v.camp‘: business model development & innovation
TRANSCRIPT
‘v.camp‘: Business Model Development & Innovation
(P)Re-Think Your Business Model Exercises
Exercises
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 3
Exercises Baseline and 4 Iterations
2: Analyze &
Improve
5: Evaluate &
Decide
3: Challenge &
Change
4: Test &
Verify
1: Describe
Baseline
My Company My Customers My Partners My Competition
Describe Baseline
process team
mindset
Business Model
Development & Innovation
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 5
Describe how the company is embedded into its
business network
Focus on important actors
Distinguish customers, partners and competitors,
one entity can have more than one role!
What you call a partner, might be a customer, so
ask yourself:
Do I need a value proposition? Is my
business model obsolete, if this entity can
not be convinced?
Or: Is this entity just enhancing my
capabilities / resources? Could it be
substituted?
Describe all relations in detail. If helpful,
categorize relations, e.g. goods & services,
money, contracts, data, rights, experience, market
access, joint activities etc.
Exercise 1: Describe Business Model (Baseline) Step 1 (Network View)
My Company My Customers My Partners My Competition
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Exercise 1: Describe Business Model (Baseline) Step 2 (Enterprise View)
Transfer customers and partners
Start with the value proposition(s). Each customer
deserves an individual value proposition! Key
question: How do we reflect the needs of our
customers in the value proposition? Add
information about the channel and the customer
relation.
Think about key activities & resources next. Key
questions: what do we have to do to deliver the
required value for our customers? What are our
unique capabilities that we leverage to create
value for our customers?
Finally think about financials. Key question: how
do we capture the value?
What is the (quantifiable) value for the
customers? With which mechanism do we
get our share?
What are the major cost factors? What is the
role of the partners (make or buy)?
My Company My Customers My Partners My Competition
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 7
Key Activities
Key
Resources
Customer
Relationship
Channels
Value
Proposition
Cost
Structure
Revenue
Streams
Exercise 1: Describe Business Model (Baseline) How to Get Started
Exercise:
Step 1: Network view
Step 2: Enterprise view
My Company My Customers My Partners My Competition
? ?
? ?
?
Analyze & Improve
process team
mindset
Business Model
Development & Innovation
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Define & Prioritize Analysis Needs
Use the Business Model Baseline
to Check all aspects. Typical
Outcomes:
(Re-)segment Target Customers
Understand Customer Needs
Analyze Market & Environment
Partnering Options
Investigate Competitive Business
Models
(Re-)consider Channels
Analyze Monetization Options
…..
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 10
Exercise 2: Analyze & Improve Business Model Customer Needs: What is the ‘Job To Be Done’?
Definition:
A ‘job to be done’ is a fundamental task (or problem) the customer is trying to get done
(or solve) in a particular circumstance
Examples:
Hilti: People don’t want to buy a drill … they don’t want holes in the wall … they want to
hang up a picture or assemble / repair something
Tata Motors: People don’t need a car … they want to get safely from A to B
Sources: www.innosight.com (M. Johnson)
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To figure out a solution, you might ask: what?
To figure out the job to be done, you have to
ask: why?
Customer: I need a bridge over the river.
You: Why?
Customer: I need to get to the other side.
You: Why?
Customer: I need to deliver someone a message…
You: Why?
…
Find out the ultimate goal of your customers
and help them get their job done.
Exercise 2: Analyze & Improve Business Model Customer Needs: How to Identify the ‘Job To Be Done’?
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Gain Creators
Pain Relievers Pains
Gains
Customer
Job(s)
: ) : (
Value
Proposition
Exercise 2: Analyze & Improve Business Model Value Proposition Canvas
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Exercise 2: Analyze & Improve Business Model Exercise: Improve Business Model By Analyzing Customers Needs
Exercise:
Step 1: Focus on one customer group. List their ‘Job to be done’ and derive the 2 most important jobs and
mark them on the value proposition canvas.
Step 2: Identify their gains (and pains) while doing the 2 most important jobs to get a better understanding
for a winning value proposition.
Step 3: Improve the value proposition (and, if required, additional elements of the business model) and add
them to the business model (marked with ‘1’ for 1st iteration).
1
3 2
3
Challenge & Change
process team
mindset
Business Model
Development & Innovation
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 15
Exercise 3: Challenge & Change Business Model Analyze Triggers for Change
e.g. under-utilized resources, unique skills,
under-utilized market access
e.g. inappropriate competencies, excessive
costs
e.g. new technologies, new customer
segments, new demands
e.g. price erosion, new competitors,
competitors tackling new markets
Internal Opportunity
Internal Threat External Threat
External Opportunity
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Exercise 3: Challenge & Change Business Model Part 1: Derive Your ‘Business Model Challenge’
Exercise:
Step 1: Figure out why you need or might want to look for a modified or extended business model.
