Welcome To The 38th HPC User Forum

MeetingHLRS October 2010

Important Dates For Your Calendar

FUTURE HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS:

International Meetings: HLRS/University of Stuttgart, October 7/8, 2010 SARA Computing & Networking Services,

Amsterdam, October 11/12, 2010 Beijing, China, October 30th

2011 US Meetings: April 5 to 7, Houston, Texas September 6 to 8, San Diego, California

Introduction: Logistics

We have a very tight agenda (as usual) Please help us keep on time!

Review handouts Note: We will post most of the presentations on

the web site Please complete the evaluation form

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HPC User Forum Mission

To Improve The Health Of TheHigh-performance Computing Industry

Through Open Discussions, Information-sharing And Initiatives Involving

HPC Users In Industry, Government And Academia

Along With HPC VendorsAnd Other Interested Parties

HPC User Forum Goals

• Assist HPC users in solving their ongoing computing, technical and business problems

• Provide a forum for exchanging information, identifying areas of common interest, and developing unified positions on requirements

By working with users in other sectors and vendors To help direct and push vendors to build better products Which should also help vendors become more successful

• Provide members with a continual supply of information on:

Uses of high end computers, new technologies, high end best practices, market dynamics, computer systems and tools, benchmark results, vendor activities and strategies

• Provide members with a channel to present their achievements and requirements to interested parties

Steering Committee Members

• Steve Finn, BAE Systems, Chairman• Sharan Kalwani , KAUST, Vice Chairman • Earl Joseph, IDC, Executive Director• Vijay Agarwala, Penn State University• Alex Akkerman, Ford Motor Company • Doug Ball, The Boeing Company• Rupak Biswas NASA/Ames• Paul Buerger, Avetec• Steve Conway, IDC Research Vice President• Jack Collins, National Cancer Institute• Jeff Broughton. NERSC/Lawrence Berkeley National Lab • Merle Giles, NSCA/University of Illinois• Chris Catherasoo, NASA/Jet Propulsion Laboratory• James Kasdorf, Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center• Doug Kothe, Oak Ridge National Laboratory• Paul Muzio, City University of New York• Michael Resch , HLRS, University of Stuttgart• Marie-Christine Sawley, ETH Zurich - CERN Group• Vince Scarafino, Industry Expert • Robert Singleterry, NASA/Langley

IDC HPC

Market Update

Top Trends in HPC

The global economy in HPC appears to have leveled off The first half of 2010 grew by 2% We are forecasting 3% to 5% growth in 2010 The high end of the market grew by 65% in 2009!

Major challenges for datacenters: Power, cooling, real estate, system management Storage and data management continue to grow in importance

Software hurdles will rise to the top for most users Driven heavily by multi-core processors and hybrid systems Application scaling and performance is a problem

SSDs will gain momentum and could redefine storageGPUs are seeing real tractions in certain verticals The worldwide Race on Petascale is in full speed

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HPC Server Market Size By Competitive Segments (first half of 2010)

Departmental ($250K - $100K)

$1,474M

Divisional ($250K - $500K)

$572M

Supercomputers(Over $500K)

$1,386M

Workgroup(under $100K)

$699M

HPC Servers $4,131M

HPC Market Results: Revenues and System Units

Segment Q110 Q210 Sequential Revenue ($K) Revenue ($K) Growth

Supercomputer 669,521 716,725 7.1%Divisional 273,753 298,033 8.9%Departmental 688,785 784,900 14.0%Workgroup 372,914 326,041 -12.6%Grand Total 2,004,973 2,125,700 6.0%

Segment Q110 Q210 Sequential Shipments Shipments Growth

Supercomputer 527 703 33.4%Divisional 865 945 9.2%Departmental 4,094 4,762 16.3%Workgroup 20,987 21,592 2.9%Grand Total 26,473 28,002 5.8%

HPC Vendor Revenue Shares, Q210

HP33.3%

IBM29.5%

Dell16.2%

Sun2.2%

Fujitsu1.6%

SGI2.3%

Appro1.2%

Bull0.9%

NEC0.8%

Dawning0.6%

Cray0.4%

Hitachi0.5% Other

10.4%

Revenue Share by Vendor Supercomputer Segment, Q210

HP27.4%

IBM57.2%

Dell5.0%

Sun0.8%

Fujitsu0.3%

SGI2.1%

Appro1.3%

Bull2.6%

NEC0.2%

Cray1.3%

Other1.8%

HPC Server Processor/Sockets Metrics, First Half of 2010

CPU Type System ASP($K)Ave.

CPUs/System $(K)/CPU CPUs /$M

x86-64 69.1 25 2.7 364

EPIC 219.5 25 8.8 114

RISC 120.3 15 7.9 126

Vector 647.9 12 54.0 19

Industry/Application Segments

2008 2009Bio-Sciences $1,412 $1,120CAE $1,131 $874Chemical Engineering $238 $179DCC & Distribution $572 $460Economics/Financial $281 $198EDA / IT / ISV $751 $540Geosciences and Geo-engineering $570 $539Mechanical Design and Drafting $112 $73Defense $920 $849Government Lab $1,460 $1,349University/Academic $1,852 $1,641Weather $392 $353Other $80 $78Total Revenue $9,772 $8,252Source: IDC 2010

Worldwide HPC Revenues ($M)

