what works: creating an evidenced based approach dr david halpern what works national adviser &...
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What Works: creating an evidenced based approach
Dr David Halpern
What Works National Adviser & Director Behavioural Insights Team
How did UK cyclists win? ...radical incrementalism
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Relative efficacy – 100x average differences
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Toby Ord, 2013The Moral Imperative toward Cost –Effectiveness in Global Health
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Nine out of ten people pay their tax on time.
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Social norms to increase tax payment rates within 23 days (1 month)
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1. Control 2. Norm
3. Norm & Picture
4. Norm & Logo
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5. Three Die 6. Nine Lives
7. Reciprocity 8. Action
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Proportion joining the organ donor register after a online prompt
What Works Centres
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Core idea…
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Initial ‘What Works’ Centres cover £200bn
“The What Works Network will bring a real step-change to our evidence generating capabilities, and will further ensure government takes decisions at the Spending Round and future events on the basis of high quality research aimed at delivering the best possible outcomes for the public”
Danny Alexander Chief Secretary to the Treasury
The first six ‘What Works’ centres
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NICE
EEF
Early Intervention FoundationLocal Economic Growth
Crime reduction Better Aging
45% of school leaders say they use the ST/EEF toolkit...
13 http://educationendowmentfoundation.org.uk/toolkit/
Intervention Impact
Evidence qualityCost
The future…?
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Conclusions
Commissioner and practitioner focused
£200bn ($300bn) spend covered and growing
Implies a different, more humble approach to policy
Department reviews to foster faster progress (BI!)
Strong case for collaboration – many gaps
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Dr David Halpern What Works National Adviser and Director Behavioural Insights Team [email protected]
Danielle MasonHead of What Works [email protected]
@whatworksuk
A lost tradition of experimentation…
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Illustration from North Carolina and its Resources by the North Caroline Board of Agriculture, 1896
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A different approach to policy…
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Effect on 1 yr re-offending rate vs treatment size (Significant results)
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Effect on 1 year re-offending rate (percentage points)
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atm
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t siz
eBuilding evidence infrastructure: propensity score matching and the Justice data lab
76 requests46 published analyses16 analyses found significant impact15 of the significant results were positive
UNCLASSIFIED
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Not just letters - Job centre results % off benefits at 13 weeks
Now across the UK &
NSW