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5/29/2014 1 Center for Urban Transportation Research | University of South Florida Evaluation of Rear-end Collisions and Identification of Possible Solutions William P. Morris and Christopher P. DeAnnuntis CUTR Webcast May 29, 2014 2 Purpose Determine if rear-end collisions are increasing Conduct an assessment to ascertain the prevalence of rear-end collisions Identify conditions that exist when rear-end collisions occur Identify mitigation strategies for agencies that have identified rear-end collisions as a major issue Assess impact of Yield to Bus and pull out bays on rear- end collisions Identify solutions and/or strategies to reduce rear-end collisions Examine bus safety legislation in other states and assess whether Florida’s current statutes need to be revised

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5/29/2014

1

Center for Urban Transportation Research | University of South Florida

Evaluation of Rear-end Collisions and Identification of Possible Solutions

William P. Morris and Christopher P. DeAnnuntis

CUTR Webcast May 29, 2014

2

Purpose

• Determine if rear-end collisions are increasing• Conduct an assessment to ascertain the prevalence of

rear-end collisions• Identify conditions that exist when rear-end collisions

occur• Identify mitigation strategies for agencies that have

identified rear-end collisions as a major issue• Assess impact of Yield to Bus and pull out bays on rear-

end collisions• Identify solutions and/or strategies to reduce rear-end

collisions• Examine bus safety legislation in other states and assess

whether Florida’s current statutes need to be revised

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3

Major Incident Report – National Transit Database

• NTD Database for Major Incidents• Compiles data from all reporting agencies in all 50

states and territories• Starting in 2008, included “rear-ended” and “rear-

ending” as collision types• Data was aggregated by FTA Region• For analysis and comparison, rear-ended and

rear-ending collisions as a percentage of total collisions were compiled.

• For comparison, collisions per 100,000 miles was used as a leveling data set for analysis.

4

Total Annual Motorbus Collisions with Rear-ended and Rear-ending (2008-2012)

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

383 277 274 291 204

633 722 697 686 668

3,162 3,121 3,224 3,2613,696

Collision Type (Rear-ending)Collision Type (Rear-ended)Total Motor Bus Collisions

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5

Total Annual Motorbus Collisions per 100,000 miles -2008-2012

0.000

0.050

0.100

0.150

0.200

0.250

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

0.020 0.014 0.014 0.016 0.011

0.032 0.037 0.036 0.037 0.037

0.162 0.158 0.168 0.1760.203

Total Rear-ending Collisions per 100,000 miles

Total Rear-ended Collisions per 100,000 miles

Total Collisions per 100,000 miles

6

Rear-ended and Rear-ending as a Percentage of Total Collisions – 2008-2012

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

12.1%8.9% 8.5% 8.9%

5.5%

20.0%23.1% 21.6% 21.0%

18.1%

Collision Type (rear-ending) as % of Total Collisions

Collision Type (rear-ended) as % of Total Collisions

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7

Total Collisions with Rear-ended and Rear-ending by FTA Region - 2012

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Region 7 Region 8 Region 9 Region 10

16 29 31 36 28 15 5 8 31 5

32 43 73

197

11764

14 3077

21

157

440

543610

725

357

90 101

552

121

Collision Type (Rear-ending)

Collision Type (Rear-ended)

2012 Motor Bus Collisions

8

Annual Motorbus Collisions, All Florida Agencies, 2008-2012

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

30 30 14 14 14

104123

97120 128

310287 276

311336

Collision Type (Rear-ending) Collision Type (Rear-ended)

Annual Motor Bus Collisions

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9

Annual Motorbus Collisions by Collision Type as a Percentage of Total Florida Transit Agency Collisions,

2008-2012

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

9.7% 10.5%5.1% 4.5% 4.2%

33.5%

42.9%

35.1%38.6% 38.1%

Collision Type (rear-ending) as % of Total Fl Agency Collisions

Collision Type (rear-ended) as % of Total Fl Agency Collisions

10

Annual Motorbus Collisions per 100,000 Miles, All Florida Agencies, 2008-2012

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

0.03 0.030.01 0.01 0.01

0.090.11

0.090.11 0.10

0.27 0.26 0.250.28 0.30

Rear-Ending Collisions per 100,000 milesRear-Ended Collisions per 100,000 milesTotal Collisions per 100,000 miles

