing

apore

Brazil

Norway

Sweden

2010 2011 ytd

Major outbound markets

UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts: World

Better

Equal

Worse

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

T1 T2'03

T3 T1 T2'04

T3 T1 T2'05

T3 T1 T2'06

T3 T1 T2'07

T3 T1 T2'08

T3 T1 T2'09

T3 T1 T2'10

T3 T1 T2'11

T3

Prospects

Evaluation

Outlook and evaluation 2003-2011: World

V-shape comparable to arrivals

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

UNWTO tourism business-cycle clock

Upswing May 2003 Boom

October 2011

Recession Downswing

Pros

pect

s co

min

g 4

mon

ths

Evaluation past 4 months

50

75

100

125

150

25 50 75 100 125 150 175

UNWTO tourism business-cycle clock

UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts: Europe

Better

Equal

Worse

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

T1 T2'03

T3 T1 T2'04

T3 T1 T2'05

T3 T1 T2'06

T3 T1 T2'07

T3 T1 T2'08

T3 T1 T2'09

T3 T1 T2'10

T3 T1 T2'11

T3

Prospects

Evaluation

Europe: confidence declining

V-shape comparable to arrivals

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

Outlook

www.unwto.org/facts

2010 Forecast 2011

World +6.6% +4.0% to +4.5%

Europe +3.2% +5% to +6%

Asia and the Pacific +12.8% +5% to +6%

Americas +6.4% +4% to +5%

Africa +7.8% -2% to +1%

Middle East +14.8% -10% to -5%

International Tourism: Forecast 2011

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

International tourist arrivals

8.0

-0.1

3.0

-1.6

10.3

5.4 5.56.6

-3.8

6.6

2.1

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012*

Forecast

2011: 4.0% to 4.5%

2012: 3% to 4%

Outlook: Worldch

ange

(%)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

Where to find information prepared by UNWTO?www.unwto.org => Facts & Figures

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