washington second taskforce presentation final · 2014-09-04 · 15,743 17,295 17,404 17,943 18,475...
TRANSCRIPT
Washington State Jus$ce Reinvestment Taskforce Second Mee)ng September 4, 2014 Council of State Governments Jus$ce Center Marshall Clement, Director, State Ini<a<ves Carl Reynolds, Senior Legal and Policy Advisor Monica Peters, Senior Research Associate Karen Chung, Policy Analyst
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 2
• Na<onal non-‐profit, non-‐par<san membership associa<on of state government officials
• Engages members of all three branches of state government • Jus<ce Center provides prac<cal, nonpar<san advice informed
by the best available evidence
Funding and Partners
Justice Reinvestment
a data-‐driven approach to reduce corrections spending and reinvest savings in strategies that can decrease recidivism and increase public safety.
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 3
15,743
17,295 17,404
17,943
18,475 18,865
15,000
16,000
17,000
18,000
19,000
20,000
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Actual
Projected
Washington’s Prison Popula<on Exceeds Capacity and is Projected to Con<nue to Increase
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 4
Expanding capacity to address projected growth will cost the state $387 to $481 million in capital outlay and opera)onal costs over ten years
Source: Caseload Forecast Council, June 2014 Forecast Criminal Jus<ce Planning Services, “Cost-‐Effec<ve Incarcera<on of Washington State Adult Offenders”, 2012.
Year End (FY) Actual and Projected Prison Popula<on, 2002 to 2024
Current Prison Capacity
17,187
Projected Increase: ~1,400
Data From Washington State Agencies is Enabling an Incredible Degree of Matching and Analysis
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 5
Department of Correc<ons
Washington State Patrol
Administra<ve Office of the Courts
Caseload Forecast Council
Felony and
Misdemeanor Arrests
1980 – June 2014
Felony and Misdemeanor
Court Disposi<ons – Criminal History
Database provided by WSIPP
8 million records 8.7 million records
Felony Convic<ons 2000-‐2013
370,000 records
Prison & DOC Supervision: Admissions,
Releases, On Hand 2004-‐2013
800,000 records
Linking of files on State ID (SID) Number
Key Stakeholders in the Criminal Jus<ce System Are Being Engaged in Reviewing Analysis and Providing Input & Ideas
Upcoming Stakeholder Engagement
9/2014 Distribute survey to jail administrators 9/6 Mee<ng with Superior Court Judges’ Associa<on 9/9 Mee<ng with DOC’s Vic<ms’ Council 9/12 Present to Sentencing Guidelines Commission 9/12 Mee<ng with Council on Public Defense
10/1-‐2 Present at Washington Associa<on of Prosecu<ng Akorneys Membership Mee<ng 10/10 Present to Sentencing Guidelines Commission 10/27 Mee<ng with Washington Federa<on of State Employees and Teamsters 117 11/18-‐20 Present at Washington State Associa<on of Coun<es Conference
June – August Stakeholder Engagement
Caseload Forecast Council ✓ Prosecutors ✓ Coun<es ✓ Public Defenders ✓ Department of Correc<ons ✓ Superior Court Judges ✓ Law Enforcement ✓ Vic<m Advocates ✓ Legisla<ve Staff ✓ Washington Ins<tute of Public Policy ✓
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 6
Overview of Detailed Analysis
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 7
Public Safety
Prison Growth
• Prison popula$on characteris$cs • Trends impac$ng growth
• Recidivism analysis • Impact of supervision
Sentencing Guidelines
• Comparison with other guideline states • U$lity of offender score
2014
Sentencing guidelines
states & federal
A Brief History of U.S. and Washington Sentencing
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 8
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Indeterminate sentencing
§ Legislatures set ranges
§ Judges choose § Parole boards release
Puni$ve policies § Mandatory minimums; § three strikes; § truth-‐in-‐sentencing § life without parole
Persistent Offender
Accountability Act -‐ 1993
Determinate sentencing states
Right to a Jury on Sentencing Factors 2000 – Apprendi 2004 – Blakely 2005 – Booker 2013 -‐ Alleyne
Sentencing Reform Act
of 1981 WSIPP
reports beginning 1991
Offender Accountability Act of 1999
Washington is One of 21 Guideline States and 13 Non-‐Parole (Determinate) States
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 9
States with Sentencing Guidelines
States Without Parole Release
Alabama Alaska Arkansas Arizona California Delaware DC Illinois Indiana Kansas Kansas Louisiana Maryland MassachuseYs Maine Michigan Minnesota Minnesota Missouri North Carolina North Carolina Ohio Ohio Oregon Oregon Pennsylvania Tennessee Utah Virginia Virginia Washington Washington Wisconsin Wisconsin
Washington’s Grids have 169 total cells, with More Columns and Rows than Other Systems
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 10 Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 10
258 cells: 9 grids with 3-‐6 rows and 6 columns
135 cells (10 x 9) + (5 x 9) (drug)
133: (11 x 7) + (8 x 7) (sex off.)
