vision: asean sustainable business...
TRANSCRIPT
Vision: ASEAN Sustainable Business Leader
Strategies: 1. ASEAN Expansion2. High Value Added products & services (HVA)
Industry Leader (Construction Materials) 2015 / 2014 / 2013 / 2012 / 2011
NDR in MalaysiaHosted by Thanachart
Feb 2, 2016
P. 2
Agenda
Strategies & Key Points Business Updates Sustainability & People Financials Appendix
P. 3
ASEAN Expansion: CAPEX and Investment
Majority of the CAPEX & InvestmentCement and Building Materials: Roll out new cement plants, where there are opportunities to grow. Acquire assets in oversupplied markets. Expand new and enhance existing distribution networks across ASEAN. others
Chemicals: Debottleneck Chandra Asri (Indonesian cracker). Flexible feedstock cracker (Vietnamese complex). others
Packaging: Gear towards packaging solution. Improve productivity in the fibrous chain. others
P. 4
Indonesia Vietnam Cambodia Myanmar Laos Philippines
Total Sales (MB) 26,464 30,802 11,282 9,735 2,946 8,991
Total Asset (MB) 45,043 26,600 11,069 11,003 6,623 7,170
Total Staffs 7,135 6,878 475 422 53 1,079
Businesses:• Cement-Building
Materials
• Chemicals
• Packaging
- Cement Plant
- RMC- Ceramics
Tiles- Pipe &
precast- ALC
- Chandra Asri- PVC
- Box Plant
- White Cement
- Concrete Roof
- Ceramic Tiles
- PVC pipe- PVC
- Packaging Paper
- Box Plant
- Cement Plant
- RMC- Concrete
Roof
- Cement Plant
- RMC
- CementPlant
- RMC
- Ceramics
- Packaging Paper
Noted: data as of Dec/15
ASEAN Expansion: SCG’s businesses in FY2015
P. 5
ASEAN Expansion: Sales segments in FY2015
Export Destinations
ASEAN Sales by countries
Sales Destinations
P. 6
ASEAN Expansion: ASEAN Sales (exports + localized operations)
Export to ASEAN by countries ASEAN Operation by countries
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
MB
30,93637,496
43,923 40,56651,750
61,21374,465
85,537
100,912 100,150
Export to ASEAN
ASEAN Operation
ASEAN Operations as a % of Sales
3% 5% 5% 7% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 11%
(Flat y-o-y)
+6% y-o-y
-6% y-o-y
P. 7
R&D and Product Design Team:2016 budget is approximately 1% of total sales.
364 (Ph.D. = 9) 1,646 (Ph.D. = 114)2007 Jan/16
Note: includes recent acquisition of Norner Group (Norway) 50 R&D staffs (10 Ph.D.)
2. R&D and Product Design Team
1. R&D Spending SBU:
P. 8
HVA Strategy:(High value added products and services)
HVA’s Revenue from Sales
HVA attributes: 5-10% higher margin Performance Solutions provider
Service & Design Branding
Business 2013 2014 2015
Cement-Building Materials 41% 42% 41%
Chemicals 27% 27% 31%Chemicals (Includes associates) 50% 50% 53%
Packaging 38% 39% 39%
P. 9
HVA examples
Cement-Building Materials
“ Color rendered mortar”
“Roofing solution”
“Large format ceramics”
P. 10
Chemicals
“ Medical grade plastic”
“Wire & Cable”“ Automotive Cluster”
“ EU-certified PE water pipe”
“Roto molding”
HVA examples
P. 11
Packaging
“ Lightweight packaging solution”
“Less paper-Same strength”“Up to 25% lighter”
“Glassine paper”“Flexible Packaging”
HVA examples
P. 12
Strategies & Key Points Business Updates Sustainability & People Financials Appendix
Agenda
P. 13
Revenue & Net profit segments
Other = Mainly SCG Investment and Corporate
Revenue from Sales
Profit for the Period
FY2014487,545 MB
Cement-Building Materials
36%
Packaging13%
Chemicals51%
FY2015439,614 MB (-10% y-o-y)
Cement-Building Materials
38%
Packaging16%
Chemicals46%
FY201433,615 MB
FY201545,400 MB (+35% y-o-y)
Other15%
ChemicalsEquity Income
8%
Chemicals Subsidiaries
28%Cement-Building Materials
39%
Packaging10%
Other8%
ChemicalsEquity Income
16%
Chemicals Subsidiaries
46%
Cement-Building Materials
23%
Packaging7%
P. 14
ASEAN: SCG’s cement plants location in ASEAN
Yangon
Khammouan Plant55 km.
to Thai border
Phnom Penh
Mawlamyine Plant
KampotPlant130 km.
to Phnom Penh
330 km.to Yangon
NEW PLANTS: Start up
Cambodia #2 0.9 MT Sept/15
Indonesia 1.8 MT Nov/15
Myanmar 1.8 MT mid-2016
Laos 1.8 MT mid-2017
6.3 MT
EXISTINGThailand 23 MT
Cambodia #1 1.1 MT
Vietnam 0.2 MT
P. 15
Jakarta
SJW
JakartaJakarta
100 km.65 km.
Jakarta
BogorBogor
65 km.
