valve selection & risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · pdf fileapi 580 - risk is the...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY INTERNAL 1
Valve Selection & Risk An End-user’s Perspective
Stephen R. TreichlerMechanical Services Manager – BASFFreeport, Texas
![Page 2: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Introduction – Confessions, Caveats, and Codicils – User vs Owner
2
Valve Selection & Risk An End-user’s Perspective
![Page 3: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Introduction – Confessions, Caveats, and Codicils
Risk – Pre-FEED:
Philosophies of valve selection / hazard analysis practices
Human Factors and Design – ergonomics to confusing configurations
Risk – After the thrill of the EPC is gone
Other risks:
Manufacturing quality
Entropy – external effects (CUI and other gorillas in our midst…)
Future Risks: Keeping up with the Joneses
The Probability and Consequences of Competition and Consolidation
The Probability and Consequences of Regulatory “Support”
PATH FORWARD
3
Valve Selection & Risk An End-user’s Perspective
![Page 4: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 4
A Personal Sidebar…
![Page 5: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 5
A Personal Sidebar…
![Page 6: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 6
A Personal Sidebar…
![Page 7: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 7
A Personal Sidebar… “RISK”
![Page 8: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
API 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event
occurring during a time period of interest and the consequences,
(generally negative) associated with the event.
In mathematical terms, risk can be calculated by the equation:
Risk = Probability × Consequence
8
Risk – a la API 580
![Page 9: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
9
Risk Matrix
![Page 10: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Risk – Pre-FEED:
Process Safety / Hazard Analysis Practices
Philosophies of Valve Selection (Commodity vs Specialty)
Design with Humans in Mind – ergonomics to confusing configuration
10
Valve Selection & Risk
![Page 11: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Process Safety / Hazard Analysis Practices
HAZOPS Valve Selection, SIF Determinations, etc.
DD.MM.YYYY 11
![Page 12: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Process Safety / Hazard Analysis Practices
12
BP, Texas City, Texas, 2005
Phillips, Pasadena, Texas 1989
BP, Gulf of Mexico, 2010
![Page 13: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Accessibility
DD.MM.YYYY 13
![Page 14: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Actuation in lieu of Accessibility
DD.MM.YYYY 14
![Page 15: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 15
Ergonomics
in Design…
![Page 16: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Risk – After the thrill of the EPC is gone…
FIRST: Were the right decisions made?
Entropy
Manufacturing QC
16
Valve Selection & Risk
![Page 17: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Installation Error: CS vs 316SS
DD.MM.YYYY 17
![Page 18: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 18
Installation Error - 4” SS Ball Valves
50X magnification of the PTFE seats
![Page 19: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 19
Trouble-shooting
and After-the-fact
Material Selection
![Page 20: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Broken Valve Stem – RC: Fatigue
DD.MM.YYYY 20
![Page 21: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 21
CUI: You can run …
![Page 22: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 22
CUI: You can run but you cannot hide….
![Page 23: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 23
CUI: You can run but you cannot hide….
![Page 24: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
OEM QC Issues
DD.MM.YYYY 24
![Page 25: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 25
OEM QC Issues
![Page 26: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 26
OEM QC Issues
![Page 27: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 27
OEM QC Issues
![Page 28: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 28
OEM QC Issues
![Page 29: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 29
OEM QC Issues
![Page 30: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY INTERNAL 30
A Little Thing…
![Page 31: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY 31
Broken Valve Follower
![Page 32: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY INTERNAL 32
Broken Valve Follower Synopsis
• Manual block valve in bypass line around FV- XXX
• 12/01/2014 (9:38A.M.)
• While attempting a repair, the follower failed on a process service @ 465 psig / -150°F.
• The failure potential of failing without any interaction was highly possible due to the broken
follower.
![Page 33: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
DD.MM.YYYY INTERNAL 33
Broken Valve Follower Contributing Cause
Manufacturing defect - metallurgy was outside of required specification (correct
spec stamped on follower). Carbon and Manganese content too high.
Manufacturing defect unknown previously. Could only have been found with
destructive testing.
![Page 34: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Future Risks: Keeping up with the Joneses
Retrofits of old process technologies to meet needs
DD.MM.YYYY 34
![Page 35: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Future Risks: Keeping up with the Joneses
The Probability and Consequences of Competition and Consolidation
DD.MM.YYYY 35
![Page 36: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Future Risks: Keeping up with the Joneses
DD.MM.YYYY 36xx
![Page 37: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Future Risks: Keeping up with the …?
DD.MM.YYYY 37xx
![Page 38: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
SMEs?
DD.MM.YYYY 38
![Page 39: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Future Risks: Keeping up with the Joneses
The Probability and Consequences of Regulatory “Support”
DD.MM.YYYY 39
![Page 40: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
The Probability and Consequences of Regulatory “Support”
Shall we start with
OSHA 1910: “PSM”
and Mechanical
Integrity…?
Future Risks: Keeping up with the Joneses
DD.MM.YYYY 40
![Page 41: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
Keeping up with the Joneses –
But - Ever increasing regulatory expectations are a fact of life.
Is the valve industry in the loop as to what the Federal Government and
the States are expecting (EPA Consent decrees, NSF 61, etc.)?
DD.MM.YYYY 41
![Page 42: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
Keeping up with the Joneses –
Ever increasing regulatory expectations are a fact of life.
Is the valve industry in the loop as to what the Federal Government and
the States are expecting (EPA Consent decrees, NSF 61, etc.)?
I am not sure your customers are….
DD.MM.YYYY 42
![Page 43: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
PATH FORWARD -
DD.MM.YYYY 43
![Page 44: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
PATH FORWARD -
The Owner community’s expectations:
Safety
Sustainability
The USER community’s expectations:
Safety
Reliable and Sustained Operation
DD.MM.YYYY 44
![Page 45: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Path Forward: How do we keep this…
DD.MM.YYYY 45
![Page 46: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
…from becoming this…
DD.MM.YYYY 46
![Page 47: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
…or, worse, this?
DD.MM.YYYY 47
![Page 48: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
Thank you…
DD.MM.YYYY 48
![Page 49: Valve Selection & Risk - c.ymcdn.comc.ymcdn.com/sites/ · PDF fileAPI 580 - Risk is the combination of the probability of some event occurring during a time period of interest and](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022052709/5a7a08747f8b9ab83f8da681/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
Backup slides…
49