Who is to blame for the weather? – weather@home

Friederike Otto, Neil Massey, Myles Allen……Environmental Change Institute

School of Geography and the EnvironmentUniversity of Oxford

friederike.otto@ouce.ox.ac.uk

weather@home regional climate models

Simulating extreme weather events

• another winter storm coming in the winter in the UK

• Extreme events - the highest monthly precipitation in Oxford before this winter has been in 1767

• How extreme would it have been without climate change?

We can ask how the risk of an extreme event occurring has changed due to human greenhouse gas emissions

Thanks to weather@home participants we can start to identify the impacts of climate change today – but

some events are more of a challenge than others