60 cells (10 x 6)
99 cells (11 x 9)
112 cells (14 x 8)
169 cells (16 x 10) + (3 x 3) (drug)
S e r i o u s n e s s L e v e l
Offender Score 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
LEVEL XVI LIFE SENTENCE WITHOUT PAROLE/DEATH PENALTY
LEVEL XV 280m
240-‐320 291.5m 250-‐333
304m 261-‐347
316m 271-‐361
327.5m 281-‐374
339.5m 291-‐388
364m 312-‐416
394m 338-‐450
431.5m 370-‐493
479.5m 411-‐548
LEVEL XIV 171.5m 123-‐220
184m 134-‐234
194m 144-‐244
204m 154-‐254
215m 165-‐265
225m 175-‐275
245m 195-‐295
266m 216-‐316
307m 257-‐357
347.5m 298-‐397
LEVEL XIII 143.5m 123-‐164
156m 134-‐178
168m 144-‐192
179.5m 154-‐205
192m 165-‐219
204m 175-‐233
227.5m 195-‐260
252m 216-‐288
299.5m 257.342
347.5m 298-‐397
LEVEL XII 108m 93-‐123
119m 102-‐136
129m 111-‐147
140m 120-‐160
150m 129-‐171
161m 138-‐184
189m 162-‐216
207m 178-‐236
243m 209-‐277
279m 240-‐318
LEVEL XI 90m
78-‐102 100m 86-‐114
100m 95-‐125
119m 102-‐136
129m 111-‐147
139m 120-‐158
170m 146-‐194
185m 159-‐211
215m 185-‐245
245m 210-‐280
LEVEL X 59.5m 51-‐68
66m 57-‐75
72m 62-‐82
78m 67-‐89
84m 72-‐96
89.5m 77-‐102
114m 98-‐130
126m 108-‐144
150m 129-‐171
230.5m 149-‐198
LEVEL IX 36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
53.5m 46-‐61
59.5m 51-‐68
66m 57-‐75
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
126m 108-‐144
150m 129-‐171
LEVEL VIII 24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
53.5m 46-‐61
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
126m 108-‐144
LEVEL VII 17.5m 15-‐20
24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
66m 57-‐75
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
LEVEL VI 13m 12+-‐14
17.5m 15-‐20
24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
53.5m 46-‐61
66m 57-‐75
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
LEVEL V 9m 6-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
15m 13-‐17
17.5m 15-‐20
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
47.5m 41-‐54
59.5m 51-‐68
72m 62-‐82
84m 72-‐96
LEVEL IV 6m 3-‐9
9m 6-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
15m 13-‐17
17.5m 15-‐20
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
61.5m 53-‐70
73.5m 63-‐84
LEVEL III 2m 1-‐3
5m 3-‐8
8m 4-‐12
11m 9-‐12
14m 12+-‐16
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
59.5m 51-‐68
LEVEL II
0-‐90 d 4m 2-‐6
6m 3-‐9
8m 4-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
16m 14-‐18
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
LEVEL I
0-‐60 d
0-‐90 d 3m 2-‐5
4m 2-‐6
5.5m 3-‐8
8m 4-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
16m 14-‐18
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
Unranked
0-‐12m
Serio
usne
ss Level Offender Score
0 to 2 3 to 5 6 to 9+
LEVEL III 59.5m 51-‐68
84m 68+-‐100
110m 100+-‐120
LEVEL II 16m 12+-‐20
40m 20+-‐60
90m 60+-‐120
LEVEL I 3m 0-‐6
12m 6+-‐18
18m 12+-‐24
Washington Sentencing Grids Increase in Offense and Criminal History Severity from Lower Lep to Upper Right
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 11
Source: Washington State Sentencing Guidelines Manual, 2012, Caseload Forecast Council.
S e r i o u s n e s s L e v e l
Offender Score 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
LEVEL XVI LIFE SENTENCE WITHOUT PAROLE/DEATH PENALTY
LEVEL XV 280m
240-‐320 291.5m 250-‐333
304m 261-‐347
316m 271-‐361
327.5m 281-‐374
339.5m 291-‐388
364m 312-‐416
394m 338-‐450
431.5m 370-‐493
479.5m 411-‐548
LEVEL XIV 171.5m 123-‐220
184m 134-‐234
194m 144-‐244
204m 154-‐254
215m 165-‐265
225m 175-‐275
245m 195-‐295
266m 216-‐316
307m 257-‐357
347.5m 298-‐397
LEVEL XIII 143.5m 123-‐164
156m 134-‐178
168m 144-‐192
179.5m 154-‐205
192m 165-‐219
204m 175-‐233
227.5m 195-‐260
252m 216-‐288
299.5m 257.342
347.5m 298-‐397
LEVEL XII 108m 93-‐123
119m 102-‐136
129m 111-‐147
140m 120-‐160
150m 129-‐171
161m 138-‐184
189m 162-‐216
207m 178-‐236
243m 209-‐277
279m 240-‐318
LEVEL XI 90m
78-‐102 100m 86-‐114
100m 95-‐125
119m 102-‐136
129m 111-‐147
139m 120-‐158
170m 146-‐194
185m 159-‐211
215m 185-‐245
245m 210-‐280
LEVEL X 59.5m 51-‐68
66m 57-‐75
72m 62-‐82
78m 67-‐89
84m 72-‐96
89.5m 77-‐102
114m 98-‐130
126m 108-‐144
150m 129-‐171
230.5m 149-‐198
LEVEL IX 36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
53.5m 46-‐61
59.5m 51-‐68
66m 57-‐75
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
126m 108-‐144
150m 129-‐171
LEVEL VIII 24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
53.5m 46-‐61
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
126m 108-‐144
LEVEL VII 17.5m 15-‐20
24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
66m 57-‐75
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
LEVEL VI 13m 12+-‐14
17.5m 15-‐20
24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
53.5m 46-‐61
66m 57-‐75
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
LEVEL V 9m 6-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
15m 13-‐17
17.5m 15-‐20
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
47.5m 41-‐54
59.5m 51-‐68
72m 62-‐82
84m 72-‐96
LEVEL IV 6m 3-‐9
9m 6-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
15m 13-‐17
17.5m 15-‐20
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
61.5m 53-‐70
73.5m 63-‐84
LEVEL III 2m 1-‐3
5m 3-‐8
8m 4-‐12
11m 9-‐12
14m 12+-‐16
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
59.5m 51-‐68
LEVEL II
0-‐90 d 4m 2-‐6
6m 3-‐9
8m 4-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
16m 14-‐18
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
LEVEL I
0-‐60 d
0-‐90 d 3m 2-‐5
4m 2-‐6
5.5m 3-‐8
8m 4-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
16m 14-‐18
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
Unranked
0-‐12m
Each Grid Cell Contains a Midpoint and a Range in Months
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 12
Source: Washington State Sentencing Guidelines Manual, 2012, Caseload Forecast Council.
