value of the network - hsbc€¦ · 1 reduce group rwas by c. $290bn and re -deploy towards higher...
TRANSCRIPT
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Reduce Group RWAs by c. $290bn and re-deploy towards higher performing businesses; return GB&M to Group target profitability
Optimise global network
Rebuild NAFTA profitability
Set up UK Ring-Fenced Bank
Realise $4.5-5.0bn cost savings, deliver an exit rate in 2017 equal to 2014 operating expenses
Revenue growth above GDP from our international network
Capture growth opportunities in Asia: Pearl River Delta, ASEAN, Asset Management, Insurance
Extend leadership in RMB internationalisation
Complete Global Standards implementation
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Presentation to Investors and Analysts HSBC Holdings plc 1Q 2016 Results
Value of the network Connecting customers to opportunities
2
Our highlights
1st Quarter 2016
Reported PBT (1Q15: $7.1bn)
$6.1bn
1Q16 Financial Performance (vs. 1Q15)
Capital and liquidity
Strategy execution
‒ Reported PBT of $6.1bn; a resilient performance despite challenging market conditions
‒ Adjusted PBT down 18%:
‒ Lower revenue of $0.5bn (4%): Client-facing GB&M and BSM down 10% and Principal RBWM down 5% in challenging market conditions
‒ Continued momentum in CMB with revenue up 2%
‒ Higher LICs, up $0.7bn from higher specific charges across a number of countries, but significantly lower (by $0.5bn) than 4Q15
‒ Costs broadly unchanged reflecting tight cost control and continued effect of cost saving plans
Adjusted PBT (1Q15: $6.6bn)
$5.4bn
Reported RoE1 (1Q15: 11.5%)
9.0%
Adjusted Jaws
(2.8)%
‒ Strong capital position with a common equity tier one ratio2 of 11.9% and a strong leverage ratio of 5.0%
‒ Issued TLAC securities of $10.5bn – largest fund-raising by a bank since 2008
‒ Clearly defined actions to capture value from our network and connecting our customers to opportunities
‒ Remain on track to deliver our Group RWA reduction target with 50% of our target achieved
‒ Disposal of Brazil3 on track: Technical body of the Brazilian Competition Agency has recommended to its Board that the sale be approved
‒ Development of Asia business gathering momentum despite a challenging environment with key increases in market share in debt capital markets, China M&A and syndicated lending
CET1 ratio2 (2015: 11.9%)
11.9%
3
1Q16 Key metrics
2015 Full Year
Return on average ordinary shareholders’ equity1
Return on average tangible equity1
Jaws (adjusted)
Dividends per ordinary share in respect of the period
Key financial metrics
11.5% (3.4)% 9.0% >10%
13.1% (4.0)% 10.3% n/a
- - (2.8)% Positive
$0.10 $0.21 $0.10 Progressive
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16 Target
Advances to deposits ratio
Net asset value per ordinary share (NAV)
Tangible net asset value per ordinary share (TNAV)
72.5% 71.7% 70.0% n/a
$8.95 $8.73 $8.86 n/a
$7.67 $7.48 $7.59 n/a
Adjusted Income Statement, $m
Revenue 15,892 11,772 14,976 (916) 3,204
LICs (570) (1,644) (1,161) (591) 483
Costs (8,845) (11,542) (8,264) 581 3,278
Associates 582 556 555 (27) (1)
PBT 7,059 (858) 6,106 (953) 6,964
Reported Income Statement, $m
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16 vs. 1Q15 vs. 4Q15
Earnings per share
Common equity tier 1 ratio2
Leverage ratio
$0.26 $(0.07) $0.20 n/a
11.2% 11.9% 11.9% n/a
4.9% 5.0% 5.0% n/a
Revenue 14,457 12,603 13,914 (543) 1,311
LICs (469) (1,611) (1,161) (692) 450
Costs (7,950) (9,681) (7,874) 76 1,807
