watershed-based microbial source tracking study: from implementation and solutions to

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shed-based microbial source tracking st From implementation and solutions to research and method evaluation by Nancy M. White UNC Coastal Studies Institute Manteo, North Carolina 2006 USDA-CSREES National Water Conference February 5-9, 2006 San Antonio Marriott Rivercenter San Antonio, TX

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Watershed-based microbial source tracking study: From implementation and solutions to research and method evaluation. by Nancy M. White UNC Coastal Studies Institute Manteo, North Carolina. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Watershed-based microbial source tracking study: From implementation and solutions to

research and method evaluation

byNancy M. White

UNC Coastal Studies Institute

Manteo, North Carolina2006 USDA-CSREES National Water Conference

February 5-9, 2006San Antonio Marriott Rivercenter

San Antonio, TX

Page 2: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Cooperators and Participants UNC Coastal Studies Institute UNC-Institute of Marine SciencesNCSU CMASTNC Division of Health, Shellfish Sanitation Program Duke Marine LaboratoryNCSU Water Quality Group NOAA/NOS Center for Coastal Environmental

Health and Bimolecular Research Carteret Craven Electric CooperativeJumping Run Creek Watershed CitizensCroatan National Forest Open Grounds FarmUSDA-CSREESNCDENR Division of Water Quality, 319 ProgramNC Clean Water Management Trust FundNC Wetland Restoration Program

Page 3: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Pamlico Sound

Neuse River Estuary

Jumping RunCreek

Cape Hatteras/Outer Banks

Open Grounds Farm

Croatan NationalForrest

APESRegion

Bogue Sound

Page 4: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Research Site #1:

Jumping Run Creek, residential, light commercial

Page 5: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Shellfish Sanitation Bacterial DatabaseAverage Annual Bacterial Loading to Shellfish Bed

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

3501

96

4

19

66

19

68

19

70

19

72

19

74

19

76

19

78

19

80

19

82

19

84

19

86

19

88

19

90

19

92

19

94

19

96

19

98

Sample Events: 1964-1998

MP

N

Page 6: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Averaged Bacterial Loading by Land UseMin 20 samples, 1997-1999

109

2437

1360

4709

438

0

4316

560

4263

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Industrial-Grab

Non TidalOutlet-Grab

TidalOutlet-Grab

MHP-Grab RV Park -Grab

Industrial-Storm

Non Tidal -Storm

TidalOutlet-Storm

MHP-Storm

MP

N/ 1

00m

l

Grab Sample Assessment

Page 7: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Landscape Assessment

Location Visits SV DogsMHP 47 0 23Med. Density 66 2 60Low Density 14 0 7Campground 1 0 0Totals 128 2 90

*Does not include Roads

Location Cats Other ImperviousnessMHP 6 3 40,000sftMed. Density 47 25 185,000Low Density 0 0 95,000sftCampground 0 0 5,000sftTotals 53 28 325,000 sft *

or 7.5 acres, with roads, less than 10% imperviousness.

Page 8: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Flow Assessment

Date Guage Ht CFS Time Travel21-Jan-98 1.38' 8.4 n/a22-Jan-98 1.18' 5.8 MHP-Outlet, 5hrs04-Feb-98 3' 18.2 MHP-Gauge, 2.5hrs23-Feb-98 1.7' 10.9 n/a03-Mar-98 1.13' 3.21 Headwaters-Gauge, 3hrs.04-Mar-98 1.10' 2.73 CmpGrnd to Outlet, 1.5hrs.

03-Apr 0.95 5.96 n/a04/17/1998 0.9 10.4 n/a04/30/1998 0.84 5.1 n/a06/18/1998 0.76 4.6 n/a07/14/1998 0.72 4.5 n/a

Information is using to determine ditch drainage patterns, water movement direction and timing, as well as dilution and dispersion

Page 9: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Storm Event Monitoring

Develop rainfall / runoff relationships, flow volumes, loading calculations.

Page 10: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

1967 19791988 1994

Land use change assessment

Page 11: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Vegetation: Rank Percent Cleared1 1-20%2 21-40%3 41-60%4 61-80%5 81-100%Impervious Surfaces:1 1-20%2 21-40%3 41-60%4 61-80%5 81-100%

HydroMod1 no ditches evident2 1 lot-edge ditch3 2 side ditches4 direct discharge5 ChannelizedNote Cover Type – grass, forest, sand.