S e r i o u s n e s s L e v e l
Offender Score 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
LEVEL XVI LIFE SENTENCE WITHOUT PAROLE/DEATH PENALTY
LEVEL XV 280m
240-‐320 291.5m 250-‐333
304m 261-‐347
316m 271-‐361
327.5m 281-‐374
339.5m 291-‐388
364m 312-‐416
394m 338-‐450
431.5m 370-‐493
479.5m 411-‐548
LEVEL XIV 171.5m 123-‐220
184m 134-‐234
194m 144-‐244
204m 154-‐254
215m 165-‐265
225m 175-‐275
245m 195-‐295
266m 216-‐316
307m 257-‐357
347.5m 298-‐397
LEVEL XIII 143.5m 123-‐164
156m 134-‐178
168m 144-‐192
179.5m 154-‐205
192m 165-‐219
204m 175-‐233
227.5m 195-‐260
252m 216-‐288
299.5m 257.342
347.5m 298-‐397
LEVEL XII 108m 93-‐123
119m 102-‐136
129m 111-‐147
140m 120-‐160
150m 129-‐171
161m 138-‐184
189m 162-‐216
207m 178-‐236
243m 209-‐277
279m 240-‐318
LEVEL XI 90m
78-‐102 100m 86-‐114
100m 95-‐125
119m 102-‐136
129m 111-‐147
139m 120-‐158
170m 146-‐194
185m 159-‐211
215m 185-‐245
245m 210-‐280
LEVEL X 59.5m 51-‐68
66m 57-‐75
72m 62-‐82
78m 67-‐89
84m 72-‐96
89.5m 77-‐102
114m 98-‐130
126m 108-‐144
150m 129-‐171
230.5m 149-‐198
LEVEL IX 36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
53.5m 46-‐61
59.5m 51-‐68
66m 57-‐75
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
126m 108-‐144
150m 129-‐171
LEVEL VIII 24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
53.5m 46-‐61
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
126m 108-‐144
LEVEL VII 17.5m 15-‐20
24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
66m 57-‐75
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
LEVEL VI 13m 12+-‐14
17.5m 15-‐20
24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
53.5m 46-‐61
66m 57-‐75
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
LEVEL V 9m 6-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
15m 13-‐17
17.5m 15-‐20
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
47.5m 41-‐54
59.5m 51-‐68
72m 62-‐82
84m 72-‐96
LEVEL IV 6m 3-‐9
9m 6-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
15m 13-‐17
17.5m 15-‐20
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
61.5m 53-‐70
73.5m 63-‐84
LEVEL III 2m 1-‐3
5m 3-‐8
8m 4-‐12
11m 9-‐12
14m 12+-‐16
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
59.5m 51-‐68
LEVEL II
0-‐90 d 4m 2-‐6
6m 3-‐9
8m 4-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
16m 14-‐18
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
LEVEL I
0-‐60 d
0-‐90 d 3m 2-‐5
4m 2-‐6
5.5m 3-‐8
8m 4-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
16m 14-‐18
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
Unranked
0-‐12m
17.5 m 15-‐20
Sentences Within a Seriousness Level or Offense Type Vary Widely Depending on Offender Score
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 13
Source: Washington State Sentencing Guidelines Manual, 2012, Caseload Forecast Council.