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11

Broward County Transit Division: Motorbus Collisions, 2008-2012

0

20

40

60

80

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

11 5 4 5 4

1321

1324 26

44 47 50

6779

Collision Type (Rear-ending)

Collision Type (Rear-ended)

Total Motor Bus Collisions

12

Central Florida Regional Transportation: Annual Motorbus Collisions, 2008-2012

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

1 4 2 3 3

1118 18

27

3931

42 4349

66

Collision Type (Rear-ending)

Collisions Type (Rear-ended)

Annual Motor Bus Collisions

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13

Aggregate Total Collisions per 100,000 miles for Florida, Region 4, and the United States plus Territories for the

years 2008-2012

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

0.16 0.16 0.17 0.180.20

0.220.21

0.23 0.240.25

0.270.26 0.25

0.28 0.28

United States + TerritoriesRegion 4Florida

14

Aggregate Total Rear-ended Collisions per 100,000 miles for Florida, Region 4, and the United States

plus Territories for the years 2008-2012

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

0.030.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

0.060.07 0.07 0.08 0.08

0.090.11

0.09

0.11 0.11

United States + Territories

Region 4

Florida

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15

Total Motorbus Collisions - Six Most Populous States - 2012

0

100

200

300

400

500

California Texas New York Illinois Pennsylvania Florida

25 12 28 14 5 14

55 48 3564

9

128

429

301

394444

125

337

Collision Type (Rear-ending)

Collision Type (Rear-ended)

2012 Motor Bus Collisions

16

Rear-ended and Rear-ending as a Percentage of Total Collisions - Six Most Populous States - 2012

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

California Texas New York Illinois Pennsylvania Florida

5.8% 4.0%7.1%

3.2% 4.0% 4.2%

12.8%15.9%

8.9%

14.4%

7.2%

38.0%

Collision Type (rear-ending) as % of Total Motorbus Collisions

Collision Type (rear-ended) as % of Total Motorbus Collisions

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17

Collisions per 100,000 Miles - Six Most Populous States

0.000

0.100

0.200

0.300

0.400

0.500

California Texas New York Illinois Pennsylvania Florida

0.008 0.010 0.015 0.015 0.006 0.012

0.0180.039

0.0190.069

0.011

0.108

0.14

0.240.21

0.48

0.15

0.28

Total Rear-ending Collisions per 100,000 miles

Total Rear-ended Collisions per 100,000 miles

Total Collisions per 100,000 miles

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Review of Collision Files

• Reviewed a total of 55 files of rear-ended collisions at LYNX (CFRTA) from January 2011 through December 2012.

• Reviewed a total of 51 rear-ended collision files at Broward County Transit (BCT) from October 2011 to September 2013.

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19

Factors Coded from Collision Files

• Route Direction, direction the bus was traveling when the collision occurred;

• Roadway surface conditions, expressed as dry or wet;

• Lighting conditions, expressed as light, dark (lighting and no-lighting), dawn and dusk;

• Weather conditions, expressed as clear, cloudy or raining;

• Time factors, including day of week and time of day;

• Roadway factors, which include prevalent rear-ended collision corridors, roadway classifications, ownership, lanes, divided/undivided, jurisdiction, and posted speed limits;

• Transit factors, including stop location (near side, far side and mid-block), bus movement at rear-ended collision location, passenger injuries, and estimated damage; and

• Other vehicle factors, reported for Broward only and including estimated speed of vehicle rear-ending the bus, distraction, obstructed vision, suspicion of drug and/or alcohol use, and whether the driver of the vehicle was transported for medical treatment.