HPC Server Revenue($K) Forecast 2008 - 2014

WW HPC Server Forecast, 2009 - 2014

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014CAGR

(09-14)

Supercomputer 3,369,410 3,624,352 3,879,294 4,134,237 4,389,179 4,617,522 6.5%

Divisional 1,070,764 1,129,694 1,188,625 1,247,555 1,306,485 1,366,596 5.0%

Departmental 2,516,253 2,698,090 2,879,928 3,061,765 3,243,602 3,479,978 6.7%

Workgroup 1,680,687 1,787,410 1,894,133 2,000,856 2,107,579 2,242,167 5.9%

Total 8,637,114 9,239,547 9,841,980 10,444,413 11,046,846 11,706,263 6.3%

Source: IDC, 2010

Growth In The Broader HPC Market

Worldwide HPC Revenue for Server, Storage, Service and Software Revenue ($K) Forecast, 2008 - 2013

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013CAGR

(09 - 13)

Compute $9,771,849 $8,637,114 $9,239,547 $9,841,980 $10,444,413 $11,046,846 6.3%

Storage $3,371,288 $3,022,990 $3,280,039 $3,641,533 $3,968,877 $4,308,270 9.3%

Service $1,856,651 $1,554,681 $1,686,217 $1,820,766 $1,958,327 $2,154,135 8.5%

Application Software $3,322,429 $2,971,167 $3,215,362 $3,444,693 $3,759,989 $4,065,239 8.2%

Middleware $1,172,622 $1,062,365 $1,154,943 $1,259,773 $1,357,774 $1,458,184 8.2%

Total $19,494,839 $17,248,317 $18,576,110 $20,008,745 $21,489,379 $23,032,673 7.5%

Source: IDC, 2010

Conclusions

2010 is a year of evolutionary rather than revolutionary change in the worldwide HPC market

Incremental advances will help, but not resolve persistent issues, such as highly parallel programming challenges, power and cooling costs, and software licensing costs

IDC predicts the HPC market will resume growth in 2010 and grow by 3% to 5% in 2010

And then will rebuild to exceed $11 billion by 2014 The recovery will benefit HPC segments unevenly:

With hard-hit verticals such as automotive recovering more slowly than oil and gas, or government and academia

The Supercomputer segment growth will remain turbo-charged by government spending aimed at HPC leadership and “petaflop club” membership

Please email:hpc@idc.com

Or check out:www.hpcuserforum.com

Questions?

Agenda: Day One

12:45 HPC User Forum Welcome/Introductions, Steve Finn and Earl Joseph13:00 HLRS Welcome/Introductions, Michael Resch13:15 HPC in Europe from a PRACE Perspective, Thomas Eickermann 13:45 Ideas About the Future of HPC in Europe, Bernhard Fabianek14:15 HPC Industrial Partnerships, Merle Giles, NCSA14:45 Vendor Technical Update, Microsoft New HPC Directions15:00 Break15:30 HPC in Japan, Dr. Toshikazu Takada16:00 Vendor Technology Update, T-Platforms16:15 Daimler Research Update, Lina Longhitano16:45 IDC EU HPC Recommendations for Leadership17:00 HPC at EXTOLL, Mondrian Nuessle17:30 After Meeting Socializing18:30 End of First Day

WelcomeTo Day 2 Of TheHPC User Forum

Meeting

Important Dates For Your Calendar

FUTURE HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS:

International Meetings: HLRS/University of Stuttgart, October 7/8, 2010 SARA Computing & Networking Services,

Amsterdam, October 11/12, 2010 Beijing, China, October 30th

2011 US Meetings: April 5 to 7, Houston, Texas September 6 to 8, San Diego, California

Agenda: Day Two

9:00 Welcome/Logistics, Earl Joseph and Steve Finn, BAE Systems9:10 A Perspective on HPC, Michael Resch, HLRS9:30 The PRACE industrial offer preview, Stefan Wesner, HLRS9:55 ASCS/Porsche End User HPC Site Update, Erich Schelkle 10:20 High Performance Computing for Flight Projects at JPL, Chris

Catherasoo, NASA JPL10:45 PRACE Industry Activities, Dr. Stefan Wesner11:00 Break11:35 SimTech and Industry, Wolfgang Ehlers 12:00 HPC Usage for Industrial-Relevant Combustion Problems, Benedetto

Risio, RECOM 12:30 HPC Research Using Jaguar at ORNL, Don Maxwell12:55 Wrap up and plans for future HPC User Forum meetings, Earl Joseph

and Steve Finn1:00 Farewell and Lunch

Agenda: Day Two

11:35 SimTech and Industry, Wolfgang Ehlers 12:00 HPC Usage for Industrial-Relevant Combustion

Problems, Benedetto Risio, RECOM 12:30 HPC Research Using Jaguar at ORNL, Don

Maxwell12:55 Wrap up and plans for future HPC User Forum

meetings, Earl Joseph and Steve Finn1:00 Farewell and Lunch

Important Dates For Your Calendar

FUTURE HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS:

International Meetings: HLRS/University of Stuttgart, October 7/8, 2010 SARA Computing & Networking Services,

Amsterdam, October 11/12, 2010 Beijing, China, October 30th

2011 US Meetings: April 5 to 7, Houston, Texas September 6 to 8, San Diego, California

Thank YouFor Attending The 38th

HPC User ForumMeeting

Please email:hpc@idc.com

Or check out:www.hpcuserforum.com

Questions?