Associates 558 546 555 (3) 9
PBT 6,596 1,857 5,434 (1,162) 3,577
1Q15 4Q15 1Q16 vs. 1Q15 vs. 4Q15
Discrete quarter
4
Financial overview Reconciliation of Reported to Adjusted PBT
2015 Full Year
Reported profit before tax 7,059 (858) 6,106 (953) 6,964
Includes
Currency translation 296 47 - (296) (47)
Significant items:
Fair value gains / (losses) on own debt (credit spreads only) 298 (773) 1,151 853 1,924
Gain on the partial sale of shareholding in Industrial Bank 363 - - (363) -
Loss on sale of several tranches of real estate secured accounts in the US - (214) - - 214
Other revenue-related significant items4 (175) (190) (89) 86 101
Revenue-related significant items 486 (1,177) 1,062 576 2,239
Settlements and provisions in connection with legal matters - (370) - - 370
UK customer redress programmes (137) (337) - 137 337
Costs-to-achieve - (743) (341) (341) 402
Other operating expenses-related significant items4 (182) (135) (49) 133 86
Operating expenses-related significant items (319) (1,585) (390) (71) 1,195
Adjusted profit before tax 6,596 1,857 5,434 (1,162) 3,577
$m 1Q15 4Q15 1Q16 vs. 1Q15 vs. 4Q15
Discrete quarter
The remainder of the presentation, unless otherwise stated, is presented on an adjusted basis
5
1Q16 vs. 4Q15 performance Significantly lower LICs and a decrease in costs excluding the bank levy
1Q16 vs. 4Q15 adjusted PBT analysis, $m
Revenue 12,603 13,914 1,311
LICs (1,611) (1,161) 450
Costs (9,681) (7,874) 1,807
Bank levy5 (1,465) 106 1,571
Costs excl. bank levy (8,216) (7,980) 236
Associates 546 555 9
PBT 1,857 5,434 3,577
4Q15 1Q16 vs. 4Q15
5,434
1,857
>100%
1Q16 4Q15
Revenue
LICs
Operating expenses (excl. bank levy) improvement
(20)(29)Personal
293
150
Wholesale
56
Collective Specific Collective Specific
Other
adverse
favourable
1Q16 5,071 238 3,623 4,316 487 179 13,914
4Q15 5,325 297 3,547 3,559 477 (602) 12,603
Principal RBWM
RBWM run-off
portfolio CMB GB&M GPB Other6 Group
vs. 4Q15 (254) (59) 76 757 10 781 1,311
1Q16 3,454 1,498 2,249 377 402 7,980
4Q15 3,671 1,561 2,321 368 295 8,216
RBWM CMB GB&M GPB Other6 Group
vs. 4Q15 217 63 72 (9) (107) 236
$49m higher charges $443m lower charges
6
1Q16 vs. 1Q15 profit before tax performance $5.4bn of adjusted profit generated in the period
1Q16 vs. 1Q15 adjusted PBT analysis, $m
Europe 1,690 1,033 (657)
Asia 3,838 3,464 (374)
Middle East and North Africa 450 513 63
North America 454 361 (93)
Latin America 164 63 (101)
- Latin America ex Brazil 96 152 56
Adjusted PBT by geography, $m 1Q15 1Q16 vs. 1Q15
RBWM 1,844 1,359 (485)
CMB 2,232 2,076 (156)
GB&M 2,787 2,000 (787)
GPB 181 112 (69)
Other (448) (113) 335
Group 6,596 5,434 (1,162)
Adjusted PBT by global business, $m 1Q15 1Q16 vs. 1Q15
Group Brazil Group excl. Brazil
Group Brazil Group excl. Brazil
Group Group excl. Brazil
1Q15 1Q16
Revenue 14,457 753 13,704 13,914 736 13,178 (543) (526)
LICs (469) (176) (293) (1,161) (335) (826) (692) (533)
Operating expenses (7,950) (508) (7,442) (7,874) (489) (7,385) 76 57
Income from associates 558 (1) 559 555 (1) 556 (3) (3)
Adjusted PBT 6,596 68 6,528 5,434 (89) 5,523 (1,162) (1,005)
vs. 1Q15
7
1Q16 vs. 1Q15 revenue performance Lower revenue, notably from Wealth Management and Markets; continued momentum in CMB
1Q16 vs. 1Q15 adjusted revenue analysis, $m
Principal RBWM 5,341 5,071 (270)
CMB 3,556 3,623 67
Client-facing GB&M and BSM 4,813 4,355 (458)
GPB 574 487 (87)
Other6 (200) 179 379
1Q15 1Q16 vs. 1Q15
RBWM run off portfolio 302 238 (64)
Legacy Credit 70 (39) (109)