S e r i o u s n e s s L e v e l
Offender Score 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
LEVEL XVI LIFE SENTENCE WITHOUT PAROLE/DEATH PENALTY
LEVEL XV 280m
240-‐320 291.5m 250-‐333
304m 261-‐347
316m 271-‐361
327.5m 281-‐374
339.5m 291-‐388
364m 312-‐416
394m 338-‐450
431.5m 370-‐493
479.5m 411-‐548
LEVEL XIV 171.5m 123-‐220
184m 134-‐234
194m 144-‐244
204m 154-‐254
215m 165-‐265
225m 175-‐275
245m 195-‐295
266m 216-‐316
307m 257-‐357
347.5m 298-‐397
LEVEL XIII 143.5m 123-‐164
156m 134-‐178
168m 144-‐192
179.5m 154-‐205
192m 165-‐219
204m 175-‐233
227.5m 195-‐260
252m 216-‐288
299.5m 257.342
347.5m 298-‐397
LEVEL XII 108m 93-‐123
119m 102-‐136
129m 111-‐147
140m 120-‐160
150m 129-‐171
161m 138-‐184
189m 162-‐216
207m 178-‐236
243m 209-‐277
279m 240-‐318
LEVEL XI 90m
78-‐102 100m 86-‐114
100m 95-‐125
119m 102-‐136
129m 111-‐147
139m 120-‐158
170m 146-‐194
185m 159-‐211
215m 185-‐245
245m 210-‐280
LEVEL X 59.5m 51-‐68
66m 57-‐75
72m 62-‐82
78m 67-‐89
84m 72-‐96
89.5m 77-‐102
114m 98-‐130
126m 108-‐144
150m 129-‐171
230.5m 149-‐198
LEVEL IX 36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
53.5m 46-‐61
59.5m 51-‐68
66m 57-‐75
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
126m 108-‐144
150m 129-‐171
LEVEL VIII 24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
53.5m 46-‐61
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
126m 108-‐144
LEVEL VII 17.5m 15-‐20
24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
66m 57-‐75
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
LEVEL VI 13m 12+-‐14
17.5m 15-‐20
24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
53.5m 46-‐61
66m 57-‐75
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
LEVEL V 9m 6-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
15m 13-‐17
17.5m 15-‐20
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
47.5m 41-‐54
59.5m 51-‐68
72m 62-‐82
84m 72-‐96
LEVEL IV 6m 3-‐9
9m 6-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
15m 13-‐17
17.5m 15-‐20
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
61.5m 53-‐70
73.5m 63-‐84
LEVEL III 2m 1-‐3
5m 3-‐8
8m 4-‐12
11m 9-‐12
14m 12+-‐16
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
59.5m 51-‐68
LEVEL II
0-‐90 d 4m 2-‐6
6m 3-‐9
8m 4-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
16m 14-‐18
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
LEVEL I
0-‐60 d
0-‐90 d 3m 2-‐5
4m 2-‐6
5.5m 3-‐8
8m 4-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
16m 14-‐18
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
Unranked
0-‐12m
Range across Offender Score 1 m – 68 m
Unlike Other States That Sentence to Proba<on in Lower Sec<ons of the Grid, Washington Uses Mostly Confinement
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 14
Minnesota Sentencing Grid
Presump<ve proba<on with up to a year of confinement
S e r i o u s n e s s L e v e l
Offender Score 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
LEVEL XVI LIFE SENTENCE WITHOUT PAROLE/DEATH PENALTY
LEVEL XV 280m
240-‐320 291.5m 250-‐333
304m 261-‐347
316m 271-‐361
327.5m 281-‐374
339.5m 291-‐388
364m 312-‐416
394m 338-‐450
431.5m 370-‐493
479.5m 411-‐548
LEVEL XIV 171.5m 123-‐220
184m 134-‐234
194m 144-‐244
204m 154-‐254
215m 165-‐265
225m 175-‐275
245m 195-‐295
266m 216-‐316
307m 257-‐357
347.5m 298-‐397
LEVEL XIII 143.5m 123-‐164
156m 134-‐178
168m 144-‐192
179.5m 154-‐205
192m 165-‐219
204m 175-‐233
227.5m 195-‐260
252m 216-‐288
299.5m 257.342
347.5m 298-‐397
LEVEL XII 108m 93-‐123
119m 102-‐136
129m 111-‐147
140m 120-‐160
150m 129-‐171
161m 138-‐184
189m 162-‐216
207m 178-‐236
243m 209-‐277
279m 240-‐318
LEVEL XI 90m
78-‐102 100m 86-‐114
100m 95-‐125
119m 102-‐136
129m 111-‐147
139m 120-‐158
170m 146-‐194
185m 159-‐211
215m 185-‐245
245m 210-‐280
LEVEL X 59.5m 51-‐68
66m 57-‐75
72m 62-‐82
78m 67-‐89
84m 72-‐96
89.5m 77-‐102
114m 98-‐130
126m 108-‐144
150m 129-‐171
230.5m 149-‐198
LEVEL IX 36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
53.5m 46-‐61
59.5m 51-‐68
66m 57-‐75
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
126m 108-‐144
150m 129-‐171
LEVEL VIII 24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
53.5m 46-‐61
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
126m 108-‐144
LEVEL VII 17.5m 15-‐20
24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
47.5m 41-‐54
66m 57-‐75
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
101.5m 87-‐116
LEVEL VI 13m 12+-‐14
17.5m 15-‐20
24m 21-‐27
30m 26-‐34
36m 31-‐41
42m 36-‐48
53.5m 46-‐61
66m 57-‐75
78m 67-‐89
89.5m 77-‐102
LEVEL V 9m 6-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
15m 13-‐17
17.5m 15-‐20
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
47.5m 41-‐54
59.5m 51-‐68
72m 62-‐82
84m 72-‐96
LEVEL IV 6m 3-‐9
9m 6-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
15m 13-‐17
17.5m 15-‐20
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
61.5m 53-‐70
73.5m 63-‐84
LEVEL III 2m 1-‐3
5m 3-‐8
8m 4-‐12
11m 9-‐12
14m 12+-‐16
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
59.5m 51-‐68
LEVEL II
0-‐90 d 4m 2-‐6
6m 3-‐9
8m 4-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
16m 14-‐18
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
38m 33-‐43
50m 43-‐57
LEVEL I
0-‐60 d
0-‐90 d 3m 2-‐5
4m 2-‐6
5.5m 3-‐8
8m 4-‐12
13m 12+-‐14
16m 14-‐18
19.5m 17-‐22
25.5m 22-‐29
Unranked
0-‐12m
Washington Sentencing Grid
Up to one year of confinement
Washington U<lizes Supervision as a Felony Sentence Less Than the Na<onal Average and Other Recent JR States
Source: Statewide Disposi)ons – Fiscal Year 2012, Office of Community Alterna<ves, MI Dept. of Correc<ons, November 2012; KS Felony Sentencing Data; Structured Sentencing Sta)s)cal Report FY 2011/12, NC Sentencing and Policy Advisory Commission; BJS Felony Sentences in State Courts, 2006 –Sta<s<cal Tables; WA Caseload Forecast Council sentencing data..