Bandung
Indonesia: SCG’s cement plant location in West Java
P. 16
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Laos Cambodia Myanmar Thailand Indonesia Vietnam
ASEAN cement markets: FY2015
Export
Noted: Estimated information, as of Oct 2015
MT - Domestic demand- Domestic capacity
50
Export
70
6056
9288
54
40
873433
Import3 MTImport
2 MTImport1 MT
60MTin 2016
103MTin 2018 103MT
in 2018
P. 17
ASEAN cement markets
Thailand Cambodia Indonesia Myanmar Laos Vietnam
Demand GrowthFY2015 0% +9% +1% +11% +5% to +7% +8%FY2014 -1% +10% +3% +11% +6% +11%
Market price: ex-factory (FY2015)US$ / ton $50 - $52 $58 - $68 $50 - $60 $53 - $63 $75 - $80 $50 - $56
Local currency / ton 1,800 to 1,850
234,958 to275,468
692,789 to 831,346
68,488 to 81,410
611,245 to651,995
1,094,500 to 1,225,840
FX rate 36.0 4,051 13,856 1,292 8,150 21,890
Note: Indonesia’s cement demand is based on data from the Indonesian cement association (ASI).Vietnam’s cement demand in 2015 included only the first eleven months.
P. 18
Indonesia’s Cement Segments
40 MT
Bagged40%
Bulk60%
Bagged 80%
Bulk 20%
60 MTIndonesia
Thailand
Market Segments (2015) Segmented Strategy
Bulk(majority of volume)
Bagged
RMCJayamix
(subsidiary)
NetworksDistribution
Kokoh(subsidiary)
+ Building Materials
(subsidiary)
+
P. 19
Cement: Thailand supply and demandThai domestic market share of 40%
Thai cement market – all players
Total Domestic Growth Rate (% y-o-y)- 10% -45% 15% -8% -1% 23% 6% 11% 9% -2% -6% -6% 1% 10% 3% 12% 7% -1% 0% 3-5%
Avg. 7%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F
MT
ASEAN’s CrisisCapacity 56MT
(60MT in 2016)
Domestic Demand
Demand + ExportUtilization
Approx. 85%
P. 20
Cement: domestic market segments
Total market growth (y-o-y)
FY132014 2015
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY14 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY15
7% +4% 0% -3% -3% -1% -2% +2% -1% +2% 0%
Segment portions
Commercial (approx 20%)
20% +1% +14% +5% -4% -8% -6% +1% -3% 0% -2%
Government (approx 30%)
3% -1% +1% -2% -3% +0% +10% +11% +11% +12% +11%
Residential(approx 50%) 6% -1% +1% -1% -2% -3% -7% -3% -7% -4% -5%
P. 21
Thailand: 2.4 trillion Baht infrastructure plan
direct cement demand of approx 10 MT (8-10 years)
Exclude:
1. High speed train ~ 400 billion baht2. Suvarnabhumi airport development ~ 110 billion baht
Note: - updated as of Oct 2015- projects that counted for bidding in 2015-2016 based on the projects in latest action plan 2016
P. 22
Cement: Thailand mass transit
Note: *%progress updated in Sep-Oct 2015 **Already pass PPP committee
MRT: progress updateTotal project value (2015-2016) = 590 billion baht
PROJECT DISTANCE(KM)
BUDGET(Billion Baht) BIDDING %Progress* Complete
Project
Under Construction
Purple Line 23 64 100% Dec-2015
Blue Line** 27 83 68% 2019
Green Line (Baring - Samutprakan) 13 25 65% 2018
Red 26 73 34% 2019
Light Green Line (Mochit - Kukot) 19 59 Beginning 2019
Total 304
Contractor Bidding in 2016
Orange Line 21 110 H1‐ 16 2021
Pink Line ** 35 57 May‐16 2021
Yellow Line** 29 55 May‐16 2020
Light Red + Red 26 22 2016 2020
Purple Line (extension) 24 104 2016‐2017 2022
Total 348
P. 23
PROJECT BUDGET (billion baht) BIDDING
Double Tracks – meter gauge: Jira-Khonkean 26 129 billion baht Chachengsao - KeangKoi 11
PrachuapKhiriKhan-Chumporn 17 H1-16
Nakornpathom-Huahin 20 2016MapKabao-Jira 30 2016Lopburi-Paknam 25 2016
Total 129
Double Tracks – standard gauge: Bangkok – Kangkoi (1st phase) 20 Oct-15
495 billion baht Nongkhai -Kangkoi - Maptaphut N/A
Total 20Motorways: 160 billion baht Pattaya - MapTaPhut 20
Bangpain – NakonRatchasima* 85 Q1-16
Bangyai - Kanjanaburi * 55 Q1-16Total 160
Other Roads: 8 billion baht International Connection + domestic extension 8
Total 8
High Speed Train: 450 billion bahtBKK-Rayong and BKK-Hua Hin 250 studying
Bangkok-Chiangmai (Thailand-Japan) 200 studying
Total 450Grand Total 767
Cement: Provincial Highways and Train Projects
Bangkok-Chiangmai (Thailand-Japan) 200
Note: *Already pass PPP committee
P. 24
Thailand: Domestic cement price of $51/ton.