Group 14,457 13,914 (543)
Group excl. Brazil 13,704 13,178 (526)
(4)%
2%
(15)%
>100%
(21)%
<(100)%
(5)%
(10)%
Adjusted revenue by global business Key drivers
Principal RBWM
CMB
Client-facing GB&M and BSM
‒ Growth in average Payments & Cash Management balances
‒ Continued loan growth in UK Credit & Lending
‒ Revenue down in Client-facing GB&M (down 7%); extreme levels of market volatility led to reduced client activity
‒ BSM down $172m from lower disposal gains
‒ Down in Wealth Management;
‒ life insurance manufacturing adversely impacted by market updates (c. $250m); and
‒ investment distribution affected by lower equity turnover; 1Q15 notably strong
‒ Growth in deposit balances, notably in Hong Kong and the UK
‒ Revenue growth from personal lending products
(4)%
8
1Q16 LICs Higher specific charges in 1Q16 across a number of countries
Quarterly LICs
Personal 348 500 549 (49) (201)
Collective 314 483 512 (29) (198)
Specific 34 17 37 (20) (3)
Wholesale 154 977 534 443 (380)
Collective 56 250 100 150 (44)
Specific 98 727 434 293 (336)
Impairment on AFS debt securities (50) 28 37 (9) (87)
Other credit-risk provisions 17 106 41 65 (24)
Group 469 1,611 1,161 450 (692)
$m 1Q15 4Q15 1Q16 vs. 4Q15 vs. 1Q15
1Q16 vs. 1Q15 by region: key increase across a number of countries
Reported past due but not impaired, $bn: Remain at low levels
3.82.9 2.8 2.8
15.5
Dec-13
10.4
Dec-14
13.3
11.7 9.4 8.0
10.8 12.2
Dec-15 Mar-16
Up to 29 days 30 days and over
LICs / average gross loans and advances to customers (excl. Brazil) 0.13 0.57 0.36 0.21 (0.23)
LICs increased
$692m
UK
Australia
US
Canada
Brazil
Group
163
77
201
50
159
42
692
Other
‒ Increase driven by specific charges:
‒ notably in the oil and gas and metals and mining sectors; as well as
‒ specific impairment charges across a small number of countries
Wholesale
Personal ‒ Higher collective impairment charges, notably in Brazil reflecting
continued economic slowdown
1Q16 vs. 1Q15: increased by $692m
9
1Q16 operating expenses Continued progress with our cost base: 1Q16 costs in line with 1Q15
UK bank levy5 Brazil operating expenses
Quarterly operating expenses trend ($bn)
8.0 7.7 7.7 7.57.5
2Q15
0.5
1Q15
0.5
(0.0)
Rebased 2017 target
7.3
1Q16
0.5
(0.1)
4Q15
0.5
1.5
3Q15
0.5
7.9
9.7
8.2 8.5 8.0
7.3
Adjusted quarterly costs excl. bank levy vs. same quarter prior year, %
Regulatory programmes and compliance costs
$0.6bn $0.7bn $0.8bn $0.7bn
260.1 259.8 259.8 255.2 FTEs, 000s
$0.7bn
254.2 1Q16
(2)%
0%
4Q15
(4)%
(1)%
3Q15
0%
3%
2Q15
7% 8%
1Q15
4%
6%
Discrete quarter cost growth / (reduction) excl. regulatory programmes and compliance
Discrete quarter cost growth / (reduction)
- - 0.5 2.2 Of which: CTA FTE, 000s 3.6
10
Capital adequacy Strong capital base: common equity tier 1 ratio2 – 11.9%
Regulatory capital, RWAs, and leverage, $bn 1Q16 CET1 ratio movement %
0.3
31 Mar 2016
11.9
Change in RWAs
(0.1)
Dividends7
net of scrip
(0.2)
Profit for the period including
regulatory adjustments
31 Dec 2015
11.9
1Q16 CET1 movement, $bn
At 31 December 2015 130.9
Capital generation from profit 0.8
Profit for the period (including regulatory adjustments) 2.9
Dividends7 net of scrip (2.1)
Foreign currency translation differences 1.0
Other movements 0.2
At 31 March 2016 132.9
4Q15 1Q16
Common equity tier 1 capital 130.9 132.9
Total regulatory capital on a transitional basis 189.8 187.1
Risk-weighted assets 1,103.0 1,115.2
Leverage ratio 5.0% 5.0%
Quarterly CET1 ratio and leverage ratio progression
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16