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 15
Proba$on Only
23%
Jail 28%
Proba$on Only
27%
Prison
21%
Michigan BJS Na$onal Study
Prison
42%
Proba$on Only
34%
Prison
24%
Proba$on Only
69%
Kansas North Carolina
Prison
39%
Washington
Prison
42%
Proba$on Only
58%
Idaho
Jail 49%
Supervision In Lieu of Incarcera$on
10%
Jail 55%
Prison
41%
Jail 24%
Jail 7%
Washington Has A Wider Sentence Range and Fewer Sentencing Op<ons for Second Degree Burglary Compared to Other States
0 months 70 months
Washington 1– 68 months confinement
North Carolina 10 – 19 months proba$on
Kansas 12– 27 months presump<ve proba$on
Minnesota 12 -‐ 21 months proba$on
29 – 32 months confinement
10 – 30 months confinement
21 – 36 months confinement
10 20 30 40 50 60
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 16
Certain Offenses Trigger Double-‐ or Triple-‐coun<ng of Similar Prior Convic<ons in the Offender Score
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 17
Offender 1 1. Del, Possess W/I to Deliver
Methamphetamine 2. Assault 3 3. Robbery 2
Offender 2 1. Burglary 2 2. Burglary 2 3. Burglary 2
Current Offense: Burglary,
Second Degree
Adult Criminal History: Four Felony Convic$ons
Offender Score
3
6
Sentence Range
22 – 29 months
9-‐12 months
1 2
(1 point) (1 point) (1 point)
(2 points) (2 points) (2 points)
11 mo
19 mo
43% 46%
Offender Score Increases Prison Time for Offenders With Similar Criminal History and Re-‐Arrest Rate
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 18
FY2010 Prison
Releases in Seriousness Levels 4 or Lower with 3 to 5 Prior Felony Arrests
(N=1,331)
Offender Score 0-‐4 Offender Score 5-‐9+
Offender Score 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
Three Year Felony
Re-‐Arrest Rate
Average Prison
Length of Stay
43% 46%
19 months
11 months
Offender Score 0-‐4
Offender Score 5-‐9+
Offender Score 0-‐4
Offender Score 5-‐9+
Re-‐arrest rate
Length of stay
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC and WSP data.
Offender Score Correlates Strongly with Number of Prior Felony Arrests
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 19
Average Number of Prior Felony Arrests by Offender Score, FY2013 Prison Admissions – Drug Grid or Seriousness Level 4 or lower
*Arrests include felony offenses, excluding CC or parole viola<ons
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of CFC and WSP data.
Offender Score
Prior Felony Arrests
3
10
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
Rela<onship Between Offender Score and Re-‐Arrest Rate Diminishes for Offender Scores 4 through 8
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 20
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
Three Year
One Year
22%
11%
47%
26%
58%
30%
One and Three Year Felony Re-‐Arrest Rates by Offender Score, FY2010 Prison Releases – Drug Grid or Seriousness Level 4 or lower
N = 5,168
Median Age at Release
30 31 29 28 29 30 32 33 36 38
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC and WSP data.
