wadey presentation ceri 2015 petrochemical conference

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Ceri Presentation 2015 Petrochemical conf

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  • Jordan Cove LNGLNG Development in a Low Oil Price Environment

    Vice President, Jordan Cove LNG LLC, Veresen Inc.Vern Wadey

    2015 Petrochemical ConferenceJune 7 9, 2015

  • Certain information contained in this presentation constitutes forward-looking information under applicable Canadian securities laws. Allinformation, other than statements of historical fact, which addresses activities, events or developments that we expect or anticipate may or willoccur in the future, is forward-looking information. Forward-looking information typically contains statements with words such as "may","estimate", "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "plan", "intend", "target", "project", "forecast" or similar words suggesting future outcomes oroutlook. Forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: the ability of Veresen torecognize synergies between Ruby and the Jordan Cove LNG project, the cost estimate, timing of, and our ability to successfully obtainregulatory approvals for Jordan Cove LNG and the Pacific Connector Gas Pipeline, the timing of decisions to proceed with construction of, andthe in-service date of Jordan Cove LNG and the Pacific Connector Gas Pipeline and sources of gas supply to feed Jordan Cove LNG and thePacific Connector Gas Pipeline.

    The risks and uncertainties that may affect the operations, performance, development and results of our businesses include, but are not limitedto, the following factors: our ability to successfully implement our strategic initiatives and achieve expected benefits; levels of oil and gasexploration and development activity; the status, credit risk and continued existence of contracted customers; the availability and price ofcapital; the availability and price of energy commodities; the availability of construction services and materials; fluctuations in foreign exchangeand interest rates; our ability to successfully obtain regulatory approvals; changes in tax, regulatory, environmental, and other laws andregulations; competitive factors in the pipeline, NGL and power industries; operational breakdowns, failures, or other disruptions; and theprevailing economic conditions in North America. Additional information on these and other risks, uncertainties and factors that could affect ouroperations or financial results are included in our filings with the securities commissions or similar authorities in each of the provinces ofCanada, as may be updated from time to time.

    Although we believe the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking information are reasonable based on information available to us on thedate of preparation, we can give no assurances as to future results, levels of activity and achievements. Readers should not place unduereliance on the information contained in this presentation, as actual results achieved will vary from the information provided herein and thevariations may be material. We make no representation that actual results achieved will be the same in whole or in part as those set out in theforward-looking information. Furthermore, the forward-looking statements contained herein are made as of the date hereof, and, except asrequired by law, we do not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of newinformation, future events or otherwise. We expressly qualify any forward-looking information contained in this presentation by this cautionarystatement.

    Forward-looking information advisory

    2

  • Publically traded (TSX: VSN) company with a market cap of $7 billion and earnings and cash flow reflecting the reliable, consistent performance of an energy infrastructure business model

    Veresen Inc.: A strong and diversified portfolio of energy infrastructure assets

    3

    Significant Development Activities:

    Alliance Re-contracting (50% ownership): Rich gas transportation contracts post 2015 and 2020

    Ruby Pipeline (50% ownership): Located to serve California and Jordan Cove LNG

    Veresen Midstream (50% ownership): $1.5 billion western Canada gas processing assets. Growth prospects to $5 billion with Encana & CRP (Encana & Mitsubishi)

    Jordan Cove LNG and Pacific Connector:Strategic infrastructure to export Canadian and U.S. natural gas supplies to Asia

  • Jordan Cove LNG Project Management Team, with significant LNG experience, led by Betsy Spomer, President and CEO of Jordan Cove LNG

    Creation of a world-class LNG project management team

    O&M Suitable O&M plan and structure Comprehensive O&M service agreement to the Project LNG/Cryogenic experience and hiring plans Training and handover procedures from the EPC

    contractor

    Customers/Commercial Agreements Optimal customer credit quality and mix Financeability of commercial agreements Appropriate risk sharing

    Financing and Execution Target appropriate capital/markets for

    the Project

    Develop financing plan based on Project specifics

    Full preparation of materials / financial modeling required

    Regulatory Compliance with all relevant permits Review of regulatory strategy to ensure no

    permitting delays with the development

    EPC LNG and facility technology reviewed

    and approved

    Appropriate EPC contract form (Performance wrap LDs, contractor liquidity, etc.)

    Ability of EPC contractor to provide security package and deliver project

    4

  • Design capacity of ~1 Bcf/d for 6 mtpa LNG terminal requirements expandable to 1.5 Bcf/d (later date)

    232-mile, 36-inch diameter pipeline (1,440 psig MAOP)

    Ownership: 50% Veresen; 50% Williams

    Terminal and pipeline facilities filed for construction with FERCJordan Cove LNG: project components

    6 mtpa facility (phase 1) expandable to 9 mtpa (later date)

    400+ acre site includes: marine facility; two 160,000 m3 LNG tanks; four 1.5 mtpa liquefaction trains; two gas treating facilities; and, 420 MW power plant.