Average Domestic Price of Grey Cement (Net ex-factory)
Bulk Cement (%) 55% 56% 58% 61% 63%
Sale Mix- Bagged Cement (%) 49 44 42 42 45 44 40 38 41 40 37 37 39 39 35 35
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Baht/Ton
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
P. 25
Thailand: SCG’s cement exports (FOB prices)
4.76.0 7.1 7.6
6.2 6.1 6.8 7.0 8.1 8.2 7.6 7.3 6.4 5.74.0 4.4 4.4
22 24 22 2124
27
34 35 34
40 3841
45
5257
61 61
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Export Volume (MT)
Export Prices$/ton
Bagged cement % : 11% 17% 31% 30% 42% 61% 66% 82%
P. 26
Housing Products Ceramics Tiles (floor & wall)1. Roofing Tiles
2. Fiber Cement Products (ceiling and wall)
Types of tiles• Fiber Cement roof tiles• Concrete roof tiles• Ceramic roof tiles
SCG’s others products
SCG’s capacity 225 mill sqm.Thailand 106Vietnam 75Indonesia 32Philippines 12
P. 27
SCG’s ASEAN subsidiaries
SCG’s ceramic sales
35
50 51 50 49 53 51 51 49 52 49 48
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0102030405060708090
100
Q1/13 Q2/13 Q3/13 Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15
Baht/sqm.M sqm.
Average Price
Sales volume
Effect from the consolidation
P. 28
SCG Chemicals: ASEAN portfolio
Flexible products (metathesis)
Thailand VietnamCrackers (SCG 2/3, DOW 1/3)
ROC (1999)Rayong Olefins
1.2 MT C2 + C3
MOC (2010)Map Ta Phut
Olefins1.7MT C2 + C3
Downstream
Subsidiaries Associates
PEPP
PVCOthers
Dow Mitsui
Chemicals Mitsubishi
Rayon BST
Indonesia Cracker (SCG 30%)
CAP (1995)Chandra Asri
0.9 MT C2 + C3
De-bottleneck(Late-2015)
1.3 MT C2 + C3
CrackerLong Son Petrochemicals
(LSP) - $4.5 Billion
+1 MT C2 + C3
Downstream
Subsidiaries Associates
PEPPSMBD
Michelin SSBR (2017 start)
Project DetailsJV basis
Located in Southern Vietnam
P. 29
Chemicals outlook
PE (C2) consumer goods
PP (C3) capital goods
MMA (C4) consumer / capital goods
PVC construction related
BD (C4) rubber substitutes
PTA textiles industry
olefins
aromatics
P. 30
Historical margin: HDPE – Naphtha
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
$/ton
Trough $300/ton
Trough$400/ton
Asian crisisUS crisis
EU crisis
P. 31
%
3%
8%
5%
1%
3%2%
3%
Ethylene world supply growth
Incremental supply growth (MT):
4% 4% 4% 4%
3% 3% 4% 4%
2.8 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.7 3.5 10.5 6.9 2.0 5.0 3.4 5.0 5-6 6-7 6-7 6-7 6-7
Note: as of June/15
4% 4%
0123456789
10
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
P. 32
Ethylene world capacity: Naphtha + conventional gas = 90% of world’s capacity
Ethylene world capacity (2020)
New capacity by region (2016 - 2020)
16%25%
32%27%
31%15%
14%
32%37%
5%
5%
54%
6%
33%
19%
20%
22%
Naphtha
Conventional Gas
New shale gas cracker
CTO + MTOand Others
N. Asia
North America
Europe
Middle East
South EastAsia
8 crackers = 5% of the world’s capacity. 6 yrs required from planning to startup
near Mongolia (coal reserves) with water scarcity. 5x greater water usage than conventional. 2.5x higher investment cost than conventional. deleted from China’s investment tax promotion.
P. 33
%
3%
7%
4%
2%
5%
4%
6%
Propylene world supply growth
Incremental supply growth (MT):
4%
5%
6%
3%4% 3% 3%
1.8 2.4 3.3 4.1 4.8 2.8 5.9 4.1 2.1 4.4 3.8 6.2 5-6 5-6 4-5 3-4 3-4
Note: as of June/15
5%
4%
6%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
P. 34
29%
14%
9%
48%
Propylene world capacity: Naphtha + refinery = 77% of world’s capacity
Propylene world capacity(2020)
Naphtha
CTO & MTO& others
Refinery
PDH
Liquid based (naphtha & refinery) are 77% of the world’s capacity, and are global price setters
PDH (shale + LPG) amount to 18 MT or 14% of the world’s capacity
New capacity by region (2016 – 2020)
3%
20%
61%
12%
4%
North Asia(mainly PDH)
EuropeMiddle East
North America
South EastAsia
P. 35
HDPE – Naphtha Price Gap
Note: Prices refer to SEA regional prices
P. 36
PP – Naphtha Price Gap
Note: Prices refer to SEA regional prices
P. 37
PVC
Note: Prices refer to FE regional prices
P. 38
Price gaps of associates
Note: BD and MMA prices refer to SEA regional prices , PTA prices refer to Asian regional prices
P. 39
SCG Packaging:
Packaging Chain - Rengo’s 30% stake in box businesses and Vietnam’s packaging paper plants.
Fibrous Chain - Nippon Paper’s 30% stake.
Recycled Paper(Imported + Local)
Packaging Paper2.3 MT
• Tertiary (1.0 MT)
• Secondary
• Primary
Tree farmed eucalyptus
(mainly contract farm)
Woodchip Pulp0.47 MT
• Dissolving Grade Pulp (textile)
• Hygienic Food Application
• Printing and Writing
Baling station(across ASEAN)
P. 40
Packaging chain prices
Note: regional prices
P. 41Note: regional prices
Fibrous chain prices
P. 42
SCG Investment:FY2015 contribution was 2,564 MB in equity income, and another 2,337 MB from dividend income.