Ranking and classification process

Page 12: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Vegetation Indicator--Annual Averages

4.26

3.543.28

3.57

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

Years: 67, 79, 88, 94

1, le

ast

5, m

ost

veg-all

Classification Results Summary

Page 13: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Classification Results SummaryImperviousness Indicator: Annual Averages

1.18

1.35 1.37

1.48

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

years: 67, 79, 88, 94

1-l

east

5-m

ost

imp-all

Page 14: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Classification Results Summary

Hydromodification Indicator: Annual Averages

1.51

2.092.18

2.30

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

years: 67, 79, 88, 94

1-le

ast

5-m

ost

hmod-all

Page 15: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

J1 J2 J4 HY J1 J2 J4 HY J1 J2 J4 HY0

50

100

150

Lo

ad (

kg)

Nonstorm

Storm

Loads from 9/5/99-6/5/00

NH3 NO2+3 PO4

Page 16: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

J1 J2 J4 HY

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

TS

S L

oad

(1,

000

kg)

Nonstorm Storm

Loads from 9/5/99-6/5/00

Page 17: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

J1 J2 J4 HY0

5

10

15

20

25

30F

ec

al

Co

lifo

rm (

1,0

00

,00

0,0

00

mp

n)

Nonstorm Storm

Loads for 9/5/99-6/5/2000

Page 18: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Integrated Event and MST Monitoring

• Added farm and forest sample sites

• Added a variety of MST methods—ARA, ribotyping, and QPCR using Enterococci speciation and Bacteroides sp. (R. Noble)

Page 19: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Site # 2 South River: Open Grounds Farm

Land cover: Cultivated row crop agriculture

Page 20: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Pettiford Creek - Croatan National Forest

Land cover: Managed mixed forest of pine and pocosin

Page 21: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Total Loading of Indicator Bacteria (Storm totals)

1.00E+10

1.00E+11

1.00E+12

1.00E+13

1.00E+14

1.00E+15

Date

MP

N/S

torm

Croatan EC

JRC EC

Croatan ENT

JRC ENT

Comparative loading of indicator bacteria

Graph courtesy Dr. Rachel Noble

Page 22: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Mar Process

e. coli isolates are developed for each sample, both library and water, and tested for multiple antibiotic resistance.

Data were used to develop species and site indices meant to indicate risks for health risk dependant upon probablesource of the pathogens.

Page 23: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

ANTIBIOTIC RESISTANCE INDEX FOR JUMPING RUN, PETTIFORD CREEK AND OPEN GROUNDS FARMSite Antibiotic Resistance Index = (number of resistant tests for a site/total number of tests)

CROATAN SCAT CROATAN WATER CROATAN ALL

# OF ISOLATES 45 # OF ISOLATES 50 # OF ISOLATES 95

# OF TESTS 405 # OF TESTS 450 # OF TESTS 855

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 16

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 3

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 19

SITE AR INDEX 16/405 = .040

SITE AR INDEX 3/450 = .007

SITE AR INDEX 19/855 = .022

EMC SCAT EMC WATER EMC ALL

# OF ISOLATES 194 # OF ISOLATES 190 # OF ISOLATES 384

# OF TESTS 1746 # OF TESTS 1710 # OF TESTS 3456

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 91

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 67

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 158

SITE AR INDEX 91/1746 = .052 SITE AR INDEX 67/1710 = .039

SITE AR INDEX 158/3456 = .046

OGF SCAT OGF WATER OGF ALL

# OF ISOLATES 63 # OF ISOLATES 90 # OF ISOLATES 153

# OF TESTS 567 # OF TESTS 810 # OF TESTS 1377

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 0

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 17

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 17

SITE AR INDEX 0SITE AR INDEX 17/810 = .021

SITE AR INDEX 17/1377 = .012

Page 24: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

HUMAN

# OF ISOLATES 45

# OF TESTS 405

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 37

HUMAN AR INDEX 37/405 = .091

PET

# OF ISOLATES 45

# OF TESTS 405

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 2

PET AR INDEX 2/405 = .005

WILDLIFE

# OF ISOLATES 212

# OF TESTS 1908

# OF RESISTANT TESTS 68

WILDLIFE AR INDEX 68/1908 = .036

CROATAN ALL # OF ISOLATES 95# OF TESTS 855# OF RESISTANT TESTS 19SITE AR INDEX 19/855 = .022

EMC ALL# OF ISOLATES 384# OF TESTS 3456# OF RESISTANT TESTS 158SITE AR INDEX 158/3456 = .046

OGF ALL# OF ISOLATES 153# OF TESTS 1377# OF RESISTANT TESTS 17SITE AR INDEX 17/1377 = .012

Page 25: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Comparison AR index from Webster et al., 2004

