walmart to invest $16 billion to acquire flipkart may10 2018 · 2018-05-10 · the following...

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1 Deborah Weinswig, CEO and Founder, Coresight Research [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2018 Coresight Research. All rights reserved. May 10, 2018 Walmart to Invest $16 Billion to Acquire a 77% Stake in India’s Flipkart 1) On May 9, Walmart announced the signing of a definitive agreement to invest $16 billion for a 77% stake in Flipkart, a leading online retailer in India. The company said it supports Flipkart’s ambition to become a publicly listed subsidiary in the future. 2) Walmart believes the acquisition will create significant long-term value for shareholders through entering a critical growth market, acquiring a leader in e- commerce, acquiring local talent with global expertise and achieving long-term growth. 3) The investment includes $2 billion of new equity funding, supported by newly issued debt and cash on hand. The company expects the investment to reduce FY19 EPS by $0.25–$0.30 and FY20 EPS by $0.20, assuming a close in the second quarter of this fiscal year. Walmart to Invest $16 Billion for a 77% Stake in India‘s Flipkart On May 9, Walmart announced the signing of a definitive agreement to invest $16 billion for a 77% stake in Flipkart, a leading e-commerce player in India. The company said it supported Flipkart’s ambition to become a publicly listed subsidiary in the future. Walmart commented that India is one of the most attractive retail markets in the world, due to its size and growth rate, and the investment is an opportunity to partner with the company that is leading the transformation of e-commerce in India. The investment includes $2 billion of new equity funding, supported by newly issued debt and cash on hand. The company estimates the investment will reduce FY19 EPS by $0.25– $0.30 and FY20 EPS by $0.20, assuming a close in the second quarter of this fiscal year.

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Page 1: Walmart to Invest $16 Billion to Acquire Flipkart May10 2018 · 2018-05-10 · The following graphic ranks Flipkart’s position by GMV share. ... Microsoft Word - Walmart to Invest

1 DeborahWeinswig,CEOandFounder,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2018CoresightResearch.Allrightsreserved.

May 10, 2018

Walmart to Invest $16 Billion to Acquire a 77% Stake in India’s Flipkart

1) OnMay9,Walmartannouncedthesigningofadefinitiveagreementtoinvest$16billionfora77%stakeinFlipkart,aleadingonlineretailerinIndia.ThecompanysaiditsupportsFlipkart’sambitiontobecomeapubliclylistedsubsidiaryinthefuture.

2) Walmartbelievestheacquisitionwillcreatesignificantlong-termvalueforshareholdersthroughenteringacriticalgrowthmarket,acquiringaleaderine-commerce,acquiringlocaltalentwithglobalexpertiseandachievinglong-termgrowth.

3) Theinvestmentincludes$2billionofnewequityfunding,supportedbynewlyissueddebtandcashonhand.ThecompanyexpectstheinvestmenttoreduceFY19EPSby$0.25–$0.30andFY20EPSby$0.20,assumingacloseinthesecondquarterofthisfiscalyear.

WalmarttoInvest$16Billionfora77%StakeinIndia‘sFlipkartOnMay9,Walmartannouncedthesigningofadefinitiveagreementtoinvest$16billionfora77%stakeinFlipkart,aleadinge-commerceplayerinIndia.ThecompanysaiditsupportedFlipkart’sambitiontobecomeapubliclylistedsubsidiaryinthefuture.

WalmartcommentedthatIndiaisoneofthemostattractiveretailmarketsintheworld,duetoitssizeandgrowthrate,andtheinvestmentisanopportunitytopartnerwiththecompanythatisleadingthetransformationofe-commerceinIndia.

Theinvestmentincludes$2billionofnewequityfunding,supportedbynewlyissueddebtandcashonhand.ThecompanyestimatestheinvestmentwillreduceFY19EPSby$0.25–$0.30andFY20EPSby$0.20,assumingacloseinthesecondquarterofthisfiscalyear.

Page 2: Walmart to Invest $16 Billion to Acquire Flipkart May10 2018 · 2018-05-10 · The following graphic ranks Flipkart’s position by GMV share. ... Microsoft Word - Walmart to Invest

2 DeborahWeinswig,CEOandFounder,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2018CoresightResearch.Allrightsreserved.

May 10, 2018

RationalefortheTransactionThecompanybeganitspresentationwithitsslogan,“Wesavepeoplemoneysotheycanlivebetter.”

Keypointsfromthediscussionfollow.

FlipkartFitsWithinWalmart’sInternationalStrategy• TheFlipkartinvestmentrepresentsahigh-growth,attractivemarketopportunity

withthelocalleader.

• IndiaisoneofthekeygrowthmarketsinwhichWalmartwantstopracticeactiveportfoliomanagement.

• OtherpointsincludeWalmart’spledgetocreatedisciplinedgrowththroughadifferentiatedcustomerproposition,tobethelowest-costoperatorandtobuildstrongfoundations.

FlipkartTransformsWalmart’sE-CommerceOpportunityinaCriticalGrowthMarket

TheIndiamarket:• Isanattractiveopportunityinoneofthefastest-growingmarkets.

• E-commerceisgrowingfourtimesasfastastheretailindustry.

Flipkart:• Isthelocalleader,with$7.5billionofannualgrossmerchandisevalue(GMV),which

isthetotalvalueofgoodssoldthroughthesites,and54millionactivecustomers.

• Hasanexperiencedandcommittedmanagementteam,withstrongin-countryexperience.

• HasstrongshareholderpartnersandasuccessfultrackrecordofinvestmentsinAsia.

• Createslong-termvalueforshareholders,associates,communitiesandtheIndianeconomy.