SCG InvestmentManaged by the CFO
Siam Kubota Leasing
Siam Kubota Metal Tech
Siam Toyota Manufacturing (4%)
Automotive business
Toyota Motor Thailand (10%)
Siam Yamato Steel (10%)
OthersAgricultural business
Siam Kubota Corp (40%)
Musashi Auto Parts (21%)
Maxion Wheels (30%)
Aisin Takaoka Group (30%)
Note: 10% divestment of Michelin(Thailand) in Q1/15
P. 43
Strategies & Key Points Business Updates Sustainability & People Financials Appendix
Agenda
P. 44
Systematic training roadmap
*
*
*
*
*
* = international programs
P. 45
External training programs
Program Current Since Classes Staffs
AMP – Advanced Management Program HarvardWharton
19822007
327
8114
EDP – Executive Development Program IMDColumbia
20142007
14
45177
MAP – Management Acceleration Program Duke CE 2015 1 56
MDP – Management Development Program WhartonDuke
19802011
314
1,474225
Marketing Excellence Program Kellogg 2006 9 615
Note: as of Nov/15
P. 46
Corporate scholarship: 490 scholarships since 1973
MBA Engineering and Specialist as of Sept/15
Note: 391 scholars are active, others have mostly retiredCurrent 57 students: MBA 11, Engineering 32, Specialist 14
P. 47
: ranked “Gold Class” which is top group for each sector.
: initial year of DJSI membership.
2015-2008
2015 / 2014 / 2013 / 2012 / 2011 : Industry Leader(Construction Materials)
2004
DJSI was established in 1999 as the first global index to monitor sustainability of listed companies.
+60 global funds in 16 countries follow the DJSI. For further details: www.sustainability-index.com
DJSI: Dow Jones Sustainability Index
P. 48
DJSI: SCG’s rankings in 2015
Year Gold Silver Bronze
2015 SCG* Cementos Argos, Grupo Argos LafargeHolcim
2014 SCG* Cementos Argos, Grupo Argos Holcim
2013 SCG* Cementos Argos, Grupo Argos, Holcim Lafarge
2012 SCG* Duratex, Owens Corning, TOTO
Asahi Glass, CRH, Holcim, Italcementi
2011 SCG* CRH, Holcim, Owens Corning
Asahi Glass, Italcementi, Lafarge
2010Panasonic Electric Works *,
SCG, Holcim CRH, Italcementi,
Lafarge, Owens Corning Boral, Geberit, Weyerhaeuser
2009Panasonic Electric Works *,
SCG, Holcim, CRH Boral, Lafarge Italcementi
2008 Holcim *, SCG, CRH, Panasonic Electric Works
‐ Italcementi, Lafarge
2007 Holcim * SCG, CRH, Panasonic Electric Works
Italcementi, Asahi Glass
Note: *Industry Leader
P. 49
Strategies & Key Points Business Updates Sustainability & People Financials Appendix
Agenda
P. 50
Net debt:Internal leverage target of 2.5 times (Net debt / EBITDA)
Debt profile in FY2015:• Net Debt / EBITDA = 2.0x• Net Debt / Equity = 0.7x• 98% are Thai Baht• 93% are fixed • Interest cost of 3.9%• Cash on hand of 40,729 MB
243.5
197.1
178.0 175.7
148.4
126.3114.9
100.6 100.5 103.0 99.9
120.5 122.0
83.6
112.1
137.6
157.8 164.4 162.5
9.2
7.7
6.45.8
5.1
4.1
3.1
1.8 1.9 1.8 2.0
3.12.6
1.82.4
3.02.6 2.5
2.0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0
50
100
150
200
250
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Billion Baht(Net Debt)
Times (x)(Leverage)
Net Debt on EBITDA
P. 51
CAPEX & Investments:Forecasted FY2016 CAPEX & Investments of approximately 50,000 MB.
- CAPEX includes debottlenecking, expansion projects, and major turnaround.- Investments are acquisitions and purchase of shares.
P. 52
0.01.0
3.0
6.0
15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0
7.58.5
12.5 12.511.0
15.5
12.5
16.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Dividend payout
Note: Dividend policy established in 2008
Payout policy = 40-50%
100 yrspecial
dividend
Baht / Share
% ofNet Profit 0% 16% 25% 36% 49% 56% 61% 59% 54% 42% 40% 55% 56% 51% 45% 42%
P. 53
Mainly retail investors.
No debt covenant.
Thai Baht, mainly 4 years fixed.
“A” rating by Fitch.
Unsecured, unsubordinated.
NOTE: - Debentures amount to 166,500 MB, as of Nov/15.- 10 Bill Baht (4 years, 3.40% fixed) debenture was issued on Nov 2/15 to replace the matured 10 Bill Baht
tranche (4-years, 4.50% fixed).- The Apr 1/16 maturity will be refinance with a 25 Bill Baht issuance (25 Bill Baht with a 4 year tenure).
Debenture profile
Debenture Maturity Table
40,000
30,000
15,000
25,000
50,00045,000
40,000
25,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
MBOutstandingMatured
P. 54
Strategies & Key Points Business Updates Sustainability & People Financials Appendix
Agenda
P. 55
Company background
Founded in 1913. Listed in 1975 on the SET. Market cap approximately of $14.3 Billion (as of Jan/16) Free float of 70%.
Key figures (FY2015): Net Sales 439.6 Billion Baht ($12.8 Billion) EBITDA 82.7 Billion Baht ($ 2.4 Billion) Net Profit 45.4 Billion Baht ($ 1.3 Billion) Assets of 510.0 Billion Baht ($14.1 Billion) 53,096 staffs (regional staff: 31% of total staff).