CET1 ratio 11.2% 11.6% 11.8% 11.9% 11.9%
Leverage ratio 4.9% 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
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Reduce RWAs by $290bn 50% of our targeted reduction achieved, mainly from exits and disposals and improved modelling
Key movements in Group RWA ($bn)
16
3
9
6
1,115
15
1,103 Dec-15
Book Size
RWA initiatives
Movement in associates
Mar-16 5.0
1.6
2.5
3.5 2.4
CMB GB&M US run-off portfolio
2016 RWA initiatives: $15bn reduction in the first quarter
FX translation
290
Rebased target FX translation Investor Update target
50% of 2017 target achieved
Markets Global Banking
Legacy
11 279
Book Quality
RWA initiatives YTD vs. Investor Update target
12
Return metrics Drivers of returns
1Q16 Group ROE1, %
Adjusted RoRWA by global business (ex associates)
Principal RBWM 5.2% 3.8% 6.3%
CMB 2.4% 2.2% 2.7%
Client-facing GB&M & BSM 2.4% 2.1% 2.7%
GPB10 3.6% 2.3% 4.3%
Group RoRWA
Reported 2.4% 2.2%
Adjusted8 2.3% 2.0%
Adjusted excl. associates and run-off portfolios9 2.6% 2.3%
1Q15 1Q16 1Q15 1Q16 2017 Target
(1.0)
Sig Items & Bank Levy
1.4
0.0
1Q16 ex. Sig items & Bank levy
7.6 (1.1)
LICs
(1.3)
Costs Ex Bank Levy
Increase in tax rate & Other
Revenue 1Q15 ex. Sig items & Bank levy
11.0
Sig Items & Bank Levy
(0.5)
1Q15 Reported
11.5
1Q16 Reported
9.0
13
Progress on our actions to capture value
Reduce Group RWAs by c.$290bn ‒ Group RWA reduction: $290bn ‒ GB&M <1/3 of Group RWAs
‒ $15bn further reduction in 1Q16, notably in GB&M ‒ 50% of Group reduction target achieved
Optimise global network ‒ Reduced footprint
‒ Disposal of Brazil3 on track: Technical body of the Brazilian Competition Agency has now recommended to its Board that the sale of our Brazil business be approved
‒ Announced closure of business operations in Brunei
Rebuild NAFTA profitability ‒ US Principal PBT c. $2bn ‒ Mexico PBT c. $0.6bn
‒ US Principal ‒ Revenue: $1.2bn (up 4% on 1Q15; up 12% on 4Q15) ‒ PBT: $0.2bn (up 29% on 1Q15; up >100% on 4Q15)
:
‒ Mexico ‒ Revenue: $0.5bn (up 11% on 1Q15; up 8% on 4Q15) ‒ PBT: $0.1bn (up >100% on 1Q15; up >100% on 4Q15)
Set up UK ring-fenced bank ‒ Completed by 2018 ‒ Implementation in progress
Deliver $4.5-5.0bn cost savings ‒ 2017 exit rate to equal 2014 operating expenses
‒ 1Q16 costs in line with 1Q15 reflecting tight cost control and the effect of cost saving plans
‒ FTE reduction of 1k in 1Q16; 6k since 1Q15
Strategic actions Progress during 1Q16
Actions to re-size and simplify
Actions to redeploy capital and invest
Deliver growth above GDP from international network ‒ Revenue growth of international network above GDP
‒ Transaction banking revenue: $3.9bn (down 2% on 1Q15). Despite the challenging environment, our trade finance business has performed resiliently and gained market share across strategic trade corridors
‒ PCM revenue up 7% vs. 1Q15; average deposits up 4% on prior year
Pivot to Asia – prioritise and accelerate investments
‒ Market share gains ‒ c. 10% growth p.a. in assets under management
‒ Insurance manufacturing new business premiums: $0.6bn (up 18% on 1Q15) ‒ Asset Mgt. AUM distributed in Asia: $133.1bn (up 10% on 1Q15) ‒ Credit cards CBRC approval obtained ‒ Lead financial arranger on ChemChina’s $43bn acquisition of Syngenta - the largest
China outbound M&A deal
RMB internationalisation ‒ $2.0-2.5bn revenue
‒ Renminbi internationalisation revenue: $0.4bn (down 22% on 1Q15)
‒ #1 bank on offshore RMB bond issuance volume