N=320 N=214 N=366 N=387 N=611 N=542 N=623 N=424 N=373 N=1,308
§ Other states u<lize community supervision as a sentence in lieu of confinement for a greater propor<on of felony sentences
Key Findings Regarding Sentencing Policies
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 21
§ In Washington, the sentencing range is significantly wider than other guideline states, based on criminal history
§ Prison sentences are longer for repeat offenders in Washington than other guidelines states
§ Recidivism does not vary significantly based on offender score for those scoring 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8; but sentence length does
Overview of Detailed Analysis
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 22
Public Safety
Prison Growth
• Prison popula$on characteris$cs • Trends impac$ng growth
• Recidivism analysis • Impact of supervision
Sentencing Guidelines
• Comparison with other guideline states • U$lity of offender score
The On-‐Hand Prison Popula<on is Concentrated in the Upper Lep and Lower Right Sec<ons of the Grid
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 23
S e r i o u s n e s s L e v e l
Offender Score
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+ Unknown Offender Score
LEVEL XVI LIFE SENTENCE WITHOUT PAROLE/DEATH PENALTY
LEVEL XV 158 808
LEVEL XIV 204 250
LEVEL XIII
LEVEL XII 303 108 235 124 217 597
LEVEL XI 164 118 180
LEVEL X 164 126 101 140 160
LEVEL IX 143 137 100 369 272
LEVEL VIII
LEVEL VII 125 349
LEVEL VI
LEVEL V 108 106 204
LEVEL IV 106 137 146 128 180 214 195 134 817 180
LEVEL III 177 151 170 181 174 733 102
LEVEL II 103 149 712
LEVEL I 341
Serio
usne
ss Level Offender Score
0 to 2 3 to 5 6 to 9+
LEVEL III
LEVEL II 212 347 568
LEVEL I 129 384
FY2013 End-‐of Year Prison Popula<on
Standard Grid Drug Grid
Shaded grid cells represent a popula$on over 100
*Excludes approx. 2% of popula<on with unknown Seriousness Level Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC data.
Detail of Drug Grid and Level I – IV Standard Grid Felony Sentences in FY2013
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 24
Drug (4,976)
Possession of a Controlled Substance, Schedules III, IV,
or V: 63%
Possession of a Controlled Substance, Schedule I or II: 26%
Forged Prescrip CS: 3%
Man, Del, or Poss Marijuana: 5%
Other: 2%
Jail 3,002
Possession of a Controlled Substance, III, IV, or V:
37%
Poss CS Sch I, II: 14%
Del or Poss Meth : 17%
Man, Del, or Poss Cocaine: 18%
Man/Del/Poss Sch I/II: 6%
Prison 1,974
Other: 8%
Property (7,784)
Thei 1 + 2: 22%
MV Thei + Possession of a Stolen Vehicle2: 13%
Forgery + ID Thei: 2: 15%
Residen$al Burglary: 9%
Jail 4,746
Poss. + Traf 1 + Traf 2 of Stolen
Property: 18%
Burglary 2: 16%
Malicious Mischief 2: 4%
Other: 7%
MV Thei + Possession of a
Stolen Vehicle: 22%
ID Thei + Forgery: 15%
Prison 3,038
Residen$al Burglary: 18%
Burglary 2: 16%
Thei 1 + 2: 10%
Traf. 1 + Poss 2 of Stolen Property: 10%
Other: 9%
Violent/Crimes Against Person/Sex (3,170)
Jail 1,888
Prison 1,282
Assault 3: 48%
Unlawful Poss. Of Firearm 2: 12% Robbery 2: 7%
Vehicular Assault Under Influence: 4%
Other: 13%
Assault 2: 35%
Assault 3: 23%
Robbery 2: 15%
Unlawful Poss. Of Firearm 2: 13%
Other: 14%
Source: Jus<ce Center Analysis of CFC’s Sentencing Data
Assault 2: 16%
Admissions to Prison Have Remained Steady While the Average Length of Stay Has Increased Since 2004
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 25
22
24
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Average LOS for Prison Releases Number of Prison Admissions
Average LOS (months)
Number of Prison
Admissions
Number of Prison Admissions and Average Length of Stay for Prison Releases, FY2004 and FY2013
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Prison Admissions for Seriousness Level 3 & 4 Offenses Have Increased in Number and Propor<on Since FY2009
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 26
Number of Prison Admissions by Seriousness Level, FY2009 to FY2013
*Excludes approx. 1% of admissions with unknown Seriousness Level
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC data.
Drug 1
Drug 2 Drug 3
Levels 0-‐2
Levels 3-‐4
Levels 5-‐7
Levels 8+
2,315 29%
2,730 34%
N = 7,755 N = 7,667 N = 7,669 N = 8,124 N = 8,092
10%
One-‐Third of the FY13 On Hand Prison Popula<on Were Sentenced for Offenses in Seriousness Levels 0 -‐ 4
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 27 Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC data.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Standard Sentencing
Grid Levels
Drug Grid Levels
1-‐2
3-‐4
5-‐7
8-‐10
11-‐13
14-‐16
1 2 3 (1%)
0 (1%)
FY2013 On Hand Prison Popula<on
N = 17,723
*Excludes approx. 2% of popula<on with unknown Seriousness Level
64% of the popula<on in Seriousness Levels 0 – 4 are in prison for Assault, Burglary, or Thep
12%
16%
14%
13%
7% 3%
23%
= 34%
Assault 2 14% Residen<al Burglary 11% Burglary 2 11% Thep 11% MV Thep 9% Assault 3 8%
Drug Offenders Composed a Smaller Propor<on of Prison Admissions in FY2013 Compared to Earlier Years
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 28
Violent: 3,201 38%
Drug: 2,531 30%
Property: 2,342 28%
Other: 426, 5%
FY2004 Prison Admission Offense Types (N=8,500)
Drug Possession: 971 (38%)
Violent: 3,355 41%
Drug: 1,710 21%
Property: 2,533 31%
Other: 526, 7%
FY2013 Prison Admission Offense Types (N=8,124)
Drug Possession: 759 (44%)
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC data.