Chemicals
Paper
P. 56
Shareholders
Local 66%– Institution / Retail 36%– CPB 30%
Foreign 34%– Foreign Board 25%– NVDR 9%
Dec/15
- CPB (Crown Property Bureau ) = Asset management arm of monarchy
Foreign 34%
Foreign Board25%
NVDR9%
Thai (Retail / Institution)
36%
Thai(CPB)30%
70% Free float
P. 57
Board of Directors
Management Committee
CFO & Investment
SCG Packaging
SCG Chemicals
President & CEO
Audit Committee
Internal Audit Office
Corporate Administration
SCG Investment
Governance and Nomination Committee
Remuneration Committee
SCG Cement - Building Materials
Organization chart
P. 58
Operational history
Crisisof
1997Organic growth
Takeover New industries
1913 - 1970’s 1970’s - 1980’s 1980’s - 1990’s
“Historic roots” “Opportunistic” “Partner of choice”
Cement Construction Materials Steel
Ceramics Paper & Packaging
Chemicals Automotive Electrical
1998 - 2003
Restructure
2004 - onwards
ASEAN&
HVA
Cement – Building Materials Chemicals Packaging Investment
Today…..
P. 59
ASEAN’s consumption per capita
Cement
Note: data as of 2014
PackagingChemicals(PE+PP)
P. 60
Cement – Building Materials: Prime Group: additional 15% stake Global House Int’l: 50% JV with Siam Global House towards regional construction-related retail Mortar: 2 MT capacity expansion (Lampang and Khon Kaen) - H1/16 start Woodchip Cement Board: 55% stake M&A in Panel World, with cap of 2.4 Mill sqm. Cement plants: 6.3 MT (Laos, Myanmar, Indo, Cambodia) - Q2/15 - Q2/17 starts. Ceramic (Italy): 33% JV, 5 Mill sqm. - started Q1/15 Precast concrete: two precast plants totaling 2.4 Mill sqm. - started Q1/15 MG Stone Slabs: 400,000 sqm. green-field - H2/15 start
Chemicals: Norner Group (Norwegian innovation and technology): 51% stake M&A Debottleneck of Chandra Asri (Indonesia): Ethylene capacity gained up 43% - end of 2015 start LDPE coating grade (HVA) of 60,000 tons, totaling 152,000 tons per year, by mid-2016 in Thailand
Packaging:Packaging chain: Packaging paper in Vietnam: 243,000 tons expansion.- Q2/17 start Flexible Packaging: BATICO in Vietnam, Prepack in Thailand, total capacity 520 Mill sqm. Box plants: Indoris in Indonesia, 90% stake M&A, 8,000 tonsFibrous chain: Glassine paper (HVA): Upgrade paper machine for 60,000 tons/yr - Q2/16 start Nippon paper’s 30% stake in SCG Paper’s Fibrous chain. Divestment of TBSP (transaction value of approximately 720 million Baht).
(2,190 MB)(200 MB)
(2,800 MB)(550 MB)
(39,000 MB - $1,300 M)(506 MB)
(2,500 MB)(1,500 MB)
(340MB)
(4,125 MB)(3,000 MB)
(290 MB)
(1,825 MB)
transaction is approximately 720 million Baht.
Recent Expansion Announcements:
P. 61
Cement – Building Materials: Regional construction-related retail – 50% JV with Siam Global House Sep/14 (200 MB) Mortar expansion of 2 MT in Lampang and Khon Kaen Sep/16 (2,800 MB) Panel World 55% stake M&A (2.4 Mill sqm. + 2.4 Mill sqm. in Q4/14) Jul/14 (550 MB) Florim Ceramiche (Italy) – 33% JV (5 mill sqm in Italy, starting in H1/15) (HVA) Apr/14 (506 MB) Precast concrete – 2 plants by mid-2015. Oct/13 (2,500 MB) Greenfield MG Stone Slabs (400,000 tons), start-up in 2015. (HVA) July/13 (1,500 MB) Purchase all shares of Monier Group. July/13 (650 MB) Purchase share of TOTO in sanitary ware (to 71.4% from 35.7%) and fitting assets (to 90.6% from 44.8%). May/13 (2,600 MB) Logistics (temp-controlled) JV with Nichirei Logistics Group. (HVA) Apr/13 (575MB) Construction retail trade - 30% stake M&A in “Siam Global House PLC.” Oct/12 (~10,000 MB) Mortar expansion of capacity by 50% to 3.1 million tons. July/12 (1,000 MB)
Packaging Flexible Packaging Business, with a 72% stake M&A in “Prepack” (HVA) Jan/15 (1,500 MB) Upgrade paper machine for 60,000 tons/yr Glassine paper (HVA), expected startup in early 2016 Apr/14 (1,825 MB) Nippon paper’s equity injection for a 30% stake in SCG Paper’s Fibrous chain Aug/13 M&A (75%) of two box plants (121,000 tons). May/13 (888 MB) Greenfield Packaging Paper (400,000 tons), start-up within 2014 Oct/12 (6,700 MB) Greenfield Machine Glazed Paper (43,000 tons), 45% JV with Nippon Paper Group. (HVA) Jun/12 (2,200 MB) Upgrade existing pulp facilities to produce Dissolving Grade Pulp. (HVA) July/12 (400 MB) M&A of box plant (Tawana - 61,000 tons). Mar/12 (410 MB)
