valuation part 1
TRANSCRIPT
ValuationPart 1
Objectives • Firm and equity fair valuation methods
o Present value DCF methodo Constant free cash flow and dividend growth methods
• Drivers of equity value• The price / earnings ratio
2
Value of Simple Corp
3
Book Value Market or Fair Value
Constant FCF Growth• In the case where FCF is assumed to grow at a constant
rate, gFCF, a simple formula is found from series convergence
4
or
Constant FCF Growth• As the spread
between the rate cost and cash flow growth rate narrows, convergence slows considerably
• As cash flow growth rate approaches the rate cost, the series does not converge
5
Variable Growth Value
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
FCF
Years H
6
Variable Growth Value
7
0 1 H H+1 N
gFCF
Step 2Step 3
Step 1
Dividend Discount Model• Method is most applicable to firms that have a high
dividend payout ratio
• Assume that last dividend is a total repurchase of the stock
i = 0 1 2 3 4 5 N
DIV1
8
DIVN
Equity Value Management• Explore the relationships between
o Earnings growtho Dividend payoutso Cost of equity o Fair value of equity
• Based on the Dividend Growth Model with constant dividend growth assumption
9
10
Constant Growth Formulas
11
Constant Growth Formulas
12
Constant Growth Formulas
13
Constant Growth Formulas
14
Constant Growth Formulas