Chapter 19. KB Johnson. 1987. The role of predictive systems in disease management. Pages 176-190.

Keywords: concepts of disease prediction, diseases suited for forecasting, the disease triangle, host, pathogen, environment, examples of disease predictive systems on one component of the disease triangle, predictive systems within their own context, disease predictive systems and economic thresholds, development tools, role of technology, data collection and analysis, the predictive algorithm, four approaches to predictive systems, infection- and disease-prediction: some terminology, infection-prediction systems, risk assessment, epidemic projection, a risk assessment scheme