‒ 52% Securities Services RQFII11 custodian market share
Global standards ‒ Completed implementation ‒ Implementation in progress
Targeted outcome by 2017
14
Market share analysis We have maintained and improved market share in key areas
Further strengthened leadership in Asian advisory
Built on our strong foundation in HK and China
Maintained our leadership in RMB
Expanded leadership in transaction banking
‒ Syndicated Loans: Hong Kong and China Offshore Bookrunner share15
‒ M&A: Asia Pacific (ex-Japan) Announced Deals share15
‒ DCM: Asia (ex-Japan) International DCM rank15
‒ China M&A rank15,16
‒ HK trade asset balance market share17
‒ Securities Services RQFII11 custodian market share19
‒ Offshore RMB bonds issuance volume rank18
FY14
#1
9.9%
2.1%
#1
42%
3.7%
10.7%
#2
#34
7.7%
FY15
#1
12.6%
11.9%
#1
49%
4.2%
10.7%
#1
#15
10.8%
1Q16
#1
19.5%
20.8%
52%
4.2%
10.9%
-
#4
10.5%
#1
‒ PCM (global): Payments market share13
‒ FX (global): Rank by volume for corporates14
‒ GTRF (global): Documentary Credit and Collections market share12
Key awards received in 1Q16
‒ Best Overall Offshore RMB Products / Services
‒ Financial Advisor of the Year (global)
‒ Best Financial Adviser in Asia-Pacific
‒ Best Supply-Chain Finance Bank Global
‒ Best Trade Bank in Hong Kong
‒ Best Bank in Hong Kong
‒ Best Fixed Income Fund House (Hong Kong)
‒ Bank Risk Manager of the Year
‒ Foreign Exchange Dealer of the Year
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Outlook
Group financial targets
ROE
Jaws
Dividend
> 10%
Positive (adjusted basis)
Progressive20
Delivering our strategy
Low-risk model with low earnings volatility
A / D ratio
LICs / Loans and advances21
10 year PBT volatility22
CET1 ratio
Diversified business, low earnings volatility and strong capital generation
93% 70%
1.1% 0.4
2.2x 0.9x
Peer group average23
11.9%
HSBC
11.9%
‒ Strong capital generation, well funded, very liquid balance sheet; resilient business model
‒ Revenue opportunities in targeted areas; we continue to invest for growth and capture market share
‒ Consistent risk appetite; maintain credit risk standards; deliver Global Standards
‒ Deliver $4.5 – 5.0bn cost savings
‒ Deliver $290bn RWA reduction; strategic redeployment, Asia Pivot
‒ Dividend growth dependent on long-term profitability and further release of less efficiently deployed capital. Actions to address these points are core elements of our Investor Update in June 2015
16
Appendix
17
Appendix – Balance sheet
80.9 86.1 92.1 51.0 52.1 42.1 38.6 37.9 40.9
2Q15
877.4
1Q14 1Q15
872.1
18.4
942.5
4Q14
855.6
18.6
925.1
3Q14
839.5
18.6
950.2
2Q14
831.0 814.1
935.3
17.6
912.5
887.8
925.7
3Q15
919.4
1Q16
879.2
920.1
4Q15
879.4
918.0
18.2
80.9 86.1 92.1 42.1 38.6 37.9 40.952.151.0
1,246.3 1,275.2
1Q14
1,149.1
16.3
1Q16
1,274.2
1,315.1
4Q15
1,251.9
1,289.8
3Q15
1,257.8
1,296.4
2Q15
1,247.2
1,289.2
1Q15
1,230.3
17.8
1,300.2
4Q14
1,218.3
17.3
1,286.6
3Q14
1,187.6
16.8
1,296.5
2Q14
1,172.3
16.7
Loans and advances to customers (constant currency)
Customer accounts (constant currency)
Balances excl. red-inked balances
Brazil – balances reclassified to held for sale
Red-inked balances
‒ Customer lending down $8.6bn from Dec 15:
‒ Reduction in US legacy portfolios, primarily CML ($4.9bn) and transfer of commercial loans in GB&M ($1.1bn)
‒ Asia (down $10.4bn), notably lower trade lending from weaker demand and falling commodity prices and repayments in GB&M; partly offset by
‒ Growth in Europe ($7.0bn), primarily CMB and GB&M in the UK.