    Ownership: 100% Veresen

    Terminal: Jordan Cove LNG Pipeline: Pacific Connector

    Power PlantLiquefaction

    5

  • Gas supply sourcing from both Canada and the United States

    IDAHOOREGON

    NEVADA

    UTAH COLORADO

    WYOMING

    RUBY PipelineCheyenne Plains

    OPAL Hub

    MONTANA

    Powder RiverBig Horn

    Wind River

    Denver / Julesburg

    Piceance

    Green River

    Uinta

    Raton

    USRockies Basin

    WIC

    CIG

    A L B E R T ABRITISHCOLUMBIA

    SASKATCHEWAN

    KingsgateBorder Point

    TransCanada

    Fortis

    CALIFORNIA

    PG&E

    GTN

    Spectra

    Pacific Connector

    Jordan Cove

    AECO HUB

    Malin Hub

    AlbertaDeep Basin

    Duverney

    Horn

    Alberta / SaskBakken

    Cordova / Muskawa

    BC / AlbertaMontney

    Existing infrastructure accesses Western Canada Sedimentary Basin and U.S. Rockies

    Flexibility in gas purchases Use of marketing and trading

    companies Sourcing gas supplies by electronic

    trading platforms Change and alter gas purchases /

    sources at any time Contract purchase with producers JV for gas reserves in the ground

    Western Canada Basin

    Gas supply diversification and existing pipelines are Jordan Coves most unique benefits

    Source: Veresen map files

    6

  • AEGS is a significant service provider to the Alberta petrochemical industry

    Jordan Coves benefit to Western Canada and the Alberta Petrochemical industry

    7

    Retains use of Western Canadas significant, existing natural gas infrastructure Promotes efficient use of gas gathering and

    processing, field NGL extraction, significant regional gas pipeline systems

    Maximizes use of the NGTL west transmission system and west straddle plants

    Encourages natural gas production Gas flows through the west-leg delivery

    system, for use at Jordan Cove LNG, contributes upwards of an incremental 20,000-25,000 bbl/d of ethane feedstock to Albertas petrochemical industry at Fort Saskatchewan and Joffre

  • LNG is outpacing global gas industry growth and justifying new, large scale capital expenditures

    Globally, natural gas is becoming the dominant energy

    8

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    1970

    1975

    1980

    1985

    1990

    1995

    2000

    2005

    2010

    2015

    2020

    2025

    International trade ~ 31%

    Source: Actuals: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2014 Outlook: Wood Mackenzie (2015)

    69%

    21%

    10%

    LNG as a share of Global Gas (%)450 MTPA Projected by 2025

    2013 Global GAS consumptionApproximately 323 Bcf/d

    Global shares of primary energy %

    LNG

    PipelineDomestic

    consumption

    Gas

  • Global LNG buyers seeking new, reliable, price competitive, LNG sourcesPlentiful amounts of natural gas, sourced from all regions of North America

    Source: Geological base map by PacWest Consulting9

  • Multiple facilities proposed within North America.

    Source: FERC website and B.C. Government website

    Jordan Cove

    10

    Elba Island

    Cove Point

    Lake Charles LNGTrunkline LNG

    1.) Listed by BC Government; 2.) Potential, Proposed, or Approved by FERC

    Cheniere Sabine PassGolden Pass

    Next Decade LNG

    Magnolia LNG

    Cameron LNG

    SCT&E LNGVenture Global

    Gasfin LNGWaller LNGG2 LNG

    Cheniere Corpus ChristiGulf Coast LNG

    Pangea LNG

    Texas LNG

    EOS / Barca LNGAnnova LNG

    Live Oak LNG

    CE LNGGulf LNGFreeport

    Port LavacaRio Grande LNG

    Port Arthur LNGAnnova LNG

    Discovery LNGSteelhead LNG

    Oregon LNG

    WesPac LNGWoodfibre LNG

    Orca LNG

    Pacific NW LNGPrince Rupert LNG

    Aurora LNGGrassy Point LNGNew Times LNG

    Watson Island LNGWCC LNG

    Kitimat LNGDouglas Channel LNG

    Cedar LNGLNG Canada

    Kitsault LNGStewart Energy LNG

    TOTAL Proposed in Canada: 53.7 Bcf/d

    Repsol LNG

    Bearhead LNGGoldboro LNG

    TOTAL Proposed in U.S.: 39 Bcf/d

    Louisiana LNG

    Main Pass LNGTorp LNGDelfin LNG

    Downeast LNG

  • In the United States Regulatory approval, developers at-risk dollars, and existing pipeline infrastructure are key drivers:

    Community acceptance and local land use permits FERC and DOE (and all other related permits and licenses) -- 5 year process FERC FEIS must be issued before U.S. DOE will consider non-FTA export application At least $70 - $100+ million at risk, per application, to reach FEIS

    U.S. 3 5 year construction build after 5 year regulatory process

    In Canada Social License and Economic viability issues are key drivers:

    Community acceptance and local land use permits (community and First Nations) Extensive promotional and resource support by BC Government

    Social license issues First nations, tax, environmental and political subjectivity Facility capital costs must be in line with global competitiveness 5 year construction build after 4 5+ year regulatory, social license process

