wct berhad : secures rm1.36bn building job in qatar and rm128m hospital project in sabah -...

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  • 8/8/2019 WCT Berhad : Secures RM1.36bn Building Job In Qatar And RM128m Hospital Project In Sabah - 21/10/2010

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    21 October 2010

    Page 1 of 3A comprehensive range of market research reports by award-winning economists and analysts are exclusively

    available for download fromw w w . r h b i n v e s t . c o m

    Table 1 : Investment Statistics (WCT; Code: 9679) Bloomberg: WCT MK

    Net FD Net

    FYE Turnover Profit# EPS# Growth PER EPS# C.EPS P/ CF P/ NTA ROE Gearing GDY

    Dec (RMm) (RMm) (sen) (%) (x) (sen) (sen) (x) (x) (%) (%) (%)

    2009 4,666.6 147.1 18.8 43.5 16.6 - - 11.3 1.9 11.5 0.2 3.2

    2010f 2,553.0 148.9 19.3 2.8 16.1 18.4 19.0 22.6 1.7 10.7 0.5 1.9

    2011f 2,254.5 147.8 19.1 (0.8) 16.3 18.3 22.0 23.4 1.6 9.8 0.4 1.9

    2012f 1,981.1 152.1 19.7 2.9 15.8 18.7 25.0 23.1 1.5 9.4 0.4 1.9

    Main Market Listing /Trustee Stock/Syariah Approved Stock By The SC #Excluding EI * Consensus Based On IBES

    3 th and 4th key projects this year. WCT has secured two key contracts,namely: (1) A QAR1.59bn (RM1.36bn) government administrative building job in Doha, Qatar; and (2) The Tuaran hospital project in Sabah worth

    RM127.8m. The latest contracts are the 3rd and 4th key jobs WCT has

    secured this year, boosting its YTD new contracts secured to RM2.1bn (see

    Table 2) and its outstanding construction orderbook by 53% to RM4.3bn

    (see Table 3). Assuming an EBIT margin of 8-10%, the latest contracts will

    fetch RM119-149m EBIT over the construction period ending Apr/May 2013.

    While we are positive on the latest development, we expect limited reaction

    from the market as WCT had been hinting on the Qatar job for a while by

    now.

    Forecasts. We are raising FY12/10-12 net profit forecasts by 6-13%,having reflected RM2.1bn new contracts secured in FY12/10 vis--vis our

    previous assumption of RM1.5bn.

    Risks to our view. The risks include: (1) New contracts secured inFY12/11-12 coming in above our target of RM1.5bn per annum; and (2)

    Better-than-expected construction margins.

    Maintain Underperform. We are upbeat on construction stocks as webelieve they will continue to generally outperform the market from 4Q2010,

    buoyed by news flow from: (1) The infrastructure development for the

    Greater KL National Key Economic Area (NKEA) under the Economic

    Transformation Programme (ETP), particularly, the RM40bn MRT project;

    (2) The RM7bn Ampang and Kelana Jaya LRT line extension project; and (3)

    Federal land deals. WCT, via WCT Synohydro JV, has been pre-qualified

    to bid as main contractor and segmental box girder sub-contractor for the

    Ampang and Kelana Jaya LRT line extension project. However, WCTsvaluations remain not compelling, despite an 11% upgrade in our indicative

    fair value from RM2.30 to RM2.56 based on 14x revised fully-diluted

    FY12/11 EPS of 18.3sen, in line with our benchmark 1-year forward target

    PER of 10-16x for the construction sector.

    Corporate High l ig hts

    Ne w s Up d at e

    WCTSecures RM1.36bn Building Job In Qatar AndRM128m Hospital Project In Sabah

    Malasia

    Share Price : RM3.11Fair Value : RM2.56Recom : Underperform

    (Maintained)

    Issued Capital (m shares) 784.3Market Cap(RMm) 2,439.3

    Daily Trading Vol (m shs) 1.9

    52wk Price Range (RM) 2.41-3.20

    Major Shareholders: (% )

    EPF 21.4

    Taing KH & Wong SW 20.6

    KWAP 7.1

    FYE Dec FY10 FY11 FY12

    EPS Revision (%) +6 +13 +13

    Var to Cons (%) +1 -13 -21

    PE Band Chart

    Relative Performance To FBM KLCI

    Joshua CY Ng

    (603) [email protected]

    M

    AR

    KET

    DATELINE

    PP

    7767/09/2011(028730)

    21 October 2010

    RHB ResearchInstitute Sdn BhdA member of theRHB Banking GroupCompany No: 233327 -M

    Please read important disclosures at the end of this report.