IndiaIsaCompellingMarketwithLong-TermPotential• India’sGDPhasgrownata9.4%compoundannualgrowthrate(CAGR)overthepast

10years.

• Thecountryhas443millionmillennials,plus393millionGenerationZers,comprising66%ofthepopulation.

• 35%ofthepopulationusestheInternet,makingIndiathesecond-largestInternetmarketglobally.

• ThemobilepercentageofInternettrafficis79%,versus50%globally.

• Smartphonepenetrationisestimatedtohit58%in2020,versus30%in2017.

IndiaE-CommerceIsProjectedtoGrowFourTimesasFastasTotalRetailOvertheNextFiveYearsTotalIndiaretailisprojectedtogrowat9%overthenextfiveyears,comparedto36%fore-commerce.

ThefollowinggraphshowstheexpectedaccelerationinIndiane-commerce.

Page 3: Walmart to Invest $16 Billion to Acquire Flipkart May10 2018 · 2018-05-10 · The following graphic ranks Flipkart’s position by GMV share. ... Microsoft Word - Walmart to Invest

3 DeborahWeinswig,CEOandFounder,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2018CoresightResearch.Allrightsreserved.

May 10, 2018

Figure1.IndiaE-CommercePenetration(ExcludingServices)

Source:Bain&Co.

FlipkartIstheLocalLeaderinIndiaE-CommerceThefollowinggraphicshowsascreenshotofFlipkart’sapp,outlinestheflagshipFlipkartbusinessesandillustratesFlipkart’secosystem.

Source:Walmart

FlipkartIsPositionedforSignificantGrowthThegraphbelowshowsFlipkart’sGMVandthenumberofactivecustomers,andthesidebarshowsthenumberofunitssoldinFY18.

0.2% 0.3% 0.4%1.0%

1.8% 1.8% 2.1%

6.2%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY23E

Page 4: Walmart to Invest $16 Billion to Acquire Flipkart May10 2018 · 2018-05-10 · The following graphic ranks Flipkart’s position by GMV share. ... Microsoft Word - Walmart to Invest

4 DeborahWeinswig,CEOandFounder,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2018CoresightResearch.Allrightsreserved.

May 10, 2018

Note1:GrossMerchandiseValue(GMV),asdefinedbyFlipkartrepresentsthetotaldollarvalueofordersprocessedonitsmarketplacesintheperiodwithoutreductionforreturns.Note2:Activecustomersarecustomerstransactingatleastonceinthelast12months.Totaldoesnotexcludecustomeroverlapbetweenentities.Source:Walmart

FlipkartMaintainsaLeadingPositioninFast-GrowingCategoriesThefollowinggraphicranksFlipkart’spositionbyGMVshare.

Source:WallStreetanalystsandBain&Companyestimates.

WalmartIsWorkingwithStrongShareholderPartnersKeystrategicandshareholderpartnersincludethefollowingleadingcompanies:

Source:Walmart

GrossMerchandiseValue(USDMil.)

ActiveCustomers(Mil.)

Page 5: Walmart to Invest $16 Billion to Acquire Flipkart May10 2018 · 2018-05-10 · The following graphic ranks Flipkart’s position by GMV share. ... Microsoft Word - Walmart to Invest

5 DeborahWeinswig,CEOandFounder,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2018CoresightResearch.Allrightsreserved.

May 10, 2018

DetailsfromtheTransaction

TransactionStructure• Walmart’sinvestmentofapproximately$16billion,including$2billionofnew

equityfunding,whichwillhelpFlipkartachieveitsgrowthpotential.

• Walmart’sinitialownershipstakeisapproximately77%.

• TheremainingshareswillbeheldbyFlipkart’sexistingshareholders,includingCofounderBinnyBansal,TencentHoldings,TigerGlobalManagementandMicrosoft.

• WalmartsupportsFlipkart’sambitiontotransitionintoapubliclylisted,majority-ownedsubsidiaryinthefuture.

• TheclosingisexpectedlaterinFY19,subjecttoregulatoryapproval.

FinancialImpact• Theinvestmentwillbefundedbyacombinationofnewlyissueddebtandcashon

hand.

• FlipkartwillbereportedaspartofWalmart’sInternationalsegment.

• Iftheacquisitionclosesattheendofthefiscalsecondquarter,FY19EPSwillbereducedby$0.25–$0.30andFY20EPSby$0.20.

• Inthemidtolongterm,asthebusinessscalesandefficienciesarerealized,Walmartexpectslossestodeclineandreturnstoimprove.

• Walmartanticipatesthecontinuationofitscurrentsharebuybackprogram,whilemaintainingitsstrongcreditprofile.

TheTransactionIsExpectedtoCreateSignificantLong-TermValueforShareholdersWalmartseesvaluein:

• Enteringacriticalgrowthmarket.

• Acquiringaleaderine-commerce.

• Acquiringlocaltalentwithglobalexpertise.

• Achievinglong-termgrowth.

Page 6: Walmart to Invest $16 Billion to Acquire Flipkart May10 2018 · 2018-05-10 · The following graphic ranks Flipkart’s position by GMV share. ... Microsoft Word - Walmart to Invest

6 DeborahWeinswig,CEOandFounder,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2018CoresightResearch.Allrightsreserved.

May 10, 2018

DeborahWeinswig,CPACEOandFounderCoresightResearchNewYork:917.655.6790 HongKong:852.6119.1779China:[email protected],CFASeniorAnalystHongKong:6/F,LiFungTower888CheungShaWanRoad,KowloonHongKongLondon:242–246MaryleboneRoadLondon,NW16JQUnitedKingdomNewYork:1359Broadway,18thFloorNewYork,NY10018

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