    Regulatory approval and construction timeline is at least 8 10+ years!Timeline reality for first LNG group -- prior to 2021

    11

  • Tolling models provide a direct connection to North American gas prices and provide customers with both commodity control and destination flexibility

    Asia Pacific Buyers are attracted to the characteristics and price of U.S. tolling models

    Pacific Connector Gas Pipeline

    Jordan Cove LNG

    Gas Marketing / Transportation and

    Distribution

    Regasification/ Pipeline / Gas Storage

    LNG Transportation / Interim LNG Storage

    Gas Production & Gas Sales / Marketing to

    liquid Hub

    Pipeline / Liquefaction / LNG Storage / Customer

    Capacity

    Traditional LNG JCC or Sales & Purchase Agreement price

    12

    Tolling arrangements lock in the cost of infrastructure about 60% of overall costs are locked-in, with only gas commodity costs floating Traditional JCC and / or LNG Sales Agreements have 100% of infrastructure and commodity costs floating

    with oil prices

    Control over gas purchase and pipeline transportation strategies supply diversification (Henry Hub, Opal, AECO)

    U.S. Gulf Coast brownfield tolling models have set LNG price targets for the first wave of LNG from North America before 2021

    LNG delivered to Japan, at approximately $10.25 $10.75/MMBtu, based on $4 Henry Hub Gas LNG clearing price is based on U.S. / Canadian commodity gas price, pipelines, liquefaction infrastructure

    cost, and cost of shipping to Asia regas facility

  • 0.00

    2.50

    5.00

    7.50

    10.00

    12.50

    15.00

    17.50

    20.00

    22.50

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    JCC Malin Hub Asia spot

    AECO and OPAL gas prices, via Jordan Cove, are very competitive with USGC LNG pricing alternatives

    Liquefaction tolling model infrastructure is priced independent of traditional JCC oil-linked LNG pricing

    Source: Wood Mackenzie, ICIS, Poten & PartnersNote: Japan shown as example destination

    $100

    $80

    $60U.S. LNG delivered cost to Japan, based on current$2.50/MMBtu gas cost at

    Malin HubFuture Cost of Malin Hub Natural Gas???

    Future Cost of JCC oil-linked LNG prices???

    ?

    ?

    Malin Hub gas cost

    Asia Spot LNG

    JCC LNG cost

    Del

    iver

    ed L

    NG

    into

    Tok

    yo B

    ayU

    S$/M

    Mbt

    u

    13

  • Shipping distance and logistics from the U.S. west coast is a competitive advantage over the U.S. Gulf Coast

    USGC LNG~9 shipping days to Europe

    Source: Terminal websites, DOE; Japan as comparative market

    ~9 shipping days to Asia(4300 nmi)

    ~9 shipping days to Asia

    USGC LNG~22 shipping days to Asia (9200 nmi) plus Panama Canal Costs

    Prince Rupert / Kitimat

    GTN

    Ruby Pipeline

    TransCanada Alberta

    Kingsgate

    Spectra / Fortis

    Malin Hub

    Australia LNG~7 to 9 shipping days to Asia(3100 - 4300 nmi)

    Jordan Cove

    Pacific Connector

    AECO Hub

    14

    Opal Hub

  • Jordan Coves LNG shipping advantage offsets slightly higher capital costs versus U.S. Gulf Coast brownfield sites

    Jordan Coves capital cost estimates rank well with other global LNG facilities

    Source: Gas Strategies

    Jordan Cove

    15

  • A handful of large-scale LNG export facilities will be in-service prior to 2021

    Cove Point

    Source: Terminal websites, DOE; Japan as comparative market

    Cameron

    Sabine Pass

    Freeport

    BC west coast LNG Developments

    Jordan Cove

    16

    Corpus Christi

    Post 2021, economic expansions of these facilities are likely (DOE study examining 12 20 Bcf/d export limit )

    LNG export capacity from Canada and U.S. in 2021: 11 13 Bcf/d

    ?

  • www.vereseninc.com www.jordancovelng.com

    Thank you!

    Vern WadeyVice President, Veresen

    +1 403 [email protected]

    Jordan Cove LNGLNG Development in a Low Oil Price EnvironmentForward-looking information advisoryVeresen Inc.: A strong and diversified portfolio of energy infrastructure assetsCreation of a world-class LNG project management teamJordan Cove LNG: project componentsGas supply diversification and existing pipelines are Jordan Coves most unique benefitsJordan Coves benefit to Western Canada and the Alberta Petrochemical industryGlobally, natural gas is becoming the dominant energyGlobal LNG buyers seeking new, reliable, price competitive, LNG sourcesMultiple facilities proposed within North America.Timeline reality for first LNG group -- prior to 2021Asia Pacific Buyers are attracted to the characteristics and price of U.S. tolling modelsLiquefaction tolling model infrastructure is priced independent of traditional JCC oil-linked LNG pricingShipping distance and logistics from the U.S. west coast is a competitive advantage over the U.S. Gulf Coast Jordan Coves capital cost estimates rank well with other global LNG facilitiesA handful of large-scale LNG export facilities will be in-service prior to 2021Thank you!