Violent category was classified using RCW code and includes Homicide, Assault, Kidnapping, Sex Offenses, Criminal Mistreatment, Harassment, Family Offenses and Robbery
Over Half of Drug and Property Offenders Admiked to Prison in FY2013 Did Not Have a Prior Violent Felony Arrest
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 29
Violent: 3,355 41%
Drug: 1,710 21%
Property: 2,533 31%
Other: 526, 7%
FY2013 Prison Admission Offense Types (N=8,124)
4,243
No Prior Violent Felony Arrest: 2,604
62%
Prior Violent Felony Arrest: 1,601
38%
Not Available: 38, 1%
2,604
0 or 1 Prior Felony Arrest: 640
25%
2 to 5 Prior Felony Arrests: 943
36%
6 to 10 Prior Felony Arrests: 596
23%
10 or More Prior Felony Arrests: 425
16%
Prior Violent Arrest for Property & Drug Offenders
Number of Prior Arrests for Property & Drug Offenders
See notes regarding the “640” group
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC and WSP data.
Violent category was classified using RCW code and includes Homicide, Assault, Kidnapping, Sex Offenses, Criminal Mistreatment, Harassment, Family Offenses and Robbery
The Number of Prison Admissions That Have One or More Prior Admissions has Increased
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 30
Prison Admissions, FY2004 and FY2013
3,722
4,778
One or More Prior Admissions
First Admission to Prison
44%
4,164 3,960
One or More Prior Admissions First Admission to Prison
51%
FY2004 FY2013
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC data.
Property and Drug Offenders Have Similar Rates of Alcohol and Other Drug (AOD) Needs
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 31
Prevalence of MH and AOD Needs by Offense Type, FY2013 Prison Admissions
*Need defined as “Moderate” or “High” on the DOC Offender Needs Assessment
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
All Admissions
Property Offenders
Drug Offenders
No BH Needs MH Needs MH & AOD Needs AOD Needs
70%
68%
61%
12%
12%
12%
50%
85%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
11%
20%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
7%
18%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+
People With Higher Offender Scores Have Higher Prevalence Rates of Mental Health and Alcohol/Drug Needs
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 32
Offender Score Offender Score
Offender Score
Percent of Admissions with a Mental Health Need, FY2013
Percent of Admissions with an Alcohol/Drug Need, FY2013
Percent of Admissions with a MH and AOD Need, FY2013
*Need defined as “Moderate” or “High” on the DOC Offender Needs Assessment
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC data.
Approximately 80% of Drug and Property Offenders Who Recidivate Commit a Drug or Property Offense as Their First Re-‐Arrest
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 33
Other
Drug
Property
Violent
Other Drug Property Violent
27%
55% 55%
24%
First Re-‐Arrest Offense Type for 3 Year Recidivists FY2013 Prison Releases
Drug Offenders Property Offenders
Key Findings Regarding Prison Growth
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 34
§ A sizeable por<on of the prison popula<on are offenders convicted for
lower severity offenses, but most have mul<ple prior arrests
§ Prison admissions have been fairly stable, but average length of stay
has increased
§ Property and drug offenders open share similar criminal history
backgrounds, consis<ng of mostly property and drug arrests, and have higher rates of behavioral health needs
Overview of Detailed Analysis
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 35
Public Safety
Prison Growth
• Prison popula$on characteris$cs • Trends impac$ng growth
• Recidivism analysis • Impact of supervision and programming
Sentencing Guidelines
• Comparison with other guideline states • U$lity of offender score
Spending on Prison-‐Based Programs Has Remained Steady Over the Years
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 36
$0
$5,000,000
$10,000,000
$15,000,000
$20,000,000
$25,000,000
$30,000,000
$35,000,000
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
Chemical Dependency Treatment
Offender Change Programming
Educa<onal Services
Sex Offender Treatment
Correc<onal Programming Expenditure, FY04-‐FY13
Source: Data received from the Department of Correc<ons Budget Office
Spending on Community-‐Based Programs Has Increased Significantly
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 37
Community Supervision Programming Expenditures, FY04-‐FY13
*Sex Offender Treatment funding for FY04 and FY05 was not separated or tracked financially and chemical dependency treatment funding for FY04, FY05, FY06, and FY07 was not separated financially. Source: Data received from the Department of Correc<ons Budget Office
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
16000000
18000000
20000000
FY04* FY05* FY06* FY07* FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
Chemical Dependency Treatment
Chemical Dependency Treatment: Residen<al DOSA
Chemical Dependency Treatment: Out-‐Pa<ent
Chemical Dependency Treatment: In-‐Pa<ent
Offender Change Programming
Offender Job Training
Sex Offender Treatment
One Year Recidivism Rates for Offenders Released from Prison Have Remained Stable or Declined Slightly Since FY2004
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 38
One Year Re-‐Arrest, Re-‐Convic<on and Return to Prison Rates, FY2004 to FY2013 Prison Releases
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
23%
18%
29%
11% 13%
Return to Prison
Felony Re-‐Arrest
15% Felony Re-‐Convic$on
21%
9%
13%
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC, WSP, and AOC data.