Kaspar et al., 1990 n/a Developed .09 Rural .03

Parveen et al., 1997 Point Source .25 NPS .13 n/a

Webster et al., 2004 WWTP .12 Developed .03 Rural .01

CSI Human .09 Pet/urban .005 Wildlife .015

Page 26: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Species Index

South River/ Open

Grounds CroatanJumping

RunJumping

Run

Bear 0 (1, 15) 3 (2, 16) W’pecker .17 (1,15)

Bobcat 3 (1,4) Cat 0 (7, 30)

Fox 1 (2, 25) 0 (2, 31) Septic .08 (13, 94)

Deer .23 (1,12) .12 (1,12) Dog 2 (11, 31)

Otter .06 (1, 15) Rabbit 6 (3, 15)

Waterfowl 0 (2, 27) 4 (14, 60) Owl 0 (2, 20)

Nutria .07 (1, 15) Bat .17 (1, 10)

Mouse .01 (1,2)

Raccoon 1 ( 4, 32) 2 (2, 15)

Hawk 2 (1, 15)

Horse .15 (3, 31)

Opossum .14 (4, 21) .30 (4, 15)

Squirrel 0 (3,15)

Preliminary Scat Resistance Indices

Page 27: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Results of Split-Duplicate Comparison

Treatment Number of isolates with

growth

Number with growth at

CMAST only

Number with growth in both

labs

Number with growth at

NOAA only

Percent with growth in both labs

Concordance between resistance

indicators1

Control plates 556 0 554 2 99.6 N/A  

Ampicillin 52 1 17 34 32.7 38.5  

Chlortetracycline 73 22 19 32 26.0 32.7  

Kanamycin monosulfate

9 1 0 8 0.0 0.0  

Nalidixic acid 11 2 1 8 9.1 25.0  

Neomycin sulfate 1 0 0 1 0.0 0.0  

Oxytetracycline hydrochloride

66 17 18 31 27.3 34.7  

Penicillin 233 52 69 112 29.6 31.5  

Streptomycin sulfate

135 34 21 80 15.6 33.3  

Sulfathiazole 178 134 22 22 12.4 13.6  

Tetracycline hydrochloride

64 16 17 31 26.7 32.7  

Page 28: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Aggregate Results of the Replicate Test144 antibiotic replicates per isolate, 30 isolates per drug for isolates which previously demonstrated resistance

Ampicillin Chlortetracycline Penicillin Streptomycin

Number of replicates with growth

N % N % N % N %

None 15 50 10 33 14 47 14 47

Less than 10% 0 0 7 23 4 13

10% to 90% 0 0 5 17 0

More than 90% 0 0 0 0

All 15 50 20 67 4 13 12 40

Page 29: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Summary

• High levels of bacterial loading is occurring in all land use types—loads at baseflow would still violate both recreational and shellfish water quality standards.

• ARA results for both the index and split-duplicate results indicate unreliability in the response patterns for e coli calling into question is usefulness as a environmental source tracking method. Are the cells derived from the sediments, possibly being “old”?

• Good example of situation where waters are impaired (TMDL), but is the source and transport vector? What management action should be taken? Of note is that flow volume which triggers runoff, Croatan National Forest requires more than 2-3” of rain to generate enough runoff to generate stream flow. Just reducing the volume of storm event flow would provide some relief, but how much?

Page 30: Watershed-based microbial source tracking study:  From implementation and solutions to

Next Steps

•Ribotyping method assessment to standardize scanning resolution and track delineation and measurement methods are complete—finishing the analyses of the matching rate currently being conducted.

•Dr. Nobles QPCR

•Shea, Hyman and Gebreyes research into the antibiotic resistance, pathogen identification and salmonella resistance (with livestock farm) is underway.

•Currently analyzing loading rates for various portions of the hydrograph (before peak, after peak, tailwater and baseflow) to see if there is any information that can be gleaned and in comparison with nutrients and TSS.