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52 Michael Liebreich BNEF Summit, New York, 5 April 2016 @MLiebreich Picture: Bloomberg ENERGY MIRACLE Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover a clean energy breakthrough that will save our planet and power our world. Bill Gates February 2016

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Page 1: Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover ... › wp-content › uploads › Lieb...ENERGY MIRACLE Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover a clean

52 Michael Liebreich BNEF Summit, New York, 5 April 2016 @MLiebreich

Picture: Bloomberg

ENERGY MIRACLE

Within the next 15 years I

expect the world will discover

a clean energy breakthrough

that will save our planet and

power our world.

Bill Gates

February 2016

Page 2: Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover ... › wp-content › uploads › Lieb...ENERGY MIRACLE Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover a clean

53 Michael Liebreich BNEF Summit, New York, 5 April 2016 @MLiebreich

Baseload power price

Cost of nuclear

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

HINKLEY C PROJECTED POWER COST (GBP/MWH)

Image: EDF; Source: ECIU, Parsons Brinckerhoff, Mott MacDonald, E.On, EDF, Centrica, Bloomberg New Energy Finance

Baseload power price

Cost of nuclear

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

+126%

Hinkley

Point C

CfD

Page 3: Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover ... › wp-content › uploads › Lieb...ENERGY MIRACLE Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover a clean

54 Michael Liebreich BNEF Summit, New York, 5 April 2016 @MLiebreich

NEXT GENERATION NUCLEAR FISSION

TerraPower

TWR

Babcock & Wilcox

mPower

Terrestrial

Energy IMSR80

General Atomics

EM2 Note: Not an exhaustive list – excludes Gen IV startups such as Transatomic, Flibe and Upower, and all non-US efforts

Westinghouse

SMR

Nuscale

SMR Pictures: company websites

Holtec

SMR-160

Page 4: Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover ... › wp-content › uploads › Lieb...ENERGY MIRACLE Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover a clean

55 Michael Liebreich BNEF Summit, New York, 5 April 2016 @MLiebreich

Image: Joint European Torus

NUCLEAR FUSION

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56 Michael Liebreich BNEF Summit, New York, 5 April 2016 @MLiebreich

Source: General Fusion

ITER CADARACHE

Images: ITER collaborative; Source: various

Cost:

First Plasma:

2006

$6 bn

2019

2009

$12 bn

2019

2014

$21 bn

2020

2016

$25 bn?

2026

Page 6: Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover ... › wp-content › uploads › Lieb...ENERGY MIRACLE Within the next 15 years I expect the world will discover a clean

57 Michael Liebreich BNEF Summit, New York, 5 April 2016 @MLiebreich

Image: General Fusion

ENERGY MIRACLE – GENERAL FUSION?

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58 Michael Liebreich BNEF Summit, New York, 5 April 2016 @MLiebreich

Image: Max Planck Institut für Plasmaphysik

ENERGY MIRACLE – WENDELSTEIN STELLERATOR?