Step 2: Pick one or two triggers for your (!) ‘Business Model Design Challenge’ and write it down.
Ext. Opportunity
Ext. Threat
Int. Opportunity
Int. Threat
Trigger Analysis (Reason for Change)
BM Design Challenge: How might we ... ?
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Exercise 3: Challenge & Change Business Model Ideation Methodology
Company Perspective Global perspective
Ima
gin
ati
ve
S
ys
tem
ati
c
Morphological
Analysis
Blue
Ocean
Logo
Battle
Lead
Industries
Dis
rup
tive
In
cre
me
nta
l
Learn &
Adapt
Kill The
Company
Learn from Others Challenge Yourself
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 18
Reconsider 2 elements of the «aytm.com»
business model separately, e.g.
• Customer groups
• Value propositions
• Channels
• Revenue models
and try to alter their attributes systematically
in order to find new value generating
modifications.
Decide in the team first, which elements to
pick depending on your design challenge.
Then, let each team member develop a few
ideas before presenting and clustering the
ideas in the team.
Exercise 3: Challenge & Change Business Model Morphological Analysis
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The Logo Battle method uses innovative, well-known company
examples to trigger associations with a certain business model
and hence, inspire new ideas. Display the logos and use them to
come up with innovative ideas. Ask yourself: How would
McDonalds / Aldi / IKEA etc. run your business?
Finance
Aerospace
Services
Electronics Ecommerce
Food
Consumer
Goods
Exercise 3: Challenge & Change Business Model Logo Battle: How would McDonalds / Aldi / IKEA etc. run your business?
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 20
Exercise 3: Challenge & Change Business Model Part 2: Ideation, Clustering, Prioritization and Extended Business Model
Exercise:
Step 1: At the beginning recall your ‘Business model Design Challenge’ to ensure a targeted ideation. Use
2 methods (‘e.g. Morphological Analysis’ & Logo Battle). Cluster your ideas as you go.
Step2: Prioritize the 2-3 best ideas for an extended business model (e.g. 2 votes per team member).
Step 3: Use your favorite ideas to create an extended business model (network and enterprise view)
around it. Add them to the business model (marked with ‘2’ for 2nd iteration).
Cluster 1
Cluster 2
Cluster n
Cluster 3
Test & Verify
process team
mindset
Business Model
Development & Innovation
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 22
Exercise 4: Test & Verify Business Model Build – Measure – Learn Cycle
To test hypotheses, you build an artifact that works as
the foundation, you define what you want to measure
and what the consequences for different results would
be, you test (mostly with potential customers) and you
learn by analyzing the results and gaining insights.
The artifact that you use for the test is called ‘Minimal
Viable Product’ (MVP).
The basis for the measurement are ‘Actionable Metrics’.
Hypothesis to be
tested
Build
Measure
Learn MVP
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Exercise 4: Test & Verify Business Model Minimal Viable Product (MVP)
The Minimal Viable Product (MVP) is a product (or just an artifact) with the fewest number
of features needed to achieve a specific objective, and users are willing to ‘pay’ in some
form of a scarce resource (e.g. time, awareness or money).
In the beginning the MVP is mostly not a minimized version of the final product (or
service). It is rather the smallest thing possible to measure and learn. You want to
minimize the effort and time needed since there might be a lot of iterations needed.
Examples for suitable ‘early’ MVPs are: Videos, story-boards, blogs & simple websites
with ‚more info‘, ‚forward to a friend‘ or even ‚buy‘ buttons, Google Adwords campaigns or
even just interviews.
Towards the end of the testing, the MVP becomes more and more the real product, but
with limited features to control the effort.
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Exercise 4: Test & Verify Business Model Actionable Metrics
For each test you should define ‘actionable metrics’. These are some key metrics that
allow you to test the respective hypothesis and to take action based on the results.
What you should avoid are ‘vanity metrics’, that make you feel good, however, provide no
insight for an educated decision afterwards.
Example for actionable metrics: you set up a simple websites with ‚more info‘ and ‚forward
to a friend‘ buttons. You monitor the number of people using these buttons to figure out, if
the problem you want to address is relevant to a sufficient number of potential customers.
Example for vanity metrics: you talk to a few potential customers that you already know
very well, you explain the product idea and they tell you that this is interesting. You might
like these comments, but what do you do with them?
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Exercise 4: Test & Verify Business Model Test One Hypothesis
Exercise:
Step1: Derive a few important assumptions (= hypotheses) the
extended business model is build upon. Select one that
implies a significant risk.
Step 2:Describe one test that could be used to test this
hypotheses. What could you learn and which risk could you
mitigate with this test?