‒ Customer accounts up $22.3bn, mainly in Europe and Asia
‒ Growth in RBWM (up $10.9bn); mainly the UK and Hong Kong
‒ GB&M (up $13.0bn) in our Payments and Cash Management business
18
Appendix - Group and Hong Kong LICs
Group Hong Kong
05
10152025303540
2015 1997
Reported LICs, $bn
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2015 1997
Reported LICs / gross loans and advances, % Excl. HSBC Finance Corporation
-0.4-0.20.00.20.40.60.81.01.2
2015 1997
Reported LICs, $bn
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
2015 1997
Reported LICs / gross loans and advances, %
Average – 0.56% Average – 0.19%
HSBC Finance Corporation Group excl. HSBC Finance Corporation
19
Appendix – Oil and gas
Oil and gas24, $bn
$30bn 4% increase on 2015
Overall drawn risk exposure
41%
Impaired
3%
CRR 7-8
4%
CRR 4-6
CRR 1-3 52%
$9bn $15bn $5bn
Integrated Producers
Service companies
Pure producers
Credit quality (%)
$1bn
Infrastructure companies
‒ Overall exposure of $30bn represents c. 2% of wholesale drawn risk exposures
‒ Large integrated producers remain resilient
‒ 4% of the portfolio is CRR 7-8, the majority of which is in service companies and pure producers
‒ 3% of the portfolio is impaired
‒ Loan impairment charges and other credit risk provisions of c. $0.1bn in 1Q16
‒ Individually assessed charges of $0.1bn and
‒ Immaterial collectively assessed charges in 1Q16
‒ Past due but not impaired is insignificant
‒ Impairment allowances against the oil and gas portfolio of c. $0.6bn
Europe 7
Asia 7
Middle East and North Africa 5
North America 9
Latin America 2
Group 30
Exposure by region $bn
‒ CRR 1-3 broadly equivalent to investment grade
‒ CRR 4-6 Broadly equivalent to BB+ to B-
‒ CRR 7-8 Broadly equivalent to an external rating ranging from CCC+ to C
20
Appendix – Metals and mining
Metals and mining, $bn
$19bn Overall drawn risk exposure
54%CRR 4-6
Impaired
3%
CRR 7-8
4%
CRR 1-3 39%
$3bn $4bn $1.5bn
Base / diversified
Bulk Precious metals
Credit quality (%)
$10.5bn
Steel / Aluminium
Europe 4
Asia 11
Middle East and North Africa 1
North America 3
Latin America -
Group 19
Exposure by region $bn
‒ $19bn represents c.1.5% of wholesale drawn risk exposure
‒ Precious metals, copper, nickel and zinc prices are generally forecast to improve slightly in 2016
‒ The outlook for steel, aluminium and bulk metals is more negative due to a combination of oversupply and reduction in demand
‒ Loan impairment charges of c. $0.1bn in Q1 related to two counterparties
Copper, Zinc and Nickel
Iron ore and metallurgical coal
Gold and Silver
‒ CRR 1-3 broadly equivalent to investment grade
‒ CRR 4-6 Broadly equivalent to BB+ to B-
‒ CRR 7-8 Broadly equivalent to an external rating ranging from CCC+ to C
21
Appendix - Operating expenses Rebased Investor update target
Brazil, Turkey and FX
translation @1Q15 rates
(5.9)
(3.6)
(2.3)
2014 Adj.
29.1
Rebased Investor
Update target
Turkey
32.6
2014 revised proforma
excl. Brazil
(1.9)
FX translation @ 1Q16 rates
30.7
2014 revised proforma at 1Q16 rates
37.9
(1.6)
32.0
2017 bank levy estimate (per Investor
Update)
0.6
2014 proforma
Rebased Investor Update target ($bn)
Quarterly run rate excluding the bank levy is c. $7.3bn
Brazil & Turkey FX translation
Investor Update
22
Appendix Currency translation and significant items
$m 1Q15 4Q15 1Q16 Currency translation 296 47 -
Significant items: Revenue
Loss on sale of several tranches of real estate secured accounts in the US - (214) - Gain on the partial sale of shareholding in Industrial Bank 363 (Adverse) / Favourable debit valuation adjustment on derivative contracts 98 (186) 158 (Adverse) / Favourable fair value movements on non-qualifying hedges (285) 26 (233) Provisions arising from the ongoing review of compliance with the Consumer Credit Act in the UK 12 (12) - Favourable / (Adverse) movements on own credit spread 298 (773) 1,151 Gain on sale of shareholding in Bank of Shanghai Impairment of our investment in Industrial Bank Disposal costs of Brazilian operations - (18) (14)
486 (1,177) 1,062
Operating expenses Charge in relation to settlement agreement with Federal Housing Finance Authority Regulatory provisions in GPB (139) (18) (1) Settlements and provisions in connection with legal matters - (370) - UK customer redress programmes (137) (337) - Restructuring and other related costs (43) - - Costs-to-achieve - (743) (341) Costs to establish UK ring-fenced bank - (61) (31) Disposal costs of Brazilian operations - (56) (17)
(319) (1,585) (390)
Currency translation and significant items (463) (2,713) 672
23
Appendix Reported Consolidated Income statement
$m 1Q15 4Q15 1Q16
Net interest income 8,274 8,059 7,913
Net fee income 3,684 3,471 3,197
Net trading income 2,583 1,408 2,836
Net income / (expense) from financial instruments designated at fair value 1,596 (250) 695
Gains less losses from financial investments 647 20 192
Dividend income 17 27 28
Net insurance premium income 2,979 2,255 2,915
Other operating income / (expense) 338 (52) 172
