world bank - caf marco kamiya 6sep13 20130906

Upload: marco-kamiya

Post on 14-Apr-2018

219 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    1/23

    Ecosystem, Entrepreneurship

    and Innovation: (Bad)

    Equilibrium

    Marco Kamiya

    WorkshopWBCAF

    WashingtonDC,World Bank,September 6,2013

    Direccin de Polticas Pblicas y Competitividad

    Vicepresidencia de Estrategias de Desarrollo y Polticas Pblicas

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    2/23

    SilVal Israel Sing Bra Chi Mex Colo

    Innovation Patents

    Universities

    Overseasnetworks

    Entrepreneurial

    Talent

    (Managerial/Labor)

    Teachingtechniques

    Trainingfor

    Business

    plans,etc.

    TechTransfer Centers

    Finance AngelInvestors/Seed

    Venture Capital

    EquityInvestment

    EnterpriseDevelopmentEcosystems

    Developed Incipient Inexistent

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    3/23

    Entrepreneurial

    Ecosystems

    Entrepreneurs andPolicies

    for

    Ecosystem

    StartUps

    Entrepreneurs

    Dynamic

    Sectors

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    4/23

    1. Whytherearesofewnewdynamicfirms?

    2. Isitculturaltraitsthatprevententrepreneursto

    appear?

    3. Whyfirms

    dont

    grow

    or

    stay

    in

    low

    productivitysegments?

    4. Isthere

    abad

    equilibrium

    preventing

    firms

    to

    grow?

    Entrepreneurship

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    5/23

    FirmDistribution by

    Size

    Asalariados Desocupados

    EstadosUnidos Mxico Per

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    6/23

    FirmDistribution by

    Number

    of

    Employees

    Asalariados Desocupados

    EstadosUnidos Mxico Per

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    7/23

    Distribution ofLabor

    Force

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    8/23

    Entrepreneurs:Similar

    Attributes

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    9/23

    Distribution ofAttributesinSelectedLAC

    Citiesand

    in

    Los

    Angeles

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    10/23

    LAand

    LAC:

    Tolerance

    to

    Risk

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    11/23

    MicroenterprisesandSelfEmployed:Escaping

    fromUnemployment

    Similarto

    salaried

    workers(Formaland

    informal)

    75%

    Similarto

    Employers

    25%

    Traits

    Education

    Family environment

    Features proentrepreneurship

    Preference for salary jobs

    Previous job/background

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    12/23

    Panel A: Total Employment

    Cohort: Establishment's initial year of operation

    Year before 1970 1970 to 1979 1980 to 1984 1985 to 1989 1990 to 1994 1995 to 1997 1998 to 2003 2004 to 2009 Total

    1994 316,612 139,428 80,396 73,248 26,377 - - - 636,061

    1997 279,372 124,205 75,739 74,119 44,811 17,114 - - 615,360

    2009 203,989 98,969 67,484 73,960 72,750 39,525 57,008 29,813 643,498

    2009-1994 -112,623 -40,459 -12,912 712 46,373 39,525 57,008 29,813 7,437

    Panel B: Number of establishments

    1994 1,756 1,931 1,500 1,484 593 - - - 7,264

    1997 1,643 1,891 1,511 1,585 1,032 375 - - 8,037

    2009 1,029 1,114 968 1,235 1,286 740 1,487 969 8,828

    2009-1994 -727 -817 -532 -249 693 740 1,487 969 1,564

    Panel C: Mean of Employment

    1994 180.3 72.2 53.6 49.4 44.5 87.61997 170 65.7 50.1 46.8 43.4 45.6 76.6

    2009 198.2 88.8 69.7 59.9 56.6 53.4 76 63 72.9

    2009-1994 17.94 16.64 16.12 10.53 12.09 53.41 76 63 -14.67

    Younger firms not small firmscreates the jobs

    Source:Haltiwanger andEslava(2012)

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    13/23

    40years later

    US

    Mexico

    Lack ofDynamism inFormalFirms

    8times

    Double

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    14/23

    What explains

    lack ofdynamism in

    large firms?

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    15/23

    The Four Elements of

    the Entrepreneurial Ecosystem

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    16/23

    InnovationisnotEverything

    Science

    Theory

    R+D

    (Researchand

    Development)

    ScalingUp/

    Commercialization

    Theoretical

    progressin

    science

    Patentable/

    registered

    proprietary

    research

    Innovation

    Processes

    Intheabsenceofstronguniversityprivatealliances

    TechnologyTransferCentersandmechanismtoshare

    networks(PP

    dialogues)

    are

    important.

    Advancesin

    basicscience

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    17/23

    Entrepreneurship

    Innovation

    FinanceAngel

    Investors

    Seed

    Capital

    Venture

    Capital

    Universities

    LaboratoriesResearch

    CentersCorporations

    TechTransfer

    Centersat

    Universitiesand

    Laboratories

    Educationand

    Entrepreneurial

    Talent

    Private

    Equity

    InnovationandEntrepreneurship:

    MissingLink

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    18/23

    NationalSystemsofInnovation

    Japan USSR

    1970R&D/GDP2.5% 1970R&D/GDP4.0%

    MilitaryorspaceR&Dlessthan

    2%

    Militaryorspace R&Dmorethan

    70%

    EnterpriselevelR&D67% Enterpriselevel lessthan10%

    Stronglinkagebetweenproducer

    andsubcontractor

    Strong cooperationmanagement

    andworkforce

    Freeman(1995)

    QualityControlandMng Techniques

    Vocationaltrainingbyfirms

    R&Dpublicandprivateatfirmlevel

    Intrapreneurship

    Japan60s

    70s

    Korea,

    Taiwan,

    70s80s

    ASEAN

    Countries,

    China

    90s

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    19/23

    Distribucindelfinanciamientopblicoal

    ecosistemacomo

    porcentaje

    del

    PIB

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    20/23

    Mapadepolticas:distribucindelapoyo

    financieropor

    tamao

    de

    firma

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    21/23

    Policiesfor

    Entrepreneurship

    Policiesshould identifytransformationalanddynamicfirmsas

    wellas

    strengthening

    employability

    of

    subsistence

    micro

    entrepreneurs.

    Challenge: howtoreachthe25%ofcapablemicroentrepreneursthatareinthebottomofthepyramid?

    HowtodesigninnovationpoliciesthatavoidcrowdingoutandsupportprivateR&Dwithtechnicalenhancement.

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    22/23

    IdeasforCooperationWBCAFfor

    Entrepreneurship

    DesignofPublicPrivatedialoguesforEntrepreneurship

    Employabilityofsubsistenceworkers,managerialcapacitiesofmanagers,qualitytraining.

    Institutionalcapacity

    for

    policy

    design

    Spinoffpromotionmechanisms

    Cluster/Value

    Chain

    based

    entrepreneurship

  • 7/29/2019 World Bank - CAF Marco Kamiya 6sep13 20130906

    23/23

    MarcoKamiya

    DireccindePolticasPblicasyCompetitividad

    Vicepresidencia

    de

    Estrategias

    de

    Desarrollo

    y

    Polticas

    Pblicas