Chemicals Increase stake in BST from 26% to 49%. Nov/13 (8,028 MB) LDPE coating grade of 60,000 tons, totaling 152,000 tons per year. Apr/13 (2,475 MB) Greenfield LLDPE cast sheet film (15,000 tons), 45% JV with Mitsui Chemicals Tohcello. (HVA) Mar/12 (1,400 MB) Increased stake in Thai Plastic and Chemicals to 91% (from 46%). Mar/12 (11,500 MB)
Recent Expansions: Thailand only
Note: as of Jun/15
P. 62
SCG’s capacity (2015)
Chemicals - Naphtha Cracker (consolidated) Chemicals - Associates (equity accounting) Ethylene 1,700,000 tons Dow Chemicals JV (50%) Propylene 1,200,000 tons - LLDPE 650,000 tonsChemicals - Downstream (consolidated) - Propylene Oxide 390,000 tons HDPE 920,000 tons - Specialty Elastomer 220,000 tons LDPE + LLDPE 220,000 tons - PS 140,000 tons PP 720,000 tons - SM 300,000 tons PVC (Thai, Indo, Viet) 886,000 tons - Synthetic Latex 18,000 tons
Mitsui Chemicals JV (20% - 50%)Cement - Building Materials (consolidated) - PTA (50%) 1,440,000 tons Grey Cement (TH, KH, ID) 27 million tons - PET (20%) 133,000 tons Ready-Mixed Concrete 550 batching plants - PP Compound (46%) 168,000 tons (Thai, Cam, Myan, Indo, Laos, Viet) - LLDPE Cast Film (45%) 15,000 tons White Cement (Thai, Viet) 0.4 million tons Mitsubishi Rayon JV (47%) Ceramic Tiles (Thai, Indo, Phil, Viet) 225 M sqm - MMA 175,000 tons Roofing Tiles (Thai, Cam, Phil, Viet) 89 M sqm - Cast Sheets 20,000 tons Ceiling & Wall Products 99 M sqm Chandra Asri JV(30%) Autoclaved Lightweight Concrete 27 M sqm - Ethylene 600,000 tons
- Propylene 320,000 tonsPackaging (consolidated) - HDPE / LLDPE 336,000 tons Packaging Paper (Thai, Phil, Viet) 2,306,000 tons - PP 480,000 tons Box (Thai, Malay, Sing, Viet, Indo) 1,013,000 tons - SM 340,000 tons Printing & Writing Paper 570,000 tons Bangkok Synthetic (49%) Short Fibre Pulp 470,000 tons - Butadiene 140,000 tons
- SBR 80,000 tons
P. 63
Incremental capacity
-2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Chemicals Upstream (Cracker) - ('000 tons) Packaging - ('000 tons) Ethylene (subsidary) 800 800 800 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 Printing & Writing Paper 365 570 570 570 570 570 570 570 570 570 570
Propylene (subsidary) 400 400 400 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 Packaging Paper 1,660 1,660 1,880 1,880 1,880 1,880 1,956 2,306 2,306 2,306 2,549Chandra Asri (30% stake) Box 550 637 692 741 795 855 1,013 1,013 1,013 1,013 1,013
Ethylene - - - - 600 600 600 600 600 860 860 - - - - - - - 43 43 43 43
Propylene - - - - 320 320 320 320 320 470 470
Flexible Packaging - - - - - - - 17 17 19 19
(Thai + Vietnam)
Chemicals Downstream - ('000 tons) Cement - (MT) HDPE (subsidiary) 520 520 520 920 920 920 920 920 920 920 920 Grey Cement (TH, KH, MM, ID, LA) 23 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 27 29 30 PP (subsidiary) 320 320 320 720 720 720 720 720 720 720 720 White Cement (TH, VN) 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
PVC (90% stake in TPC) 858 828 766 886 886 886 886 886 886 886 886 Mortar 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 3.2 4.1 6.6 6.6
Chemicals Downstream (JV) - ('000 tons) Building Products - (M sqm) LLDPE (Dow JV) 300 300 300 650 650 650 650 650 650 650 650 Ceramic Tiles 95 122 122 122 149 149 225 225 225 225 225
Specialty Elastomers (Dow JV) - - - - 220 220 220 220 220 220 220 Ceramic Italian JV - - - - - - - - 5 6 6
Propylene Oxide (Dow JV) - - - - 390 390 390 390 390 390 390 Ceiling & Wall product (TH) 37 43 54 58 60 68 86 99 99 100 100
SSBR (BST JV) - - - - - - 50 50 50 100 100 Lightweight concrete (TH, ID) 15 15 15 15 15 15 21 27 27 30 30
- - - - - - - 15 15 15 15 Modular Home (Sekisui Heim JV) - - - 200 200 200 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
MMA (Mitsubishi Rayon JV) 85 85 85 175 175 175 175 175 175 175 175
- - 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
HDPE / LLDPE (CAP JV) - - - - 336 336 336 336 336 336 336
PP (CAP JV) - - - - 480 480 480 480 480 480 480 SM (CAP JV) - - - - 340 340 340 340 340 340 340
Cast Sheets (Mitsubishi Rayon JV)
Machine Glazed Paper (Nippon Paper JV)
LLDPE cast sheet film (Mitsui Tohcello JV)
Total CapacityCapacity at year end
Total CapacityCapacity at year end
P. 64Note: EBITDA includes dividend received
EBITDA
Dividend from associated companies
EBITDA from OperationsMB
28,584 33,704
50,359 46,936 49,38043,246