    WCT

    FBM KLCI

    PER = 19xPER = 15xPER = 11xPER = 7x

  • 8/8/2019 WCT Berhad : Secures RM1.36bn Building Job In Qatar And RM128m Hospital Project In Sabah - 21/10/2010

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    21 October 2010

    Page 2 of 3A comprehensive range of market research reports by award-winning economists and analysts are exclusively

    available for download fromw w w . r h b i n v e s t . c o m

    Table 2: New Contracts Secured So Far In FY12/ 10

    Project Value

    (RMm)

    Hotel fit-out works at Bahrain City Centre (additional work) 110

    Integrated Complex, KLIA2 486

    Government administrative building, Doha, Qatar 1,360

    Tuaran Hospital, Sabah 128

    Total 2,084

    Source: Company, RHBRI

    Table 3: Outstanding Construction Orderbook

    Project Outstanding Value

    (RMm)

    Overseas

    Government administrative building, Doha, Qatar 1,360

    New Doha International Airport, Qatar 173

    Hotel fit-out works at Bahrain City Centre 238

    Others 23

    1,794

    Local

    The Paradigm and other internal jobs 668

    Integrated Complex, KLIA2 486

    Infrastructure works at Iskandar Malaysia 481

    Various building jobs in Putrajaya 252

    New permanent LCCT at KLIA, Earthwork Package 1 203

    Tuaran Hospital, Sabah 128

    Bakun dam access roads 80

    Kota Kinabalu International Airport 36

    Universiti Teknologi Mara Campus in Kuala Selangor 36

    AEON mall in Melaka 28

    Others 89

    2,487

    Total 4,281

    Source: Company, RHBRI

    Table 4: Earnings Forecasts Table 5: Forecast Assumptions

    FYE Dec (RMm) FY09a FY10F FY11F FY12F FYE Dec FY10F FY11F FY12F

    Turnover 4,666.6 2,553.0 2,254.5 1,981.1 Construction EBIT margin (%) 6.2 6.9 8.0Turnover growth (%)

    25.7 -45.3 -11.7 -12.1New orderbook secured(RMbn)

    2.1 1.5 1.5

    EBITDA 254.1 223.8 219.7 220.7EBITDA margin (%) 5.4 8.8 9.7 11.1

    Depreciation -10.0 -10.0 -10.0 -10.0Net Interest -50.3 -42.3 -39.7 -37.0Associates 17.2 10.0 10.0 10.0EI 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    Pretax Profit 211.1 181.5 180.0 183.6Tax 4.8 -32.6 -32.2 -31.6PAT 215.9 148.9 147.8 152.1Minorities -68.8 0.0 0.0 0.0Net Profit 147.1 148.9 147.8 152.1Source: Company data, RHBRI estimates

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    21 October 2010

    Page 3 of 3A comprehensive range of market research reports by award-winning economists and analysts are exclusively

    available for download fromw w w . r h b i n v e s t . c o m

    IMP ORTANT DISCLOSURES

    This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad(previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The opinionsand information contained herein are based on generally available data believed to be reliable and are subject to change wi thout notice, and may differ or be contrary toopinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be construed as an offer,invitation or solicitation to buy or sell the securities covered herein. RHBRI does not warrant the accuracy of anything stated herein in any manner whatsoever and noreliance upon such statement by anyone shall give rise to any claim whatsoever against RHBRI. RHBRI and/or its associated persons may from time to time have aninterest in the securities mentioned by this report.

    This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives ofpersons who receive it. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. RHBRI recommends that investors independently evaluate particularinvestments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will dependon an investors individual circumstances and objectives. Neither RHBRI, RHB Group nor any of its affiliates, employees or agents accepts any liability for any loss ordamage arising out of the use of all or any part of this report.

    RHBRI and the Connected Persons (the RHB Group) are engaged in securities trading, securities brokerage, banking and financing activities as well as providinginvestment banking and financial advisory services. In the ordinary course of its trading, brokerage, banking and financing activities, any member of the RHB Groupmay at any time hold positions, and may trade or otherwise effect transactions, for i ts own account or the accoun ts of customers, in debt or equity securities or loans ofany company that may be involved in this transaction.

    Connected Persons means any holding company of RHBRI, the subsidiaries and subsidiary undertaking of such a holding company and the respective directors,officers, employees and agents of each of them. Investors should assume that the Connected Persons are seeking or will seek investment banking or other servicesfrom the companies in which the securities have been discussed/covered by RHBRI in this report or in RHBRIs previous reports.

    This report has been prepared by the research personnel of RHBRI. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflectinformation known to, professionals in other business areas of the Connected Persons, including investment banking personnel.

    The research analysts, economists or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of this research report have received compensation based uponvarious factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors and firm revenues.

    The recommendation framework for stocks and sectors are as follows : -

    Stock Ratings

    Outperform = The stock return is expected to exceed the FBM KLCI benchmark by greater than five percentage points over the next 6-12 months.

    Trading Buy = Short-term positive development on the stock that could lead to a re-rating in the share price and translate into an absolute return of 15% or more overa period of three months, but fundamentals are not strong enough to warrant an Outperform call. It is generally for investors who are willing to take on higher risks.

    Market Perform = The stock return is expected to be in line with the FBM KLCI benchmark (+/- five percentage points) over the next 6-12 months.

    Underperform = The stock return is expected to underperform the FBM KLCI benchmark by more than five percentage points over the next 6-12 months.

    Industry/Sector Ratings

    Overweight = Industry expected to outperform the FBM KLCI benchmark, weighted by market capitalisation, over the next 6-12 months.

    Neutral = Industry expected to perform in line with the FBM KLCI benchmark, weighted by market capitalisation, over the next 6-12 months.

    Underweight = Industry expected to underperform the FBM KLCI benchmark, weighted by market capitalisation, over the next 6-12 months.

    RHBRI is a participant of the CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme and will receive compensation for the participation. Additional information on recommended securities,subject to the duties of confidentiality, will be made available upon request.

    This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of RHBRI and RHBRI accepts no liability whatsoever for theactions of third parties in this respect.