what is driving energy storage deployment?

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What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment? Western Power Summit – Las Vegas Cedric Christensen, Director of Market Development November 5, 2014

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Presented at the Western Power Summit on November 6, 2014 during a panel discussion on "California’s Energy Storage Directive and Implications for the West".

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Page 1: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Western Power Summit – Las Vegas Cedric Christensen, Director of Market Development November 5, 2014

Page 2: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Unparalleled experience in PV and energy storage

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California Energy Storage Alliance (CESA)

» Founded in January, 2009

» 85 member companies

» Active in over 20 regulatory proceedings at CPUC, CAISO, and CEC

Strategen Consulting

» Started consulting in PV and energy storage space in 2005

» Unique focus in strategic advisory work in the clean energy industry

Energy Storage North America (ESNA)

» Largest storage conference in the world

» 28 countries in attendance

» Regulators, utilities, large strategic accounts, and start-ups

Page 3: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Energy Storage Is A Very Broad Asset Class

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Electro-Chemical Storage

(Flow battery / Lithium Ion )

Mechanical Storage

(Flywheel)

Bulk Mechanical Storage

(Compressed Air)

Thermal Storage

(Ice / Molten Salt)

Bulk Gravitational Storage

(Pumped Hydro)

Transportation

(Electric Vehicles)

Page 4: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Broad Electric Power System Applicability

4

Bulk Storage

Ancillary Services

Distributed Storage

Distributed Storage Commercial

Storage

Residential Storage

Courtesy of:

Page 5: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Global Operational Energy Storage

5

Page 6: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Global Projected Energy Storage through 2020

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Page 7: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Operational Energy Storage (non-hydro)

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Page 8: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Planned Operational Energy Storage (non-hydro)

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Page 9: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Countries Leading ES Deployment (non-hydro)

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Page 10: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Regional Hubs for US Deployment

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Page 11: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Primary Use Cases (non-hydro)

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Page 12: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

California Leadership: IOUs and MOUs

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1,325+ MW

350+ MW

Page 13: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Energy Storage Policy in California

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CP

UC

• Resource Adequacy

• Demand Response

• Storage Rulemaking

• Alternative Fuel Vehicles

• Interconnection

• Permanent Load Shifting

• Rate Design

• AB 327

• Integrated Demand Side Management

• Self Generation Incentive Program

• Interconnection

• Long Term Procurement Planning

• Renewable Portfolio Standard

CEC

• EPIC Program

• POU AB2514 Targets

CA

ISO

• Energy Storage Roadmap

• Flexible Resource Adequacy

• Transmission Planning Process

Page 14: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

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AB 2514 – 1,325 MW procured by 2020

OTC and SONGS retirement – 6,209 MW of Retiring OTC Capacity by 2024

Long Term Procurement Planning – SCE (250 MW)

– SDG&E (25 – 200 MW)

CAISO Reforms to Wholesale Market – Market design updates specific to storage

– Storage being considered in transmission planning process

– Updates to interconnection process

Self Generation Incentive Program – - $83M/year through 2020

Net Energy Metering / Rate Design

Factors Advancing Energy Storage in CA

Page 15: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Assigned Commissioner’s Ruling: 1.325 GW Goal!

Use case category, by utility 2014 2016 2018 2020 Total

Southern California Edison

Transmission 50 65 85 110 310

Distribution 30 40 50 65 185

Customer 10 15 25 35 85

Subtotal SCE 90 120 160 210 580

Pacific Gas & Electric

Transmission 50 65 85 110 310

Distribution 30 40 50 65 185

Customer 10 15 25 35 85

Subtotal PG&E 90 120 160 210 580

San Diego Gas & Electric

Transmission 10 15 22 33 80

Distribution 7 10 15 23 55

Customer 3 5 8 14 30

Subtotal SDG&E 20 30 45 70 165

Total – all 3 Utilities 200 270 365 490 1,325

Page 16: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

© 2014 California Energy Storage Alliance

California’s “Duck Curve”

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Page 17: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

March 2014

Source: CAISO 2014 Flex Capacity Needs Assessment

Renewable Output in California

Page 18: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

March 2014

Source: CAISO 2014 Flex Capacity Needs Assessment

Renewable Effect on California Net Load

Page 19: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Forecast Load Growth from Electric Vehicles in California

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Source: Vehicle - Grid Integration: A Vision for Zero-Emission Transportation Interconnected throughout California’s Electricity System; California Public Utility Commission, March 2014. R.13-11-007. Pg. 3.

Page 20: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Energy Storage: ~3X the Flexible Range per MW

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Compare benefits, not megawatts

100MW LMS 100

Gas Peaker Plant1

100MW Energy Storage System

30MW Min. Output

(when no emissions

constraints)

100MW Max. Output

70 MW Range 100MW Discharge

-100MW Charge

200MW Range

1. LMS Plant Picture Source: http://www.industcards.com/cc-usa-ca-n.htm (Panoche Power Plant, Firebaugh, CA)

Page 21: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Energy Storage: 3X the Utilization

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100 MW LMS 100

Gas Peaker Plant1

100MW Energy Storage System

>95% Utilization Utilization

20%-40%

0% 50% 100%

Startup Time

Shutdown Time

Min Utilization

Max Utilization

Unutilized 0% 50% 100%

Startup Time

Shutdown Time

Min Utilization

Max Utilization

Unutilized

1. LMS Plant Picture Source: http://www.industcards.com/cc-usa-ca-n.htm (Panoche Power Plant, Firebaugh, CA)

Page 22: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

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Energy Storage System

Full Power Ramp

<1 second

Graph Source: Kirby, B. “Ancillary Services: Technical and Commercial Insights.” Wartsilla, July, 2007. pg. 13 1. http://www.cpvsentinel.com/about.html

LMS 100 Gas Peaker Plant

Full Power Ramp

10 Minutes

Energy Storage Responds More Quickly

Page 23: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

Storage Is Now Part of Long Term Procurement Planning

LTPP decision requires minimum of 50MW (SCE) for local capacity requirements

SCE LCR Track 1 Decision 2/12/13, SCE Track 4 Decision 2/11/14

SCE Procurement Authorization and Requirements (Track 1 and Track 4)

261.1 MW » West LA Basin

» Moorpark

Page 24: What is Driving Energy Storage Deployment?

More Information

Thank you!

Cedric Christensen Director of Market Development

– Email: [email protected] – Office: +1 510 665 7811 x 105