20

Principal Collision Facilities with >1 Rear-ended Collision

0

2

4

6

8

SR 441 BrowardBoulevard

University Drive SunriseBoulevard

Davie Road Coconut CreekParkway

8

65

43

2

Broward

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21

Principal Collision Facilities with >1 Rear-ended Collisions

0

5

10

1511

43 3 3 2 2 2 2 2

LYNX

22

Principal Collision Facilities with >1 Rear-ended Collisions: Percentages

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%32.4%

11.8%8.8% 8.8% 8.8%

5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9%

Lynx

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23

Roadway Jurisdiction at Rear-ended Collision Location

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

County Local State

75

37

3

13

39

Broward LYNX

24

Roadway Jurisdiction at Rear-ended Collision Location: Percentages

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

County Local State

14.3%10.2%

75.5%

5.5%

23.6%

70.9%

Broward Lynx

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25

Number of Lanes and Divided/Undivided Roadways at Rear-ended Collision Location

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2 Undivided 4 Divided 4 Undivided 6 Divided 8 Divided

1

12

2

31

4

7

14

10

24

0

Broward LYNX

26

Number of Lanes and Divided/Undivided Roadways at Rear-ended Collision Location: Percentages

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

2 Undivided 4 Divided 4 Undivided 6 Divided 8 Divided

2.0%

24.0%

4.0%

62.0%

8.0%

12.7%

25.5%

18.2%

43.6%

0

Broward Lynx

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27

Vehicle Lanes and Jurisdiction

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1 13

52

7

1

28

3

5 4 42 3

86

22

Broward LYNX

28

Vehicle Lanes and Jurisdiction: Percentages

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

2.0% 2.0%5.9%

9.8%3.9%

13.7%

2.0%

54.9%

5.9%

9.1% 7.3% 7.3% 3.6% 5.5%

14.5%10.9%

40.0%

Broward Lynx

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29

Rear-end Collision Location: US 441 and Copans Road

30

Stop Type

0

5

10

15

20

15

3

18

14

01

0 0

19

0

15 15

2 21 1

Broward LYNX

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31

Stop Type: Percentages

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

29.4%

5.9%

35.3%

27.5%

0.0%2.0% 0.0% 0.0%

34.5%

0.0%

27.3% 27.3%

3.6% 3.6% 1.8% 1.8%

Broward Lynx

32

Bus Movement Status at Rear-ended Collision Location

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Departing stop N/A Moving Slowing down Stopped

2 1 04

44

0 0 40

51

Broward LYNX

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33

Posted Speed Limit at Rear-ended Collision Location

0

5

10

15

20

25 30 35 40 45 N/A

13

10

18 18

1

Broward

34

Posted Speed Limit at Rear-ended Collision Location: Percentages

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

25 30 35 40 45 N/A

2.0%5.9%

19.6%

35.3% 35.3%

2.0%

Broward

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35

Consultation with Transit Agencies

36

Technology Improvements

• Reflective Striping - PSTA, LeeTran, HART, RTS • LED lights – HART, SCAT in Brevard, LeeTran• Flashing “Stop” signs (Red) – HART, PSTA, LeeTran• Yield to Bus – Illuminated - LeeTran• Yield to Bus – Non-illuminated – Pasco County Public Transit • Cameras/Video – SCAT in Brevard, RTS, HART, PSTA, VOTRAN,

LeeTran, Pasco County Public Transit• Audio (Bus interior) - VOTRAN• 4 red bars to indicate bus is stopping – SCAT in Brevard• 2nd Yield to Bus Sign - LeeTran• Fluorescent lights – Pasco County Public Transit• Red strobe and amber strobe lights – SCAT in Brevard

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37

Rear Exterior Treatments –LeeTran Bus

38

PalmTran - Agency with Comparatively High Total Collisions per 100,000 Miles

National Aggregate (U.S. + Territories)Six Most Populous States

Region 4Florida

PalmTran

00.05

0.10.15

0.20.25

0.30.35

0.40.45

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

0.16 0.16 0.17 0.180.20

N/A N/A N/A N/A

0.220.22

0.210.23 0.24 0.25

0.16

0.26 0.250.28 0.28

0.35

0.41 0.40 0.400.36

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Total Collisions per 100,000 Miles ‒ Comparison of Aggregate Five-year Agency Data to Florida