34,20644,046 41,943 40,838 42,171
58,452 61,148
79,346
1,8343,484
4,267 6,5717,771
6,762
4,577
3,070 4,006 5,415 3,545
2,8135,345
3,344
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
30,41837,188
54,626 53,50757,151
50,008
38,78347,116 45,94946,253 45,716
61,26566,493
83,218
P. 65
Equity Income
Non-Chemicals
Chemicals
5,485
(606)
2,774 2,795
7,199
2,536
2,784
4,2143,123 1,880
2,263
1,706
1,966
2,049
1,289
2,167
3,772 3,313
3,094
-1,000
1,000
3,000
5,000
7,000
9,000
11,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
MB
5,677
6,747
9,808 9,9349,096
8,243
4,669
6,7747,200
8,390
1,561
6,546 6,108
3,1413,962
5,5946,811
7,2165,980
2,9635,234
6,341
10,293
P. 66
Profit for the period
EPS(Bt/share) 12.2 16.6 30.4 26.9 24.5 25.3 14.0 20.3 31.2 22.7 19.7 30.4 28.0 37.8
Divestment
Non-Chemicals
Chemicals
5,256 7,705
17,973 16,263 17,54513,767
5,86912,681 12,641 9,763
2,58510,788 12,461
28,488
5,886
10,101
15,83214,450 12,612
12,074
10,610
11,727 14,74615,535
20,399
23,360 21,123
15,100
3,462
2,148
2,6781,523
-706
4,511
292
-62
9,995
1,983596
2,37431
1,812
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
MB
14,604
19,954
36,48332,236 29,451 30,352
16,771
23,58024,346
37,382
27,281
36,52233,615
45,400
P. 67
Financials: SCG Cement-Building Materials
Revenue from Sales
69% 65% 67% 64% 65% 63% 65% 62%
31% 35% 33% 36% 35% 37% 35% 38%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15
InternationalDomestic
MB
47,512 46,378 46,382 45,151 47,081 45,663 43,570 42,674 66% 64%
34%36%
2014 2015
185,423178,988
FY2015 Sales-3% y-o-y
P. 68
Financials: SCG Cement-Building Materials
* EBITDA margin = EBITDA from Operations / Consolidated Sales
EBITDA Margin *Total 16% 15% 14% 13% 15% 14% 13% 12% 14% 14%
International 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 11% 10% 8% 10% 10%Domestic 18% 16% 16% 15% 18% 16% 14% 15% 17% 16%Domestic Structural Pro 28% 26% 25% 21% 27% 24% 22% 21% 25% 23%
EBITDA PortionInternational 19% 25% 23% 28% 24% 29% 28% 24% 24% 26%
7,605 6,747 6,388
5,943
7,170 6,435
5,590 5,200
4,114 3,445 3,072
2,549 3,558
2,896 2,073 1,723
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15
MB
EBITDA
Profit for the period
2014 2015
2014 2015
EBITDA (MB)-9% y-o-y
Profit (MB)-22% y-o-y
26,683 24,395
13,18010,250
P. 69
Note: Domestic business: domestic sales from Thai operations Structural Products: Grey cement, RMC, Others (mortar, white cement, and lightweight concrete blocks).Housing Products: Roofing products, Board & Wood sub, and Home improvement.Ceramics: includes Sanitary ware and Fittings.
Financials: SCG Cement-Building Materials
Domestic Sales Segments
23% 23% 20% 21% 22% 21% 20% 21%
22%22% 23% 24% 22% 22% 25% 25%
5%5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
16%16% 15%
14%17%
17% 16% 15%
14%14% 15%
13%14%
14% 14%14%
20%
20% 22%23%
20%21% 20%
20%
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15
Structural Products
MB
32,91929,959 31,066
28,79630,530
28,840 28,18326,425
Grey Cement,
21%
RMC 24%
Others, 5%
Housing Products,
16%
Ceramics14%
Logistic and
Others, 20%
113,978 MB(-7% y-o-y)
FY2015 Domestic Sales
P. 70Note: International business = ASEAN Operations, exports from Thailand, and Trading business
Housing - Roofing products, Board & Wood sub, and Home improvement.Ceramics - includes Sanitary ware and Fittings.Trading - are mainly trading of non-SCG products
Financials: SCG Cement-Building Materials
International Sales Segments
39% 39% 40% 43% 38% 39% 44% 47%
28% 27% 24% 22% 31% 30% 26% 25%
33%34%
35% 35% 31% 31%30% 28%
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
18,000
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15
Trading
Exports
ASEANOperations
MB
14,59316,419 15,316 16,355 16,551 16,823
15,387 16,249
Myanmar39%
Cambodia14%
Laos11%
Others ASEAN
5%
North Asia5%
South Asia5%
Others21%
FY2015 Exports
FY2015 ASEAN Operations (Products)
Ceramic46%
RMC & Precast
27%
Grey Cement
14%
Building Product
9%
Others4%
FY2015 ASEAN Operations (Country)
Indonesia39%
Vietnam34%
Cambodia16%
Philippines8%
Myanmar3%
P. 71Note: EBITDA = EBITDA from operations + dividend from associated companies
Financials: SCG Chemicals’ EBITDA
4,834 4,671 5,745 6,151 6,600
13,16910,861 9,921153 970
1,863 1,755 111
1,452
42 744
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15