Total operating income 20,118 14,938 17,948
Net insurance claims and benefits paid and movements in liabilities to policyholders (4,226) (3,166) (2,972)
Net operating income before loan impairment charges and other credit risk provisions 15,892 11,772 14,976
Loan impairment charges and other credit risk provisions (570) (1,644) (1,161)
Net operating income 15,322 10,128 13,815
Total operating expenses (8,845) (11,542) (8,264)
Operating profit / (loss) 6,477 (1,414) 5,551
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures 582 556 555
Profit / (Loss) before tax 7,059 (858) 6,106
Cost efficiency ratio % 55.7% 98.0% 55.2%
24
Appendix Reported Consolidated Income statement by global business
$m RBWM CMB GB&M GPB Other Total25
1Q15 1Q16 1Q15 1Q16 1Q15 1Q16 1Q15 1Q16 1Q15 1Q16 1Q15 1Q16
Net operating income before loan impairment charges and other credit risk provisions
5,911 5,160 3,786 3,623 5,242 4,466 613 487 1,831 2,658 15,892 14,976
Loan impairment charges and other credit risk provisions (460) (581) (216) (390) 108 (193) (2) - - 3 (570) (1,161)
Net operating income 5,451 4,579 3,570 3,233 5,350 4,273 611 487 1,831 2,661 15,322 13,815
Total operating expenses (3,928) (3,532) (1,639) (1,524) (2,437) (2,278) (551) (379) (1,781) (1,969) (8,845) (8,264)
Operating profit 1,523 1,047 1,931 1,709 2,913 1,995 60 108 50 692 6,477 5,551
Share of profit in associates and joint ventures 87 86 363 341 128 126 5 2 (1) - 582 555
Profit before tax 1,610 1,133 2,294 2,050 3,041 2,121 65 110 49 692 7,059 6,106
25
Appendix Reported Consolidated Balance Sheet
$m At 31 Dec 2014 At 31 Dec 2015 At 31 Mar 2016 Assets
Cash and balances at central banks 129,957 98,934 126,265 Trading assets 304,193 224,837 268,941 Financial assets designated at fair value 29,037 23,852 23,957 Derivatives 345,008 288,476 342,681 Loans and advances to banks 112,149 90,401 97,991 Loans and advances to customers 974,660 924,454 920,139 Reverse repurchase agreements – non trading 161,713 146,255 170,966 Financial investments 415,467 428,955 444,297 Assets held for sale 7,647 43,900 54,260 Other assets 154,308 139,592 146,169
Total assets 2,634,139 2,409,656 2,595,666
Liabilities Deposits by banks 77,426 54,371 68,760 Customer accounts 1,350,642 1,289,586 1,315,058 Repurchase agreements – non trading 107,432 80,400 93,934 Trading liabilities 190,572 141,614 184,865 Financial liabilities designated at fair value 76,153 66,408 73,433 Derivatives 340,669 281,071 338,433 Debt securities in issue 95,947 88,949 99,093 Liabilities under insurance contracts 73,861 69,938 72,694 Liabilities of disposal groups held for sale 6,934 36,840 40,179 Other liabilities 114,525 102,961 108,850
Total liabilities 2,434,161 2,212,138 2,395,299
Equity Total shareholders’ equity 190,447 188,460 191,568 Non-controlling interests 9,531 9,058 8,799
Total equity 199,978 197,518 200,367 Total equity and liabilities 2,634,139 2,409,656 2,595,666
Net assets value per ordinary share (NAV) - $ 9.28 8.73 8.86 Tangible assets value per ordinary share (TNAV) - $ 7.91 7.48 7.59
26
Appendix Footnotes
1. On an annualised basis
2. From 1 January 2015 the transitional CET1 and end point CET1 capital ratios became aligned for HSBC Holdings plc due to the recognition of unrealised gains on investment property and available-for-sale securities
3. We plan to maintain a corporate presence in Brazil to serve our international clients
4. Other revenue and operating expenses-related significant items include:
For a complete list, refer to slide 22
5. 1Q15 and 1Q16 included credits relating to the prior year’s bank levy charge of $44m and $106m respectively
6. Other also includes intersegment elimination
$m 1Q15 1Q16 Revenue
Favourable debit valuation adjustment on derivative contracts 98 158 Adverse fair value movements on non-qualifying hedges (285) (233) Releases arising from the ongoing review of compliance with the Consumer Credit Act in the UK 12 - Disposal costs of Brazilian operations - (14)
(175) (89)
Operating expenses Charge in relation to settlement agreement with Federal Housing Finance Authority Regulatory provisions in GPB (139) (1) Restructuring and other related costs (43) - Costs to establish UK ring-fenced bank - (31) Disposal costs of Brazilian operations - (17)
(182) (49)
27
Appendix Footnotes
7. This includes dividends on ordinary shares, quarterly dividends on preference shares and coupons on capital securities, classified as equity
8. Adjusted RoRWAs are calculated using annualised adjusted PBT and reported RWAs at constant currency, adjusted for significant items
9. Run-off portfolios mainly comprise GB&M Legacy Credit and RBWM US run-off portfolios
10. Due to the nature of its business, GPB measures the performance of its business through other measures including Net New Money and Return on Assets