Step 3: Describe the Minimal Viable Product (MVP) that could
be used for this test.
Step 4: Define actionable metrics for the test . Describe what
you expect to confirm your hypothesis and what you would do
if the hypothesis is not confirmed.
Hypothesis to be
tested
Build
Measure
Learn MVP
Actionable
Metrics
Evaluate & Decide
process team
mindset
Business Model
Development & Innovation
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 27
Exercise 5: Evaluate & Decide About Business Model Develop Evaluation Framework
Evaluation
Dimensions
Impact
Revenue potential
Ease of
Implementation
Customer acceptance
…
….
…
Costs
Privacy
Risks
Social
Economic
Political
Technological
….
Two dimensions are key: impact and
ease of implementation
Approach allows to combine all criteria
in one framework
Develop criteria using a PEST
approach
Define project specific criteria incl.
financial aspects and risks
Assign weights according to importance
Adjust in an iterative manner based on
experts feedback
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 28
Exercise 5: Evaluate & Decide About Business Model Bottom Up Approach Based on Business Model: Revenues
The business model defines the business logic, that is the
foundation for the business case. However, in addition
you need quantities to calculate.
To calculate the revenues, analyze the situation for each
customer group separately. First of all, estimate how
many customers will buy per year within the next X years.
Next, estimate the average deal size: the revenue models
(e.g. upfront license or subscription), provide the strategy.
In addition, you need the price points. Prices are tactics.
To get a first estimation, investigate prices for alternatives
of your solution in the market.
Finally, multiply the number of customers (per year, for
the next X years) with the average deal size (per
customer group).
Differentiate between one-time and recurring revenues.
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 29
Exercise 5: Evaluate & Decide About Business Model Bottom Up Approach Based on Business Model: Costs
To calculate the costs, you have to take everything that
you need to create and distribute the solution into
account.
Start with the solution itself: what are the fixed (e.g.
development costs) and variable costs (e.g. sales) to
create and deliver it (within the next X years)?
In addition, consider the ramp-up or go-to-market costs.
What about the customer acquisition costs? Are there
costs to bring partners on board or do they reduce the
costs by taking over parts of the solution creation and
delivery?
Differentiate between fixed / one-time, fixed / recurring
(e.g. per year) and variable (per unit) costs. Use the
number of solutions sold or number of customers to
calculate all costs per year for the next X years.
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 30
Exercise 5: Evaluate & Decide About Business Model Bottom Up Approach Based on Business Model: Profit & Loss
For a simplified business case, it is sufficient to compare revenues and costs for the
next X years. X needs to be defined according to the type of solution and market.
This is not a cash flow calculation! For example, the solutions sold might be paid a year
later. However, it is usually sufficient because the main purpose of the business case at
this stage is to compare different business model options.
Year 1 2 3
Variable Costs 50000 100000 120000
Fixed Costs 200000 100000 80000
Total Costs 250000 200000 200000
Average deal size 200 200 200
Number of deals 800 1500 3000
Revenue 160000 300000 600000
Profit -90000 100000 400000
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Exercise 5: Evaluate & Decide About Business Model Assumptions and Scenarios
Summarize your assumptions and consider alternative outcomes caused by variations
of the assumptions in the future. For a simple risk assessment compare three
scenarios: Best case scenario, realistic case scenario, worst case scenario.
Regard the business case you have created in the first place as a ‘realistic case‘
scenario and add the other scenarios by modifying your assumptions, e.g. regarding
price points, number of customers, important cost blocks etc. Look at the differences in
regards to profit and loss between the three scenarios and their impact on the level of
the financial risk of your business model.
© 2013 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 32
Exercise 5: Evaluate & Decide Business Model Business Case
Exercise:
Step 1: Develop a basic business case for your extended business model. Calculate the revenue, costs
and profit for the next 3 years (for the extensions only!) via a bottom-up approach. Therefore, define
justifiable price-points according to the revenue models you have defined in the business model and
estimate the number of customers (per customer group) you can acquire for each year. Estimate your
costs per year according to the cost blocks you have derived in the business model (both one-time and
recurring costs). Calculate the profit (or loss) per year.
Optional Step 2: Regard the business case you have created as a ‘realistic case‘ scenario and add a
‚worst case‘ and ‚best case‘ scenario by modifying your assumptions regarding price points, number of
customers, costs etc. Look at the differences in regards to profit and loss between the 3 scenarios and
discuss the level of the financial risk of your business model.
Revenues
- Costs
Y1 Y2 Y3
= Profit
Price 1 (Model A)
# customers A
Recurring Cost X
Price 2 (Model B)
# customers B
Recurring Cost Y
One Time Costs
Thank You!
Contact information:
process team
mindset
Business Model
Development & Innovation