DividendEBITDA from Operations
FY14 FY15
21,401
EBITDA 8% 7% 9% 11% 14% 25% 21% 21% 9% 20% Margin
5,6414,987
42,900
7,608 7,906 6,711
MB
14,621
10,903
4,74140,551
2,349
26,142
10,665
P. 72
Financials: SCG Chemicals’ profitability
* Sub/Asso : 65%/35% **Note: SCG Chemicals (Sub + Asso)
FY14 FY15
678 4451,107 565
1,495
2,9001,456
1,348
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
12,500
15,000
17,500
20,000
22,500
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15
Equity Income
Subsidiaries
NCI (330) (240) (650) (740) (680) (3,600) (1,540) (1,140) (1,960) (6,960) (Non controlling interest)
Inventory 180 (80) (130) (2,960) (930) 970 (2,160) 330* (2,990) (1,790) Gain (Loss)**
2,480 2,2594,188
7,199
3,534
2,795
MB
4,938
9,182 12,461
28,488
6,838 7,530
P. 73
Financials: SCG Packaging
2,7892,569
2,1522,208
2,6932,512 2,580
3,046*
1,255
887715 591
878764
645
1,176*
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15
+99% y-o-y
+82% q-o-q
3,448 3,463
FY2014 FY2015
MB
15% 15%*15% 15%*EBITDA Margin
EBITDAEBITDA
Profit for the period (MB)
9,718
10,831
FY2014 FY2015
EBITDA (MB)+38% y-o-y
+18% q-o-q
Profit for the periodProfit for the period
Packaging 19% 18% 15% 15% 17% 16% 15% 15%Fibrous 15% 12% 12% 9% 13% 11% 12% 12%
EBITDA Margin
Total 17% 16% 13% 13% 16% 15% 14% 17%*
Gain from sale of TBSP shares
Flat
P. 74
Financials segmented
Sales & Assets (MB):
Sales (MB) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Consolidated 120,353 128,201 148,865 192,395 218,265 258,175 267,737 293,230 238,664 301,323 368,579 407,601 434,251 487,545 439,614Cement 24,183 27,269 30,552 36,658 41,630 44,123 44,087 49,999 46,661 48,954 54,249 67,558
Building Materials 13,046 16,129 18,147 20,542 22,227 22,745 21,281 23,351 26,873 30,719 34,171 41,340 174,642 185,423 178,988
Distribution 53,326 52,191 56,551 68,558 76,070 81,519 86,440 102,672 86,641 96,898 111,920 126,690
Chemicals 38,152 42,394 50,767 75,185 86,084 122,645 130,223 136,527 101,115 144,317 192,929 203,539 209,997 248,118 200,433
Packaging 26,995 29,305 33,564 38,265 40,306 42,645 43,890 47,110 42,729 51,714 54,839 57,430 59,135 64,614 70,907
Assets (MB) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Consolidated 174,804 167,388 176,566 191,081 199,370 226,264 248,256 285,776 315,992 359,219 373,789 395,573 440,633 465,823 509,981
Cement 59,618 60,624 56,315 54,801 55,953 57,791 60,132 60,770 60,681 61,018 60,115 66,808
Building Materials 16,023 15,338 15,771 18,068 20,259 20,595 19,863 22,654 22,991 24,796 35,845 43,512 155,458 168,662 187,976
Distribution 7,813 6,864 6,631 7,765 8,560 10,610 11,143 10,903 10,110 12,177 16,234 24,463
Chemicals 54,284 57,762 67,254 75,186 78,656 109,391 123,205 138,504 165,964 165,087 176,036 176,837 192,063 183,884 185,583
Packaging 25,844 28,720 32,813 39,128 38,575 40,734 46,454 51,089 47,942 50,127 52,463 58,439 65,169 73,987 83,218
P. 75
EBITDA & Profit for the Period (MB):
Financials segmented: continued
EBITDA (MB) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Consolidated 28,884 30,418 37,188 54,626 53,507 57,151 50,008 38,783 47,116 45,949 46,253 45,716 61,265 66,493 82,690
Cement 7,615 7,917 11,581 13,175 13,235 12,200 10,198 11,272 11,616 10,810 12,781 14,824
Building Materials 3,140 3,605 4,382 5,307 5,387 4,856 3,928 4,085 4,907 5,489 5,060 6,661 26,274 26,683 24,395
Distribution 1,268 1,214 602 1,541 1,546 1,498 1,576 1,739 1,581 1,440 1,532 1,564
Chemicals 6,443 6,452 9,851 23,642 19,653 26,199 22,611 12,598 19,482 16,024 14,394 8,628 20,342 26,142 42,900
Packaging 8,205 9,536 9,819 9,840 9,496 9,634 7,943 6,660 7,901 9,129 8,811 8,844 9,473 9,718 10,831
Profit for the Period (MB) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Consolidated 7,634 14,604 19,954 36,483 32,236 29,451 30,352 16,771 24,346 37,382 27,281 23,580 36,522 33,615 45,400
Cement 859 2,006 5,313 6,582 7,916 6,652 5,463 6,006 6,214 6,014 7,288 9,163
Building Materials 410 1,521 2,253 2,700 3,071 1,939 950 778 1,617 1,872 1,476 2,949 16,092 13,180 10,250
Distribution 680 586 251 968 1,079 1,021 939 1,211 1,077 1,061 1,075 1,035
Chemicals 2,611 5,285 7,777 20,523 16,656 17,574 16,982 6,136 12,556 22,609 11,190 2,690 11,292 12,461 28,488
Packaging 3,272 4,079 4,424 4,122 3,689 3,574 2,353 1,658 2,286 3,490 3,331 3,560 3,587 3,448 3,463