Aggregate Data, 2008-2012

0.070.11

0.160.20

0.220.24

0.270.31

0.36

0.370.39

0.490.62

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70

ECAT/Escambia County

RTS/GainesvilleSpacecoast/Brevard County

JTA/Jacksonville

VOTRAN/Volusia CountyLeeTran/Lee County

Florida AggregateLYNX/Central Florida

BCT/Broward CountyPSTA/Pinellas County

PalmTran/Palm Beach CountyHART/Hillsborough County

PCPT/Pasco County

FL Transit Agencies

Florida Aggregate

40

HART - Agency with Comparatively High Rear-ended Collisions per 100,000 Miles

National Aggregate (U.S. + Territories)Six Most Populous States

Region 4Florida

HART

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

0.030.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

N/A N/A N/A N/A

0.04

0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08

0.090.11

0.090.11 0.11

0.180.16

0.19

0.22 0.21

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Rear-ended Collision per 100,000 Miles ‒ Comparison of Aggregate Five-year Agency Data to

Florida Aggregate Data, 2008-2012

0.030.05

0.060.07

0.100.12

0.120.13

0.14

0.150.15

0.200.43

0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50

RTS/Gainesville

VOTRAN/Volusia CountyJTA/Jacksonville

ECAT/Escambia County

Florida AggregateSpacecoast/Brevard County

BCT/Broward CountyLeeTran/Lee County

PSTA/Pinellas CountyPalmTran/Palm Beach County

LYNX/Central FloridaHART/Hillsborough County

PCPT/Pasco County

FL Transit Agencies

Florida Aggregate

42

LYNX - Agency Comparatively High Percentage of Rear-ended Collisions to Total Collisions

National Aggregate (U.S. + Territories)Six Most Populous States

Region 4Florida

LYNX

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

20%23% 22% 21%

18%

N/A N/A N/A N/A

17%

26%

34%31% 33% 32%

34%

43%

35%39% 38%35%

43% 42%

55%59%

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43

Rear-ended Collisions as a Percentage of Total Collisions ‒ Comparison of Aggregate Five-year

Agency Data to Florida Aggregate Data, 2008-2012

22%29%

31%34%

38%38%39%

40%49%

50%50%

54%

75%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

VOTRAN/Volusia CountyRTS/Gainesville

JTA/JacksonvilleBCT/Broward County

Florida AggregatePSTA/Pinellas County

PalmTran/Palm Beach CountyHART/Hillsborough County

LYNX/Central FloridaECAT/Escambia County

PCPT/Pasco CountyLeeTran/Lee County

Spacecoast/Brevard County

FL Transit Agencies

Florida Aggregate

44

Average One (1) Total Collision Every "X" Days over Five-year Timeframe

183152

10768

5249

2013

1110

86

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

EscambiaSpacecoast/Brevard

RTS/GainesvilleVOTRAN

Pasco County Public TransitLeeTran

JacksonvillePalmTran

Pinellas Suncoast Transit…HARTLYNX

Broward

Transit System

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Average One (1) Rear-ended Collision “x” Days over Five-year Timeframe

365365

304203

9176

6534

2925

1916

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

Escambia/PensacolaRTS/Gainesville

VOTRANSpacecoast/Brevard

LeeTranPasco County Public Transit

JTA/JacksonvillePalmTran

Pinellas Suncoast Transit…HART

BrowardLYNX

Transit System

46

Mitigation Strategies• Post-collision investigation• Move/Improve/Remove bus stops• Post-collision training for individual

operators• Annual in-service training• Training for operators to maximize

technology enhancements• Every transit system has policies,

procedures and training but not all agree on effectiveness

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47

The “It” Questions

What is the factor or what are the factors that contribute to rear-ended bus collisions?

Is it the amount of service on a facility?

Is it conditions at the bus stop?

Is it the design of the road network?

Is it traffic operations?

48

Future Research

• Factors that are within the control of the transit agency.

• All collisions and reportable incidents– Rear-ended collisions may be most prevalent,

but may not be the most expensive

• Best practices in post-collision investigation• Best practices in risk management

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Contact Information

William [email protected]

Christopher [email protected]

Download final report:http://www.nctr.usf.edu/2014/04/evaluation-of-rear-end-bus-collisions-and-identification-of-possible-solutions-2/