11. RQFII refers to RMB Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) programme that allows approved offshore investors to invest offshore RMB in the Chinese onshore stock and bond markets. RQFII quotas, which are set for each qualifying country, limit the amount investors in different countries can invest
12. Source: SWIFT Documentary Credits and Collections
13. Source SWIFT Live payment messages
14. Source: Euromoney FX Survey 2015/2014
15. Source: Dealogic
16. Based on Chinese targets
17. Source: Hong Kong Monetary Authority Statistics. 1Q16 data to Feb 2016.
18. Source: Bloomberg
19. Source: Government of China State Administration of Foreign Exchange. 1Q16 data to Feb 2016
20. Progression of dividends should be consistent with the growth of the overall profitability of the Group, and is predicated on the ability to meet all capital requirements in a timely manner
21. Calculated as the annualised reported LICs charge divided by the net loans and advances to customers using latest available reported financials; HSBC calculation excludes Brazil
22. Peer group average calculated using latest available reported financials for sample set of 5 global banks (JP Morgan, BNP Paribas, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, Standard Chartered) and 5 regional banks (DBS, Santander, Itau, ICBC and Barclays)
23. Calculated as average of the PBT range divided by average PBT for the last 10 years for the peers defined
24. Excludes Brazil
25. Amounts are non-additive across global businesses due to intercompany transactions within the Group
28
Appendix Important notice and forward-looking statements
Important notice
The information set out in this presentation and subsequent discussion does not constitute a public offer for the purposes of any applicable law or an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to purchase any securities or other financial instruments or any recommendation in respect of such securities or instruments.
Forward-looking statements
This presentation and subsequent discussion may contain projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, opinions, prospects, results, returns and forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations, capital position and business of the Group (together, “forward-looking statements”). Any such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performance, as they may involve significant assumptions and subjective judgements which may or may not prove to be correct and there can be no assurance that any of the matters set out in forward-looking statements are attainable, will actually occur or will be realised or are complete or accurate. Forward-looking statements are statements about the future and are inherently uncertain and generally based on stated or implied assumptions. The assumptions may prove to be incorrect and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors, many of which are outside the control of the Group. Actual achievements, results, performance or other future events or conditions may differ materially from those stated, implied and/or reflected in any forward-looking statements due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors (including without limitation those which are referable to general market conditions or regulatory changes). Any such forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs, expectations and opinions of the Group at the date the statements are made, and the Group does not assume, and hereby disclaims, any obligation or duty to update them if circumstances or management’s beliefs, expectations or opinions should change. For these reasons, recipients should not place reliance on, and are cautioned about relying on, any forward-looking statements. Additional detailed information concerning important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially is available in our 1Q16 Earnings Release.
This presentation contains non-GAAP financial information. The primary non-GAAP financial measure we use is ‘adjusted performance’ which is computed by adjusting reported results for the period-on-period effects of foreign currency translation differences and significant items which distort period-on-period comparisons. Significant items are those items which management and investors would ordinarily identify and consider separately when assessing performance in order to better understand the underlying trends in the business. Reconciliations between non-GAAP financial measurements and the most directly comparable measures under GAAP are provided in the 1Q16 Earnings Release and the Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures document which are both available at www.hsbc.com.
Issued by HSBC Holdings plc Group Investor Relations 8 Canada Square London E14 5HQ United Kingdom Telephone: 44 020 7991 3643 www.hsbc.com
Cover image: Tsing Ma Bridge carries road and rail traffic to Hong Kong International Airport and accommodates large container ships. At HSBC, we help customers across the world to trade and invest internationally.
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