33%
45%
19%
32%
Lower Seriousness Level Offenders Have Much Higher Recidivism Rates Than Higher Seriousness Level Offenders
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 39
Seriousness Level 5 or Higher
Felony Re-‐Arrest Rate
Return to Prison Rate
Three Year Felony Re-‐Arrest and Return to Prison Rates by Seriousness Level, FY2010 Prison Releases
Seriousness Level 4 or Lower & Drug Grid
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC and WSP data.
Felony Re-‐Arrest Rate
Return to Prison Rate
Percent of Prison Releases Going to Supervision Has Declined, Especially Among Lower Severity Offenders (Drug & Level 0-‐4)
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 40
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Percent of Prison Releases on Supervision Upon Release by Seriousness Level, FY2004 to FY2013
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC data.
69%
78%
85% 91% 88% 89%
Seriousness Level 5 or Higher
Seriousness Level 4 or Lower & Drug Grid
Policy Changes Over 30 Years Have Greatly Altered Who Receives Post-‐Release Supervision
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 41
Pre-‐1984
Post-‐Jail/As a Sentence Post-‐Prison
Property Drug Violent* Property Drug Violent*
L,M H
Post-‐1984
2003
Today
1999
L,M Low-‐ and Moderate-‐Risk High-‐Risk
Supervision has been maintained for serious violent
offenses, sex offenses, and those with alterna<ve
sentences regardless of risk.
*Violent includes violent offenses and crime against a person offenses.
H
L,M H
H
H
L,M H L,M H
H
H
L,M H
L,M H
L,M H
L,M H
L,M H
L,M H
L,M H
L,M H
L,M H
H H
H H
L,M H
Source: Communica<ons with Washington Department of Correc<ons staff. Washington State Legislature. 56th Legisla<ve Session. [SB 5421] Enhancing supervision of offenders. Washington State Legislature. 58th Legisla<ve Session. [SB 5990] Changing )mes and supervision standards for release of offenders. Washington State Legislature. 61st Legisla<ve Session. [SB 6162] Providing for the supervision of offenders sentenced to community.
Current Policy Regarding Who Receives Supervision
Supervision No Supervision
All individuals convicted of a:
• Serious Violent Offense • Sex Offense
High-‐Risk individuals convicted of a:
• Drug Offense • Violent Offense
• Crime Against a Person Offense
Individuals who receive the following sentencing alterna<ves:
• Prison-‐Based DOSA • Residen$al DOSA
• First Time Offender Waiver • Family and Offender Sentencing
Alterna$ve
All individuals convicted of a:
• Property Offense (non-‐DOSA)
Low-‐ and Moderate-‐Risk individuals convicted of a:
• Drug Offense • Violent Offense
• Crime Against a Person Offense
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 42
Three Out of Four Property Offenders Released Unsupervised Are Classified High Risk
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 43
FY2010 Prison Releases
7,805
Source: Jus<ce Center analysis of DOC data.
Released Unsupervised
1,909 25%
Property Offenders
860 45%
High Risk
642 75%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Burglary Arrests Has Increased Since 2004, Driven by the Increase in Repeat Burglary Arrests
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 44
Prior Burglary Arrest
Prior Felony (Non-‐Burglary) Arrest
No Prior Felony Arrests
Number of Burglary Arrests by Arrest History, FY2004 to FY2013
46% of all burglary arrests
Percent of all burglary arrests
26%
6,579
7,726
Key Findings Regarding Public Safety
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 45
§ Resources to reduce recidivism through community-‐based programs
has increased, and overall recidivism rates have declined
§ Lower severity offenders released from prison are more likely to be re-‐arrested, but are less likely to be supervised
§ A growing share of individuals arrested for burglary had a prior
burglary record
Key Takeaways
1. Washington’s sentencing guidelines dictate less use of supervision in lieu of incarcera<on and longer sentences for repeat property offenders than other states.
2. A growing number of prison admissions are lower severity offenders and today they account for 1 out of 3 people in prison.
3. Lower severity offenders are more likely to be re-‐arrested, and less likely to be supervised aper release from prison or jail.
4. Washington s<ll has the third highest property crime rate in the country.
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 46
2015 Session
Proposed Timeline
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 47
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Policy Rollout and Bill
Introduc<on
Stakeholder Engagement Policy Op<on Development
Bill Draping
Provide Info to Policymakers and Media and
Keep Stakeholders Involved
Taskforce Mee$ng #1
Project Launch Taskforce Mee<ng #2
Taskforce Mee<ng #3
Taskforce Mee<ng #4
Ini<al Data Analysis Detailed Data Analysis Final Data Analysis Impact Analysis
Data Analysis
Stakeholder Involvement
Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center 48
Thank You
Karen Chung, Policy Analyst [email protected] csgjus<cecenter.org/subscribe
This material was prepared for the State of Washington. The presenta<on was developed by members of the Council of State Governments Jus<ce Center staff. Because presenta<ons are not subject to the same rigorous review process as other printed materials, the statements made reflect the views of the authors, and should not be considered the official posi<on of the Jus<ce Center, the members of the Council of State Governments, or the funding agency suppor<ng the work.