what a strange trip this has been – from 1984 to now the rural telecon conference 2007
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WHAT A STRANGE TRIP THIS HAS BEEN – FROM 1984 TO NOW The Rural Telecon Conference 2007. Jane Smith-Patterson The e-NC Authority October 15, 2007. WHERE ARE WE? REALLY?. At the Hind End of the Horse We heard from yesterday’s keynoters that we have not come far. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
WHAT A STRANGE TRIP THIS HAS BEEN – FROM 1984 TO NOW
The Rural Telecon Conference 2007
Jane Smith-PattersonThe e-NC AuthorityOctober 15, 2007
WHERE ARE WE? REALLY?
At the Hind End of the Horse
We heard from yesterday’s keynoters that we have not come far.
15th or 12th or 21st ---- All different Think Tank Groups
The real story is:
US consumers pay 2 times more what the Japanese pays for connections; and it is 20 times as slow. (Comm Daily 10/3/07)
Canada – Germany – France
E-rate
Broadband Evolution in the World
European Union (Government Intervention)
Asian Continent, Singapore, Japan, Korea, (Government Intervention)
North America (Except US) Mexico and Canada Industry Canada and President Calderon of Mexico
Middle East (Government and Private Sector)
Africa (Government and Private Sector)
Disruptive Technology of the Internet Has Changed the Game
Telephones, Laptops, Cell Phones, PDAs, IPODs, IPhones, has enlarged the category of access devices.
Replacing drums and the telegraph we still have copper, cable, satellite, wireless and fiber
BPL still not there to scale.
2007 Disruptive Tech
RFID
WEB SERVICES
SERVER VIRTUALIZATION
GRAPHIC PROCESSING
MOBILE SECURITY
The ECONOMIC End Game for Rural Areas – Move or Stay and Fight
Why is it important? US has always counted on the telecommunications industry as an important element of America’s technological leadership and economic success.
Industry accounted for half the increase in US issued patents in the decade of the 1990s.
Federal Reserve Board –two-thirds of US productivity gains since 1995 due to impact of communications and computer technology
$700 billion trade deficit compounded by $55 billion deficit in Advanced Technology Products—telecommunications items account for $27 billion
Lack of ULTRA high speed networks in US makes it impossible for US based companies to enter key new business sectors.
US venture capitalists are pushing start-up firms they fund to move R&D abroad—to Asia (Economic Strategy Institute, 2006)
Flawed Regulatory Policies
1996 Telecomm Act focused on deregulations and creating greater competition in telecom markets as sole means of fostering development and deployment of new technologies and services.
Competition doesn’t create demand necessarily… if risks too great investment and disincentives too strong, then new technology development and deployment will be retarded.
US regulators failed to put in place measures to stimulate demand except with the e-rate
A major boom then bust in 2001 when CLECs and LD carriers collapsed taking $500 billion of invested capital, $2 trillion in market cap with them.
Many US telecom makers outsourced to Asia, closed factories and slashed employment. (Economic Strategy Institute, 2006)
US Challenges and Risk for Broadband
Market Turbulence
Overly Cautious FCC
Commitment of federal and state resources
Incentive funds lacking
Digital Literacy Programs important
Equipment for all citizens
JUST DO IT!!! (e-NC Examples)
- Business & Tech Centers - Mapping/e-Communities
-PANGEA - Clay
-PINE - WinstonNet
- MAIN - Yadkin Valley Co-op
- CTC - Blue Ridge/DukeNet
- Belhaven Cable - Blue Ridge Mountain/GA
Connectivity in North Carolina: the Good News
NC Status:
December 2006
83%Penetration
US Broadband Penetration: 82.2% - Computer World, Sept. 2007
Households with Access to High-speed Service
2006New Color
Scheme
Challenges and Risks
• Market turbulence
• Incentive Funds
• Commitment of federal resources
• Overly cautious FCC
• FTTH essential
•Computers/Training for Homes
“What a Long Strange Trip It’s Been”
Critical Success Factors:
• Leadership - Legislative
• Incentives Money
• Public-Private Partnerships
• Grassroots Involvement -- e-communities
• The e-NC Authority Board
What Can you Do?
• Elect Legislators Who “Get It”
• Demand $$$ for Broadband Incentives
• Request 10-yr. Internet “Never Drop off the Net” Plan
• Know Your Communities’ Access Profile
• Take your Legislator to See How Technology is Transforming North Carolina
• Stay Current - visit www.e-NC.org
Broadband Evolution: An Anthropomorphic View
384 kps –
Baby Broadband
1.5 mbps
Toddler Speeds
45 mbps
Adolescents
80 mbps
Functional Adults
April 16-17, 2007
Hilton RDU Airport48100 Page RoadDurham NC 27703
Southeast ICT Symposium
SAVE the DATES
Webcasting Training
Up-coming sessions:
• September 11 Foothills Connects, Rutherfordton
• September 18 Northeast Technology & Business
Center, Williamston
• November 27 NC Rural Center
Registration: www.e-nc.org Cost: No charge
A Closing Thought
Early Adapters Have Benefited the Most From Disruptive Technology Movements
To Reach Us ….To Reach Us ….
The e-NC Authority
4021 Carya Drive, Raleigh
1-866-NCRURAL
www.e-nc.org